Red Zone Math

Coaches › Head coach

Hue Jackson

Head coach · LV/CLE · 2011–2018

11–44–1Regular season
0–0Playoffs
4Seasons

Season by season

4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).

SeasonTeamRecordPlayoffs4th-down
decisions
Went for it %Model said
go %
Agrees with
model %
WP lost
per game
2018CLE2–5–17014.345.761.46.06
2017CLE0–16–––––
2016CLE1–15–––––
2011LV8–8–––––

4th-down rating

WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.020 (90% interval −0.129 to +0.076) over 70 decisions. Too few decisions to test.

How every coach compares

Biggest disagreements with the model

Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.

DateGameSituationCallModelWP lost
(pts)
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 5 at BAL 39QOT, tiedgofgconfident11.9
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 10 at TB 45QOT, tiedpuntgolean4.9
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 5 at CLE 45QOT, tiedpuntgolean3.1
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 1 at CLE 34Q4, up 3puntgoconfident2.7
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 4 at NYJ 45Q3, down 11puntgoconfident2.5
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 8 at LAC 38Q1, down 7puntgoconfident2.2
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 4 at TB 49Q2, down 14puntgoconfident2.2
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 6 at CLE 29QOT, tiedpuntgolean1.8
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 6 at LAC 15Q2, down 7fggoconfident1.7
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 11 at LAC 40Q2, down 4puntfguncertain1.5
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 1 at CLE 41Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident1.4
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 3 at LV 10Q3, up 3fggoconfident1.2
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 6 at CLE 35Q2, tiedpuntgoconfident0.9
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 2 at NYJ 35Q4, up 4puntgolean0.8
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 2 at NYJ 27Q2, down 14fggolean0.7
Every graded 4th down (70)

Every graded 4th down

DateGameSituationCallModelWP lost
(pts)
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 1 at CLE 41Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident1.4
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 7 at NO 21Q1, tiedfgfguncertain0.0
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 6 at CLE 35Q2, tiedpuntgoconfident0.9
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 1 at NO 37Q2, tiedgogoconfident0.0
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 10 at NO 21Q2, tiedfgfgconfident0.0
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 6 at NO 26Q4, up 9fgfgconfident0.0
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 13 at CLE 22Q4, up 2puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-16CLE v NO4th & 5 at NO 47Q4, down 6gogoconfident0.0
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 8 at CLE 27Q1, tiedpuntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 6 at NYJ 48Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident0.4
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 12 at NYJ 41Q1, tiedpuntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 7 at CLE 31Q1, tiedpuntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 15 at CLE 20Q2, down 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 18 at NYJ 41Q2, down 14puntfguncertain0.4
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 2 at NYJ 27Q2, down 14fggolean0.7
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 4 at NYJ 45Q3, down 11puntgoconfident2.5
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & goal at NYJ 8Q3, down 11fggouncertain0.4
2018-09-20CLE v NYJ4th & 2 at NYJ 35Q4, up 4puntgolean0.8
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 8 at CLE 30Q1, tiedpuntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 6 at LV 39Q1, down 7gogoconfident0.0
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & goal at LV 7Q1, down 7fggouncertain0.5
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 2 at CLE 40Q2, up 3puntpuntuncertain0.0
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 3 at LV 10Q3, up 3fggoconfident1.2
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 11 at CLE 18Q3, up 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 9 at CLE 21Q3, up 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 10 at CLE 25Q4, down 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 1 at CLE 18Q4, up 8puntgoconfident0.7
2018-09-30CLE v LV4th & 5 at CLE 45QOT, tiedpuntgolean3.1
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 17 at BAL 44Q1, down 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 11 at CLE 4Q2, down 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 10 at CLE 29Q2, down 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 6 at CLE 14Q2, down 3puntpuntuncertain0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 9 at CLE 43Q3, up 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & goal at BAL 17Q3, up 3fgfgconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 1 at CLE 34Q4, up 3puntgoconfident2.7
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 9 at CLE 32Q4, up 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 12 at CLE 23Q4, up 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 10 at BAL 37Q4, tiedfgfgconfident0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 4 at CLE 31QOT, tiedpuntgouncertain-0.0
2018-10-07CLE v BAL4th & 5 at BAL 39QOT, tiedgofgconfident11.9
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 12 at CLE 35Q1, tiedpuntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 8 at LAC 38Q1, down 7puntgoconfident2.2
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 1 at LAC 45Q1, down 7gogoconfident0.0
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 16 at LAC 40Q1, down 7puntfglean-0.1
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 6 at LAC 15Q2, down 7fggoconfident1.7
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 11 at LAC 40Q2, down 4puntfguncertain1.5
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 2 at LAC 23Q2, down 11gogoconfident0.0
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 7 at CLE 36Q3, down 22puntgoconfident0.3
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 8 at CLE 40Q3, down 29puntgoconfident0.1
2018-10-14CLE v LAC4th & 5 at LAC 43Q4, down 24gogouncertain0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 15 at CLE 44Q1, tiedpuntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 8 at CLE 21Q1, up 2puntpuntuncertain0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 8 at CLE 27Q1, down 1puntgouncertain-0.1
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 8 at CLE 37Q2, down 7puntpuntuncertain0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 4 at TB 49Q2, down 14puntgoconfident2.2
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 16 at CLE 19Q2, down 14puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 2 at TB 11Q2, down 14gogoconfident0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 11 at CLE 33Q3, down 7puntpuntlean0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & goal at TB 1Q4, down 7gogoconfident0.0
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 6 at CLE 29QOT, tiedpuntgolean1.8
2018-10-21CLE v TB4th & 10 at TB 45QOT, tiedpuntgolean4.9
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 6 at PIT 16Q1, tiedfgfguncertain0.0
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 17 at CLE 33Q1, up 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 12 at PIT 27Q1, up 3fgfgconfident0.0
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 8 at PIT 23Q2, up 6fgfgconfident0.0
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 9 at CLE 30Q3, down 8puntgouncertain-0.1
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 14 at CLE 17Q3, down 11puntpuntconfident0.0
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 16 at CLE 18Q4, down 14puntpuntuncertain0.0
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 9 at CLE 19Q4, down 14puntgoconfident0.4
2018-10-28CLE v PIT4th & 6 at PIT 24Q4, down 21gogoconfident0.0