Red Zone Math

Players › RB

Dare Ogunbowale

RB · TB/JAX/HOU · 2018–2026

Born May 4, 1994 · College Wisconsin · Undrafted · 5-11, 205 lb

EPA per carry by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

-0.30-0.20-0.100.002019202020212022202320242025

Rushing

SeasonTeamGCarriesYdsTDYPCEPA/carryStabilised EPA/carrySuccess %Rush EPARush WPA
(wins)
2019TB16111721.55−0.002−0.122−0.186 to −0.05927.3−0.0−0.03
2020JAX103214504.53−0.124−0.079−0.142 to −0.01631.2−4.0+0.04
2021JAX134313713.19−0.217−0.103−0.165 to −0.04027.9−9.4−0.12
2022HOU154212312.93−0.166−0.094−0.156 to −0.03139.5−7.1+0.00
2023HOU883504.38−0.251−0.117−0.181 to −0.05325.0−2.0+0.00
2023 playoffsHOU12703.50−0.6810.0−1.4−0.00
2024HOU163011203.73−0.299−0.103−0.166 to −0.04029.0−9.3−0.07
2024 playoffsHOU221407.00+0.312100.0+0.6−0.01
2025HOU14112512.27−0.333−0.087−0.151 to −0.02427.3−3.7−0.00
CareerHOU9517759453.36−0.19831.3−35.4−0.18

Receiving

SeasonTeamGTargetsRecYdsTDCatch %EPA/targetStabilised EPA/targetTarget
share %
aDOTRec EPARec WPA
(wins)
2019TB164635286076.1−0.2347.62.6−10.8−0.22
2020JAX10201054050.0−0.7005.40.8−14.0−0.10
2021JAX132113114161.9−0.0564.61.5−1.2−0.09
2022HOU152620104076.9−0.4715.3-0.4−12.2−0.16
2023HOU87218028.6−1.4352.54.4−10.0−0.14
2023 playoffsHOU111130100.0−0.0143.25.0−0.0−0.00
2024HOU162819198167.9+0.2005.41.7+5.6+0.73
2024 playoffsHOU21100100.0−0.3601.7-6.0−0.4−0.01
2025HOU14131076076.9−0.7102.91.8−9.2−0.38
2026HOU21130100.0−1.2201.40.0−1.2−0.00
CareerHOU95162110853267.9−0.3284.91.6−53.1−0.36

Defence

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

SeasonTeamGTacklesSacksQB hitsTackles
for loss
INTPasses
defensed
Forced
fumbles
2018TB110.000000
2019TB1640.000000
2020JAX10110.000000
2021JAX1370.000000
2022HOU15110.000000
2023HOU870.000001
2024HOU1660.000001
2024 playoffsHOU210.000000
2025HOU14160.000000
2026HOU220.000000
CareerHOU95650.000002

Kicking

Over expected: against the season’s average kicker from the same spots, in the same weather (our frozen FG model).

SeasonTeamGFGFG %Expected
FG %
FG points
over expected
Stabilised
per attempt
LongXPXP points
over expected
2023HOU11/1100.096.7+0.1+0.00−0.11 to +0.1229–0.0

Playing time

Scrimmage snaps from 2016, in the games he played (share: of his team’s snaps in those games). A season’s snaps appear after its playoffs, when the data is published. Who was on the field: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on), CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTeamGOffensive
snaps
Share of the
offence’s snaps
Defensive
snaps
Share of the
defence’s snaps
2017WAS111.8––
2019TB1633930.511.5
2020JAX1018529.111.5
2021JAX1218323.7––
2022HOU1317822.1––
2023HOU810719.9––
2023 playoffsHOU22224.2––
2024HOU1730528.011.2
2024 playoffsHOU23626.112.0
2025HOU1612711.811.5

Hands and contested catches

Regular season, 2022 on. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse, CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTargets
charted
Catchable %DropsDrop % of
catchable
Contested
targets
Contested
catch %
20222676.900.00–
2023714.300.020.0
20242875.014.80–
20251392.300.0333.3
20261100.000.00–

Game logs

2026 game log (2 games)

2026 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
62026-10-18@ JAXW 34–3100000.010.000
92026-11-08@ LACW 44–221130−1.210.000
2025 game log (14 games)

2025 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12025-09-07@ LAL 9–14290−1.122170−4.110.000
22025-09-15vs TBL 19–200000.000000.020.000
32025-09-21@ JAXL 10–170000.000000.010.000
52025-10-05@ BALW 44–100000.000000.020.000
72025-10-20@ SEAL 19–270000.01000−1.810.000
82025-10-26vs SFW 26–15190−0.21180−0.210.000
92025-11-02vs DENL 15–180000.01120−1.410.000
112025-11-16@ TENW 16–130000.01190−0.200.000
122025-11-20vs BUFW 23–190000.000000.010.000
132025-11-30@ INDW 20–160000.000000.010.000
142025-12-07@ KCW 20–10151+1.400000.030.000
152025-12-14vs ARIW 40–20520−2.143320+2.100.000
162025-12-21vs LVW 23–211-30−1.61120−1.110.000
182026-01-04vs INDW 38–30130−0.12160−2.510.000
2024 game log (18 games)

