Ernest Wilford

WR · JAX/MIA · 2004–2010

Born January 14, 1979 · College Virginia Tech · Drafted 2004, round 4, pick 120 (JAX) · 6-4, 235 lb

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Season	Team	G	Targets	Rec	Yds	TD	Catch %	EPA/target	Stabilised EPA/target	Target share %	aDOT	Rec EPA	Rec WPA (wins)
2004	JAX	15	35	19	271	2	54.3	+0.213	+0.147−0.030 to +0.324	7.2	–	+7.4	+1.13
2005	JAX	16	74	41	681	7	55.4	+0.515	+0.278+0.115 to +0.442	15.4	–	+38.1	+0.91
2005 playoffs	JAX	1	9	4	53	0	44.4	−0.011		23.1	–	−0.1	+0.03
2006	JAX	16	74	36	524	2	48.6	+0.056	+0.125−0.038 to +0.289	16.7	15.7	+4.1	+0.06
2007	JAX	16	74	45	518	3	60.8	+0.365	+0.219+0.055 to +0.382	15.9	11.3	+27.0	+0.42
2007 playoffs	JAX	2	7	4	60	1	57.1	+0.846		13.0	12.9	+5.9	+0.02
2008	MIA	4	6	3	25	0	50.0	+0.054	−0.060−0.249 to +0.129	5.7	11.3	+0.3	+0.03
2009	JAX	11	21	11	123	1	52.4	+0.098	+0.018−0.165 to +0.200	5.6	9.0	+2.1	+0.09
2010	JAX	2	2	1	3	0	50.0	−2.700	−0.088−0.279 to +0.104	2.8	2.5	−5.4	−0.00
Career	JAX	80	286	156	2,145	15	54.5	+0.257		11.8	12.8	+73.6	+2.64

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	QB hits	Tackles for loss	Passes defensed
2004	JAX	15	5	–	–	–
2005	JAX	16	1	–	–	–
2007 playoffs	JAX	2	1	0	–	–
Career	JAX	80	6	0	0	0

2010 game log (2 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA
2	2010-09-19	@ LAC	L 13–38	1	1	3	0	−2.7
3	2010-09-26	vs PHI	L 3–28	1	0	0	0	−2.7

2009 game log (11 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA
2	2009-09-20	vs ARI	L 17–31	1	0	0	0	−0.9
3	2009-09-27	@ HOU	W 31–24	1	1	13	0	+2.1
4	2009-10-04	vs TEN	W 37–17	3	1	29	0	+0.7
6	2009-10-18	vs LA	W 23–20 OT	1	1	1	0	−0.3
8	2009-11-01	@ TEN	L 13–30	5	2	18	0	−1.8
11	2009-11-22	vs BUF	W 18–15	1	0	0	0	−1.4
12	2009-11-29	@ SF	L 3–20	2	2	39	0	+3.1
13	2009-12-06	vs HOU	W 23–18	3	2	11	1	+1.6
14	2009-12-13	vs MIA	L 10–14	1	1	5	0	−0.9
15	2009-12-17	vs IND	L 31–35	2	1	7	0	+0.1
17	2010-01-03	@ CLE	L 17–23	1	0	0	0	−0.3

2008 game log (4 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA
2	2008-09-14	@ ARI	L 10–31	2	0	0	−1.9
3	2008-09-21	@ NE	W 38–13	1	1	15	+1.8
13	2008-11-30	@ LA	W 16–12	1	0	0	−0.3
14	2008-12-07	@ BUF	W 16–3	2	2	10	+0.7

2007 game log (18 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2007-09-09	vs TEN	L 10–13	3	2	20	0	+1.4	0
2	2007-09-16	vs ATL	W 13–7	2	1	33	0	+3.0	0
3	2007-09-23	@ DEN	W 23–14	2	2	10	0	+2.2	0
5	2007-10-07	@ KC	W 17–7	1	1	12	0	+1.2	0
6	2007-10-14	vs HOU	W 37–17	2	1	4	0	−0.8	0
7	2007-10-22	vs IND	L 7–29	8	6	53	0	+3.0	0
8	2007-10-28	@ TB	W 24–23	3	1	13	0	+0.4	0
9	2007-11-04	@ NO	L 24–41	6	3	46	0	−6.7	0
10	2007-11-11	@ TEN	W 28–13	5	2	24	0	−1.1	0
11	2007-11-18	vs LAC	W 24–17	3	2	31	0	+2.3	0
12	2007-11-25	vs BUF	W 36–14	8	5	60	0	+3.9	0
13	2007-12-02	@ IND	L 25–28	5	5	72	0	+6.1	0
14	2007-12-09	vs CAR	W 37–6	8	4	38	0	+1.2	0
15	2007-12-16	@ PIT	W 29–22	6	2	22	1	−0.9	0
16	2007-12-23	vs LV	W 49–11	4	2	22	0	+1.4	0
17	2007-12-30	@ HOU	L 28–42	8	6	58	2	+10.5	0
P18	2008-01-05	@ PIT	W 31–29	3	2	39	0	+2.2	1
P19	2008-01-12	@ NE	L 20–31	4	2	21	1	+3.7	0

2006 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA
1	2006-09-10	vs DAL	W 24–17	5	3	58	0	+1.8
2	2006-09-18	vs PIT	W 9–0	6	4	27	0	+0.3
3	2006-09-24	@ IND	L 14–21	6	3	32	0	+0.7
4	2006-10-01	@ WAS	L 30–36 OT	6	3	30	0	+1.0
5	2006-10-08	vs NYJ	W 41–0	2	1	40	0	+3.2
7	2006-10-22	@ HOU	L 7–27	6	2	26	0	−5.6
8	2006-10-29	@ PHI	W 13–6	2	1	16	0	−1.1
9	2006-11-05	vs TEN	W 37–7	6	3	44	2	+3.8
10	2006-11-12	vs HOU	L 10–13	8	2	50	0	−4.2
11	2006-11-20	vs NYG	W 26–10	8	5	72	0	+1.9
12	2006-11-26	@ BUF	L 24–27	2	1	12	0	+0.4
13	2006-12-03	@ MIA	W 24–10	5	2	33	0	+1.4
14	2006-12-10	vs IND	W 44–17	1	0	0	0	−0.7
15	2006-12-17	@ TEN	L 17–24	4	2	12	0	−1.0
16	2006-12-24	vs NE	L 21–24	2	2	44	0	+2.7
17	2006-12-31	@ KC	L 30–35	5	2	28	0	−0.3

2005 game log (17 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2005-09-11	vs SEA	W 26–14	2	1	14	0	+0.3	0
2	2005-09-18	@ IND	L 3–10	1	1	25	0	+1.3	0
3	2005-09-25	@ NYJ	W 26–20 OT	3	2	35	1	+5.0	1
4	2005-10-02	vs DEN	L 7–20	4	2	17	0	−1.0	0
5	2005-10-09	vs CIN	W 23–20	1	1	11	1	+2.0	0
6	2005-10-16	@ PIT	W 23–17 OT	2	2	15	0	+2.5	0
8	2005-10-30	@ LA	L 21–24	7	6	145	1	+8.7	0
9	2005-11-06	vs HOU	W 21–14	7	4	89	1	+6.7	0
10	2005-11-13	vs BAL	W 30–3	7	1	10	0	−4.6	0
11	2005-11-20	@ TEN	W 31–28	7	5	47	1	+4.3	0
12	2005-11-27	@ ARI	W 24–17	4	2	28	0	+0.8	0
13	2005-12-04	@ CLE	W 20–14	5	3	36	0	+1.9	0
14	2005-12-11	vs IND	L 18–26	5	3	23	0	+0.3	0
15	2005-12-18	vs SF	W 10–9	6	2	28	0	−0.6	0
16	2005-12-24	@ HOU	W 38–20	10	4	118	1	+7.5	0
17	2006-01-01	vs TEN	W 40–13	3	2	40	1	+2.9	0
P18	2006-01-07	@ NE	L 3–28	9	4	53	0	−0.1	0

2004 game log (15 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2004-09-12	@ BUF	W 13–10	2	1	7	1	+3.5	0
2	2004-09-19	vs DEN	W 7–6	1	1	12	1	+3.2	0
3	2004-09-26	@ TEN	W 15–12	3	1	6	0	−0.7	1
4	2004-10-03	vs IND	L 17–24	7	6	56	0	+3.7	1
5	2004-10-10	@ LAC	L 21–34	3	2	49	0	−0.5	0
6	2004-10-17	vs KC	W 22–16	5	2	22	0	−0.3	0
7	2004-10-24	@ IND	W 27–24	1	1	9	0	+1.4	0
8	2004-10-31	@ HOU	L 6–20	3	0	0	0	−8.4	1
10	2004-11-14	vs DET	W 23–17 OT	1	0	0	0	−0.7	0
12	2004-11-28	@ MIN	L 16–27	1	0	0	0	−1.1	0
13	2004-12-05	vs PIT	L 16–17	1	1	36	0	+3.8	0
14	2004-12-12	vs CHI	W 22–3	2	1	9	0	+0.2	0
15	2004-12-19	@ GB	W 28–25	1	0	0	0	−0.8	1
16	2004-12-26	vs HOU	L 0–21	1	1	9	0	−0.3	0
17	2005-01-02	@ LV	W 13–6	3	2	56	0	+4.4	1