Coaches › Head coach
Chris Tabor
Head coach · CAR · 2023–2023
1–5Regular season
0–0Playoffs
1Seasons
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | CAR | 1–5 | 60 | 35.0 | 38.3 | 73.3 | 1.48 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.164 (90% interval −0.250 to −0.090) over 60 decisions. Too few decisions to test.
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 10 at NO 45Q2, down 11 | go | fgconfident | 2.3 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 2 at CAR 33Q3, down 16 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 1 at CAR 32Q2, down 13 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 4 at TB 5Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 4 at ATL 7Q4, down 4 | fg | golean | 0.9 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 9 at CAR 38Q4, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 21Q1, down 3 | go | fglean | 0.6 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 16 at CAR 49Q2, down 4 | go | fgconfident | 0.3 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 3 at CAR 32Q3, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 3 at CAR 30Q2, down 3 | punt | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 5 at TB 38Q3, down 6 | go | fguncertain | 0.2 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 3 at CAR 34Q2, down 4 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 29Q4, down 19 | go | fglean | 0.1 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 1 at CAR 34Q4, down 22 | go | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 13 at NO 35Q4, down 22 | go | puntlean | 0.0 |
Every graded 4th down (60)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at CAR 15Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 4 at TB 5Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 3 at CAR 34Q2, down 4 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at TB 46Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 16 at CAR 34Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 16 at CAR 49Q2, down 4 | go | fgconfident | 0.3 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 11 at CAR 24Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 11 at CAR 19Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at CAR 25Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 19 at CAR 25Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 38Q4, down 11 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at CAR 40Q4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 7 at CAR 18Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 3 at CAR 19Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 8 at NO 29Q2, down 7 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 2 at NO 46Q2, down 11 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 10 at NO 45Q2, down 11 | go | fgconfident | 2.3 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & goal at NO 11Q3, down 11 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 14 at NO 23Q4, down 8 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 1 at NO 36Q4, down 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 10 at CAR 24Q4, down 15 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 1 at CAR 34Q4, down 22 | go | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | CAR v NO | 4th & 13 at NO 35Q4, down 22 | go | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 1 at ATL 33Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 4 at CAR 43Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 13 at CAR 32Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 11 at CAR 30Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 1 at CAR 17Q2, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 15Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 7 at ATL 36Q3, down 4 | go | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 18 at ATL 48Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 4 at ATL 7Q4, down 4 | fg | golean | 0.9 |
| 2023-12-17 | CAR v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 5Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 9 at CAR 33Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 10 at GB 34Q1, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 2 at GB 38Q2, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 1 at CAR 32Q2, down 13 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 38Q3, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | CAR v GB | 4th & 9 at CAR 38Q4, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 3 at JAX 38Q1, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 21Q1, down 3 | go | fglean | 0.6 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 18 at CAR 14Q2, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 23 at CAR 12Q2, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 10 at CAR 25Q2, down 9 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 4 at CAR 48Q2, down 9 | punt | gouncertain | -0.1 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 3 at CAR 32Q3, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 2 at CAR 33Q3, down 16 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 2 at CAR 45Q4, down 19 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 12 at midfieldQ4, down 19 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 29Q4, down 19 | go | fglean | 0.1 |
| 2023-12-31 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 5 at CAR 15Q4, down 19 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 12 at CAR 35Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 7 at CAR 37Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 2 at CAR 29Q2, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 3 at CAR 30Q2, down 3 | punt | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 9 at CAR 21Q2, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 7 at CAR 49Q3, down 6 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 5 at TB 38Q3, down 6 | go | fguncertain | 0.2 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 14 at TB 34Q3, down 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at CAR 46Q4, down 9 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |