Coaches › Head coach
Dave Canales
Head coach · CAR · 2024–2026
16–26Regular season
0–1Playoffs
3Seasons
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CAR | 3–5 | 59 | 30.5 | 42.4 | 78.0 | 1.36 | |
| 2025 | CAR | 8–9 | 0–1 | 128 | 32.8 | 57.8 | 71.9 | 2.21 |
| 2024 | CAR | 5–12 | 125 | 22.4 | 49.6 | 68.0 | 1.71 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.108 (90% interval −0.169 to −0.044) over 312 decisions. Flagged better than expected (Benjamini–Hochberg, 50% false discovery rate).
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 2 at CLE 22Q3, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 4.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 2 at DAL 13Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 3.6 |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR v NO | 4th & 3 at CAR 45Q2, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.2 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 7 at TB 47Q3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2024-10-13 | CAR v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 5Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 9Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.6 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 29Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 20 at LA 39Q4, up 3 | punt | fgconfident | 2.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 2 at CAR 48Q4, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2025-10-05 | CAR v MIA | 4th & 2 at CAR 28Q3, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 2.1 |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR v NO | 4th & 6 at CAR 19Q4, down 5 | punt | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 2 at CAR 43Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 1 at SEA 17Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at CAR 30Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 1 at CAR 32Q4, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
Every graded 4th down (312)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & 6 at CAR 41Q1, down 10 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & 18 at CAR 33Q2, down 17 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & 15 at CAR 10Q2, down 23 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & goal at NO 3Q3, down 34 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & 17 at CAR 25Q4, down 30 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 19Q4, down 37 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & 5 at NO 45Q4, down 37 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | CAR v NO | 4th & 4 at CAR 19Q4, down 37 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 2 at CAR 38Q1, down 6 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 12 at LAC 43Q1, down 6 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 6 at CAR 17Q2, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 5 at CAR 25Q2, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 10 at CAR 35Q2, down 20 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 5 at LAC 20Q3, down 20 | fg | golean | 0.3 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 15 at CAR 25Q3, down 20 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 2 at CAR 25Q3, down 20 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 2 at CAR 45Q4, down 23 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 18 at LAC 43Q4, down 23 | go | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CAR v LAC | 4th & 3 at CAR 26Q4, down 23 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | CAR v LV | 4th & 2 at LV 49Q1, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2024-09-22 | CAR v LV | 4th & 11 at CAR 38Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | CAR v LV | 4th & 5 at CAR 24Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | CAR v LV | 4th & 2 at LV 25Q3, up 14 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | CAR v LV | 4th & 9 at LV 17Q3, up 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | CAR v LV | 4th & 10 at CAR 30Q4, up 18 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | CAR v LV | 4th & 3 at LV 8Q4, up 18 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | CAR v CIN | 4th & goal at CIN 1Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | CAR v CIN | 4th & 3 at CIN 40Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | CAR v CIN | 4th & 2 at CAR 38Q3, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2024-09-29 | CAR v CIN | 4th & 3 at CIN 30Q4, down 10 | fg | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2024-09-29 | CAR v CIN | 4th & 10 at CAR 8Q4, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 5 at CAR 35Q1, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 1 at CHI 42Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 16 at CAR 35Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 5 at CAR 34Q2, down 7 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 3 at CHI 37Q2, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & goal at CHI 9Q3, down 23 | fg | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 14 at CHI 47Q4, down 20 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2024-10-06 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 2 at CHI 8Q4, down 26 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 13 at CAR 32Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 5 at CAR 39Q2, tied | punt | golean | 0.3 |
| 2024-10-13 | CAR v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 5Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.7 |
| 2024-10-13 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 13 at CAR 37Q2, down 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 12 at ATL 22Q3, down 8 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 4 at CAR 37Q4, down 15 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | CAR v WAS | 4th & 4 at CAR 41Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2024-10-20 | CAR v WAS | 4th & 9 at CAR 12Q2, down 10 | punt | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2024-10-20 | CAR v WAS | 4th & 1 at CAR 40Q2, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | CAR v WAS | 4th & 10 at CAR 48Q2, down 20 | punt | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2024-10-20 | CAR v WAS | 4th & 9 at CAR 25Q3, down 34 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | CAR v WAS | 4th & 11 at CAR 29Q4, down 33 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 6 at CAR 5Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 9 at CAR 31Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 2 at CAR 49Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 9 at CAR 31Q2, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 11 at CAR 29Q3, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 5 at DEN 25Q3, down 21 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 18 at CAR 17Q4, down 21 | punt | golean | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 6 at CAR 43Q4, down 21 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR v NO | 4th & 12 at CAR 43Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR v NO | 4th & 3 at NO 45Q1, down 6 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR v NO | 4th & 7 at NO 47Q2, down 6 | punt | golean | -0.1 |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR v NO | 4th & 12 at NO 30Q2, down 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR v NO | 4th & 13 at CAR 22Q3, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR v NO | 4th & 6 at CAR 19Q4, down 5 | punt | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 4 at CAR 34Q1, tied | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 8 at NYG 35Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 10 at CAR 33Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 4 at CAR 16Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 9 at CAR 48Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 7 at midfieldQ3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 2 at CAR 17Q4, up 3 | punt | golean | 1.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 10 at CAR 32Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | CAR v NYG | 4th & 5 at NYG 18QOT, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 9 at KC 12Q1, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 10 at KC 13Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 10 at CAR 30Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 10 at KC 11Q2, down 14 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 1 at KC 2Q3, down 11 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 5 at KC 15Q4, down 11 | fg | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 12 at CAR 23Q4, down 8 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR v KC | 4th & 3 at KC 42Q4, down 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 5 at CAR 35Q1, tied | punt | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at CAR 30Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 29Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.5 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 4 at TB 19Q2, down 4 | fg | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 3 at TB 27Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 3 at TB 8Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 7 at TB 47Q3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 4 at CAR 18Q3, up 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & goal at TB 4Q3, up 3 | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2024-12-01 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at CAR 30Q4, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 15 at CAR 32Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 14 at CAR 45Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 7 at PHI 20Q1, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & goal at PHI 3Q2, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 2 at PHI 11Q3, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 2 at PHI 27Q4, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 7 at CAR 49Q4, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 9 at PHI 37Q4, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 10 at CAR 18Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 14 at CAR 27Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 4 at CAR 36Q3, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2024-12-15 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 21 at CAR 20Q3, down 17 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 7 at CAR 48Q4, down 20 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 1 at ARI 21Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 1 at ARI 5Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 5 at CAR 25Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 4 at ARI 11Q3, up 3 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 7 at ARI 43Q3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 15 at CAR 25Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 8 at CAR 44Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 7 at CAR 33QOT, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | CAR v TB | 4th & 19 at CAR 21Q2, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at CAR 30Q2, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | CAR v TB | 4th & 7 at CAR 28Q2, down 13 | punt | gouncertain | -0.1 |
| 2024-12-29 | CAR v TB | 4th & 16 at CAR 42Q3, down 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at CAR 30Q3, down 20 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2024-12-29 | CAR v TB | 4th & 12 at CAR 39Q3, down 27 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | CAR v TB | 4th & 11 at TB 39Q4, down 34 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 8 at ATL 17Q1, down 3 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 4 at CAR 36Q2, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 5 at CAR 35Q3, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.3 |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 1 at ATL 12Q3, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 10 at CAR 30Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 5 at JAX 30Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2025-09-07 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 8 at JAX 39Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2025-09-07 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 1 at JAX 5Q3, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 13 at CAR 37Q3, down 17 | punt | golean | 0.2 |
| 2025-09-07 | CAR v JAX | 4th & 5 at JAX 33Q3, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | CAR v ARI | 4th & goal at ARI 9Q1, down 10 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 13 at ARI 45Q2, down 7 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 7 at CAR 14Q2, down 10 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 1 at CAR 44Q3, down 24 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 1 at ARI 5Q4, down 18 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 16 at CAR 30Q4, down 12 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | CAR v ARI | 4th & 15 at ARI 38Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 3 at ATL 39Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 12 at ATL 47Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 7 at ATL 39Q2, up 7 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 16 at CAR 25Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 10 at CAR 42Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 9 at ATL 17Q3, up 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 1Q4, up 20 | go | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 3 at ATL 23Q4, up 27 | fg | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 8 at NE 43Q1, up 6 | punt | golean | 1.3 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 11 at NE 41Q1, down 1 | punt | fglean | 0.9 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 16 at NE 37Q2, down 8 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 13 at CAR 22Q2, down 15 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 10 at CAR 46Q2, down 22 | punt | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 5 at NE 35Q3, down 29 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 6 at CAR 5Q3, down 29 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & 2 at NE 41Q4, down 36 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | CAR v NE | 4th & goal at NE 2Q4, down 36 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | CAR v MIA | 4th & 5 at MIA 48Q2, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | CAR v MIA | 4th & 24 at MIA 31Q3, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | CAR v MIA | 4th & 7 at CAR 28Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | CAR v MIA | 4th & 2 at CAR 28Q3, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 2.1 |
| 2025-10-05 | CAR v MIA | 4th & 6 at CAR 29Q4, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | CAR v MIA | 4th & 5 at MIA 33Q4, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 2 at DAL 13Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 3.6 |
| 2025-10-12 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 10 at DAL 37Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 11 at CAR 32Q3, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 12 at CAR 16Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | CAR v DAL | 4th & 4 at DAL 40Q4, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 5 at NYJ 12Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 1 at CAR 49Q2, up 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 9 at CAR 47Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 16 at CAR 42Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 3 at NYJ 45Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 1 at NYJ 40Q3, up 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 6 at NYJ 11Q3, up 7 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 24 at CAR 11Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 1 at NYJ 38Q4, up 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 19 at NYJ 43Q4, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 11 at CAR 34Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | CAR v NYJ | 4th & 2 at CAR 48Q4, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2025-10-26 | CAR v BUF | 4th & 15 at CAR 26Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | CAR v BUF | 4th & 7 at BUF 30Q2, down 6 | fg | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2025-10-26 | CAR v BUF | 4th & 7 at CAR 30Q2, down 9 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2025-10-26 | CAR v BUF | 4th & goal at BUF 14Q2, down 16 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | CAR v BUF | 4th & 25 at CAR 32Q3, down 23 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | CAR v BUF | 4th & 10 at BUF 35Q4, down 37 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | CAR v BUF | 4th & 3 at CAR 26Q4, down 31 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | CAR v GB | 4th & 10 at CAR 27Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | CAR v GB | 4th & 1 at CAR 41Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | CAR v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 6Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | CAR v GB | 4th & 4 at GB 49Q3, up 1 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2025-11-02 | CAR v GB | 4th & 10 at CAR 26Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR v NO | 4th & 5 at CAR 47Q1, up 4 | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR v NO | 4th & 22 at CAR 35Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR v NO | 4th & 3 at CAR 45Q2, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.2 |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR v NO | 4th & 7 at CAR 16Q2, down 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR v NO | 4th & 7 at NO 30Q3, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR v NO | 4th & 2 at NO 42Q4, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 2 at ATL 42Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 14 at CAR 46Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 21 at CAR 9Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 4 at ATL 11Q2, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 1 at ATL 8Q3, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 6 at ATL 16Q3, down 5 | fg | golean | 0.4 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 14 at CAR 41Q4, down 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 1 at CAR 33Q4, down 2 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 1 at CAR 44Q4, down 2 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 4 at CAR 41Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 5 at ATL 10QOT, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-24 | CAR v SF | 4th & 3 at CAR 42Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2025-11-24 | CAR v SF | 4th & 2 at CAR 28Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2025-11-24 | CAR v SF | 4th & goal at SF 7Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2025-11-24 | CAR v SF | 4th & 14 at CAR 21Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-24 | CAR v SF | 4th & 6 at CAR 48Q3, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2025-11-24 | CAR v SF | 4th & 8 at SF 39Q4, down 11 | fg | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 3 at CAR 27Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 1 at LA 24Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 6 at LA 14Q2, tied | fg | gouncertain | 0.9 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 10 at LA 48Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 3 at LA 33Q3, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 20 at LA 39Q4, up 3 | punt | fgconfident | 2.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR v LA | 4th & 2 at LA 43Q4, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 13 at CAR 39Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 3 at NO 42Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 11 at NO 22Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 1 at CAR 42Q4, up 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 1 at NO 35Q4, up 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 1 at CAR 32Q4, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR v NO | 4th & 7 at CAR 43Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 9Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.6 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 20 at CAR 41Q1, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 2 at CAR 43Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at TB 23Q2, down 7 | fg | gouncertain | 0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 12 at CAR 44Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR v TB | 4th & 7 at TB 30Q4, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 9 at CAR 47Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 5 at CAR 25Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 9 at CAR 36Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 1 at SEA 48Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 4 at SEA 41Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 1 at SEA 17Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 1 at CAR 40Q3, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR v SEA | 4th & 17 at CAR 20Q4, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 10 at midfieldQ1, down 7 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 13 at TB 48Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at CAR 44Q3, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 12 at TB 36Q3, down 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 12 at CAR 22Q3, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR v TB | 4th & 8 at TB 48Q4, down 9 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-10 | CAR v LA | 4th & 1 at CAR 45Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-10 | CAR v LA | 4th & 9 at CAR 33Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-10 | CAR v LA | 4th & 2 at CAR 32Q2, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2026-01-10 | CAR v LA | 4th & 3 at LA 28Q3, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2026-01-10 | CAR v LA | 4th & 4 at LA 48Q3, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-10 | CAR v LA | 4th & 13 at CAR 32Q4, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-10 | CAR v LA | 4th & 10 at CAR 28Q4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 13 at CAR 37Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 4 at CAR 23Q2, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 10 at CHI 26Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 5 at CAR 39Q3, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR v CHI | 4th & 3 at CHI 39Q3, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 3Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 15 at CAR 39Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 12 at ATL 19Q1, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 16 at CAR 27Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 6 at ATL 7Q2, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 2Q3, up 24 | go | fglean | 0.2 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 6 at CAR 22Q4, up 31 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR v ATL | 4th & 13 at CAR 40Q4, up 31 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 17 at CAR 33Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 2 at CAR 44Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 3 at CLE 43Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 1 at CAR 40Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & goal at CLE 17Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 2 at CLE 22Q3, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 14 at CLE 45Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 7 at CLE 35Q3, down 4 | fg | gouncertain | 0.8 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 6 at CLE 19Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR v CLE | 4th & 16 at CAR 16Q4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR v DET | 4th & 12 at CAR 45Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR v DET | 4th & 4 at DET 42Q2, up 1 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR v DET | 4th & 10 at DET 29Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR v DET | 4th & 4 at DET 37Q4, up 10 | go | fguncertain | -0.2 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR v DET | 4th & 10 at DET 14Q4, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR v DET | 4th & 7 at CAR 15Q4, up 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR v DET | 4th & 11 at CAR 49Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 4 at PHI 29Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 12 at CAR 39Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 1 at CAR 42Q1, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 10 at PHI 45Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 10 at PHI 34Q3, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 6 at CAR 46Q3, up 6 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 1 at PHI 31Q3, up 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR v PHI | 4th & 8 at CAR 13Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | CAR v TB | 4th & 6 at CAR 44Q1, down 7 | punt | gouncertain | -0.1 |
| 2026-10-25 | CAR v TB | 4th & 30 at CAR 18Q3, down 27 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | CAR v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 5Q3, down 30 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | CAR v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 39Q4, down 30 | go | puntuncertain | -0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 14 at GB 21Q1, tied | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 6 at CAR 16Q1, up 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 9Q1, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 9 at CAR 38Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 15 at CAR 20Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 2 at midfieldQ3, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 17 at GB 32Q3, down 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 13 at CAR 33Q4, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 3 at GB 26Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR v GB | 4th & 5 at midfieldQ4, down 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 7 at CAR 34Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 9 at CAR 27Q1, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 6 at DEN 25Q2, down 10 | fg | golean | 0.6 |
| 2026-11-08 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 35Q2, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 18 at CAR 19Q4, down 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 40Q4, down 12 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CAR v DEN | 4th & 18 at DEN 34Q4, down 12 | go | golean | 0.0 |