Coaches › Head coach
Kevin O'Connell
Head coach · MIN · 2022–2026
49–27Regular season
0–2Playoffs
5Seasons
2024AP Coach of the Year
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | MIN | 6–2 | 65 | 12.3 | 41.5 | 69.2 | 4.11 | |
| 2025 | MIN | 9–8 | 122 | 19.7 | 42.6 | 70.5 | 2.19 | |
| 2024 | MIN | 14–3 | 0–1 | 117 | 14.5 | 35.9 | 75.2 | 2.28 |
| 2023 | MIN | 7–10 | 116 | 22.4 | 46.6 | 74.1 | 3.11 | |
| 2022 | MIN | 13–4 | 0–1 | 125 | 15.2 | 44.0 | 68.0 | 2.13 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: +0.032 (90% interval −0.021 to +0.089) over 544 decisions. Not separable from average.
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 5 at MIN 33Q4, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 6.1 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & goal at GB 2Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 5.3 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 2 at MIN 48Q3, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 4.7 |
| 2023-10-23 | MIN v SF | 4th & goal at SF 2Q3, up 9 | fg | goconfident | 4.7 |
| 2024-10-20 | MIN v DET | 4th & 4 at MIN 28Q4, up 1 | punt | goconfident | 4.3 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 48Q2, up 4 | punt | goconfident | 4.2 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 1 at BUF 25Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 4.2 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 1Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 4.1 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 6 at DET 33Q3, down 4 | fg | goconfident | 3.7 |
| 2024-09-15 | MIN v SF | 4th & goal at SF 4Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 3.7 |
| 2023-12-24 | MIN v DET | 4th & 2 at MIN 33Q3, down 2 | punt | goconfident | 3.4 |
| 2023-09-10 | MIN v TB | 4th & 7 at MIN 28Q4, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.3 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 3 at MIN 33Q4, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 3.2 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 5 at WAS 7Q4, down 10 | fg | goconfident | 3.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 1 at MIN 28Q4, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 3.0 |
Every graded 4th down (545)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 5Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 15 at MIN 10Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 2 at MIN 35Q2, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 10Q2, up 7 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 9 at MIN 31Q2, up 17 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 15 at GB 38Q3, up 17 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 2 at MIN 45Q3, up 13 | punt | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & goal at GB 10Q4, up 13 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-11 | MIN v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 48Q4, up 16 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 5 at MIN 30Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2022-09-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 5 at MIN 44Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2022-09-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 2 at MIN 34Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2022-09-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 10 at MIN 37Q2, down 14 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2022-09-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 22 at MIN 37Q4, down 17 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 10 at DET 38Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 5 at MIN 35Q1, down 7 | punt | gouncertain | -0.6 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 6 at DET 45Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 8 at MIN 28Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 12 at DET 38Q3, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 3 at MIN 33Q4, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 3.2 |
| 2022-09-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 8 at MIN 47Q4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & 14 at NO 45Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & 10 at MIN 43Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & 1 at NO 10Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & 8 at NO 18Q2, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & 9 at MIN 16Q3, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & goal at NO 6Q3, up 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & 14 at NO 27Q4, up 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | MIN v NO | 4th & 10 at NO 29Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-09 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 11 at MIN 45Q2, up 18 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-09 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 10 at CHI 33Q3, up 5 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 2 at MIN 33Q1, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 9 at MIN 7Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 7 at MIN 23Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 7 at MIN 19Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 4 at MIN 48Q2, up 4 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 22 at MIA 45Q3, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 5 at MIN 46Q3, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 17 at MIN 44Q3, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 1 at MIN 34Q4, up 6 | punt | goconfident | 2.4 |
| 2022-10-16 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 3 at MIA 41Q4, up 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2022-10-30 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 2 at ARI 38Q1, up 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 3 at MIN 23Q2, up 11 | punt | golean | 0.4 |
| 2022-10-30 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 22 at MIN 13Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 4 at MIN 31Q4, up 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 14 at MIN 32Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 3 at MIN 48Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 20 at MIN 6Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 7 at MIN 34Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 7 at MIN 47Q2, up 7 | punt | golean | 0.3 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 2 at MIN 14Q2, up 7 | punt | gouncertain | -0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 11 at MIN 41Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 13 at MIN 35Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 5 at WAS 7Q4, down 10 | fg | goconfident | 3.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | MIN v WAS | 4th & goal at WAS 10Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 1 at MIN 34Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & goal at BUF 9Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 1 at BUF 28Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 8 at MIN 27Q2, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 15 at MIN 32Q3, down 14 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 1 at MIN 43Q4, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 6 at MIN 49Q4, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 18 at MIN 27Q4, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & goal at BUF 1Q4, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | MIN v BUF | 4th & goal at BUF 15QOT, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 2 at DAL 6Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 9 at MIN 41Q2, down 7 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 7 at MIN 28Q2, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 23 at MIN 38Q2, down 17 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 29 at MIN 6Q3, down 27 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 15 at MIN 25Q3, down 34 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 23 at MIN 31Q3, down 34 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 2 at MIN 44Q4, down 37 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-24 | MIN v NE | 4th & 1 at MIN 30Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2022-11-24 | MIN v NE | 4th & 8 at NE 12Q2, down 3 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-24 | MIN v NE | 4th & 17 at NE 18Q4, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-24 | MIN v NE | 4th & 14 at MIN 45Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-24 | MIN v NE | 4th & 9 at MIN 40Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 9 at NYJ 33Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 3 at NYJ 47Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 2 at NYJ 49Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 3 at NYJ 23Q2, up 14 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 4 at MIN 31Q3, up 14 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 20 at MIN 31Q3, up 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 12 at MIN 23Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 6 at MIN 29Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 9 at MIN 3Q4, up 5 | punt | safetyuncertain | 1.2 |
| 2022-12-11 | MIN v DET | 4th & 1 at MIN 46Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | MIN v DET | 4th & 9 at DET 48Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2022-12-11 | MIN v DET | 4th & 1 at MIN 19Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2022-12-11 | MIN v DET | 4th & 6 at MIN 29Q3, down 7 | punt | gouncertain | -0.1 |
| 2022-12-11 | MIN v DET | 4th & 4 at DET 23Q3, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | MIN v DET | 4th & 17 at DET 23Q4, down 15 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 6 at MIN 34Q1, down 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 1 at MIN 31Q1, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 8 at MIN 25Q2, down 23 | punt | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 10 at MIN 36Q2, down 30 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 18 at MIN 15Q3, down 33 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 15 at IND 45Q4, down 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 1 at MIN 35Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-17 | MIN v IND | 4th & 10 at IND 39QOT, tied | punt | fguncertain | 1.4 |
| 2022-12-24 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 11 at MIN 48Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 10 at MIN 23Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 9 at NYG 22Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 1 at MIN 34Q2, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2022-12-24 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 7 at MIN 44Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 2 at NYG 44Q4, up 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-24 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 8 at MIN 27Q4, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & 4 at MIN 39Q1, tied | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & goal at GB 2Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 5.3 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & 3 at MIN 32Q1, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & 2 at GB 37Q1, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & 10 at GB 28Q1, down 11 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 32Q2, down 21 | fg | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2023-01-01 | MIN v GB | 4th & 3 at MIN 28Q4, down 31 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 9 at CHI 10Q2, up 13 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 15 at CHI 32Q4, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at CHI 23Q4, up 13 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 7 at MIN 39Q4, up 16 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 3 at MIN 32Q1, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 3 at MIN 47Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2023-01-15 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 2 at NYG 43Q3, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 5 at NYG 20Q4, down 3 | fg | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2023-01-15 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 11 at MIN 22Q4, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2023-01-15 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 8 at MIN 48Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | MIN v TB | 4th & 7 at MIN 28Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | MIN v TB | 4th & 2 at MIN 25Q1, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2023-09-10 | MIN v TB | 4th & goal at TB 7Q2, up 4 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | MIN v TB | 4th & 1 at MIN 23Q2, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2023-09-10 | MIN v TB | 4th & 7 at MIN 23Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | MIN v TB | 4th & 7 at MIN 28Q4, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.3 |
