Red Zone Math

Coaches › Head coach

Rich Bisaccia

Head coach · LV · 2021–2021

7–5Regular season
0–1Playoffs
1Seasons

Season by season

4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).

SeasonTeamRecordPlayoffs4th-down
decisions
Went for it %Model said
go %
Agrees with
model %
WP lost
per game
2021LV7–50–18411.948.860.75.02

4th-down rating

WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: +0.327 (90% interval +0.078 to +0.589) over 84 decisions. Too few decisions to test.

How every coach compares

Biggest disagreements with the model

Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.

DateGameSituationCallModelWP lost
(pts)
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 3 at LAC 22QOT, tiedfggoconfident10.2
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 3 at NYG 7Q4, down 4fggoconfident5.7
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 3 at CIN 47Q2, down 4puntgoconfident4.6
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 6 at LAC 43Q2, up 3puntgoconfident4.6
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & goal at LAC 6Q1, tiedfggoconfident3.8
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 3 at NYG 7Q3, down 4fggoconfident3.6
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 4 at CIN 44Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident3.2
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 5 at WAS 48Q2, down 7puntgoconfident3.1
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 3 at DAL 38Q4, tiedfggoconfident3.1
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & 5 at LV 49Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident2.3
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 3 at CIN 10Q4, down 10fggoconfident2.3
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 1 at LV 31Q3, down 4puntgoconfident2.0
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 4 at LV 48Q1, down 7puntgoconfident2.0
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 5 at DAL 46Q2, up 11puntgoconfident1.9
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 4 at LV 42Q3, down 10puntgoconfident1.6
Every graded 4th down (84)

Every graded 4th down

DateGameSituationCallModelWP lost
(pts)
2021-10-17LV v DEN4th & 3 at DEN 32Q1, tiedfggoconfident0.9
2021-10-17LV v DEN4th & 11 at DEN 25Q2, up 3fgfgconfident0.0
2021-10-17LV v DEN4th & 7 at LV 34Q2, up 3puntpuntuncertain0.0
2021-10-17LV v DEN4th & 6 at LV 29Q2, up 3puntpuntuncertain0.0
2021-10-17LV v DEN4th & 2 at LV 33Q3, up 14puntgouncertain0.5
2021-10-17LV v DEN4th & 2 at DEN 11Q4, up 14fgfgconfident0.0
2021-10-17LV v DEN4th & 16 at LV 49Q4, up 17puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-10-24LV v PHI4th & 1 at PHI 10Q2, up 7fgfgconfident0.0
2021-10-24LV v PHI4th & goal at PHI 1Q3, up 17gogoconfident0.0
2021-10-24LV v PHI4th & 10 at LV 6Q3, up 23puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-10-24LV v PHI4th & 1 at PHI 21Q4, up 16fgfglean0.0
2021-10-24LV v PHI4th & 10 at PHI 44Q4, up 11puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 10 at LV 21Q1, tiedpuntpuntconfident0.0
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & goal at NYG 6Q2, tiedfggolean1.0
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 7 at LV 16Q2, up 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 3 at NYG 14Q2, tiedfgfgconfident0.0
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 1 at NYG 35Q3, down 4gogoconfident0.0
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 3 at NYG 7Q3, down 4fggoconfident3.6
2021-11-07LV v NYG4th & 3 at NYG 7Q4, down 4fggoconfident5.7
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & 5 at LV 49Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident2.3
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & 5 at LV 30Q1, down 7puntgoconfident0.9
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & 16 at LV 31Q2, down 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & 3 at LV 27Q2, down 10puntgoconfident1.4
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & 5 at LV 37Q4, down 20puntgoconfident0.4
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & 2 at LV 45Q4, down 27gopuntuncertain0.0
2021-11-14LV v KC4th & goal at KC 20Q4, down 27gogoconfident0.0
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & goal at CIN 8Q1, tiedfggolean0.2
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 4 at CIN 44Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident3.2
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 3 at CIN 29Q2, tiedfggoconfident0.0
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 3 at CIN 47Q2, down 4puntgoconfident4.6
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 1 at LV 31Q3, down 4puntgoconfident2.0
2021-11-21LV v CIN4th & 12 at LV 41Q3, down 7puntpuntuncertain0.0
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 8 at LV 27Q1, up 1puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & goal at DAL 4Q2, up 8fggolean1.5
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 5 at DAL 46Q2, up 11puntgoconfident1.9
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 5 at LV 30Q3, up 4puntgoconfident1.2
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 2 at DAL 27Q3, up 5fggolean-0.4
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 15 at DAL 47Q4, up 8puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 7 at DAL 12Q4, up 5fgfgconfident0.0
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 17 at LV 29Q4, up 8puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-11-25LV v DAL4th & 3 at DAL 38Q4, tiedfggoconfident3.1
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 4 at LV 48Q1, down 7puntgoconfident2.0
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 3 at LV 25Q1, down 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 5 at WAS 48Q2, down 7puntgoconfident3.1
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 18 at LV 35Q3, down 4puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 3 at WAS 20Q3, down 4fggolean0.4
2021-12-05LV v WAS4th & 7 at WAS 18Q4, down 2fgfgconfident0.0
2021-12-12LV v KC4th & 9 at LV 24Q1, down 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-12LV v KC4th & 10 at LV 40Q1, down 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-12LV v KC4th & 4 at LV 45Q1, down 14puntgolean-0.0
2021-12-20LV v CLE4th & 21 at LV 44Q2, up 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-20LV v CLE4th & 3 at LV 43Q2, up 7puntgoconfident0.6
2021-12-20LV v CLE4th & goal at CLE 5Q2, up 7fgfglean0.0
2021-12-20LV v CLE4th & 7 at LV 28Q3, up 10puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-20LV v CLE4th & 9 at CLE 21Q4, up 3fgfgconfident0.0
2021-12-20LV v CLE4th & 6 at LV 35Q4, up 6puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-26LV v DEN4th & 4 at DEN 49Q1, tiedpuntgoconfident1.1
2021-12-26LV v DEN4th & 10 at LV 45Q2, up 4puntpuntconfident0.0
2021-12-26LV v DEN4th & 1 at DEN 46Q4, up 1gogoconfident0.0
2021-12-26LV v DEN4th & 13 at DEN 23Q4, up 1fgfgconfident0.0
2022-01-02LV v IND4th & 15 at IND 29Q2, up 7fgfgconfident0.0
2022-01-02LV v IND4th & 5 at LV 40Q2, up 7puntgoconfident0.8
2022-01-02LV v IND4th & 1 at IND 22Q2, up 7gogolean0.0
2022-01-02LV v IND4th & 17 at IND 26Q2, up 7fgfgconfident0.0
2022-01-02LV v IND4th & 13 at LV 40Q3, down 4puntpuntconfident0.0
2022-01-02LV v IND4th & 2 at IND 11Q4, down 4gogoconfident0.0
2022-01-02LV v IND4th & 1 at IND 15Q4, tiedfgfgconfident0.0
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & goal at LAC 6Q1, tiedfggoconfident3.8
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 12 at LV 36Q1, up 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 2 at LAC 15Q1, up 3gogolean0.0
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 6 at LAC 43Q2, up 3puntgoconfident4.6
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 8 at LV 43Q3, up 3puntpuntconfident0.0
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 6 at LAC 12Q3, up 3fgfglean0.0
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 5 at LAC 34Q4, up 12fgfglean0.0
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 16 at LV 19Q4, up 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2022-01-09LV v LAC4th & 3 at LAC 22QOT, tiedfggoconfident10.2
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 3 at CIN 28Q1, tiedfggolean0.6
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 11 at LV 1Q2, down 7puntpuntconfident0.0
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 8 at CIN 10Q2, down 10fgfgconfident0.0
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 4 at LV 42Q3, down 10puntgoconfident1.6
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & goal at CIN 16Q4, down 10fgfgconfident0.0
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 5 at LV 44Q4, down 10gogoconfident0.0
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & 3 at CIN 10Q4, down 10fggoconfident2.3
2022-01-15LV v CIN4th & goal at CIN 9Q4, down 7gogoconfident0.0