Lee Evans

WR · BUF/BAL · 2004–2011

Born March 11, 1981 · College Wisconsin · Drafted 2004, round 1, pick 13 (BUF) · 5-10, 197 lb

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Season	Team	G	Carries	Yds	YPC	EPA/carry	Success %	Rush EPA	Rush WPA (wins)
2004	BUF	16	4	99	24.75	+1.056	80.0	+5.3	+0.07
2005	BUF	16	4	38	9.50	+0.501	50.0	+2.0	+0.07
2008	BUF	16	1	22	22.00	+1.564	100.0	+1.6	+0.03
Career	BAL	118	9	159	17.67	+0.885	70.0	+8.8	+0.17

Season	Team	G	Targets	Rec	Yds	TD	Catch %	EPA/target	Stabilised EPA/target	Target share %	aDOT	Rec EPA	Rec WPA (wins)
2004	BUF	16	75	48	843	9	64.0	+0.603	+0.328+0.165 to +0.491	16.9	–	+45.2	+1.21
2005	BUF	16	92	49	743	7	53.3	+0.282	+0.235+0.077 to +0.393	20.7	–	+25.9	+0.54
2006	BUF	16	137	82	1,291	8	59.9	+0.424	+0.306+0.159 to +0.453	32.5	14.1	+58.0	+1.34
2007	BUF	16	113	55	849	5	48.7	−0.037	+0.119−0.034 to +0.271	26.2	14.4	−4.2	+0.18
2008	BUF	16	102	63	1,017	3	61.8	+0.222	+0.207+0.052 to +0.362	21.6	13.4	+22.7	+0.47
2009	BUF	16	95	44	612	7	46.3	−0.031	+0.110−0.047 to +0.267	21.8	12.2	−3.0	−0.25
2010	BUF	13	83	37	578	4	44.6	+0.079	+0.149−0.011 to +0.310	19.6	15.9	+6.5	−0.04
2011	BAL	9	26	4	74	0	15.4	−0.857	−0.056−0.236 to +0.125	10.8	17.8	−22.3	−0.27
2011 playoffs	BAL	2	5	4	69	0	80.0	+1.221		7.9	15.6	+6.1	+0.04
Career	BAL	118	723	382	6,007	43	52.8	+0.178		21.8	14.1	+128.9	+3.18

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	QB hits	Tackles for loss	Passes defensed	Forced fumbles
2004	BUF	16	3	–	–	–	0
2005	BUF	16	4	–	–	–	0
2006	BUF	16	3	0	–	–	0
2007	BUF	16	4	0	–	–	1
2008	BUF	16	4	0	–	–	0
2009	BUF	16	3	0	0	0	0
2010	BUF	13	4	0	0	0	0
2011	BAL	9	2	0	0	0	0
Career	BAL	118	27	0	0	0	1

2011 game log (11 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2011-09-11	vs PIT	W 35–7	4	0	0	−2.7	0
2	2011-09-18	@ TEN	L 13–26	5	2	45	−2.4	2
11	2011-11-20	vs CIN	W 31–24	1	0	0	−0.9	0
12	2011-11-24	vs SF	W 16–6	1	1	8	+1.7	0
13	2011-12-04	@ CLE	W 24–10	3	0	0	−3.6	0
14	2011-12-11	vs IND	W 24–10	3	1	21	+0.4	0
15	2011-12-18	@ LAC	L 14–34	4	0	0	−7.5	0
16	2011-12-24	vs CLE	W 20–14	4	0	0	−6.0	0
17	2012-01-01	@ CIN	W 24–16	1	0	0	−1.2	0
P19	2012-01-15	vs HOU	W 20–13	1	1	30	+2.7	0
P20	2012-01-22	@ NE	L 20–23	4	3	39	+3.4	0

2010 game log (13 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2010-09-12	vs MIA	L 10–15	7	4	34	0	+0.1	0
2	2010-09-19	@ GB	L 7–34	0	0	0	0	0.0	1
3	2010-09-26	@ NE	L 30–38	8	5	54	0	+1.1	0
4	2010-10-03	vs NYJ	L 14–38	6	1	6	0	−5.3	0
5	2010-10-10	vs JAX	L 26–36	8	5	87	1	+3.2	0
7	2010-10-24	@ BAL	L 34–37 OT	10	6	105	3	+9.8	2
8	2010-10-31	@ KC	L 10–13 OT	9	5	56	0	+1.3	0
9	2010-11-07	vs CHI	L 19–22	8	3	31	0	+0.4	0
10	2010-11-14	vs DET	W 14–12	5	2	52	0	+1.6	0
11	2010-11-21	@ CIN	W 49–31	8	2	72	0	−1.4	1
12	2010-11-28	vs PIT	L 16–19 OT	7	1	9	0	−8.4	0
13	2010-12-05	@ MIN	L 14–38	6	3	72	0	+5.0	0
14	2010-12-12	vs CLE	W 13–6	1	0	0	0	−0.8	0

