Coaches › Head coach
Nathaniel Hackett
Head coach · DEN · 2022–2022
4–11Regular season
0–0Playoffs
1Seasons
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | DEN | 4–11 | 138 | 15.2 | 34.8 | 76.1 | 3.75 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: +0.003 (90% interval −0.125 to +0.148) over 138 decisions. Not separable from average.
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 7 at HOU 41Q3, down 3 | punt | fgconfident | 5.9 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 8 at LAC 39Q4, tied | punt | fgconfident | 5.4 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 1 at DEN 34QOT, tied | punt | goconfident | 5.2 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 1 at DEN 34Q4, down 5 | punt | goconfident | 4.3 |
| 2022-09-12 | DEN v SEA | 4th & 4 at SEA 12Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 3.8 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 23 at SF 41Q2, down 4 | punt | fgconfident | 3.6 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 1 at DEN 34Q4, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 1 at DEN 48Q3, down 1 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & goal at HOU 2Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 6 at DEN 42Q4, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 3 at DEN 42Q3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 1 at DEN 40Q3, down 1 | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 5 at LAC 33Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 1 at DEN 18Q3, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 2 at DEN 35Q2, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
Every graded 4th down (138)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-12 | DEN v SEA | 4th & 4 at SEA 12Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 3.8 |
| 2022-09-12 | DEN v SEA | 4th & 12 at DEN 45Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-12 | DEN v SEA | 4th & 8 at SEA 22Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-12 | DEN v SEA | 4th & goal at SEA 1Q3, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-12 | DEN v SEA | 4th & goal at SEA 8Q4, down 4 | fg | gouncertain | 0.2 |
| 2022-09-12 | DEN v SEA | 4th & 5 at SEA 46Q4, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 11 at HOU 48Q1, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & goal at HOU 2Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 2.8 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 10 at HOU 49Q2, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 6 at DEN 32Q2, down 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & goal at HOU 6Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 2 at midfieldQ3, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 7 at HOU 41Q3, down 3 | punt | fgconfident | 5.9 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 16 at HOU 32Q4, up 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-18 | DEN v HOU | 4th & 16 at DEN 32Q4, up 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 7 at DEN 32Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 2 at DEN 33Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 5 at DEN 25Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 7 at SF 37Q2, down 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 23 at SF 41Q2, down 4 | punt | fgconfident | 3.6 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 11 at DEN 49Q2, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 14 at DEN 21Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 9 at SF 49Q3, down 4 | punt | gouncertain | 0.4 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 4 at SF 35Q3, down 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 13 at DEN 3Q3, down 2 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 1 at DEN 34Q4, down 5 | punt | goconfident | 4.3 |
| 2022-09-25 | DEN v SF | 4th & 5 at DEN 47Q4, up 1 | punt | gouncertain | 0.8 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 15 at DEN 35Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 7 at LV 9Q2, down 3 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 1 at LV 43Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 10 at DEN 37Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 14 at DEN 45Q3, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 11 at DEN 24Q3, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 9 at DEN 2Q4, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-02 | DEN v LV | 4th & 5 at DEN 30Q4, down 9 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 12 at IND 15Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 14 at DEN 10Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 5 at DEN 18Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 5 at IND 26Q2, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 11 at IND 49Q2, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 9 at DEN 36Q3, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & goal at IND 16Q3, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 10 at IND 27Q3, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 2 at DEN 28Q4, up 3 | punt | gouncertain | 0.9 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 1 at IND 28Q4, up 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-06 | DEN v IND | 4th & 1 at IND 5QOT, down 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 5 at LAC 33Q1, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 5 at DEN 34Q2, up 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & goal at LAC 9Q2, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 2 at DEN 33Q3, up 3 | punt | gouncertain | 0.5 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 20 at DEN 36Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 8 at LAC 39Q4, tied | punt | fgconfident | 5.4 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 10 at LAC 30Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 15 at DEN 34Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 1 at DEN 34QOT, tied | punt | goconfident | 5.2 |
| 2022-10-17 | DEN v LAC | 4th & 7 at DEN 34QOT, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 3 at DEN 43Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 10 at DEN 39Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 1 at NYJ 43Q2, down 1 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 6 at NYJ 38Q2, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 15 at NYJ 26Q2, down 1 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 1 at DEN 48Q3, down 1 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 15 at DEN 29Q3, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 1 at DEN 40Q3, down 1 | punt | goconfident | 1.4 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 1 at DEN 34Q4, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 3.1 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 3 at NYJ 25Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | DEN v NYJ | 4th & 10 at NYJ 49Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 13 at DEN 19Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 3 at DEN 32Q1, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 0.6 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 5 at DEN 25Q2, down 7 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 1 at JAX 36Q2, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 17 at DEN 45Q2, down 3 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 16 at DEN 19Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 7 at DEN 23Q4, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 10 at DEN 7Q4, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | DEN v JAX | 4th & 1 at JAX 26Q4, up 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 10 at DEN 39Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 3 at DEN 28Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 18 at DEN 24Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 9 at DEN 40Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 9 at TEN 21Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 5 at DEN 30Q3, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 4 at TEN 48Q3, up 3 | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 1 at DEN 40Q3, down 4 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 13 at DEN 39Q3, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 19 at DEN 19Q4, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 6 at DEN 42Q4, down 4 | punt | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 5 at DEN 30Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | DEN v TEN | 4th & 8 at TEN 25Q4, down 7 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 8 at LV 30Q2, up 7 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 5 at LV 7Q2, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 11 at DEN 12Q3, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 7 at DEN 40Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 14 at LV 34Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 16 at DEN 18Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 4 at LV 30Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | DEN v LV | 4th & 10 at DEN 34Q4, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 11 at DEN 4Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 1 at DEN 21Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 15 at DEN 38Q2, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 5 at CAR 9Q2, down 7 | fg | golean | 1.2 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 5 at DEN 30Q2, down 7 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 2 at DEN 33Q3, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 16 at DEN 35Q3, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 1 at DEN 18Q3, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2022-11-27 | DEN v CAR | 4th & 10 at DEN 43Q4, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 6 at BAL 34Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 1 at DEN 29Q1, up 3 | punt | gouncertain | 0.4 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 5 at DEN 24Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 2 at DEN 35Q2, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.3 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 5 at DEN 29Q2, tied | punt | gouncertain | 0.1 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 1 at BAL 23Q2, tied | fg | gouncertain | 0.3 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 3 at DEN 42Q3, up 3 | punt | goconfident | 1.7 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 2 at BAL 32Q3, up 3 | fg | fglean | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 15 at DEN 31Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | DEN v BAL | 4th & 11 at BAL 48Q4, up 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 11 at KC 43Q1, down 3 | punt | fgconfident | 1.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 5 at DEN 30Q1, down 6 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 13 at DEN 26Q2, down 13 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 2 at KC 45Q2, down 20 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 9 at DEN 26Q2, down 27 | punt | golean | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 1 at DEN 29Q3, down 6 | punt | goconfident | 0.9 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 30 at DEN 19Q3, down 6 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & goal at KC 7Q4, down 13 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | DEN v KC | 4th & 10 at DEN 5Q4, down 6 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | DEN v ARI | 4th & 8 at ARI 34Q1, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | DEN v ARI | 4th & 15 at ARI 49Q1, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | DEN v ARI | 4th & 6 at ARI 20Q1, up 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | DEN v ARI | 4th & 15 at DEN 20Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | DEN v ARI | 4th & 8 at DEN 13Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | DEN v ARI | 4th & 3 at DEN 32Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | DEN v ARI | 4th & 6 at ARI 47Q4, up 9 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | DEN v LA | 4th & 8 at LA 36Q1, down 17 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | DEN v LA | 4th & 19 at DEN 46Q2, down 21 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | DEN v LA | 4th & 19 at DEN 16Q3, down 28 | punt | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | DEN v LA | 4th & 4 at LA 47Q4, down 35 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | DEN v LA | 4th & 10 at LA 23Q4, down 30 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | DEN v LA | 4th & 9 at LA 31Q4, down 37 | go | puntconfident | 0.0 |