Aaron Hernandez

TE · NE · 2010–2012

Born November 6, 1989 · College Florida · Drafted 2010, round 4, pick 113 (NE) · 6-1, 245 lb

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Season	Team	G	Carries	Yds	YPC	EPA/carry	Success %	Rush EPA	Rush WPA (wins)
2010	NE	14	3	47	15.67	+1.077	100.0	+3.2	+0.05
2011	NE	14	5	45	9.00	+0.498	60.0	+2.5	+0.07
2011 playoffs	NE	3	8	70	8.75	+0.534	62.5	+4.3	+0.03
2012	NE	10	1	5	5.00	+1.035	100.0	+1.0	+0.01
2012 playoffs	NE	2	1	6	6.00	+0.213	100.0	+0.2	+0.01
Career	NE	38	9	97	10.78	+0.751	77.8	+6.8	+0.13

Season	Team	G	Targets	Rec	Yds	TD	Catch %	EPA/target	Stabilised EPA/target	Target share %	aDOT	Rec EPA	Rec WPA (wins)
2010	NE	14	64	45	563	6	70.3	+0.491	+0.269+0.109 to +0.429	14.3	7.1	+31.4	+0.74
2010 playoffs	NE	1	1	1	4	0	100.0	−0.567		2.2	3.0	−0.6	−0.02
2011	NE	14	113	79	910	7	69.9	+0.318	+0.279+0.135 to +0.422	21.2	6.4	+35.9	+0.69
2011 playoffs	NE	3	31	19	188	2	61.3	+0.203		28.4	6.8	+6.3	+0.02
2012	NE	10	83	51	483	5	61.4	+0.168	+0.177+0.024 to +0.330	20.0	7.2	+13.9	+0.12
2012 playoffs	NE	2	23	15	168	0	65.2	+0.311		25.0	6.9	+7.2	+0.12
Career	NE	38	260	175	1,956	18	67.3	+0.313		18.7	6.8	+81.3	+1.55

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	Passes defensed
2010	NE	14	0	1
2011 playoffs	NE	3	1	0
2012	NE	10	1	0
Career	NE	38	1	1

2012 game log (12 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2012-09-09	@ TEN	W 34–13	1	5	+1.0	7	6	59	1	+4.0	0
2	2012-09-16	vs ARI	L 18–20	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	−4.1	0
6	2012-10-14	@ SEA	L 23–24	0	0	0.0	9	6	30	1	+2.2	0
7	2012-10-21	vs NYJ	W 29–26 OT	0	0	0.0	7	5	54	0	+2.6	0
12	2012-11-22	@ NYJ	W 49–19	0	0	0.0	3	2	36	0	+1.9	0
13	2012-12-02	@ MIA	W 23–16	0	0	0.0	13	8	97	0	+5.7	0
14	2012-12-10	vs HOU	W 42–14	0	0	0.0	11	8	58	2	+5.4	0
15	2012-12-16	vs SF	L 34–41	0	0	0.0	19	10	92	1	−2.3	1
16	2012-12-23	@ JAX	W 23–16	0	0	0.0	5	1	13	0	−1.7	0
17	2012-12-30	vs MIA	W 28–0	0	0	0.0	8	5	44	0	+0.2	0
P19	2013-01-13	vs HOU	W 41–28	0	0	0.0	9	6	85	0	+5.3	0
P20	2013-01-20	vs BAL	L 13–28	1	6	+0.2	14	9	83	0	+1.9	0

2011 game log (17 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2011-09-12	@ MIA	W 38–24	0	0	0.0	10	7	103	1	+8.0	0
2	2011-09-18	vs LAC	W 35–21	0	0	0.0	8	7	62	1	+4.0	0
5	2011-10-09	vs NYJ	W 30–21	0	0	0.0	9	5	56	0	−4.2	0
6	2011-10-16	vs DAL	W 20–16	0	0	0.0	14	8	68	1	−6.8	0
8	2011-10-30	@ PIT	L 17–25	1	2	−0.6	4	2	9	1	+0.3	0
9	2011-11-06	vs NYG	L 20–24	0	0	0.0	5	4	35	1	+2.3	0
10	2011-11-13	@ NYJ	W 37–16	0	0	0.0	5	4	41	0	+1.3	0
11	2011-11-21	vs KC	W 34–3	0	0	0.0	7	4	44	0	+1.1	0
12	2011-11-27	@ PHI	W 38–20	0	0	0.0	7	6	62	0	+4.7	0
13	2011-12-04	vs IND	W 31–24	0	0	0.0	9	7	43	0	−1.8	0
14	2011-12-11	@ WAS	W 34–27	0	0	0.0	7	5	84	0	+2.9	0
15	2011-12-18	@ DEN	W 41–23	1	16	+1.7	11	9	129	1	+12.9	0
16	2011-12-24	vs MIA	W 27–24	1	1	−0.4	6	4	36	0	+2.8	0
17	2012-01-01	vs BUF	W 49–21	2	26	+1.8	11	7	138	1	+8.2	0
P19	2012-01-14	vs DEN	W 45–10	5	61	+4.4	6	4	55	1	+2.9	1
P20	2012-01-22	vs BAL	W 23–20	3	9	−0.1	11	7	66	0	+1.3	0
P21	2012-02-05	vs NYG	L 17–21	0	0	0.0	14	8	67	1	+2.0	0

2010 game log (15 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	PD
1	2010-09-12	vs CIN	W 38–24	0	0	0.0	2	1	45	0	+2.3	0
2	2010-09-19	@ NYJ	L 14–28	0	0	0.0	6	6	101	0	+8.8	0
3	2010-09-26	vs BUF	W 38–30	1	13	+1.1	7	6	65	0	+1.9	0
4	2010-10-04	@ MIA	W 41–14	0	0	0.0	5	5	29	0	+1.1	0
6	2010-10-17	vs BAL	W 23–20 OT	1	18	+1.3	6	4	61	0	+2.7	0
7	2010-10-24	@ LAC	W 23–20	0	0	0.0	8	5	54	0	+2.9	0
8	2010-10-31	vs MIN	W 28–18	0	0	0.0	3	2	33	0	−0.0	0
9	2010-11-07	@ CLE	L 14–34	0	0	0.0	9	5	48	2	+3.8	0
10	2010-11-14	@ PIT	W 39–26	0	0	0.0	2	0	0	0	−2.4	1
11	2010-11-21	vs IND	W 31–28	0	0	0.0	1	1	8	1	+3.1	0
12	2010-11-25	@ DET	W 45–24	0	0	0.0	1	1	18	0	+1.5	0
13	2010-12-06	vs NYJ	W 45–3	0	0	0.0	5	3	51	1	+2.7	0
14	2010-12-12	@ CHI	W 36–7	0	0	0.0	4	2	19	0	−1.9	0
15	2010-12-19	vs GB	W 31–27	1	16	+0.9	5	4	31	2	+5.0	0
P19	2011-01-16	vs NYJ	L 21–28	0	0	0.0	1	1	4	0	−0.6	0