PHI 25, JAX 28
2002 week 5 · 2002-10-06 · Alltel Stadium · Line: PHI −3
PHI: Andy Reid · JAX: Tom Coughlin
Note: this game’s play-by-play failed our data-quality checks (scores or clock), so the score shown may be wrong and there are no charts.
Win probability
Our model’s win probability for the home team after every snap, kickoff and try (dashed: nflfastR’s, for reference). Dots are 4th-down calls. Hover or tap for details.
4th-down decisions
The coach’s call against our 4th-down model. WP: the team’s win probability with each option (best in bold). WP lost: the best option minus the call, in WP points. Confidence: the share of the model’s 101 bootstrap replicates that agree.
Biggest swings
The plays that moved win probability most (our model; a touchdown includes the expected try).
Top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets; WPA in WP points.
Team summary
Scrimmage plays (dropbacks and designed runs).