Josh Reed

WR · BUF · 2002–2009

Born May 1, 1980 · College LSU · Drafted 2002, round 2, pick 36 (BUF) · 5-10, 210 lb

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Season	Team	G	Carries	Yds	YPC	EPA/carry	Success %	Rush EPA	Rush WPA (wins)
2003	BUF	16	3	38	12.67	+0.862	100.0	+2.6	+0.05
2004	BUF	11	2	-1	-0.50	−0.455	50.0	−0.9	−0.01
2005	BUF	16	1	-3	-3.00	−1.061	0.0	−1.1	−0.02
2006	BUF	13	4	13	3.25	+0.014	50.0	+0.1	−0.02
2007	BUF	15	4	10	2.50	−0.238	25.0	−1.0	−0.01
Career	BUF	113	14	57	4.07	−0.020	50.0	−0.3	−0.01

Season	Team	G	Targets	Rec	Yds	TD	Catch %	EPA/target	Stabilised EPA/target	Target share %	aDOT	Rec EPA	Rec WPA (wins)
2002	BUF	16	59	37	509	2	62.7	+0.470	+0.230+0.062 to +0.398	9.8	–	+27.7	+0.74
2003	BUF	16	104	58	588	2	55.8	−0.038	+0.105−0.050 to +0.260	21.3	–	−3.9	−0.29
2004	BUF	11	36	16	153	0	44.4	−0.112	+0.099−0.077 to +0.275	11.4	–	−4.0	−0.10
2005	BUF	16	53	32	449	2	60.4	+0.187	+0.158−0.012 to +0.328	11.9	–	+9.9	+0.06
2006	BUF	13	48	34	410	2	70.8	+0.426	+0.168−0.004 to +0.340	14.0	8.6	+20.5	−0.11
2007	BUF	15	87	51	578	0	58.6	−0.198	+0.063−0.096 to +0.222	21.4	7.4	−17.2	+0.20
2008	BUF	13	80	56	597	1	70.0	+0.302	+0.210+0.049 to +0.371	20.6	9.0	+24.2	+0.62
2009	BUF	13	45	27	291	1	60.0	−0.126	+0.053−0.120 to +0.226	12.6	8.2	−5.7	−0.11
Career	BUF	113	512	311	3,575	10	60.7	+0.100		15.3	8.3	+51.4	+1.02

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	QB hits	Tackles for loss	Passes defensed
2002	BUF	16	2	–	–	–
2003	BUF	16	7	–	–	–
2005	BUF	16	3	–	–	–
2007	BUF	15	1	0	–	–
2008	BUF	13	1	0	–	–
2009	BUF	13	2	0	0	0
Career	BUF	113	16	0	0	0

2009 game log (13 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
2	2009-09-20	vs TB	W 33–20	4	4	46	0	+4.1	0
3	2009-09-27	vs NO	L 7–27	6	6	60	0	+5.0	0
4	2009-10-04	@ MIA	L 10–38	2	1	3	1	−3.2	0
5	2009-10-11	vs CLE	L 3–6	2	0	0	0	−1.9	0
6	2009-10-18	@ NYJ	W 16–13 OT	1	1	10	0	+1.5	0
7	2009-10-25	@ CAR	W 20–9	3	2	14	0	+0.9	0
8	2009-11-01	vs HOU	L 10–31	4	3	29	0	+1.6	1
10	2009-11-15	@ TEN	L 17–41	4	2	16	0	−6.5	0
11	2009-11-22	@ JAX	L 15–18	5	3	40	0	−1.7	0
12	2009-11-29	vs MIA	W 31–14	3	1	10	0	−1.5	0
13	2009-12-03	vs NYJ	L 13–19	2	0	0	0	−2.2	0
14	2009-12-13	@ KC	W 16–10	1	0	0	0	−1.3	0
15	2009-12-20	vs NE	L 10–17	8	4	63	0	−0.5	1

2008 game log (13 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2008-09-07	vs SEA	W 34–10	3	3	37	0	+3.0	0
2	2008-09-14	@ JAX	W 20–16	5	4	36	0	+2.1	0
3	2008-09-21	vs LV	W 24–23	8	6	72	0	+6.2	0
4	2008-09-28	@ LA	W 31–14	5	4	47	0	+3.7	0
5	2008-10-05	@ ARI	L 17–41	5	4	45	0	+3.0	0
7	2008-10-19	vs LAC	W 23–14	4	3	32	0	+1.4	0
8	2008-10-26	@ MIA	L 16–25	3	2	19	0	−0.5	0
12	2008-11-23	@ KC	W 54–31	7	5	50	1	+1.3	0
13	2008-11-30	vs SF	L 3–10	10	5	58	0	−0.6	0
14	2008-12-07	vs MIA	L 3–16	7	5	58	0	+6.0	0
15	2008-12-14	@ NYJ	L 27–31	8	4	43	0	−1.4	1
16	2008-12-21	@ DEN	W 30–23	10	9	79	0	+2.4	0
17	2008-12-28	vs NE	L 0–13	5	2	21	0	−2.4	0

2007 game log (15 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2007-09-09	vs DEN	L 14–15	1	12	+1.2	4	4	37	+1.1	0
3	2007-09-23	@ NE	L 7–38	0	0	0.0	2	2	27	+1.8	0
4	2007-09-30	vs NYJ	W 17–14	1	4	−0.1	6	4	64	+5.0	0
5	2007-10-08	vs DAL	L 24–25	0	0	0.0	6	5	35	+0.9	0
7	2007-10-21	vs BAL	W 19–14	0	0	0.0	3	1	25	−0.5	0
8	2007-10-28	@ NYJ	W 13–3	0	0	0.0	6	4	40	+2.8	0
9	2007-11-04	vs CIN	W 33–21	1	0	−0.6	9	6	55	−1.3	0
10	2007-11-11	@ MIA	W 13–10	0	0	0.0	7	3	40	−2.4	0
11	2007-11-18	vs NE	L 10–56	0	0	0.0	8	3	44	−7.8	0
12	2007-11-25	@ JAX	L 14–36	0	0	0.0	10	6	50	−6.9	1
13	2007-12-02	@ WAS	W 17–16	0	0	0.0	7	5	67	+3.2	0
14	2007-12-09	vs MIA	W 38–17	0	0	0.0	4	3	30	+0.6	0
15	2007-12-16	@ CLE	L 0–8	1	-6	−1.4	6	3	29	−5.1	0
16	2007-12-23	vs NYG	L 21–38	0	0	0.0	7	1	11	−10.6	0
17	2007-12-30	@ PHI	L 9–17	0	0	0.0	2	1	24	+1.8	0

2006 game log (13 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA
1	2006-09-10	@ NE	L 17–19	0	0	0.0	3	3	40	0	+4.1
2	2006-09-17	@ MIA	W 16–6	0	0	0.0	4	4	39	1	+4.3
3	2006-09-24	vs NYJ	L 20–28	0	0	0.0	6	4	45	0	−2.6
4	2006-10-01	vs MIN	W 17–12	0	0	0.0	4	4	43	0	+2.6
5	2006-10-08	@ CHI	L 7–40	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	−1.6
6	2006-10-15	@ DET	L 17–20	0	0	0.0	5	3	24	0	+2.3
7	2006-10-22	vs NE	L 6–28	1	1	−0.4	4	4	32	0	+0.5
9	2006-11-05	vs GB	W 24–10	0	0	0.0	1	1	6	0	+0.0
13	2006-12-03	vs LAC	L 21–24	0	0	0.0	7	4	50	0	+5.6
14	2006-12-10	@ NYJ	W 31–13	0	0	0.0	2	1	11	0	−0.5
15	2006-12-17	vs MIA	W 21–0	1	-6	−1.1	4	4	50	1	+5.9
16	2006-12-24	vs TEN	L 29–30	1	15	+0.9	3	2	70	0	+2.9
17	2006-12-31	@ BAL	L 7–19	1	3	+0.7	4	0	0	0	−3.0

2005 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2005-09-11	vs HOU	W 22–7	0	0	0.0	4	1	6	0	−2.9	0
2	2005-09-18	@ TB	L 3–19	0	0	0.0	7	6	71	0	+4.2	0
3	2005-09-25	vs ATL	L 16–24	0	0	0.0	3	2	24	0	+1.8	0
4	2005-10-02	@ NO	L 7–19	0	0	0.0	1	1	14	0	+1.9	0
5	2005-10-09	vs MIA	W 20–14	0	0	0.0	2	2	13	0	+0.2	0
6	2005-10-16	vs NYJ	W 27–17	0	0	0.0	1	1	17	0	+1.0	0
7	2005-10-23	@ LV	L 17–38	0	0	0.0	4	4	31	1	+3.7	0
8	2005-10-30	@ NE	L 16–21	0	0	0.0	6	2	19	0	−5.0	0
10	2005-11-13	vs KC	W 14–3	0	0	0.0	4	1	28	0	−0.9	0
11	2005-11-20	@ LAC	L 10–48	0	0	0.0	5	1	9	0	−2.9	0
12	2005-11-27	vs CAR	L 9–13	0	0	0.0	1	1	29	0	+2.7	0
13	2005-12-04	@ MIA	L 23–24	0	0	0.0	3	2	35	0	−1.8	2
14	2005-12-11	vs NE	L 7–35	0	0	0.0	4	2	76	1	+3.3	0
15	2005-12-17	vs DEN	L 17–28	1	-3	−1.1	3	2	12	0	−1.8	0
16	2005-12-24	@ CIN	W 37–27	0	0	0.0	3	3	60	0	+5.3	0
17	2006-01-01	@ NYJ	L 26–30	0	0	0.0	2	1	5	0	+1.2	1

2004 game log (11 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA
1	2004-09-12	vs JAX	L 10–13	1	-7	−1.2	3	2	18	−0.2
2	2004-09-19	@ LV	L 10–13	0	0	0.0	5	2	29	+0.2
4	2004-10-03	vs NE	L 17–31	1	6	+0.3	3	0	0	−2.3
5	2004-10-10	@ NYJ	L 14–16	0	0	0.0	2	0	0	−0.9
6	2004-10-17	vs MIA	W 20–13	0	0	0.0	1	1	14	+2.2
7	2004-10-24	@ BAL	L 6–20	0	0	0.0	9	4	32	−2.9
13	2004-12-05	@ MIA	W 42–32	0	0	0.0	4	2	19	+0.8
14	2004-12-12	vs CLE	W 37–7	0	0	0.0	2	1	6	+0.2
15	2004-12-19	@ CIN	W 33–17	0	0	0.0	4	2	24	−0.5
16	2004-12-26	@ SF	W 41–7	0	0	0.0	2	2	11	+0.4
17	2005-01-02	vs PIT	L 24–29	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	−0.9

2003 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2003-09-07	vs NE	W 31–0	0	0	0.0	6	1	5	0	−2.0	1
2	2003-09-14	@ JAX	W 38–17	0	0	0.0	8	5	71	0	+5.9	0
3	2003-09-21	@ MIA	L 7–17	0	0	0.0	5	3	27	0	−2.6	2
4	2003-09-28	vs PHI	L 13–23	0	0	0.0	3	1	9	0	−1.4	0
5	2003-10-05	vs CIN	W 22–16 OT	0	0	0.0	4	1	20	0	−0.6	0
6	2003-10-12	@ NYJ	L 3–30	0	0	0.0	7	3	42	0	+1.7	0
7	2003-10-19	vs WAS	W 24–7	0	0	0.0	11	8	109	1	+2.7	1
8	2003-10-26	@ KC	L 5–38	0	0	0.0	9	8	59	0	−6.1	1
10	2003-11-09	@ DAL	L 6–10	1	8	+0.3	7	4	30	0	−0.9	0
11	2003-11-16	vs HOU	L 10–12	1	16	+1.1	10	6	59	0	+0.3	0
12	2003-11-23	vs IND	L 14–17	0	0	0.0	6	3	26	0	−0.0	1
13	2003-11-30	@ NYG	W 24–7	1	14	+1.2	9	6	61	0	+4.0	0
14	2003-12-07	vs NYJ	W 17–6	0	0	0.0	4	4	30	1	+3.9	0
15	2003-12-14	@ TEN	L 26–28	0	0	0.0	3	0	0	0	−2.2	0
16	2003-12-21	vs MIA	L 3–20	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	−1.0	0
17	2003-12-27	@ NE	L 0–31	0	0	0.0	11	5	40	0	−5.8	1

2002 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2002-09-08	vs NYJ	L 31–37 OT	3	3	33	0	+2.1	0
2	2002-09-15	@ MIN	W 45–39 OT	11	8	110	1	+12.3	0
3	2002-09-22	@ DEN	L 23–28	2	2	12	1	+3.0	0
4	2002-09-29	vs CHI	W 33–27 OT	4	2	16	0	+0.4	0
5	2002-10-06	vs LV	L 31–49	6	3	59	0	+0.9	1
6	2002-10-13	@ HOU	W 31–24	2	1	28	0	+1.3	0
7	2002-10-20	@ MIA	W 23–10	2	1	9	0	+1.2	1
8	2002-10-27	vs DET	W 24–17	2	2	18	0	+1.6	0
9	2002-11-03	vs NE	L 7–38	3	2	24	0	+0.5	0
11	2002-11-17	@ KC	L 16–17	6	4	44	0	+3.5	0
12	2002-11-24	@ NYJ	L 13–31	3	1	12	0	+0.4	0
13	2002-12-01	vs MIA	W 38–21	1	1	5	0	−0.4	0
14	2002-12-08	@ NE	L 17–27	4	3	68	0	+5.1	0
15	2002-12-15	vs LAC	W 20–13	4	0	0	0	−4.0	0
16	2002-12-22	@ GB	L 0–10	2	1	17	0	+1.4	0
17	2002-12-29	vs CIN	W 27–9	4	3	54	0	−1.6	0