Red Zone Math

Players › WR

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · 2020–2026

Born June 16, 1999 · College LSU · Drafted 2020, round 1, pick 22 (MIN) · 6-1, 195 lb

Offensive Player of the Year (2022) · 1st-team All-Pro ×2 (2022, 2024) · 2nd-team All-Pro ×2 (2020, 2021) · Pro Bowl ×4 (2020, 2021, 2022, 2024)

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

0.000.200.400.602020202120222023202420252026

Passing

SeasonTeamGCmpAttCmp %YdsTDINTDropbacksEPA/dbStabilised EPA/dbWPA/db
(WP pts)
Total WPA
(wins)
CPOESuccess %ANY/ARank
(EPA/db)
2021MIN172450.035004+0.313+0.38+0.02−5.750.08.75–
2022MIN1722100.034003+1.176+1.05+0.03+20.0100.017.00–
2022 playoffsMIN111100.0-2001−2.380−4.62−0.05+10.80.0-2.00–
2023MIN10010.00001−0.393−1.19−0.01−29.80.00.00–
2024MIN1711100.022002+1.416+2.45+0.05+10.550.022.00–
CareerMIN1015862.5910010+0.722+0.84+0.08−0.360.011.38–

Rushing

SeasonTeamGCarriesYdsTDYPCEPA/carryStabilised EPA/carrySuccess %Rush EPARush WPA
(wins)
2020MIN161202.00−0.5600.0−0.6−0.01
2021MIN1761402.33−0.37416.7−2.2−0.04
2022MIN1731615.33+0.60166.7+1.8+0.11
2023MIN101-120-12.00−1.9720.0−2.0−0.04
2025MIN172703.50−0.02850.0−0.1−0.00
2026MIN71-110-11.00−1.7200.0−1.7−0.03
CareerMIN101141611.14−0.33928.6−4.8−0.02

Receiving

SeasonTeamGTargetsRecYdsTDCatch %EPA/targetStabilised EPA/targetTarget
share %
aDOTRec EPARec WPA
(wins)
2020MIN16125881,400770.4+0.520+0.416+0.267 to +0.56625.811.4+65.0+1.83
2021MIN171671081,6161064.7+0.482+0.392+0.251 to +0.53228.912.4+80.6+2.85
2022MIN171841281,809869.6+0.404+0.354+0.217 to +0.49228.710.1+74.3+2.71
2022 playoffsMIN19747077.8+0.06523.111.0+0.6+0.03
2023MIN10100681,074568.0+0.428+0.302+0.146 to +0.45826.812.6+42.8+0.84
2024MIN171541031,5331066.9+0.417+0.363+0.220 to +0.50629.810.9+64.2+1.82
2024 playoffsMIN18558062.5−0.33620.018.6−2.7+0.03
2025MIN17141841,048259.6−0.091+0.138−0.008 to +0.28430.110.2−12.9+0.54
2026MIN75131393460.8+0.169+0.248+0.077 to +0.41828.710.5+8.6+0.23
CareerMIN1019226108,8734666.2+0.35028.511.1+322.7+10.82

Defence

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

SeasonTeamGTacklesSacksQB hitsTackles
for loss
INTPasses
defensed
Forced
fumbles
2020MIN1610.000000
2022MIN1720.000000
2023MIN1020.000000
2024MIN1710.000000
2025MIN1720.000000
CareerMIN10180.000000

Honours

Honours: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), matched to players through Wikidata (CC0). Awards and All-Pro teams are the Associated Press’s; Pro Bowl selections include replacements.

SeasonHonours
20202nd-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl
20212nd-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2022Offensive Player of the Year, 1st-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl
20241st-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl

Playing time

Scrimmage snaps from 2016, in the games he played (share: of his team’s snaps in those games). A season’s snaps appear after its playoffs, when the data is published. Who was on the field: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on), CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTeamGOffensive
snaps
Share of the
offence’s snaps
Defensive
snaps
Share of the
defence’s snaps
2020MIN1687081.9––
2021MIN171,00189.4––
2022MIN171,06392.2––
2022 playoffsMIN15698.2––
2023MIN1054785.2––
2024MIN171,03394.9––
2024 playoffsMIN16691.7––
2025MIN1792894.6––

Hands and contested catches

Regular season, 2022 on. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse, CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTargets
charted
Catchable %DropsDrop % of
catchable
Contested
targets
Contested
catch %
202218479.364.12969.0
202310076.011.32544.0
202415474.065.32842.9
202514167.466.32934.5
20265166.712.91250.0

Game logs

2026 game log (7 games)

2026 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
12026-09-13vs GBW 39–220000.098922+11.4
22026-09-20@ CHIW 9–30000.063550+1.5
32026-09-27@ TBW 23–160000.022320+1.7
52026-10-11@ NOW 23–131-110−1.776791+5.5
72026-10-25vs INDW 16–100000.074440+1.1
82026-11-01@ DETL 15–190000.095331−0.6
92026-11-09vs BUFL 6–230000.0113580−12.1
2025 game log (17 games)

2025 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12025-09-08@ CHIW 27–24140−0.174441−6.800.000
22025-09-14vs ATLL 6–220000.063810−1.600.000
32025-09-21vs CINW 48–100000.075750+4.800.000
42025-09-28@ PITL 21–240000.011101260+7.100.000
52025-10-05@ CLEW 21–170000.01171230+8.600.000
72025-10-19vs PHIL 22–280000.0105790−3.600.000
82025-10-23@ LACL 10–370000.0117740−2.400.000
92025-11-02@ DETW 27–240000.096471+0.800.000
102025-11-09vs BALL 19–270000.0124370−10.110.000
112025-11-16vs CHIL 17–190000.095610−6.800.000
122025-11-23@ GBL 6–230000.064480−2.500.000
132025-11-30@ SEAL 0–260000.06240−7.310.000
142025-12-07vs WASW 31–00000.042110+0.200.000
152025-12-14@ DALW 34–260000.082220−6.600.000
162025-12-21@ NYGW 16–130000.086850+8.300.000
172025-12-25vs DETW 23–100000.054300+0.700.000
182026-01-04vs GBW 16–3130+0.01181010+4.400.000
2024 game log (18 games)

2024 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12024-09-08@ NYGW 28–664591+5.400.000
22024-09-15vs SFW 23–17741331+7.300.000
32024-09-22vs HOUW 34–786811+4.800.000
42024-09-29@ GBW 31–2986851+7.100.000
52024-10-06vs NYJW 23–17146920+0.700.000
72024-10-20vs DETL 29–3187811+4.600.000
82024-10-24@ LAL 20–30981150+7.300.000
92024-11-03vs INDW 21–13971370+2.200.000
102024-11-10@ JAXW 12–795480−10.300.000
112024-11-17@ TENW 23–1386810+6.400.000
122024-11-24@ CHIW 30–27 OT52270−1.400.000
132024-12-01vs ARIW 23–2297990+6.700.000
142024-12-08vs ATLW 42–21771322+13.600.000
152024-12-16vs CHIW 30–12147731−3.310.000
162024-12-22@ SEAW 27–2413101442+13.000.000
172024-12-29vs GBW 27–25118920+2.800.000
182025-01-05@ DETL 9–3193540−2.800.000
P192025-01-13@ LAL 9–2785580−2.700.000
2023 game log (10 games)

2023 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12023-09-10vs TBL 17–200000.01291500+6.010.000
22023-09-14@ PHIL 28–340000.013111590+6.100.000
32023-09-24vs LACL 24–280000.01371491+2.400.000
42023-10-01@ CARW 21–130000.096852+6.900.000
52023-10-08vs KCL 20–270000.063280+0.100.000
142023-12-10@ LVW 3–00000.032270+1.800.000
152023-12-16@ CINL 24–27 OT0000.0107840+1.500.000
162023-12-24vs DETL 24–300000.01061411+7.810.000
172023-12-31vs GBL 10–330000.0105590−0.600.000
182024-01-07@ DETL 20–301-120−2.014121921+10.800.000
2022 game log (18 games)

2022 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12022-09-11vs GBW 23–70000.01191842+14.500.000
22022-09-19@ PHIL 7–240000.0126480−9.200.000
32022-09-25vs DETW 28–240000.063140−3.400.000
42022-10-02@ NOW 28–25131+1.013101470+4.900.000
52022-10-09vs CHIW 29–220000.013121540+11.800.000
62022-10-16@ MIAW 24–160000.0861070+4.400.000
82022-10-30vs ARIW 34–260000.086980+6.800.000
92022-11-06@ WASW 20–171100+1.11371151+2.700.000
102022-11-13@ BUFW 33–30 OT0000.016101931+10.510.000
112022-11-20vs DALL 3–400000.053330+0.900.000
122022-11-24vs NEW 33–260000.01191391+9.300.000
132022-12-04vs NYJW 27–22130−0.3117451+3.700.000
142022-12-11@ DETL 23–340000.015112230+10.700.000
152022-12-17vs INDW 39–36 OT0000.016121231+8.700.000
162022-12-24vs NYGW 27–240000.016121331+3.200.000
172023-01-01@ GBL 17–410000.051150−6.210.000
182023-01-08@ CHIW 29–130000.054380+1.000.000
P192023-01-15vs NYGL 24–310000.097470+0.600.000
2021 game log (17 games)

2021 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
12021-09-12@ CINL 24–27 OT0000.095710+0.5
22021-09-19@ ARIL 33–340000.0106651+2.2
32021-09-26vs SEAW 30–170000.01191181+10.5
42021-10-03vs CLEL 7–140000.076841+9.2
52021-10-10vs DETW 19–170000.0871240+11.8
62021-10-17@ CARW 34–28 OT0000.0148800−5.9
82021-10-31vs DALL 16–200000.042210−1.1
92021-11-07@ BALL 31–34 OT1110+0.953691+9.4
102021-11-14@ LACW 27–201-40−1.21191430+12.0
112021-11-21vs GBW 34–31130−0.41081692+16.5
122021-11-28@ SFL 26–340000.094830−1.0
132021-12-05@ DETL 27–29140−0.114111821+11.8
142021-12-09vs PITW 36–281-40−1.1157791−7.8
152021-12-20@ CHIW 17–90000.0104471+1.0
162021-12-26vs LAL 23–300000.01281160+7.5
172022-01-02@ GBL 10–370000.0116580−3.7
182022-01-09vs CHIW 31–17140−0.4751071+7.5
2020 game log (16 games)

2020 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12020-09-13vs GBL 34–430000.032260−0.500.000
22020-09-20@ INDL 11–280000.033440+2.300.000
32020-09-27vs TENL 30–310000.0971751+9.300.000
42020-10-04@ HOUW 31–230000.0541030+8.700.000
52020-10-11@ SEAL 26–270000.053230−2.010.000
62020-10-18vs ATLL 23–400000.01191662+2.400.000
82020-11-01@ GBW 28–220000.043260+0.100.000
92020-11-08vs DETW 34–200000.043640+3.600.000
102020-11-16@ CHIW 19–130000.01081350+9.000.000
112020-11-22vs DALL 28–310000.053861+5.300.000
122020-11-29vs CARW 28–270000.0137702+3.300.000
132020-12-06vs JAXW 27–24 OT120−0.61291211+4.600.000
142020-12-13@ TBL 14–260000.084390+2.800.000
152020-12-20vs CHIL 27–330000.01181040+5.200.000
162020-12-25@ NOL 33–520000.0106850+2.500.000
172021-01-03@ DETW 37–350000.01291330+8.600.000