Red Zone Math

Players › QB

Chad Pennington

QB · NYJ/MIA · 2000–2010

Born June 26, 1976 · College Marshall · Drafted 2000, round 1, pick 18 (NYJ) · 6-3, 225 lb

Comeback Player of the Year ×2 (2006, 2008)

EPA per dropback by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

0.000.501.0020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010

Passing

SeasonTeamGCmpAttCmp %YdsTDINTDropbacksEPA/dbStabilised EPA/dbWPA/db
(WP pts)
Total WPA
(wins)
CPOESuccess %ANY/ARank
(EPA/db)
2000NYJ12540.067107+1.040−0.102−0.238 to +0.034−0.00−0.00–42.913.83–
2001NYJ2102050.0921024−0.120−0.152−0.286 to −0.019−0.00−0.00–41.74.95–
2002NYJ1527539968.93,120226444+0.265+0.159+0.064 to +0.254+0.56+2.30–50.07.491
2002 playoffsNYJ2407255.64054280+0.072+0.02+0.02–46.24.786
2003NYJ1018929763.62,1391312340+0.082+0.028−0.074 to +0.130+0.22+0.74–45.35.3312
2004NYJ1324237065.42,673169424+0.069+0.066−0.030 to +0.163−0.01−0.03–46.76.4016
2004 playoffsNYJ2446666.74612177+0.095+0.87+0.67–48.16.069
2005NYJ3498359.05302399−0.010−0.094−0.217 to +0.029−0.36−0.36–43.44.16–
2006NYJ1631348564.53,3521716556+0.086+0.077−0.012 to +0.167+0.30+1.67+2.948.05.5111
2006 playoffsNYJ1234057.53001146−0.044+0.26+0.12−2.241.35.888
2007NYJ917926068.81,766109297+0.005+0.004−0.101 to +0.109−0.16−0.49+7.246.54.8722
2008MIA1632147667.43,653197519+0.182+0.136+0.045 to +0.227+0.60+3.11+5.151.37.237
2008 playoffsMIA1253865.82521443−0.221−0.52−0.23+0.546.51.5610
2009MIA3517468.94131282−0.003−0.107−0.232 to +0.019−0.07−0.06+9.447.63.99–
2010MIA11250.019002+0.461−0.109−0.245 to +0.028+1.37+0.03−10.350.09.50–
CareerMIA891,6322,47166.017,824102642,794+0.115+0.25+6.91+4.948.06.12–

Rushing

SeasonTeamGCarriesYdsTDYPCEPA/carryStabilised EPA/carrySuccess %Rush EPARush WPA
(wins)
2000NYJ11000.00−1.1310.0−1.1−0.00
2002NYJ15142321.64+0.23064.3+3.2+0.17
2002 playoffsNYJ22301.50−2.12850.0−4.3−0.02
2003NYJ106711.17−0.61450.0−3.7−0.09
2004NYJ13112312.09+0.54981.8+6.0+0.21
2004 playoffsNYJ21-10-1.00−0.4710.0−0.9+0.04
2005NYJ341403.50−0.94850.0−3.8−0.02
2006NYJ1692703.00+0.47244.4+4.3+0.04
2006 playoffsNYJ11-60-6.00−3.53450.0−7.1−0.09
2007NYJ9122111.75+0.13569.2+1.8−0.11
2008MIA164300.75−0.21525.0−0.9−0.01
2008 playoffsMIA11000.00−2.6020.0−2.6−0.04
2009MIA32402.00−3.25650.0−6.5−0.14
CareerMIA896312251.94−0.01159.4−0.7+0.06

Defence

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

SeasonTeamGTacklesSacksQB hitsTackles
for loss
INTPasses
defensed
Forced
fumbles
2002NYJ1510.0––0–0
2003NYJ1010.0––0–0
2004NYJ1310.0––0–0
2004 playoffsNYJ210.0––0–0
2007NYJ910.00–0–0
2008MIA1610.00–0–0
CareerMIA8950.000000

Punting

Over expected: against the season’s average punter from the same spots, in the same weather (our frozen punt model).

SeasonTeamGPuntsNet yards over
expected / punt
StabilisedGross yards over
expected / punt
Inside 20 %Touchback %
2006NYJ11+9.99+0.11−1.87 to +2.10+4.22100.00.0

Honours

Honours: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), matched to players through Wikidata (CC0). Awards and All-Pro teams are the Associated Press’s; Pro Bowl selections include replacements.

SeasonHonours
2006Comeback Player of the Year
2008Comeback Player of the Year

Game logs

2010 game log (1 games)

2010 game log

WeekDateOpponentResult
102010-11-14vs TENW 29–17
2009 game log (3 games)

2009 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPA
12009-09-13@ ATLL 7–1921/2917611−0.24−37.40000.0
22009-09-21vs INDL 23–2722/3118301+0.21+28.0140+0.2
32009-09-27@ LACL 13–238/125400+0.10+3.8100−6.7
2008 game log (17 games)

2008 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12008-09-07vs NYJL 14–2026/4325121−0.07−31.70000.000.000
22008-09-14@ ARIL 10–3110/2011200−0.07−0.50000.000.000
32008-09-21@ NEW 38–1317/2022600+0.77+43.00000.000.000
52008-10-05vs LACW 17–1022/2922810+0.30+34.90000.000.000
62008-10-12@ HOUL 28–2919/2528421+0.36+43.00000.000.000
72008-10-19vs BALL 13–2724/3529511+0.03+2.2150−0.300.000
82008-10-26vs BUFW 25–1622/3031410+0.39+34.00000.000.000
92008-11-02@ DENW 26–1723/4028101+0.13+30.80000.000.000
102008-11-09vs SEAW 21–1922/3620911−0.04+6.70000.000.000
112008-11-16vs LVW 17–1516/2217400+0.17+25.40000.000.000
122008-11-23vs NEL 28–4824/4034131+0.27+54.21-40−1.200.000
132008-11-30@ LAW 16–1213/2316600+0.23+7.7100−1.100.000
142008-12-07@ BUFW 16–323/2918110+0.22+12.60000.000.000
152008-12-14vs SFW 14–912/1915620+0.19+4.00000.000.000
162008-12-21@ KCW 38–3126/3423531+0.40+35.00000.000.000
172008-12-28@ NYJW 24–1722/3020020+0.02+9.7120+1.710.000
P182009-01-04vs BALL 9–2725/3825214−0.22−22.6100−2.600.000
2007 game log (9 games)

2007 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12007-09-09vs NEL 14–3816/2116720+0.36+12.1000+0.800.000
32007-09-23vs MIAW 31–2815/2112420+0.33+15.6121+2.100.000
42007-09-30@ BUFL 14–1732/3929012+0.14−23.6110+0.500.000
52007-10-07@ NYGL 24–3521/3622913−0.22−9.8260+1.600.000
62007-10-14vs PHIL 9–1611/2112801−0.47−30.5330−1.300.000
72007-10-21@ CINL 31–3820/3127231+0.29+35.2100−3.710.000
82007-10-28vs BUFL 3–1313/2010600−0.21−17.6100−1.100.000
152007-12-16@ NEL 10–2025/3718600−0.03−0.6140+0.200.000
162007-12-23@ TENL 6–1026/3226412−0.15−29.6250+2.700.000
2006 game log (17 games)

2006 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPAPuntsNet yds
over exp.
Inside 20
12006-09-10@ TENW 23–1624/3331920+0.45+33.90000.0–––
22006-09-17vs NEL 17–2422/3530621+0.41+2.9130−0.1–––
32006-09-24@ BUFW 28–2019/2918310+0.08+15.9140+1.8–––
42006-10-01vs INDL 28–3117/2320711+0.14+9.00000.0–––
52006-10-08@ JAXL 0–4110/177103−0.76−9.30000.0–––
62006-10-15vs MIAW 20–1717/2917520+0.05−3.90000.0–––
72006-10-22vs DETW 31–2416/2218911+0.22+18.2120+0.7–––
82006-10-29@ CLEL 13–2011/2810802−0.19−28.9140−0.0–––
102006-11-12@ NEW 17–1422/3316811−0.02+12.9130+1.61+10.01
112006-11-19vs CHIL 0–1019/3316202−0.22−9.70000.0–––
122006-11-26vs HOUW 26–1124/3128610+0.36+26.1120+2.0–––
132006-12-03@ GBW 38–1025/3526322+0.47+35.10000.0–––
142006-12-10vs BUFL 13–3122/3518212−0.45−27.0120−0.3–––
152006-12-17@ MINW 26–1329/3833911+0.29+34.7170−0.4–––
162006-12-25@ MIAW 13–1014/2923710+0.19+55.3100−1.0–––
172006-12-31vs LVW 23–322/2915710+0.03+1.80000.0–––
P182007-01-07@ NEL 16–3723/4030011−0.04+12.01-60−7.1–––
2005 game log (3 games)

2005 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPA
12005-09-11@ KCL 7–2721/3426401−0.05−6.6200−4.8
22005-09-18vs MIAW 17–719/3019020+0.26+27.71120+0.7
32005-09-25vs JAXL 20–26 OT9/197602−0.27−56.8120+0.3
2004 game log (15 games)

2004 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12004-09-12vs CINW 31–2420/2722420+0.33+26.70000.000.000
22004-09-19@ LACW 34–2822/2925820+0.44+19.5210−0.300.000
42004-10-03@ MIAW 17–914/2414301−0.57−28.4270−0.500.000
52004-10-10vs BUFW 16–1431/4230411+0.25+34.90000.000.000
62004-10-17vs SFW 22–1420/3022200+0.00+3.9130+0.400.000
72004-10-24@ NEL 7–1319/3016200+0.12−4.5231+2.900.000
82004-11-01vs MIAW 41–1411/1918930+0.38+6.00000.000.000
92004-11-07@ BUFL 17–227/1514111−0.24−11.80000.000.000
132004-12-05vs HOUW 29–720/2715521+0.11−14.80000.000.000
142004-12-12@ PITL 6–1717/3118903−0.23−18.1130+0.410.000
152004-12-19vs SEAW 37–1418/2425330+0.84+22.00000.000.000
162004-12-26vs NEL 7–2322/3625212−0.17−18.4240+1.200.000
172005-01-02@ LAL 29–32 OT21/3618110−0.11−20.5120+2.000.000
P182005-01-08@ LACW 20–17 OT23/3327920+0.35+61.61-10−0.900.000
P192005-01-15@ PITL 17–20 OT21/3318201−0.16+5.40000.010.000
2003 game log (10 games)

2003 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATacklesSacksINTPD
82003-10-26@ PHIL 17–2414/2215401−0.03−28.90000.000.000
92003-11-02vs NYGL 28–31 OT27/4428142+0.22+48.70000.000.000
102003-11-09@ LVW 27–24 OT18/2726920+0.39+16.9100−0.800.000
112003-11-16@ INDL 31–3811/1421930+0.33+13.50000.000.000
122003-11-23vs JAXW 13–1025/3923611+0.03+43.60000.000.000
132003-12-01vs TENW 24–1718/2323122+0.30+30.80000.000.000
142003-12-07@ BUFL 6–1715/2915501−0.29−13.2140+2.500.000
152003-12-14vs PITW 6–015/2514400+0.12+9.5320−6.710.000
162003-12-20vs NEL 16–2124/4322905−0.18−47.1111+1.300.000
172003-12-28@ MIAL 21–2322/2822110+0.18+0.30000.000.000
2002 game log (17 games)

2002 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATacklesSacksINTPD
22002-09-15vs NEL 7–443/103900−0.51−0.10000.000.000
32002-09-22@ MIAL 3–302/33201−0.38−0.00000.000.000
42002-09-29@ JAXL 3–2821/3428101+0.220.00000.010.000
52002-10-06vs KCL 25–2922/2923721+0.22+25.9330+0.900.000
72002-10-20vs MINW 20–724/2932410+0.66+36.60000.000.000
82002-10-27vs CLEL 21–2419/2618321+0.02−6.40000.000.000
92002-11-03@ LACW 44–1328/3725310+0.28+23.0271+0.800.000
102002-11-10vs MIAW 13–1017/2716700+0.03+7.9130+0.400.000
112002-11-17@ DETW 31–1421/2622941+0.52+33.6120+0.800.000
122002-11-24vs BUFW 31–1315/2417810+0.16+8.8111+2.700.000
132002-12-02@ LVL 20–2622/3426521+0.31+12.80000.000.000
142002-12-08vs DENW 19–1319/3024410+0.17+25.6340+0.200.000
152002-12-15@ CHIL 13–2022/3320710+0.23−9.2100−2.800.000
162002-12-22@ NEW 30–1723/3328530+0.40+42.30000.000.000
172002-12-29vs GBW 42–1717/2419640+0.65+29.0230+0.200.000
P182003-01-04vs INDW 41–019/2522230+0.46+11.9130+0.300.000
P192003-01-12@ LVL 10–3021/4718312−0.13−9.9100−4.600.000
2001 game log (2 games)

2001 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
12001-09-09vs INDL 24–451/62400−0.31−0.0
62001-10-21vs LAL 14–349/146810−0.06−0.0
2000 game log (1 games)

2000 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCmp/AttPass ydsTDINTEPA/dbPass WPA
(WP pts)
CarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPA
152000-12-10@ LVL 7–312/56710+1.04−0.0100−1.1