| 2023-09-14 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 9 at MIN 41Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-14 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 15 at MIN 20Q3, down 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-14 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 4 at MIN 36Q3, down 13 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2023-09-14 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 3 at MIN 42Q4, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 11 at MIN 47Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & goal at LAC 5Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 2 at MIN 48Q3, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 4.7 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 10 at LAC 46Q3, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 6 at LAC 36Q3, down 11 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & goal at LAC 2Q4, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 5 at LAC 15Q4, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | MIN v CAR | 4th & 3 at MIN 30Q1, down 7 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2023-10-01 | MIN v CAR | 4th & 2 at MIN 44Q2, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | MIN v CAR | 4th & 13 at MIN 27Q2, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | MIN v CAR | 4th & 8 at MIN 23Q3, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | MIN v CAR | 4th & 2 at MIN 28Q4, up 8 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2023-10-01 | MIN v CAR | 4th & 3 at MIN 30Q4, up 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | MIN v KC | 4th & 5 at KC 43Q1, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | MIN v KC | 4th & 7 at KC 22Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | MIN v KC | 4th & 4 at KC 11Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.9 |
| 2023-10-08 | MIN v KC | 4th & 7 at MIN 28Q3, down 7 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | MIN v KC | 4th & 6 at KC 19Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | MIN v KC | 4th & 12 at KC 24Q4, down 7 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-08 | MIN v KC | 4th & 1 at MIN 28Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at CHI 39Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 7 at CHI 35Q1, tied | fg | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 8 at CHI 33Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 12 at MIN 37Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 5 at MIN 30Q3, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at MIN 14Q3, up 6 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 9 at CHI 39Q3, up 13 | fg | puntlean | 0.1 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 8 at MIN 34Q4, up 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 7 at MIN 28Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-23 | MIN v SF | 4th & goal at SF 3Q2, up 7 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-23 | MIN v SF | 4th & goal at SF 2Q3, up 9 | fg | goconfident | 4.7 |
| 2023-10-23 | MIN v SF | 4th & 5 at SF 36Q3, up 5 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-23 | MIN v SF | 4th & 4 at SF 42Q4, up 5 | punt | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2023-10-23 | MIN v SF | 4th & 6 at SF 32Q4, up 5 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 24Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2023-10-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 3 at GB 7Q2, up 7 | fg | gouncertain | 0.6 |
| 2023-10-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 3 at MIN 45Q2, up 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2023-10-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 12Q3, up 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 23 at GB 26Q4, up 14 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 5 at MIN 29Q4, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 2 at MIN 16Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 1Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 4.1 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 9 at ATL 14Q3, down 4 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 5 at MIN 30Q3, down 8 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 10 at ATL 13Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 5 at midfieldQ4, up 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 7 at ATL 34Q4, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 4 at NO 22Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 4 at MIN 26Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 7 at NO 15Q3, up 21 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 1 at MIN 34Q3, up 16 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 3 at NO 36Q4, up 16 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 16 at NO 44Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 12 at MIN 45Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 12 at MIN 16Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | MIN v NO | 4th & 1 at MIN 22Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & 8 at DEN 47Q1, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & goal at DEN 16Q2, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 48Q2, up 4 | punt | goconfident | 4.2 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 29Q4, up 2 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & 10 at DEN 12Q4, up 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & 1 at MIN 34Q4, down 1 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN v DEN | 4th & 25 at MIN 21Q4, down 1 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 17 at MIN 31Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 6 at MIN 35Q2, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 13 at CHI 16Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 7 at MIN 49Q3, tied | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at CHI 44Q3, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 15 at CHI 48Q4, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 13 at MIN 17Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 28 at MIN 25Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 2 at LV 38Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 8 at LV 31Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 14 at MIN 47Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 18 at MIN 17Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 11 at MIN 38Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 13 at MIN 40Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 6 at MIN 24Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 8 at LV 42Q4, tied | punt | gouncertain | 1.8 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 6 at LV 18Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | MIN v LV | 4th & 4 at LV 28Q4, up 3 | punt | fgconfident | – |
| 2023-12-16 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 16 at MIN 13Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-16 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 4 at CIN 21Q3, up 11 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-16 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 5 at MIN 30Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-16 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 8 at MIN 27Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-16 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 1 at CIN 42QOT, tied | go | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | MIN v DET | 4th & 2 at DET 40Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | MIN v DET | 4th & 12 at MIN 28Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | MIN v DET | 4th & 2 at MIN 33Q3, down 2 | punt | goconfident | 3.4 |
| 2023-12-24 | MIN v DET | 4th & goal at DET 8Q4, down 9 | fg | golean | 0.6 |
| 2023-12-31 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at MIN 32Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | MIN v GB | 4th & 4 at MIN 44Q1, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2023-12-31 | MIN v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 36Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | MIN v GB | 4th & 16 at MIN 36Q2, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | MIN v GB | 4th & 4 at GB 9Q3, down 20 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | MIN v GB | 4th & 2 at MIN 25Q4, down 27 | punt | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2023-12-31 | MIN v GB | 4th & 4 at GB 10Q4, down 23 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 4 at MIN 38Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 12 at MIN 23Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 6 at midfieldQ2, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & goal at DET 21Q2, down 13 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 9 at MIN 37Q2, down 10 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 13 at DET 25Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 3 at DET 31Q3, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 14 at MIN 22Q3, down 14 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | MIN v DET | 4th & 1 at DET 38Q3, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 2 at NYG 3Q2, up 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 1 at MIN 35Q2, up 11 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 4 at MIN 36Q3, up 15 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 4 at MIN 42Q4, up 22 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 8 at MIN 39Q4, up 22 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | MIN v SF | 4th & 10 at MIN 48Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | MIN v SF | 4th & goal at SF 4Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 3.7 |
| 2024-09-15 | MIN v SF | 4th & 17 at MIN 23Q3, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | MIN v SF | 4th & 8 at MIN 34Q3, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | MIN v SF | 4th & goal at SF 8Q4, up 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | MIN v HOU | 4th & 19 at MIN 7Q2, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | MIN v HOU | 4th & 8 at MIN 47Q2, up 14 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | MIN v HOU | 4th & 16 at MIN 39Q2, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | MIN v HOU | 4th & 20 at MIN 23Q3, up 21 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | MIN v HOU | 4th & 1 at HOU 27Q3, up 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | MIN v HOU | 4th & 3 at HOU 17Q4, up 14 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | MIN v HOU | 4th & 5 at HOU 40Q4, up 24 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 8 at MIN 41Q2, up 21 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at MIN 43Q2, up 28 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2024-09-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 11 at GB 44Q3, up 21 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at MIN 42Q3, up 21 | punt | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2024-09-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 15Q4, up 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 6 at MIN 24Q4, up 9 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 4Q4, up 9 | go | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 14 at NYJ 36Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 2 at NYJ 33Q2, up 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 11 at MIN 4Q2, up 17 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 8 at MIN 32Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 7 at NYJ 46Q3, up 10 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 10 at NYJ 46Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 8 at NYJ 35Q4, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | MIN v NYJ | 4th & 7 at NYJ 23Q4, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | MIN v DET | 4th & 7 at DET 39Q1, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | MIN v DET | 4th & 7 at MIN 23Q1, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | MIN v DET | 4th & 9 at MIN 49Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | MIN v DET | 4th & 10 at DET 24Q4, down 11 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | MIN v DET | 4th & 8 at DET 30Q4, down 8 | fg | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2024-10-20 | MIN v DET | 4th & 4 at MIN 28Q4, up 1 | punt | goconfident | 4.3 |
| 2024-10-24 | MIN v LA | 4th & 9 at MIN 31Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-24 | MIN v LA | 4th & 16 at MIN 36Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-10-24 | MIN v LA | 4th & goal at LA 5Q3, tied | fg | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2024-10-24 | MIN v LA | 4th & 4 at LA 17Q4, down 4 | fg | goconfident | 2.5 |
| 2024-10-24 | MIN v LA | 4th & 21 at MIN 44Q4, down 8 | punt | golean | 1.4 |
