Coaches › Head coach
Marvin Lewis
Head coach · CIN · 2003–2018
131–122–3Regular season
0–7Playoffs
16Seasons
2009AP Coach of the Year
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | CIN | 6–10 | 109 | 13.8 | 43.1 | 66.1 | 2.22 | |
| 2017 | CIN | 7–9 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 2016 | CIN | 6–9–1 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 2015 | CIN | 12–4 | 0–1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2014 | CIN | 10–5–1 | 0–1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2013 | CIN | 11–5 | 0–1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2012 | CIN | 10–6 | 0–1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2011 | CIN | 9–7 | 0–1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2010 | CIN | 4–12 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 2009 | CIN | 10–6 | 0–1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2008 | CIN | 4–11–1 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 2007 | CIN | 7–9 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 2006 | CIN | 8–8 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 2005 | CIN | 11–5 | 0–1 | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2004 | CIN | 8–8 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 2003 | CIN | 8–8 | – | – | – | – | – |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.083 (90% interval −0.220 to +0.090) over 109 decisions. Not separable from average.
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 1 at PIT 40Q3, tied | punt | goconfident | 7.1 |
| 2018-09-30 | CIN v ATL | 4th & 18 at ATL 39Q3, up 1 | punt | fgconfident | 4.8 |
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 5 at PIT 43Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & 2 at MIA 19Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 37Q3, up 11 | punt | fgconfident | 1.5 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 1 at CIN 33Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 3 at CIN 32Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 7 at CIN 31Q4, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2018-09-09 | CIN v IND | 4th & 3 at CIN 32Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2018-09-23 | CIN v CAR | 4th & 7 at midfieldQ2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 5 at midfieldQ1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2018-09-23 | CIN v CAR | 4th & 7 at CIN 44Q4, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & goal at MIA 2Q4, tied | fg | golean | 0.9 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 2 at CIN 29Q3, tied | punt | golean | 0.9 |
| 2018-11-11 | CIN v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 45Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
Every graded 4th down (109)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-09 | CIN v IND | 4th & 12 at IND 24Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-09 | CIN v IND | 4th & 3 at CIN 32Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2018-09-09 | CIN v IND | 4th & 18 at CIN 25Q3, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-09 | CIN v IND | 4th & 10 at IND 21Q4, up 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 16 at CIN 25Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 10 at CIN 38Q2, up 21 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 20 at CIN 31Q3, up 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 12 at CIN 35Q3, up 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 37Q3, up 11 | punt | fgconfident | 1.5 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 2 at midfieldQ4, up 11 | punt | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 4 at BAL 10Q4, up 5 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-13 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 3 at BAL 22Q4, up 8 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-23 | CIN v CAR | 4th & 7 at midfieldQ2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2018-09-23 | CIN v CAR | 4th & 16 at CIN 42Q3, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-23 | CIN v CAR | 4th & 7 at CIN 44Q4, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2018-09-23 | CIN v CAR | 4th & 20 at CAR 35Q4, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-30 | CIN v ATL | 4th & 16 at CIN 19Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-30 | CIN v ATL | 4th & 18 at ATL 39Q3, up 1 | punt | fgconfident | 4.8 |
| 2018-09-30 | CIN v ATL | 4th & 14 at ATL 18Q4, down 5 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-30 | CIN v ATL | 4th & 8 at ATL 35Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-09-30 | CIN v ATL | 4th & 6 at ATL 20Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & 9 at CIN 45Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & 2 at MIA 19Q2, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & 6 at CIN 21Q2, down 7 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & 19 at CIN 16Q3, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & 11 at MIA 33Q3, down 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & goal at MIA 2Q4, tied | fg | golean | 0.9 |
| 2018-10-07 | CIN v MIA | 4th & 7 at CIN 32Q4, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 10 at CIN 22Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 5 at PIT 43Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 6 at CIN 31Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 1 at PIT 40Q3, tied | punt | goconfident | 7.1 |
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 10 at CIN 28Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-14 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 15 at PIT 45Q4, down 3 | punt | fguncertain | 0.3 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 3 at CIN 32Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 5 at midfieldQ1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 7 at CIN 43Q2, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 8 at KC 15Q3, down 31 | fg | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 21 at CIN 37Q3, down 28 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-21 | CIN v KC | 4th & 3 at CIN 32Q4, down 35 | punt | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 1 at TB 20Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 12 at CIN 23Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 3 at TB 36Q2, up 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 8 at CIN 27Q3, up 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 6 at CIN 43Q3, up 11 | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 8 at CIN 27Q4, up 15 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 4 at CIN 31Q4, up 8 | punt | golean | 0.2 |
| 2018-10-28 | CIN v TB | 4th & 16 at TB 39Q4, up 8 | punt | fguncertain | 0.2 |
| 2018-11-11 | CIN v NO | 4th & 6 at NO 45Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2018-11-11 | CIN v NO | 4th & 12 at CIN 23Q2, down 14 | punt | golean | 0.3 |
| 2018-11-11 | CIN v NO | 4th & 7 at CIN 30Q3, down 28 | punt | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2018-11-11 | CIN v NO | 4th & 13 at NO 38Q3, down 31 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-11 | CIN v NO | 4th & 17 at CIN 18Q3, down 38 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-11 | CIN v NO | 4th & 1 at NO 27Q4, down 44 | go | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 1 at CIN 33Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.5 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 10 at CIN 27Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 7 at CIN 48Q1, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 6 at CIN 13Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 14 at CIN 44Q2, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 12 at CIN 23Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 33Q4, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-18 | CIN v BAL | 4th & 3 at CIN 37Q4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-25 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 1 at CLE 47Q1, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-25 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 11 at CLE 36Q1, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-25 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 14 at CIN 42Q1, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-25 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 7 at CIN 28Q3, down 28 | punt | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2018-11-25 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 6 at CLE 42Q4, down 15 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-25 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 4 at CLE 13Q4, down 15 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-11-25 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 15 at CIN 45Q4, down 15 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 14 at midfieldQ1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 9 at CIN 28Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 13 at CIN 28Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 31 at CIN 19Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & goal at DEN 17Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 17 at CIN 18Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 18 at DEN 47Q4, down 11 | punt | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2018-12-02 | CIN v DEN | 4th & 7 at CIN 31Q4, down 11 | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2018-12-09 | CIN v LAC | 4th & 3 at LAC 29Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 0.2 |
| 2018-12-09 | CIN v LAC | 4th & 7 at CIN 46Q2, down 11 | punt | gouncertain | -0.0 |
| 2018-12-09 | CIN v LAC | 4th & goal at LAC 5Q2, down 11 | fg | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2018-12-09 | CIN v LAC | 4th & 21 at CIN 35Q2, down 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-09 | CIN v LAC | 4th & 1 at CIN 35Q3, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-09 | CIN v LAC | 4th & 12 at LAC 39Q3, down 8 | punt | fglean | 0.2 |
| 2018-12-09 | CIN v LAC | 4th & 5 at LAC 28Q4, down 8 | fg | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 9 at CIN 24Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 2 at LV 37Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & goal at LV 1Q2, up 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 4 at LV 16Q2, up 14 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 12 at LV 20Q2, up 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 9 at CIN 23Q2, up 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 21 at CIN 49Q3, up 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 7 at CIN 22Q3, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & goal at LV 4Q4, up 7 | fg | golean | 0.6 |
| 2018-12-16 | CIN v LV | 4th & 14 at CIN 21Q4, up 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-23 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 12 at midfieldQ1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-23 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 9 at CIN 31Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-23 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 21 at CIN 14Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-23 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 9 at midfieldQ2, down 13 | punt | gouncertain | -0.0 |
| 2018-12-23 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 16 at CLE 46Q3, down 16 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-23 | CIN v CLE | 4th & 22 at CLE 33Q4, down 23 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 1 at CIN 29Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 18 at CIN 40Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 11 at PIT 31Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 15 at CIN 12Q3, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 21 at CIN 24Q3, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 6 at CIN 28Q3, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 2 at CIN 29Q3, tied | punt | golean | 0.9 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 9 at PIT 14Q4, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2018-12-30 | CIN v PIT | 4th & 5 at CIN 40Q4, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |