Coaches › Head coach
Arthur Smith
Head coach · ATL · 2021–2023
21–30Regular season
0–0Playoffs
3Seasons
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ATL | 7–10 | 127 | 15.0 | 38.6 | 75.6 | 2.35 | |
| 2022 | ATL | 7–10 | 110 | 16.4 | 44.5 | 66.4 | 1.79 | |
| 2021 | ATL | 7–10 | 115 | 20.9 | 53.0 | 58.3 | 2.18 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.064 (90% interval −0.130 to +0.012) over 352 decisions. Flagged better than expected (Benjamini–Hochberg, 50% false discovery rate).
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-22 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at ATL 24Q4, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 8.5 |
| 2022-10-02 | ATL v CLE | 4th & goal at CLE 2Q4, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 5.1 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & goal at TB 2Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 3.4 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 2 at TEN 31Q3, down 11 | fg | goconfident | 3.4 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 3 at ATL 47Q1, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 3 at ATL 47Q1, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 2 at TB 48Q3, down 2 | punt | goconfident | 2.9 |
| 2023-01-01 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 4 at ATL 39Q3, down 2 | punt | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2023-10-22 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 23Q3, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & goal at PHI 3Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & 3 at ATL 39Q2, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & goal at PIT 10Q4, down 6 | fg | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 10 at NYG 40Q2, down 6 | punt | fguncertain | 2.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 21Q4, down 5 | fg | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 2 at CAR 46Q2, up 10 | go | fgconfident | 1.9 |
Every graded 4th down (352)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & goal at PHI 3Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 1 at PHI 24Q1, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & goal at PHI 9Q2, down 4 | fg | golean | 1.3 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 12 at ATL 46Q2, down 1 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 6 at ATL 12Q2, down 1 | punt | gouncertain | 0.5 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 6 at ATL 18Q3, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 10 at ATL 19Q3, down 9 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 11 at ATL 39Q4, down 16 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 3 at ATL 30Q4, down 16 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 10 at ATL 32Q4, down 16 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-12 | ATL v PHI | 4th & 13 at ATL 41Q4, down 23 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & 3 at ATL 34Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & 6 at ATL 46Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at ATL 45Q1, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & 16 at ATL 45Q2, down 7 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & goal at TB 3Q3, down 18 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & 4 at ATL 10Q4, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at ATL 44Q4, down 16 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-19 | ATL v TB | 4th & 7 at ATL 48Q4, down 23 | go | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 1 at ATL 43Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 3 at ATL 47Q1, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 3 at ATL 47Q1, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 10 at NYG 40Q2, down 6 | punt | fguncertain | 2.0 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 4 at ATL 22Q3, up 1 | punt | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 4 at ATL 37Q3, up 1 | punt | golean | 0.8 |
| 2021-09-26 | ATL v NYG | 4th & 7 at NYG 22Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-03 | ATL v WAS | 4th & goal at WAS 7Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2021-10-03 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 13 at ATL 25Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-03 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 15 at ATL 18Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-03 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 7 at ATL 45Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-03 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 4 at ATL 31Q4, up 2 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-10 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 1 at NYJ 40Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-10 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 11 at NYJ 13Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-10 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 4 at NYJ 34Q2, up 14 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-10 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 10 at ATL 40Q3, up 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-10 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 6 at NYJ 42Q4, up 11 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2021-10-24 | ATL v MIA | 4th & 12 at ATL 23Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-24 | ATL v MIA | 4th & 6 at MIA 15Q2, down 7 | fg | golean | 1.0 |
| 2021-10-24 | ATL v MIA | 4th & 4 at ATL 36Q3, up 13 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2021-10-24 | ATL v MIA | 4th & 10 at midfieldQ3, up 6 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-24 | ATL v MIA | 4th & 15 at MIA 18Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-31 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 12 at CAR 28Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-31 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 2 at ATL 28Q1, tied | punt | gouncertain | 0.4 |
| 2021-10-31 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 1 at CAR 45Q2, up 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-31 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 1 at ATL 22Q2, up 4 | punt | gouncertain | 0.5 |
| 2021-10-31 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 8 at ATL 45Q3, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-10-31 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 2 at CAR 27Q4, down 2 | fg | golean | 1.3 |