| 2024-11-03 | MIN v IND | 4th & 10 at IND 44Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | MIN v IND | 4th & 1 at IND 44Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | MIN v IND | 4th & 3 at IND 35Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2024-11-03 | MIN v IND | 4th & 12 at IND 13Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | MIN v IND | 4th & 19 at IND 48Q4, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | MIN v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 27Q1, tied | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | MIN v JAX | 4th & 2 at MIN 26Q2, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2024-11-10 | MIN v JAX | 4th & 9 at JAX 14Q3, down 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | MIN v JAX | 4th & 1 at JAX 15Q4, down 1 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | MIN v JAX | 4th & 12 at JAX 16Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | MIN v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 11Q4, up 2 | fg | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2024-11-10 | MIN v JAX | 4th & 9 at JAX 46Q4, up 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | MIN v TEN | 4th & 12 at TEN 22Q2, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | MIN v TEN | 4th & 6 at MIN 34Q3, up 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | MIN v TEN | 4th & 5 at TEN 49Q3, up 13 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | MIN v TEN | 4th & 10 at TEN 46Q4, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | MIN v TEN | 4th & 18 at TEN 42Q4, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | MIN v TEN | 4th & 14 at MIN 44Q4, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 10 at MIN 23Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at MIN 36Q2, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2024-11-24 | MIN v CHI | 4th & goal at CHI 22Q3, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 10 at MIN 28Q3, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at CHI 49Q3, up 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2024-11-24 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at CHI 36Q4, up 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at CHI 7Q4, up 8 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 9 at ARI 26Q1, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 13 at MIN 32Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 14 at ARI 37Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 10 at ARI 25Q3, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 15 at MIN 25Q3, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 10 at ARI 13Q4, down 6 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | MIN v ARI | 4th & 5 at ARI 33Q4, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 22 at MIN 48Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 2 at MIN 43Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2024-12-08 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 7 at ATL 29Q3, up 4 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 5 at CHI 34Q1, tied | fg | golean | 0.1 |
| 2024-12-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at CHI 23Q2, up 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 5 at CHI 13Q2, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 20 at MIN 20Q3, up 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at MIN 12Q3, up 13 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 16 at MIN 46Q4, up 21 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 6 at CHI 28Q4, up 15 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 3 at SEA 40Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 5 at MIN 40Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 16 at MIN 24Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 13 at SEA 34Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 3 at MIN 36Q2, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 7 at SEA 30Q3, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 9 at SEA 46Q3, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 3 at MIN 27Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 15 at MIN 45Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 7 at GB 45Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 3 at GB 39Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.1 |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & goal at GB 7Q2, up 4 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 16 at GB 25Q4, up 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN v GB | 4th & 10 at MIN 21Q4, up 9 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 9 at MIN 43Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 18 at MIN 12Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & goal at DET 3Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & goal at DET 7Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 5 at DET 13Q2, down 4 | fg | goconfident | 2.5 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & goal at DET 2Q3, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 6 at DET 33Q3, down 4 | fg | goconfident | 3.7 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 4 at DET 34Q3, down 8 | fg | goconfident | 2.5 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 16 at MIN 34Q4, down 15 | punt | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2025-01-05 | MIN v DET | 4th & 15 at MIN 43Q4, down 22 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 10 at MIN 30Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 2 at LA 16Q2, down 10 | fg | goconfident | 2.5 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 2 at midfieldQ2, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 5 at midfieldQ3, down 21 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 21 at midfieldQ4, down 18 | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 1 at MIN 29Q4, down 18 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 11 at LA 46Q4, down 18 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | MIN v LA | 4th & 11 at MIN 20Q4, down 18 | go | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at MIN 32Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 6 at MIN 28Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 8 at CHI 14Q2, down 7 | fg | gouncertain | 0.9 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at MIN 34Q2, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 2.1 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 18 at MIN 16Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 20 at MIN 18Q3, down 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 2 at MIN 31Q3, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2025-09-08 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 5 at MIN 31Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 1 at MIN 36Q1, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 11 at MIN 13Q1, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & goal at ATL 15Q2, down 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 2 at MIN 30Q3, down 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 1 at MIN 40Q3, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 9 at MIN 42Q3, down 6 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2025-09-14 | MIN v ATL | 4th & 1 at MIN 28Q4, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 3.