Coaches › Head coach
Jerod Mayo
Head coach · NE · 2024–2024
4–13Regular season
0–0Playoffs
1Seasons
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NE | 4–13 | 124 | 18.5 | 39.5 | 71.8 | 1.69 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.037 (90% interval −0.121 to +0.067) over 124 decisions. Not separable from average.
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-22 | NE v BUF | 4th & 1 at NE 34Q2, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 5.4 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 1 at NE 39QOT, tied | punt | goconfident | 4.3 |
| 2024-12-01 | NE v IND | 4th & 4 at IND 36Q2, down 1 | fg | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 1 at NE 34Q3, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & 3 at LA 13Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 1 at NE 39Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2024-12-22 | NE v BUF | 4th & 5 at NE 46Q4, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 17 at NE 33Q4, down 7 | punt | golean | 1.1 |
| 2024-10-20 | NE v JAX | 4th & 7 at NE 42Q2, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & goal at NYJ 5Q4, down 2 | fg | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 8 at SEA 11Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 2 at NE 37Q2, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & 5 at LA 23Q4, down 9 | fg | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & 18 at LA 42Q2, up 7 | punt | fgconfident | 0.8 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 4 at NE 36Q3, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
Every graded 4th down (124)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 8 at NE 45Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 9 at NE 18Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 12 at CIN 14Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 4 at NE 36Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 3 at CIN 17Q3, up 10 | fg | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 3 at NE 42Q3, up 13 | punt | gouncertain | 0.5 |
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 2 at CIN 18Q4, up 6 | fg | golean | 0.3 |
| 2024-09-08 | NE v CIN | 4th & 7 at NE 45Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 11 at NE 29Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 8 at SEA 11Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 9 at SEA 10Q2, down 4 | fg | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 8 at NE 10Q2, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 1 at NE 34Q3, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 16 at NE 33Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 15 at SEA 30Q4, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 3 at NE 37Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | NE v SEA | 4th & 1 at NE 39QOT, tied | punt | goconfident | 4.3 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 9 at NE 21Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 15 at NE 41Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 11 at NYJ 26Q2, down 14 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 4 at NE 36Q3, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 26 at NYJ 45Q3, down 18 | punt | fgconfident | 0.2 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 17 at NE 38Q4, down 21 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 2 at midfieldQ4, down 21 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 8 at NYJ 33Q4, down 21 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-19 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 10 at NYJ 22Q4, down 21 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 8 at SF 46Q1, tied | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 1 at SF 20Q2, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 7 at NE 33Q2, down 20 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 16 at SF 45Q2, down 20 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 1 at SF 5Q3, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 12 at NE 49Q3, down 17 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 16 at NE 35Q3, down 17 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 8 at SF 36Q4, down 17 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | NE v SF | 4th & 4 at NE 37Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 15 at NE 25Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 10 at NE 31Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 14 at MIA 15Q2, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 2 at NE 13Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 5 at NE 47Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 8 at MIA 20Q3, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 3 at NE 37Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 8 at MIA 43Q4, up 1 | punt | fguncertain | 0.1 |
| 2024-10-06 | NE v MIA | 4th & 15 at MIA 17Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 9 at NE 24Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 18 at NE 33Q2, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 8 at NE 48Q2, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 12 at NE 20Q2, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 9 at NE 27Q3, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 21 at NE 30Q4, down 20 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 5 at HOU 39Q4, down 20 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | NE v HOU | 4th & 3 at HOU 26Q4, down 20 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | NE v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 22Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | NE v JAX | 4th & 7 at NE 42Q2, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2024-10-20 | NE v JAX | 4th & 10 at NE 30Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | NE v JAX | 4th & 3 at NE 37Q2, down 12 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2024-10-20 | NE v JAX | 4th & 6 at NE 44Q3, down 15 | punt | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2024-10-20 | NE v JAX | 4th & 26 at NE 10Q4, down 9 | go | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 5 at NE 35Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 12 at NE 36Q2, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 5 at NE 35Q2, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 25 at NE 26Q3, down 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & 7 at NE 12Q3, down 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & goal at NYJ 5Q4, down 2 | fg | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | NE v NYJ | 4th & goal at NYJ 1Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 9 at TEN 38Q1, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 3 at NE 27Q1, down 7 | punt | gouncertain | -0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 9 at TEN 34Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 2 at NE 37Q2, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 11 at NE 29Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 17 at NE 33Q4, down 7 | punt | golean | 1.1 |
| 2024-11-03 | NE v TEN | 4th & 2 at TEN 15Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 4 at NE 36Q1, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 1 at CHI 18Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 6 at CHI 12Q1, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 7 at NE 15Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 8 at NE 39Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 6 at NE 25Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 7 at NE 41Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 5 at CHI 7Q4, up 10 | fg | gouncertain | -0.1 |
| 2024-11-10 | NE v CHI | 4th & 2 at CHI 15Q4, up 13 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & 13 at LA 44Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & 18 at LA 42Q2, up 7 | punt | fgconfident | 0.8 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & 3 at LA 13Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & goal at LA 7Q3, down 11 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | NE v LA | 4th & 5 at LA 23Q4, down 9 | fg | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 1 at NE 39Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 13 at MIA 27Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 25 at NE 15Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 9 at NE 31Q2, down 14 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 20 at NE 20Q2, down 21 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 17 at MIA 48Q3, down 24 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 15 at MIA 38Q4, down 31 | go | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 4 at NE 38Q4, down 24 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | NE v MIA | 4th & 3 at MIA 47Q4, down 19 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | NE v IND | 4th & goal at IND 16Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | NE v IND | 4th & goal at IND 13Q1, down 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | NE v IND | 4th & 4 at IND 36Q2, down 1 | fg | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | NE v IND | 4th & 6 at IND 7Q2, up 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | NE v IND | 4th & 13 at NE 45Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | NE v ARI | 4th & 6 at ARI 34Q1, tied | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | NE v ARI | 4th & 8 at NE 32Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | NE v ARI | 4th & 8 at NE 32Q2, down 10 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | NE v ARI | 4th & 1 at NE 44Q2, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | NE v ARI | 4th & 8 at ARI 32Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | NE v ARI | 4th & 1 at ARI 4Q3, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | NE v BUF | 4th & 1 at NE 36Q2, up 7 | punt | golean | 0.3 |
| 2024-12-22 | NE v BUF | 4th & 1 at NE 34Q2, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 5.4 |
| 2024-12-22 | NE v BUF | 4th & 5 at NE 46Q4, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2024-12-22 | NE v BUF | 4th & 1 at NE 45Q4, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-28 | NE v LAC | 4th & 6 at NE 41Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-28 | NE v LAC | 4th & 8 at NE 32Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-28 | NE v LAC | 4th & 9 at NE 31Q3, down 13 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2024-12-28 | NE v LAC | 4th & 2 at NE 38Q3, down 20 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-28 | NE v LAC | 4th & 7 at LAC 31Q3, down 23 | go | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-28 | NE v LAC | 4th & 10 at NE 28Q4, down 30 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-28 | NE v LAC | 4th & 6 at NE 21Q4, down 30 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | NE v BUF | 4th & 22 at NE 18Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | NE v BUF | 4th & 1 at BUF 19Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | NE v BUF | 4th & 17 at BUF 41Q2, up 4 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | NE v BUF | 4th & 10 at BUF 23Q3, down 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | NE v BUF | 4th & goal at BUF 24Q4, up 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | NE v BUF | 4th & 8 at NE 46Q4, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | NE v BUF | 4th & 7 at BUF 31Q4, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |