NYG 23, GB 20 (OT)
2007 conference championship · 2008-01-20 · Lambeau Field · Line: GB −7.5
NYG: Tom Coughlin · GB: Mike McCarthy
Win probability
Our model’s win probability for the home team after every snap, kickoff and try (dashed: nflfastR’s, for reference). Dots are 4th-down calls. Hover or tap for details.
Our modelnflfastRGo for itField goal
PuntFilled: the coach agreed with the model · hollow: disagreed
4th-down decisions
The coach’s call against our 4th-down model. WP: the team’s win probability with each option (best in bold). WP lost: the best option minus the call, in WP points. Confidence: the share of the model’s 101 bootstrap replicates that agree.
Biggest swings
The plays that moved win probability most (our model; a touchdown includes the expected try).
Top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets; WPA in WP points.
Team summary
Scrimmage plays (dropbacks and designed runs).