Doug Flutie

QB · BUF/LAC/NE · 1999–2005

Born October 23, 1962 · College Boston College · Drafted 1985, round 11, pick 285 (LA) · 5-10, 180 lb

EPA per dropback by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Cmp %	Yds	TD	INT	Dropbacks	EPA/db	Stabilised EPA/db	WPA/db (WP pts)	Total WPA (wins)	CPOE	Success %	ANY/A	Rank (EPA/db)
1999	BUF	15	264	478	55.2	3,171	19	16	587	+0.092	+0.092+0.004 to +0.180	−0.00	−0.01	–	44.0	5.28	12
2000	BUF	10	129	225	57.3	1,656	8	2	267	+0.134	+0.036−0.071 to +0.143	+0.44	+1.17	–	44.2	7.10	13
2001	LAC	16	294	521	56.4	3,464	15	18	602	+0.083	+0.078−0.009 to +0.166	+0.03	+0.16	–	42.9	5.10	10
2002	LAC	1	3	11	27.3	64	0	0	12	−0.069	−0.128−0.263 to +0.007	−0.97	−0.12	–	25.0	5.82	–
2003	LAC	7	91	167	54.5	1,097	9	4	198	+0.101	−0.038−0.151 to +0.075	+0.22	+0.44	–	44.4	6.22	10
2004	LAC	2	20	38	52.6	276	1	0	41	+0.426	−0.057−0.187 to +0.074	+0.44	+0.18	–	51.2	7.61	–
2005	NE	3	5	10	50.0	29	0	0	12	−0.255	−0.118−0.253 to +0.017	−0.01	−0.00	–	25.0	1.45	–
Career	NE	54	806	1,450	55.6	9,757	52	40	1,719	+0.101		+0.11	+1.83	–	43.6	5.64	–

Season	Team	G	Carries	Yds	TD	YPC	EPA/carry	Success %	Rush EPA	Rush WPA (wins)
1999	BUF	15	12	51	1	4.25	−0.185	38.5	−2.4	−0.01
2000	BUF	10	15	-12	1	-0.80	−0.839	26.7	−12.6	−0.42
2001	LAC	16	17	-6	0	-0.35	−0.685	22.2	−12.3	−0.25
2003	LAC	7	12	21	2	1.75	−0.558	38.5	−7.2	−0.10
2004	LAC	2	2	7	2	3.50	+1.825	100.0	+3.7	+0.07
2005	NE	3	1	0	0	0.00	−2.225	0.0	−2.2	−0.00
Career	NE	54	59	61	6	1.03	−0.534	32.3	−33.1	−0.71

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	QB hits	Tackles for loss	Passes defensed
1999	BUF	15	3	–	–	–
2000	BUF	10	2	–	–	–
2004	LAC	2	1	–	–	–
Career	NE	54	6	0	0	0

Over expected: against the season’s average kicker from the same spots, in the same weather (our frozen FG model).

Season	Team	G	FG	FG %	Expected FG %	FG points over expected	Stabilised per attempt	Long	XP	XP points over expected
2005	NE	1	–	–	–	0.0		–	1/1	+0.0

2005 game log (4 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Cmp/Att	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db	Pass WPA (WP pts)	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	FG	Long	FG points over exp.	XP
9	2005-11-07	vs IND	L 21–40	3/7	20	0	0	−0.25	−0.1	0	0	0	0.0	–	–	–	–
14	2005-12-11	@ BUF	W 35–7	1/2	7	0	0	−0.07	−0.0	0	0	0	0.0	–	–	–	–
16	2005-12-26	@ NYJ	W 31–21	1/1	2	0	0	−0.86	−0.0	1	0	0	−2.2	–	–	–	–
17	2006-01-01	vs MIA	L 26–28	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.0	1/1

2004 game log (2 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Cmp/Att	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db	Pass WPA (WP pts)	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	Tackles	Sacks	INT	PD
2	2004-09-19	vs NYJ	L 28–34	7/15	77	0	0	+0.33	−0.8	1	6	1	+2.5	0	0.0	0	0
17	2005-01-02	vs KC	W 24–17	13/22	199	1	0	+0.48	+18.8	1	1	1	+1.1	1	0.0	0	0

2003 game log (7 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Cmp/Att	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db	Pass WPA (WP pts)	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA
9	2003-11-02	@ CHI	L 7–20	8/11	70	0	0	+0.23	−4.6	1	2	0	+0.6
10	2003-11-09	vs MIN	W 42–28	21/29	248	2	0	+0.52	+46.4	5	14	2	+2.7
11	2003-11-16	@ DEN	L 8–37	9/25	70	1	1	−0.50	−7.4	2	0	0	−8.4
12	2003-11-23	vs CIN	L 27–34	15/33	210	2	0	+0.12	−8.7	0	0	0	−0.7
13	2003-11-30	vs KC	L 24–28	16/32	213	2	2	+0.16	−3.3	2	1	0	−4.2
14	2003-12-07	@ DET	W 14–7	17/25	244	2	1	+0.14	+22.2	2	4	0	+2.7
16	2003-12-21	@ PIT	L 24–40	5/9	42	0	0	−0.18	−0.4	0	0	0	0.0

2002 game log (1 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Cmp/Att	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db	Pass WPA (WP pts)
15	2002-12-15	@ BUF	L 13–20	3/11	64	0	0	−0.07	−11.6

2001 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Cmp/Att	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db	Pass WPA (WP pts)	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA
1	2001-09-09	vs WAS	W 30–3	10/18	129	0	2	+0.10	−2.5	3	-3	+0.1
2	2001-09-23	@ DAL	W 32–21	23/38	348	2	0	+0.51	+35.3	1	-1	−1.9
3	2001-09-30	vs CIN	W 28–14	12/19	133	1	0	+0.15	+7.7	4	0	−1.8
4	2001-10-07	@ CLE	L 16–20	17/37	149	0	0	−0.08	−40.1	1	-2	−1.5
5	2001-10-14	@ NE	L 26–29 OT	20/32	270	1	0	+0.30	+33.7	0	0	0.0
6	2001-10-21	vs DEN	W 27–10	21/32	280	2	1	+0.31	+9.5	3	0	−1.8
7	2001-10-28	vs BUF	W 27–24	21/33	254	1	0	+0.25	+33.9	1	-1	−0.0
8	2001-11-04	vs KC	L 20–25	6/16	61	0	1	−0.36	−21.6	0	0	0.0
9	2001-11-11	@ DEN	L 16–26	12/31	165	1	4	−0.34	−21.2	0	0	0.0
10	2001-11-18	@ LV	L 24–34	12/27	98	0	1	−0.08	−8.4	1	0	−4.3
11	2001-11-25	vs ARI	L 17–20	33/44	308	2	0	+0.32	+41.9	1	-3	−2.0
12	2001-12-02	@ SEA	L 10–13 OT	19/33	195	0	2	+0.05	−13.7	0	0	0.0
13	2001-12-09	@ PHI	L 14–24	20/44	307	2	2	+0.04	−4.7	2	4	+0.9
14	2001-12-15	vs LV	L 6–13	19/37	215	0	3	−0.26	−49.2	0	0	0.0
15	2001-12-23	@ KC	L 17–20	15/27	175	2	0	+0.20	+19.0	0	0	0.0
16	2001-12-30	vs SEA	L 22–25	34/53	377	1	2	+0.04	−3.2	0	0	0.0

2000 game log (10 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Cmp/Att	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db	Pass WPA (WP pts)	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	Tackles
7	2000-10-15	vs LAC	W 27–24 OT	2/3	30	0	0	+0.38	+7.8	0	0	0	0.0	0
8	2000-10-22	@ MIN	L 27–31	28/43	294	2	0	+0.35	+24.3	0	0	0	0.0	0
9	2000-10-29	vs NYJ	W 23–20	18/35	253	0	0	−0.00	+32.1	2	-3	0	+0.2	0
10	2000-11-05	@ NE	W 16–13 OT	18/37	179	1	0	+0.12	+14.5	2	-1	0	−3.4	1
11	2000-11-12	vs CHI	W 20–3	16/26	171	0	1	−0.47	−3.5	4	-3	1	+2.7	0
13	2000-11-26	@ TB	L 17–31	4/10	57	0	0	+0.04	−4.8	0	0	0	0.0	1
14	2000-12-03	vs MIA	L 6–33	2/9	31	0	1	−0.60	−0.3	0	0	0	0.0	0
15	2000-12-11	@ IND	L 20–44	6/12	82	1	0	+0.29	−0.1	0	0	0	0.0	0
16	2000-12-17	vs NE	L 10–13 OT	15/25	193	1	0	−0.10	−8.2	4	-5	0	−9.3	0
17	2000-12-23	@ SEA	W 42–23	20/25	366	3	0	+1.07	+55.2	3	0	0	−2.8	0

1999 game log (15 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Cmp/Att	Pass yds	TD	INT	EPA/db	Pass WPA (WP pts)	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	Tackles
1	1999-09-12	@ IND	L 14–31	22/42	300	1	2	−0.20	−25.1	0	0	0	0.0	0
2	1999-09-19	vs NYJ	W 17–3	15/25	160	0	0	+0.09	+16.9	1	24	1	+3.4	0
3	1999-09-26	vs PHI	W 26–0	18/26	175	1	1	+0.16	+0.8	1	1	0	−1.8	0
4	1999-10-04	@ MIA	W 23–18	12/25	186	1	0	+0.08	+14.7	2	6	0	−0.4	0
5	1999-10-10	vs PIT	W 24–21	21/32	261	3	0	+0.42	+29.9	0	0	0	0.0	0
6	1999-10-17	vs LV	L 14–20	19/40	210	1	3	−0.29	−57.2	2	24	0	+1.5	1
7	1999-10-24	@ SEA	L 16–26	24/50	294	2	2	−0.02	−12.7	1	-5	0	−1.4	0
8	1999-10-31	@ BAL	W 13–10	18/40	155	1	3	−0.01	−0.3	1	-1	0	−0.8	0
9	1999-11-07	@ WAS	W 34–17	16/22	211	2	0	+0.88	+42.4	1	-1	0	−0.0	0
10	1999-11-14	vs MIA	W 23–3	10/20	157	1	0	+0.29	+5.0	1	10	0	+1.8	0
11	1999-11-21	@ NYJ	L 7–17	22/40	220	1	2	−0.14	−29.6	0	0	0	0.0	1
12	1999-11-28	vs NE	W 17–7	9/16	207	2	0	+0.79	+32.9	2	-7	0	−4.7	0
14	1999-12-12	vs NYG	L 17–19	15/32	184	1	1	−0.19	−44.6	0	0	0	0.0	0
15	1999-12-19	@ ARI	W 31–21	21/32	239	2	2	+0.28	+13.1	0	0	0	0.0	0
16	1999-12-26	@ NE	W 13–10 OT	22/35	212	0	0	+0.24	+12.8	0	0	0	0.0	1