Coaches › Head coach
Mike LaFleur
Head coach · ARI · 2026–2026
3–6Regular season
0–0Playoffs
1Seasons
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ARI | 3–6 | 77 | 19.5 | 51.9 | 66.2 | 3.41 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.014 (90% interval −0.146 to +0.152) over 77 decisions. Too few decisions to test.
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 1 at ARI 40Q4, up 2 | punt | goconfident | 6.2 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 7 at ARI 45Q4, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.3 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 2 at SEA 49Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 2.6 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & goal at LA 3Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 3 at LAC 9Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.1 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 5 at ARI 43Q3, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 4 at LAC 36Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 7 at ARI 6Q4, down 3 | punt | golean | 1.4 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 3 at ARI 38Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 4 at SEA 47Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & goal at SF 8Q2, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 2 at ARI 43Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & goal at DEN 7Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 10 at DEN 45Q3, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 10 at LAC 49Q3, up 2 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
Every graded 4th down (77)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 4 at LAC 36Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 3 at LAC 9Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.1 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 11 at LAC 15Q3, up 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 10 at LAC 49Q3, up 2 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 1 at ARI 40Q4, up 2 | punt | goconfident | 6.2 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 2 at ARI 39Q4, up 9 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI v LAC | 4th & 2 at LAC 30Q4, up 9 | fg | golean | 0.1 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 2 at SEA 49Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 2.6 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 12 at ARI 40Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & goal at SEA 2Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 4 at SEA 47Q2, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 2 at ARI 11Q2, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 4 at ARI 34Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 5 at ARI 43Q3, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.9 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 9 at ARI 36Q4, down 17 | punt | goconfident | 0.4 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & 15 at SF 41Q1, tied | punt | fglean | -0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & 7 at ARI 44Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & 9 at ARI 30Q2, down 14 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & 1 at SF 16Q2, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & goal at SF 8Q2, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 1.1 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & 14 at SF 23Q2, down 11 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & 2 at SF 26Q3, down 17 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI v SF | 4th & 10 at ARI 24Q3, down 10 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 6 at ARI 31Q2, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 8 at ARI 19Q2, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 26 at ARI 15Q2, down 5 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 18 at ARI 38Q4, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 7 at ARI 45Q4, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 3.3 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & 7 at ARI 6Q4, down 3 | punt | golean | 1.4 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI v NYG | 4th & goal at NYG 4Q4, down 6 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 1 at DET 9Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 7 at ARI 21Q1, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 12 at ARI 11Q2, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 7 at ARI 29Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 3 at ARI 36Q2, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 9 at ARI 24Q2, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 17 at DET 35Q3, down 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & 1 at DET 19Q4, down 24 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI v DET | 4th & goal at DET 9Q4, down 31 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & 10 at LA 16Q1, down 3 | fg | gouncertain | -0.1 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & goal at LA 12Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & 4 at ARI 41Q2, down 3 | punt | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & goal at LA 3Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & 6 at LA 19Q3, tied | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & goal at LA 9Q4, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & 6 at ARI 29Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & 10 at ARI 45Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI v LA | 4th & 6 at LA 25Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 12 at ARI 29Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 3 at ARI 13Q1, down 3 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & goal at DEN 11Q2, down 6 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 20Q2, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & goal at DEN 7Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 2 at ARI 43Q2, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 10 at ARI 34Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 10 at DEN 45Q3, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 13 at DEN 40Q4, down 14 | go | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 17 at DEN 23Q4, down 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 41Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI v DEN | 4th & goal at DEN 5Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 3 at ARI 38Q1, tied | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & goal at DAL 1Q1, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 1 at DAL 44Q2, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 15 at DAL 47Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 7 at DAL 19Q2, down 14 | fg | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 31 at ARI 34Q3, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 9 at ARI 36QOT, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | ARI v DAL | 4th & 3 at DAL 24QOT, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 6 at SEA 10Q1, tied | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 13 at ARI 17Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 11 at ARI 21Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 14 at SEA 43Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 9 at ARI 29Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 8 at ARI 34Q3, down 11 | punt | gouncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 8 at SEA 47Q3, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & 1 at SEA 32Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI v SEA | 4th & goal at SEA 2Q4, down 14 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |