Justin Watson

WR · TB/KC/HOU · 2018–2026

Born April 4, 1996 · College Penn · Drafted 2018, round 5, pick 144 (TB) · 6-2, 215 lb

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Receiving

Season	Team	G	Targets	Rec	Yds	TD	Catch %	EPA/target	Stabilised EPA/target	Target share %	aDOT	Rec EPA	Rec WPA (wins)
2018	TB	7	3	1	5	0	33.3	−0.630	+0.011−0.180 to +0.202	1.2	5.0	−1.9	−0.04
2019	TB	8	26	15	159	2	57.7	+0.074	+0.120−0.060 to +0.300	8.0	13.5	+1.9	+0.15
2020	TB	6	11	7	94	0	63.6	−1.173	+0.006−0.181 to +0.193	4.6	9.6	−12.9	−0.24
2022	KC	17	34	15	315	2	44.1	+0.223	+0.132−0.045 to +0.309	5.5	18.7	+7.6	+0.26
2022 playoffs	KC	2	3	3	30	0	100.0	+1.196		5.0	9.7	+3.6	+0.08
2023	KC	15	53	27	460	3	50.9	+0.081	+0.146−0.024 to +0.316	10.0	17.5	+4.3	−0.06
2023 playoffs	KC	4	10	6	90	0	60.0	+0.411		7.5	13.2	+4.1	+0.10
2024	KC	15	32	22	289	2	68.8	+0.596	+0.207+0.029 to +0.385	6.4	15.2	+19.1	+0.44
2025	HOU	3	4	3	30	0	75.0	+0.338	+0.013−0.177 to +0.203	5.1	8.2	+1.4	+0.03
2026	KC	1	1	1	7	0	100.0	+0.821	+0.088−0.104 to +0.279	3.1	3.0	+0.8	+0.01
Career	KC	72	164	91	1,359	9	55.5	+0.124		6.4	15.6	+20.3	+0.56

Defence

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	Sacks	QB hits	Tackles for loss
2018	TB	7	6	0.0	0	0
2019	TB	8	7	0.0	0	0
2020	TB	6	7	1.0	1	1
2020 playoffs	TB	1	1	0.0	0	0
2022	KC	17	1	0.0	0	0
2023	KC	15	2	0.0	0	0
2025	HOU	3	1	0.0	0	0
Career	KC	72	24	1.0	1	1

Playing time

Scrimmage snaps from 2016, in the games he played (share: of his team’s snaps in those games). A season’s snaps appear after its playoffs, when the data is published. Who was on the field: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on), CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

Season	Team	G	Offensive snaps	Share of the offence’s snaps	Defensive snaps	Share of the defence’s snaps
2018	TB	12	69	8.3	–	–
2019	TB	10	214	30.4	1	1.5
2020	TB	7	149	31.0	1	2.1
2022	KC	17	489	43.3	1	1.9
2022 playoffs	KC	2	68	57.6	–	–
2023	KC	16	530	51.0	–	–
2023 playoffs	KC	4	153	54.4	–	–
2024	KC	17	680	60.6	–	–
2024 playoffs	KC	3	22	13.4	–	–
2025	HOU	3	68	38.4	1	1.5

Hands and contested catches

Regular season, 2022 on. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse, CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

Season	Targets charted	Catchable %	Drops	Drop % of catchable	Contested targets	Contested catch %
2022	34	61.8	2	9.5	2	0.0
2023	53	67.9	5	13.9	14	50.0
2024	32	78.1	3	12.0	5	40.0
2025	4	75.0	0	0.0	0	–
2026	1	100.0	0	0.0	0	–

Game logs

2026 game log (1 games)

2026 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA
7	2026-10-25	@ SEA	L 3–20	1	1	7	0	+0.8

2025 game log (3 games)

2025 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2025-09-07	@ LA	L 9–14	2	2	27	+2.8	0
2	2025-09-15	vs TB	L 19–20	2	1	3	−1.5	0
18	2026-01-04	vs IND	W 38–30	0	0	0	0.0	1

2024 game log (15 games)

2024 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA
1	2024-09-05	vs BAL	W 27–20	1	1	25	0	+1.5
2	2024-09-15	vs CIN	W 26–25	2	2	22	0	+1.4
3	2024-09-22	@ ATL	W 22–17	2	1	13	0	+1.8
4	2024-09-29	@ LAC	W 17–10	3	2	27	0	+2.4
7	2024-10-20	@ SF	W 28–18	1	1	8	0	+0.7
8	2024-10-27	@ LV	W 27–20	3	3	33	0	+3.1
9	2024-11-04	vs TB	W 30–24 OT	4	3	43	0	+5.1
10	2024-11-10	vs DEN	W 16–14	2	2	6	0	−0.7
11	2024-11-17	@ BUF	L 21–30	2	2	26	0	+1.1
12	2024-11-24	@ CAR	W 30–27	2	1	15	0	+0.1
13	2024-11-29	vs LV	W 19–17	3	1	6	1	+0.9
15	2024-12-15	@ CLE	W 21–7	1	0	0	0	−1.6
16	2024-12-21	vs HOU	W 27–19	1	0	0	0	−0.4
17	2024-12-25	@ PIT	W 29–10	2	2	60	1	+6.5
18	2025-01-05	@ DEN	L 0–38	3	1	5	0	−2.8

2023 game log (19 games)

2023 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2023-09-07	vs DET	L 20–21	4	2	45	0	+1.7	0
2	2023-09-17	@ JAX	W 17–9	5	3	62	0	−1.6	1
3	2023-09-24	vs CHI	W 41–10	3	2	51	0	+3.0	0
4	2023-10-01	@ NYJ	W 23–20	1	1	5	0	+0.1	0
5	2023-10-08	@ MIN	W 27–20	3	2	56	0	+4.1	0
6	2023-10-12	vs DEN	W 19–8	1	0	0	0	−0.8	0
8	2023-10-29	@ DEN	L 9–24	3	2	42	0	+3.4	0
9	2023-11-05	vs MIA	W 21–14	5	2	15	0	−1.8	0
11	2023-11-20	vs PHI	L 17–21	11	5	53	1	−4.4	0
12	2023-11-26	@ LV	W 31–17	3	1	3	1	−0.9	0
14	2023-12-10	vs BUF	L 17–20	1	1	18	0	+1.2	0
15	2023-12-17	@ NE	W 27–17	3	1	31	0	+1.8	1
16	2023-12-25	vs LV	L 14–20	6	4	38	1	−2.2	0
17	2023-12-31	vs CIN	W 25–17	3	1	41	0	+1.5	0
18	2024-01-07	@ LAC	W 13–12	1	0	0	0	−0.8	0
P19	2024-01-13	vs MIA	W 26–7	2	2	20	0	+1.0	0
P20	2024-01-21	@ BUF	W 27–24	1	0	0	0	−1.4	0
P21	2024-01-28	@ BAL	W 17–10	2	1	16	0	+0.5	0
P22	2024-02-11	vs SF	W 25–22 OT	5	3	54	0	+4.0	0

2022 game log (19 games)

2022 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2022-09-11	@ ARI	W 44–21	1	0	0	0	−0.5	0
2	2022-09-15	vs LAC	W 27–24	2	2	50	1	+5.5	0
3	2022-09-25	@ IND	L 17–20	1	0	0	0	−0.8	0
4	2022-10-02	@ TB	W 41–31	1	0	0	0	−0.5	0
5	2022-10-10	vs LV	W 30–29	1	1	10	0	+0.6	0
6	2022-10-16	vs BUF	L 20–24	1	0	0	0	−0.5	0
7	2022-10-23	@ SF	W 44–23	2	1	4	1	+0.9	0
9	2022-11-06	vs TEN	W 20–17 OT	5	2	37	0	+1.0	0
10	2022-11-13	vs JAX	W 27–17	1	1	12	0	+0.8	0
11	2022-11-20	@ LAC	W 30–27	4	3	67	0	+3.9	0
12	2022-11-27	vs LA	W 26–10	2	2	26	0	+1.5	0
13	2022-12-04	@ CIN	L 24–27	1	1	15	0	+1.0	0
14	2022-12-11	@ DEN	W 34–28	2	0	0	0	−1.1	0
15	2022-12-18	@ HOU	W 30–24 OT	2	0	0	0	−1.7	0
16	2022-12-24	vs SEA	W 24–10	4	0	0	0	−4.0	1
17	2023-01-01	vs DEN	W 27–24	2	1	27	0	−3.0	0
18	2023-01-07	@ LV	W 31–13	2	1	67	0	+4.4	0
P20	2023-01-21	vs JAX	W 27–20	1	1	12	0	+1.9	0
P22	2023-02-12	@ PHI	W 38–35	2	2	18	0	+1.7	0

2020 game log (7 games)

2020 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles	Sacks
1	2020-09-13	@ NO	L 23–34	2	1	6	−7.6	2	0.0
2	2020-09-20	vs CAR	W 31–17	3	2	48	+2.4	0	0.0
4	2020-10-04	vs LAC	W 38–31	6	4	40	−7.6	0	0.0
8	2020-11-02	@ NYG	W 25–23	0	0	0	0.0	1	0.0
10	2020-11-15	@ CAR	W 46–23	0	0	0	0.0	3	1.0
11	2020-11-23	vs LA	L 24–27	0	0	0	0.0	1	0.0
P20	2021-01-24	@ GB	W 31–26	0	0	0	0.0	1	0.0

2019 game log (8 games)

2019 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
4	2019-09-29	@ LA	W 55–40	1	1	13	0	+1.4	0
10	2019-11-10	vs ARI	W 30–27	0	0	0	0	0.0	2
11	2019-11-17	vs NO	L 17–34	0	0	0	0	0.0	1
13	2019-12-01	@ JAX	W 28–11	1	0	0	0	−0.9	1
14	2019-12-08	vs IND	W 38–35	8	5	59	1	+6.0	1
15	2019-12-15	@ DET	W 38–17	2	2	17	0	+0.8	0
16	2019-12-21	vs HOU	L 20–23	10	5	43	1	−2.4	1
17	2019-12-29	vs ATL	L 22–28 OT	4	2	27	0	−3.1	1

2018 game log (7 games)

2018 game log

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
4	2018-09-30	@ CHI	L 10–48	0	0	0	0.0	1
6	2018-10-14	@ ATL	L 29–34	0	0	0	0.0	1
8	2018-10-28	@ CIN	L 34–37	1	1	5	−0.6	0
13	2018-12-02	vs CAR	W 24–17	1	0	0	−0.5	1
14	2018-12-09	vs NO	L 14–28	0	0	0	0.0	1
15	2018-12-16	@ BAL	L 12–20	0	0	0	0.0	1
17	2018-12-30	vs ATL	L 32–34	1	0	0	−0.8	1