Coaches › Head coach
Todd Monken
Head coach · CLE · 2026–2026
5–4Regular season
0–0Playoffs
1Seasons
Season by season
4th-down columns from 2018 (every go, field-goal and punt call graded by our model).
| Season | Team | Record | Playoffs | 4th-down decisions | Went for it % | Model said go % | Agrees with model % | WP lost per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CLE | 5–4 | 73 | 16.4 | 42.5 | 74.0 | 1.73 |
4th-down rating
WP lost per decision against other coaches in the same situations: −0.201 (90% interval −0.330 to −0.080) over 73 decisions. Too few decisions to test.
Biggest disagreements with the model
Where the coach’s call cost the most win probability by our model, among calls the model disagreed with.
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 5 at NYJ 7Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 4 at CLE 45Q4, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 19 at CLE 37Q4, down 5 | punt | golean | 2.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 2 at NO 23Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 45Q2, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 4 at CAR 29Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 2 at CLE 15Q3, down 1 | punt | gouncertain | 0.9 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 2 at CLE 13Q3, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 32Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 2 at CLE 28Q3, down 21 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 9 at PIT 43Q1, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2026-10-25 | CLE v TEN | 4th & 5 at TEN 48Q3, up 3 | punt | golean | 0.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 6 at BAL 30Q3, down 10 | fg | gouncertain | 0.4 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 5 at PIT 14Q2, down 10 | fg | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 2 at PIT 26Q4, up 5 | fg | golean | 0.1 |
Every graded 4th down (73)
Every graded 4th down
| Date | Game | Situation | Call | Model | WP lost (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | CLE v JAX | 4th & 6 at CLE 21Q1, down 7 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE v JAX | 4th & 18 at CLE 27Q2, down 14 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE v JAX | 4th & 6 at midfieldQ2, down 24 | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE v JAX | 4th & 7 at JAX 8Q3, down 31 | fg | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE v JAX | 4th & 6 at JAX 29Q4, down 31 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE v JAX | 4th & 4 at JAX 16Q4, down 31 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 5 at CLE 38Q1, tied | punt | golean | 0.1 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 32Q1, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 12 at CLE 31Q1, down 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 14 at TB 16Q2, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 22 at CLE 8Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 1 at CLE 34Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 6 at TB 16Q3, down 10 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE v TB | 4th & 8 at CLE 41Q4, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 3 at CLE 42Q1, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 3 at CAR 38Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 14 at CAR 43Q2, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 4 at CAR 29Q2, tied | fg | goconfident | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & goal at CAR 2Q2, up 3 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 13 at CLE 26Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 5 at CLE 10Q3, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 9 at CLE 34Q3, up 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 9 at CAR 27Q4, down 2 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE v CAR | 4th & 1 at CAR 15Q4, up 3 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 1 at CLE 25Q1, tied | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 9 at PIT 43Q1, down 7 | punt | golean | 0.6 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 13 at CLE 12Q3, up 11 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 2 at PIT 26Q4, up 5 | fg | golean | 0.1 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 8 at CLE 19Q4, up 8 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 8 at PIT 38Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 11 at CLE 33Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 5 at NYJ 7Q1, down 7 | fg | goconfident | 2.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 7 at CLE 38Q1, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 10 at NYJ 23Q2, down 4 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 14 at CLE 33Q2, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 8 at CLE 37Q2, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 8 at CLE 11Q3, down 1 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 2 at CLE 15Q3, down 1 | punt | gouncertain | 0.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 38 at CLE 27Q4, down 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 19 at CLE 37Q4, down 5 | punt | golean | 2.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE v NYJ | 4th & 11 at CLE 19Q4, down 5 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 13 at CLE 21Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 10 at CLE 45Q1, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 5 at CLE 21Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 45Q2, down 10 | punt | goconfident | 1.2 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 15 at CLE 24Q2, down 10 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 1 at CLE 37Q3, down 10 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 6 at BAL 30Q3, down 10 | fg | gouncertain | 0.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 6 at CLE 14Q3, down 7 | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 4 at CLE 45Q4, down 7 | punt | goconfident | 2.2 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE v BAL | 4th & 8 at BAL 29Q4, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | CLE v TEN | 4th & 5 at CLE 11Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | CLE v TEN | 4th & 5 at TEN 48Q3, up 3 | punt | golean | 0.4 |
| 2026-10-25 | CLE v TEN | 4th & 17 at TEN 48Q3, up 3 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | CLE v TEN | 4th & 4 at TEN 25Q4, up 3 | fg | fguncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 14 at CLE 33Q1, down 7 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 5 at PIT 14Q2, down 10 | fg | goconfident | 0.3 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 9 at PIT 31Q2, down 10 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 2 at CLE 13Q3, down 14 | punt | goconfident | 0.8 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 2 at CLE 28Q3, down 21 | punt | goconfident | 0.7 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & goal at PIT 5Q4, down 21 | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 22 at CLE 46Q4, down 21 | punt | goconfident | 0.1 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE v PIT | 4th & 17 at PIT 30Q4, down 21 | go | golean | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 14 at CLE 26Q1, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 7 at CLE 40Q1, down 3 | punt | puntuncertain | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 2 at NO 23Q2, down 3 | fg | goconfident | 1.6 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 5 at CLE 20Q2, tied | punt | puntlean | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & goal at NO 1Q2, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & goal at NO 12Q3, tied | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 17 at CLE 24Q3, tied | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 2 at NO 42Q4, tied | go | goconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 22 at CLE 16Q4, up 4 | punt | puntconfident | 0.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | CLE v NO | 4th & 3 at NO 33Q4, down 3 | fg | fgconfident | 0.0 |