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 19 at MIN 17Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 6 at MIN 47Q1, up 14 | punt | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 6 at CIN 17Q2, up 14 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 16 at MIN 17Q2, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 7 at CIN 44Q2, up 28 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 7 at MIN 38Q4, up 38 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 4 at MIN 49Q4, up 38 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | MIN v CIN | 4th & 6 at CIN 37Q4, up 38 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & 17 at PIT 23Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & 22 at MIN 41Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & 1 at MIN 46Q2, down 11 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & 7 at PIT 10Q2, down 11 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & 19 at MIN 23Q3, down 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & 19 at MIN 9Q3, down 15 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & goal at PIT 2Q4, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | MIN v PIT | 4th & 17 at MIN 32Q4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | MIN v CLE | 4th & 3 at midfieldQ2, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | MIN v CLE | 4th & 1 at MIN 23Q2, tied | punt | gouncertain | -0.3 |
| 2025-10-05 | MIN v CLE | 4th & 2 at MIN 19Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | MIN v CLE | 4th & 15 at MIN 21Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | MIN v CLE | 4th & 6 at CLE 33Q4, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-05 | MIN v CLE | 4th & 23 at MIN 18Q4, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 32 at PHI 41Q1, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 11 at PHI 16Q2, down 11 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 4 at midfieldQ2, down 8 | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 9 at PHI 10Q3, down 8 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 12 at PHI 17Q4, down 5 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & 2 at PHI 15Q4, down 9 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | MIN v PHI | 4th & goal at PHI 11Q4, down 9 | fg | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2025-10-23 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 1 at MIN 41Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2025-10-23 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 19 at MIN 9Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-23 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 5 at LAC 35Q2, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2025-10-23 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 2 at MIN 47Q2, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 3.0 |
| 2025-10-23 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 1 at LAC 35Q2, down 18 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-10-23 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 9 at MIN 34Q3, down 21 | punt | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2025-10-23 | MIN v LAC | 4th & 8 at MIN 37Q4, down 24 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | MIN v DET | 4th & 13 at MIN 4Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | MIN v DET | 4th & 23 at DET 32Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | MIN v DET | 4th & 3 at midfieldQ3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.4 |
| 2025-11-02 | MIN v DET | 4th & 7 at DET 46Q3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.9 |
| 2025-11-02 | MIN v DET | 4th & 12 at MIN 24Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | MIN v DET | 4th & goal at DET 2Q4, up 7 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 2 at MIN 37Q1, up 4 | punt | goconfident | 2.7 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 31Q2, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 5 at MIN 40Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 2 at BAL 46Q3, down 9 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 15 at BAL 25Q3, down 9 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 3 at BAL 13Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 10 at BAL 35Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & goal at BAL 10Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN v BAL | 4th & 4 at MIN 40Q4, down 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at MIN 48Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 7 at MIN 39Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 6 at CHI 13Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.8 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 4 at MIN 33Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 7 at MIN 33Q3, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 2 at MIN 29Q3, down 13 | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 8 at MIN 37Q4, down 6 | punt | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 4 at MIN 45Q4, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN v GB | 4th & 10 at GB 34Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN v GB | 4th & 4 at MIN 45Q1, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 17Q2, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN v GB | 4th & 11 at GB 41Q2, down 7 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN v GB | 4th & 8 at MIN 36Q3, down 11 | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN v GB | 4th & 22 at MIN 1Q3, down 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN v GB | 4th & 27 at MIN 2Q4, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 12 at MIN 40Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 2 at MIN 34Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 8 at MIN 29Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 5 at MIN 47Q2, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 1 at SEA 4Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 18 at MIN 24Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN v SEA | 4th & 13 at SEA 40Q4, down 26 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 20 at MIN 24Q2, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 7 at WAS 27Q3, up 14 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | MIN v WAS | 4th & goal at WAS 2Q4, up 24 | go | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | MIN v WAS | 4th & 1 at WAS 35Q4, up 31 | go | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 2 at MIN 32Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN v DAL | 4th & goal at DAL 1Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 10 at DAL 11Q2, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 9 at MIN 43Q3, down 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 3 at DAL 37Q3, down 6 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 1 at MIN 48Q4, up 8 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN v DAL | 4th & 15 at DAL 35Q4, up 8 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 4 at NYG 25Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 1 at NYG 47Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN v NYG | 4th & goal at NYG 13Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 6 at NYG 44Q3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN v NYG | 4th & 3 at NYG 12Q4, tied | fg | gouncertain | -0.2 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 16 at MIN 19Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 24 at MIN 49Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 22 at MIN 41Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 6 at MIN 44Q2, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 3 at MIN 21Q3, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 13 at DET 34Q3, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 6 at DET 38Q3, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 20 at midfieldQ4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 5 at MIN 6Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN v DET | 4th & 4 at DET 24Q4, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & 6 at GB 25Q1, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at MIN 22Q1, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & 2 at MIN 41Q1, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & 6 at MIN 26Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & 1 at GB 21Q2, up 3 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & goal at GB 7Q2, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & 2 at MIN 33Q3, up 13 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN v GB | 4th & 12 at GB 19Q4, up 13 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN v GB | 4th & 10 at MIN 45Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN v GB | 4th & 5 at GB 20Q1, down 9 | fg | golean | 1.1 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN v GB | 4th & 8 at GB 48Q2, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN v GB | 4th & 9 at MIN 5Q2, down 9 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN v GB | 4th & 6 at MIN 44Q3, down 9 | punt | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 6 at CHI 17Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 24 at MIN 12Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at MIN 42Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at CHI 33Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 10 at CHI 31Q2, tied | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 10 at MIN 28Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 3 at MIN 31Q3, up 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 13 at MIN 35Q3, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 1 at MIN 21Q4, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN v CHI | 4th & 7 at CHI 21Q4, up 3 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 9 at TB 36Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 8 at MIN 43Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 12 at MIN 17Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 13 at MIN 10Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 4 at MIN 26Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 7 at MIN 37Q3, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 9 at MIN 29Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 7 at MIN 42Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 5 at MIN 30Q4, up 4 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 35Q4, up 1 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 16 at TB 38Q4, up 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 25Q4, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 6 at MIA 48Q1, tied | punt | golean | 0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 14 at MIA 29Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 19 at MIN 22Q2, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 8 at MIA 32Q2, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 8 at MIA 48Q2, up 6 | punt | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 11 at MIA 23Q3, up 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 12 at MIN 24Q3, up 9 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 1 at MIA 30Q4, up 2 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN v MIA | 4th & 5 at MIA 11Q4, up 2 | fg | golean | 1.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 21Q1, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN v NO | 4th & 2 at MIN 40Q2, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 2.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN v NO | 4th & 14 at MIN 49Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN v NO | 4th & 7 at NO 36Q2, down 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 37Q4, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN v NO | 4th & 2 at MIN 46Q4, up 10 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 1 at IND 38Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 5 at IND 44Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 1 at MIN 46Q1, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 8 at IND 10Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 9 at IND 29Q2, down 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 5 at MIN 44Q3, down 4 | punt | golean | 0.2 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 12 at IND 41Q4, up 3 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN v IND | 4th & 16 at IND 34Q4, up 3 | fg | puntuncertain | 0.1 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 7 at DET 38Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 4 at MIN 26Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 8 at MIN 48Q2, up 4 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 17 at MIN 14Q2, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 22 at MIN 24Q3, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 5 at DET 25Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN v DET | 4th & 5 at MIN 33Q4, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 6.1 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 4 at MIN 26Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 5 at midfieldQ1, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 10 at MIN 45Q2, down 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 21 at BUF 48Q2, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 1 at BUF 25Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 4.2 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 6 at MIN 24Q4, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 4 at MIN 42Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-09 | MIN v BUF | 4th & 9 at BUF 21Q4, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |