Red Zone Math

Players › TE

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · 2023–2026

Born October 18, 1999 · College Utah; Univ of California-San Diego · Drafted 2023, round 1, pick 25 (BUF) · 6-3, 246 lb

Pro Bowl (2025)

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

0.000.200.400.600.802023202420252026

Receiving

SeasonTeamGTargetsRecYdsTDCatch %EPA/targetStabilised EPA/targetTarget
share %
aDOTRec EPARec WPA
(wins)
2023BUF169173673280.2+0.138+0.197+0.047 to +0.34717.65.9+12.6+0.42
2023 playoffsBUF2118104172.7+0.45016.48.9+5.0+0.11
2024BUF137544448258.7+0.197+0.230+0.074 to +0.38520.27.6+14.8−0.06
2024 playoffsBUF39671066.7+0.01411.710.9+0.1−0.13
2025BUF124939571579.6+0.823+0.379+0.213 to +0.54414.69.5+40.3+0.92
2025 playoffsBUF2119111281.8+0.95814.98.6+10.5+0.52
2026BUF83830429278.9+0.512+0.267+0.096 to +0.43717.19.4+19.5+0.54
CareerBUF492531862,1211173.5+0.34517.57.6+87.2+1.82

Defence

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

SeasonTeamGTacklesSacksQB hitsTackles
for loss
INTPasses
defensed
Forced
fumbles
2023BUF1620.000000
2025 playoffsBUF210.000000
CareerBUF4920.000000

Honours

Honours: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), matched to players through Wikidata (CC0). Awards and All-Pro teams are the Associated Press’s; Pro Bowl selections include replacements.

SeasonHonours
2025Pro Bowl

Playing time

Scrimmage snaps from 2016, in the games he played (share: of his team’s snaps in those games). A season’s snaps appear after its playoffs, when the data is published. Who was on the field: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on), CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTeamGOffensive
snaps
Share of the
offence’s snaps
Defensive
snaps
Share of the
defence’s snaps
2023BUF1669164.3––
2023 playoffsBUF28559.0––
2024BUF1346257.0––
2024 playoffsBUF39145.0––
2025BUF1228937.4––
2025 playoffsBUF26446.0––

Hands and contested catches

Regular season, 2022 on. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse, CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTargets
charted
Catchable %DropsDrop % of
catchable
Contested
targets
Contested
catch %
20239185.722.6742.9
20247565.324.1540.0
20254985.712.4850.0
20263884.226.2540.0

Game logs

2026 game log (8 games)

2026 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
12026-09-13@ HOUW 36–31651300+7.6
22026-09-17vs DETW 41–3187951+7.2
32026-09-27vs LACW 24–1632380−1.7
42026-10-04vs NEL 26–292170−1.4
52026-10-12@ LAW 37–34 OT2170−0.9
62026-10-18@ LVW 33–3087380−1.1
82026-11-01vs BALW 36–1064861+6.4
92026-11-09@ MINW 23–633280+3.2
2025 game log (14 games)

2025 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12025-09-07vs BALW 41–4044481+3.800.000
22025-09-14@ NYJW 30–1064370−0.600.000
32025-09-18vs MIAW 31–2165661+5.000.000
42025-09-28vs NOW 31–1921281+2.500.000
52025-10-05vs NEL 20–23661080+10.200.000
82025-10-26@ CARW 40–931230+1.500.000
92025-11-02vs KCW 28–21661011+8.600.000
102025-11-09@ MIAL 13–3032370+2.000.000
142025-12-07vs CINW 39–3454411+3.700.000
152025-12-14@ NEW 35–3143340+1.600.000
162025-12-21@ CLEW 23–201000−0.500.000
182026-01-04vs NYJW 35–833480+2.400.000
P192026-01-11@ JAXW 27–2453281+1.500.000
P202026-01-17@ DENL 30–33 OT66831+9.110.000
2024 game log (16 games)

2024 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
12024-09-08vs ARIW 34–2821110+0.3
22024-09-12@ MIAW 31–1044330+2.4
32024-09-23vs JAXW 47–1053411+3.8
42024-09-29@ BALL 10–3575470+1.6
52024-10-06@ HOUL 20–2362340−0.7
62024-10-14@ NYJW 23–2076510+1.6
72024-10-20vs TENW 34–1063520+5.0
82024-10-27@ SEAW 31–1074311+3.0
92024-11-03vs MIAW 30–27104320−1.5
102024-11-10@ INDW 30–2052240−0.9
152024-12-15@ DETW 48–4274530+0.9
162024-12-22vs NEW 24–2174150−2.2
172024-12-29vs NYJW 40–1422240+1.7
P192025-01-12vs DENW 31–733470+3.4
P202025-01-19vs BALW 27–2521110−0.2
P212025-01-26@ KCL 29–3242130−3.1
2023 game log (18 games)

2023 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12023-09-11@ NYJL 16–22 OT44260+1.600.000
22023-09-17vs LVW 38–1065430+1.600.000
32023-09-24@ WASW 37–32230−1.400.000
42023-10-01vs MIAW 48–2054270+0.900.000
52023-10-08vs JAXL 20–2522190+0.400.000
72023-10-22@ NEL 25–2988750+7.410.000
82023-10-26vs TBW 24–1875651−2.500.000
92023-11-05@ CINL 18–241110810−0.900.000
102023-11-13vs DENL 22–2465511+1.600.000
112023-11-19vs NYJW 32–676460+1.100.000
122023-11-26@ PHIL 34–37 OT65380+0.700.000
142023-12-10@ KCW 20–1785210−1.110.000
152023-12-17vs DALW 31–102000−1.200.000
162023-12-23@ LACW 24–222170−1.500.000
172023-12-31vs NEW 27–2174870+1.400.000
182024-01-07@ MIAW 21–1487840+4.600.000
P192024-01-15vs PITW 31–1763591+2.000.000
P202024-01-21vs KCL 24–2755450+3.000.000