2024 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12024-09-08@ INDW 29–270000.01130−1.000.000
22024-09-15vs CHIW 19–13230−0.622200−0.610.000
32024-09-22@ MINL 7–340000.022280+0.900.000
42024-09-29vs JAXW 24–20270−1.044471+8.110.000
52024-10-06vs BUFW 23–2015300−10.276570+4.300.000
62024-10-13@ NEW 41–21280+0.100000.010.000
72024-10-20@ GBL 22–24160+0.91000−1.400.000
82024-10-27vs INDW 23–20140+0.61000−1.410.000
92024-10-31@ NYJL 13–211-10−0.83000−1.300.000
102024-11-10vs DETL 23–261110−0.200000.000.000
112024-11-18@ DALW 34–100000.011110+0.600.000
122024-11-24vs TENL 27–320000.000000.010.000
152024-12-15vs MIAW 20–121350+5.300000.000.000
162024-12-21@ KCL 19–270000.02000−0.710.000
172024-12-25vs BALL 2–312120−0.11160−2.900.000
182025-01-05@ TENW 23–142-30−3.132260+1.100.000
P192025-01-11vs LACW 32–12150+0.200000.010.000
P202025-01-18@ KCL 14–23190+0.41100−0.400.000
2023 game log (10 games)

2023 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPDFGLongFG points
over exp.
XP
22023-09-17vs INDL 20–31240+1.000000.000.000––––
92023-11-05vs TBW 39–37–––––––––––––1/129+0.1–
102023-11-12@ CINW 30–270000.000000.020.000––––
132023-12-03vs DENW 22–17110−0.811140−0.100.000––––
142023-12-10@ NYJL 6–30270−0.92140−0.600.000––––
152023-12-17@ TENW 19–16 OT1170+0.51000−7.120.000––––
162023-12-24vs CLEL 22–36160−0.53000−2.300.000––––
172023-12-31vs TENW 26–3100−1.300000.010.000––––
182024-01-06@ INDW 23–190000.000000.020.000––––
P202024-01-20@ BALL 10–34270−1.411130−0.000.000––––
2022 game log (15 games)

2022 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
22022-09-18@ DENL 9–160000.000000.010.000
42022-10-02vs LACL 24–340000.000000.010.000
52022-10-09@ JAXW 13–60000.000000.020.000
72022-10-23@ LVL 20–38180+0.875540+0.210.000
82022-10-30vs TENL 10–170000.01100−0.810.000
92022-11-03vs PHIL 17–290000.000000.010.000
102022-11-13@ NYGL 16–240000.011130+2.410.000
112022-11-20vs WASL 10–230000.01150−0.500.000
122022-11-27@ MIAL 15–304141+0.52160−0.400.000
132022-12-04vs CLEL 14–27280+1.032130−8.910.000
142022-12-11@ DALL 23–271-30−1.62240−0.000.000
152022-12-18vs KCL 24–30 OT8140−4.200000.000.000
162022-12-24@ TENW 19–148280−0.000000.010.000
172023-01-01vs JAXL 3–317210−2.83240−2.210.000
182023-01-08@ INDW 32–3111330−0.96550−1.900.000
2021 game log (13 games)

2021 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12021-09-12@ HOUL 21–370000.000000.020.000
42021-09-30@ CINL 21–24230−0.600000.000.000
52021-10-10vs TENL 19–370000.011190+0.900.000
62021-10-17vs MIAW 23–200000.000000.010.000
82021-10-31@ SEAL 7–31290−0.41190+0.610.000
92021-11-07vs BUFW 9–6110+0.41140+0.100.000
122021-11-28vs ATLL 14–210000.01000−0.700.000
132021-12-05@ LAL 7–370000.000000.010.000
142021-12-12@ TENL 0–200000.03250−3.720.000
152021-12-19vs HOUL 16–30110−1.22150−0.400.000
162021-12-26@ NYJL 21–2617571−1.942150+0.300.000
172022-01-02@ NEL 10–509360−0.922321+3.100.000
182022-01-09vs INDW 26–1111300−4.763250−1.500.000
2020 game log (10 games)

2020 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
32020-09-24vs MIAL 13–310000.000000.020.000
52020-10-11@ HOUL 14–300000.000000.010.000
72020-10-25@ LACL 29–390000.000000.020.000
102020-11-15@ GBL 20–240000.02150−0.420.000
112020-11-22vs PITL 3–270000.02000−2.310.000
132020-12-06@ MINL 24–27 OT270+0.12000−1.310.000
142020-12-13vs TENL 10–310000.011120+0.820.000
152020-12-20@ BALL 14–402170+0.51180+1.800.000
162020-12-27vs CHIL 17–4114710−1.35370−7.600.000
172021-01-03@ INDL 14–2814500−3.374220−5.000.000
2019 game log (16 games)

2019 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12019-09-08vs SFL 17–310000.054330−7.600.000
22019-09-12@ CARW 20–140000.01190−0.410.000
32019-09-22vs NYGL 31–320000.033230+0.510.000
42019-09-29@ LAW 55–40100−0.443160+0.500.000
52019-10-06@ NOL 24–311-40−0.632270+0.400.000
62019-10-13vs CARL 26–37131+1.753220−0.400.000
82019-10-27@ TENL 23–271-20−1.43130−1.400.000
92019-11-03@ SEAL 34–40 OT111+0.911120+0.600.000
102019-11-10vs ARIW 30–270000.033240+1.500.000
112019-11-17vs NOL 17–34200−1.243100−0.610.000
122019-11-24@ ATLW 35–221120+1.61000−3.910.000
132019-12-01@ JAXW 28–11100−0.322120−1.700.000
142019-12-08vs INDW 38–350000.055480+1.600.000
152019-12-15@ DETW 38–17130−0.211130+1.200.000
162019-12-21vs HOUL 20–230000.053340−1.000.000
172019-12-29vs ATLL 22–28 OT140−0.100000.000.000
2018 game log (1 games)

2018 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTacklesSacksINTPD
112018-11-18@ NYGL 35–3810.000