| 2021-10-31 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 18 at ATL 17Q4, down 9 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 9 at NO 39Q1, tied | punt | fgconfident | 1.5 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 4 at NO 14Q1, tied | fg | gouncertain | 0.5 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 6 at ATL 24Q2, up 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 1 at ATL 45Q2, up 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 7 at ATL 39Q4, up 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 9 at ATL 26Q4, up 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 22 at ATL 18Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 10 at NO 11Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 7 at DAL 17Q1, down 7 | fg | gouncertain | -0.4 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 7 at DAL 32Q1, down 4 | go | fglean | -0.1 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 5 at ATL 30Q2, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 20 at ATL 15Q2, down 18 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 18 at ATL 17Q2, down 25 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 2 at ATL 33Q3, down 33 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 2 at ATL 36Q4, down 40 | punt | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-14 | ATL v DAL | 4th & 20 at DAL 35Q4, down 40 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 9 at ATL 5Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 9 at ATL 26Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 1 at NE 45Q2, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 19 at NE 32Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 18 at ATL 6Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 5 at ATL 36Q3, down 13 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 8 at ATL 21Q3, down 13 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-18 | ATL v NE | 4th & 1 at NE 16Q3, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-28 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 12 at JAX 46Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-28 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 6 at ATL 45Q2, up 7 | punt | golean | 0.2 |
| 2021-11-28 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 1 at ATL 36Q3, up 18 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2021-11-28 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 9 at JAX 42Q4, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-11-28 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 14 at ATL 43Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-05 | ATL v TB | 4th & 9 at ATL 38Q1, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-05 | ATL v TB | 4th & goal at TB 3Q2, down 6 | fg | golean | 0.4 |
| 2021-12-05 | ATL v TB | 4th & 14 at TB 47Q2, down 10 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2021-12-05 | ATL v TB | 4th & 15 at TB 48Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-05 | ATL v TB | 4th & 13 at ATL 22Q4, down 10 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-05 | ATL v TB | 4th & 12 at ATL 47Q4, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 1 at ATL 34Q1, tied | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 1 at CAR 31Q1, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 8 at ATL 33Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 6 at CAR 13Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 2 at CAR 46Q2, up 10 | go | fgconfident | 1.9 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 8 at CAR 20Q3, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-12 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 4 at CAR 30Q4, up 12 | fg | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-19 | ATL v SF | 4th & goal at SF 1Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-19 | ATL v SF | 4th & 2 at SF 30Q1, tied | fg | gouncertain | 0.6 |
| 2021-12-19 | ATL v SF | 4th & 19 at ATL 34Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-19 | ATL v SF | 4th & goal at SF 4Q3, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2021-12-19 | ATL v SF | 4th & 4 at ATL 37Q4, down 18 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2021-12-19 | ATL v SF | 4th & 1 at SF 8Q4, down 18 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-19 | ATL v SF | 4th & goal at SF 1Q4, down 18 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-26 | ATL v DET | 4th & 15 at ATL 27Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-26 | ATL v DET | 4th & 6 at ATL 29Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-26 | ATL v DET | 4th & 1 at DET 6Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-26 | ATL v DET | 4th & 7 at DET 35Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2021-12-26 | ATL v DET | 4th & 5 at DET 30Q3, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-01-02 | ATL v BUF | 4th & 6 at BUF 46Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2022-01-02 | ATL v BUF | 4th & 14 at ATL 29Q1, up 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-01-02 | ATL v BUF | 4th & 5 at BUF 10Q2, down 12 | fg | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2022-01-02 | ATL v BUF | 4th & 22 at BUF 37Q3, up 1 | punt | fgconfident | 1.0 |
| 2022-01-02 | ATL v BUF | 4th & 9 at ATL 36Q3, down 7 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-01-02 | ATL v BUF | 4th & goal at BUF 16Q4, down 14 | go | fglean | 0.1 |
| 2022-01-09 | ATL v NO | 4th & 16 at NO 30Q1, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-01-09 | ATL v NO | 4th & 3 at NO 36Q2, down 4 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2022-01-09 | ATL v NO | 4th & 3 at ATL 41Q3, down 18 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2022-01-09 | ATL v NO | 4th & 2 at NO 8Q3, down 18 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-01-09 | ATL v NO | 4th & 10 at ATL 24Q4, down 17 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2022-01-09 | ATL v NO | 4th & 2 at ATL 23Q4, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-01-09 | ATL v NO | 4th & 10 at NO 19Q4, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & 5 at NO 35Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & 5 at ATL 26Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & 3 at ATL 39Q2, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & 5 at NO 32Q2, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & goal at NO 9Q4, up 13 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & 7 at ATL 45Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | ATL v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 47Q4, up 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | ATL v LA | 4th & 18 at LA 26Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | ATL v LA | 4th & 2 at midfieldQ2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | ATL v LA | 4th & 1 at LA 13Q2, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | ATL v LA | 4th & goal at LA 8Q2, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2022-09-18 | ATL v LA | 4th & 10 at ATL 25Q3, down 25 | punt | golean | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | ATL v SEA | 4th & 22 at SEA 23Q1, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | ATL v SEA | 4th & 8 at ATL 27Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | ATL v SEA | 4th & 18 at SEA 36Q3, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | ATL v CLE | 4th & goal at CLE 12Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | ATL v CLE | 4th & 4 at ATL 31Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | ATL v CLE | 4th & 6 at ATL 29Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | ATL v CLE | 4th & 26 at ATL 15Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | ATL v CLE | 4th & goal at CLE 2Q4, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 5.1 |
| 2022-10-02 | ATL v CLE | 4th & 3 at CLE 27Q4, tied | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 17 at ATL 25Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 7 at TB 49Q2, tied | punt | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 7 at ATL 49Q2, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 19 at TB 34Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at ATL 27Q3, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 4 at ATL 36Q3, down 13 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 10 at ATL 43Q3, down 21 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2022-10-09 | ATL v TB | 4th & 22 at ATL 34Q4, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | ATL v SF | 4th & 12 at ATL 46Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | ATL v SF | 4th & 7 at ATL 28Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | ATL v SF | 4th & 2 at ATL 28Q3, up 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2022-10-16 | ATL v SF | 4th & 5 at SF 40Q4, up 14 | punt | fgconfident | 0.8 |
| 2022-10-16 | ATL v SF | 4th & 3 at ATL 39Q4, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | ATL v CIN | 4th & 5 at ATL 43Q1, down 7 | punt | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2022-10-23 | ATL v CIN | 4th & 3 at ATL 32Q1, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2022-10-23 | ATL v CIN | 4th & 9 at ATL 26Q3, down 11 | punt | golean | 0.3 |
| 2022-10-23 | ATL v CIN | 4th & 3 at ATL 34Q3, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2022-10-23 | ATL v CIN | 4th & 15 at ATL 34Q3, down 18 | punt | gouncertain | -0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | ATL v CIN | 4th & 13 at ATL 43Q4, down 18 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2022-10-30 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 23 at ATL 12Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 7 at ATL 41Q1, down 3 | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2022-10-30 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 4 at ATL 31Q2, down 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 12 at ATL 23Q3, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 8 at CAR 12Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 8 at CAR 16Q4, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | ATL v LAC | 4th & 9 at LAC 11Q1, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | ATL v LAC | 4th & 14 at ATL 27Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | ATL v LAC | 4th & 11 at ATL 24Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | ATL v LAC | 4th & 15 at ATL 20Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | ATL v LAC | 4th & 8 at LAC 32Q4, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | ATL v LAC | 4th & 8 at ATL 27Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 14 at ATL 26Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 18 at CAR 42Q1, down 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 1 at ATL 12Q2, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 3 at CAR 15Q2, down 13 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 14 at CAR 41Q3, down 10 | punt | fglean | 1.1 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 15 at ATL 48Q4, down 10 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 10 at ATL 48Q4, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 18 at ATL 26Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 4 at ATL 37Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 9 at ATL 20Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 1 at CHI 22Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 12 at CHI 42Q3, tied | punt | fgconfident | 1.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 2 at CHI 44Q4, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 7 at CHI 35Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 8 at WAS 29Q1, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 2 at ATL 44Q1, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2022-11-27 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 1 at ATL 47Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 3 at ATL 12Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 6 at WAS 30Q3, down 6 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 11 at ATL 24Q4, down 6 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & 8 at ATL 44Q1, down 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & 20 at PIT 32Q2, down 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & 5 at PIT 33Q2, down 10 | fg | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & 10 at ATL 46Q2, down 10 | punt | golean | 0.2 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & 11 at ATL 36Q3, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & 1 at PIT 36Q4, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | ATL v PIT | 4th & goal at PIT 10Q4, down 6 | fg | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | ATL v NO | 4th & 8 at ATL 27Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | ATL v NO | 4th & 11 at NO 49Q1, down 14 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | ATL v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 10Q2, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2022-12-18 | ATL v NO | 4th & 7 at ATL 18Q2, down 11 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2022-12-18 | ATL v NO | 4th & 10 at NO 47Q2, down 11 | punt | fguncertain | 0.3 |
| 2022-12-18 | ATL v NO | 4th & 15 at ATL 47Q4, down 11 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2022-12-18 | ATL v NO | 4th & 5 at midfieldQ4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 1 at ATL 21Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 16 at ATL 24Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 5 at BAL 44Q1, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 2 at BAL 46Q2, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 1 at midfieldQ3, down 11 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 16Q3, down 11 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 5 at ATL 27Q3, down 8 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & goal at BAL 1Q4, down 11 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | ATL v BAL | 4th & 4 at BAL 18Q4, down 11 | fg | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2023-01-01 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 1 at ARI 19Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 2 at ARI 9Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 13 at ATL 37Q3, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 6 at ATL 41Q3, down 2 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 4 at ATL 39Q3, down 2 | punt | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2023-01-01 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 5 at ARI 9Q4, down 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 20 at ATL 15Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 7 at TB 31Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 2 at ATL 28Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 4 at ATL 31Q2, down 7 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & goal at TB 6Q3, down 7 | fg | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 3 at TB 43Q3, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 4 at TB 41Q4, up 10 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 8 at TB 33Q4, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | ATL v TB | 4th & 12 at midfieldQ4, up 13 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 16 at ATL 19Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 15 at ATL 48Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 1 at ATL 24Q2, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 15 at ATL 30Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 3 at ATL 32Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 5 at CAR 31Q3, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 5 at ATL 40Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 6 at ATL 26Q4, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & goal at GB 6Q1, tied | fg | golean | 1.2 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 4 at GB 41Q2, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 26Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 15 at ATL 20Q3, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 13 at GB 15Q3, down 8 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 4 at GB 6Q4, down 12 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 21Q4, down 5 | fg | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 23Q4, down 2 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | ATL v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 7Q4, down 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 2 at ATL 29Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 28 at ATL 25Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 14 at DET 30Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 9 at ATL 26Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 14 at ATL 21Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 5 at DET 28Q3, down 10 | fg | gouncertain | 0.7 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 7 at ATL 29Q3, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 17 at ATL 28Q3, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & 4 at DET 37Q4, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | ATL v DET | 4th & goal at DET 6Q4, down 17 | fg | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2023-10-01 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 1 at ATL 16Q1, tied | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2023-10-01 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 9 at ATL 26Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 23 at ATL 31Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 2 at ATL 31Q2, down 17 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2023-10-01 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 13 at ATL 49Q3, down 10 | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2023-10-01 | ATL v JAX | 4th & 3 at JAX 6Q4, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | ATL v HOU | 4th & 6 at ATL 15Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | ATL v HOU | 4th & 10 at ATL 41Q1, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | ATL v HOU | 4th & 3 at ATL 32Q2, up 1 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | ATL v HOU | 4th & 16 at HOU 45Q2, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | ATL v HOU | 4th & 17 at HOU 44Q2, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | ATL v HOU | 4th & 11 at HOU 14Q4, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | ATL v HOU | 4th & 3 at HOU 19Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 4 at ATL 29Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 3 at WAS 48Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 13 at WAS 29Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 11 at WAS 49Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 14 at ATL 33Q3, down 14 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 4 at WAS 15Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | ATL v WAS | 4th & 8 at ATL 44Q4, down 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | ATL v TB | 4th & 9 at ATL 26Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | ATL v TB | 4th & goal at TB 5Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2023-10-22 | ATL v TB | 4th & 8 at ATL 32Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 23Q3, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2023-10-22 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at ATL 24Q4, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 8.5 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 8 at TEN 10Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 14 at ATL 11Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 1 at ATL 45Q2, down 4 | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 8 at ATL 9Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 11 at ATL 35Q2, down 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 18 at ATL 4Q2, down 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 2 at TEN 31Q3, down 11 | fg | goconfident | 3.4 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 7 at TEN 21Q3, down 8 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 10 at ATL 20Q4, down 5 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 1 at ATL 34Q4, down 12 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | ATL v TEN | 4th & 1 at ATL 22Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & 15 at ATL 47Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & 7 at MIN 34Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & 14 at MIN 46Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & 8 at MIN 24Q2, up 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & goal at MIN 5Q2, up 5 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & 10 at ATL 38Q2, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & 16 at MIN 36Q3, up 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | ATL v MIN | 4th & 8 at MIN 45Q4, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2023-11-12 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 4 at ATL 44Q1, tied | punt | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2023-11-12 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 6 at ATL 29Q3, up 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 7 at ATL 28Q3, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 13 at ARI 17Q3, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 16 at ATL 10Q3, up 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 1 at ATL 44Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | ATL v ARI | 4th & 1 at ARI 21Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | ATL v NO | 4th & 10 at ATL 35Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | ATL v NO | 4th & 2 at NO 31Q1, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | ATL v NO | 4th & 8 at NO 44Q3, up 5 | punt | fglean | 1.2 |
| 2023-11-26 | ATL v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 21Q4, up 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 14 at ATL 39Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 15 at ATL 40Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 6 at ATL 14Q2, down 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 5 at ATL 30Q2, up 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 10 at NYJ 24Q3, up 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 16 at ATL 23Q3, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 10 at ATL 46Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 5 at ATL 14Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 3 at ATL 19Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | ATL v NYJ | 4th & 9 at ATL 48Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 11Q1, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & goal at TB 2Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 3.4 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 7 at TB 32Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 2 at TB 34Q2, down 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 2 at TB 48Q3, down 2 | punt | goconfident | 2.9 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 10 at ATL 46Q3, down 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 11 at ATL 30Q3, down 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | ATL v TB | 4th & 9 at ATL 48Q3, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2023-12-17 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 3 at CAR 34Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 16 at ATL 28Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 9 at ATL 18Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 10 at ATL 17Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 7 at CAR 42Q2, tied | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2023-12-17 | ATL v CAR | 4th & 8 at CAR 43Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & 1 at ATL 31Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & 3 at ATL 34Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & 1 at IND 27Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & goal at IND 4Q2, tied | fg | golean | 1.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & 9 at IND 23Q4, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & 3 at ATL 45Q4, up 13 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & 7 at IND 17Q4, up 13 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | ATL v IND | 4th & goal at IND 7Q4, up 16 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 9 at CHI 31Q1, tied | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 6 at CHI 24Q1, down 7 | fg | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2023-12-31 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 8 at ATL 30Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 9 at ATL 26Q2, down 14 | punt | golean | 0.4 |
| 2023-12-31 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 7 at CHI 19Q3, down 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 10 at ATL 20Q4, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2023-12-31 | ATL v CHI | 4th & 17 at ATL 18Q4, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 5 at ATL 30Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 6 at ATL 11Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 1 at ATL 34Q3, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2024-01-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & goal at NO 2Q3, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 6 at ATL 29Q4, down 24 | punt | golean | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | ATL v NO | 4th & 15 at ATL 27Q4, down 24 | punt | golean | 0.0 |