2009 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2009-09-14	@ NE	L 24–25	6	3	25	0	−0.1	0
2	2009-09-20	vs TB	W 33–20	5	1	32	1	−3.3	0
3	2009-09-27	vs NO	L 7–27	6	4	31	0	+1.3	0
4	2009-10-04	@ MIA	L 10–38	6	2	60	0	+0.3	1
5	2009-10-11	vs CLE	L 3–6	5	2	11	0	−1.7	0
6	2009-10-18	@ NYJ	W 16–13 OT	11	4	68	1	−0.8	1
7	2009-10-25	@ CAR	W 20–9	9	5	75	1	+1.7	0
8	2009-11-01	vs HOU	L 10–31	2	2	29	0	+1.6	0
10	2009-11-15	@ TEN	L 17–41	5	4	50	2	+4.4	0
11	2009-11-22	@ JAX	L 15–18	4	1	15	0	−1.1	0
12	2009-11-29	vs MIA	W 31–14	6	2	40	0	+0.4	0
13	2009-12-03	vs NYJ	L 13–19	7	1	38	0	−2.3	0
14	2009-12-13	@ KC	W 16–10	4	1	11	0	−6.6	0
15	2009-12-20	vs NE	L 10–17	6	3	35	1	+0.9	0
16	2009-12-27	@ ATL	L 3–31	7	5	43	0	−1.8	1
17	2010-01-03	vs IND	W 30–7	6	4	49	1	+4.3	0

2008 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2008-09-07	vs SEA	W 34–10	0	0	0.0	9	4	102	0	+3.7	0
2	2008-09-14	@ JAX	W 20–16	0	0	0.0	4	4	77	0	+7.5	0
3	2008-09-21	vs LV	W 24–23	0	0	0.0	7	4	65	0	−4.3	1
4	2008-09-28	@ LA	W 31–14	0	0	0.0	5	2	88	1	+2.8	0
5	2008-10-05	@ ARI	L 17–41	1	22	+1.6	5	2	100	1	+4.2	1
7	2008-10-19	vs LAC	W 23–14	0	0	0.0	8	8	89	1	+8.5	0
8	2008-10-26	@ MIA	L 16–25	0	0	0.0	12	7	116	0	+1.4	0
9	2008-11-02	vs NYJ	L 17–26	0	0	0.0	7	4	41	0	+1.2	0
10	2008-11-09	@ NE	L 10–20	0	0	0.0	3	2	22	0	−0.3	1
11	2008-11-17	vs CLE	L 27–29	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	−4.2	1
12	2008-11-23	@ KC	W 54–31	0	0	0.0	8	5	110	0	+6.5	0
13	2008-11-30	vs SF	L 3–10	0	0	0.0	9	7	80	0	+2.1	0
14	2008-12-07	vs MIA	L 3–16	0	0	0.0	7	3	23	0	−7.5	0
15	2008-12-14	@ NYJ	L 27–31	0	0	0.0	6	4	22	0	+0.3	0
16	2008-12-21	@ DEN	W 30–23	0	0	0.0	4	2	19	0	−0.2	0
17	2008-12-28	vs NE	L 0–13	0	0	0.0	7	5	63	0	+1.1	0

2007 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2007-09-09	vs DEN	L 14–15	5	2	5	0	−3.4	0
2	2007-09-16	@ PIT	L 3–26	7	2	17	0	−5.7	0
3	2007-09-23	@ NE	L 7–38	7	1	7	0	−3.5	0
4	2007-09-30	vs NYJ	W 17–14	8	6	72	0	+2.0	0
5	2007-10-08	vs DAL	L 24–25	4	1	12	0	−7.5	1
7	2007-10-21	vs BAL	W 19–14	7	5	98	0	+2.3	1
8	2007-10-28	@ NYJ	W 13–3	7	5	138	1	+9.3	0
9	2007-11-04	vs CIN	W 33–21	13	9	165	1	+10.5	1
10	2007-11-11	@ MIA	W 13–10	8	4	65	0	−1.6	0
11	2007-11-18	vs NE	L 10–56	7	4	40	0	+1.5	0
12	2007-11-25	@ JAX	L 14–36	7	2	19	0	−6.8	0
13	2007-12-02	@ WAS	W 17–16	8	4	51	0	−1.1	0
14	2007-12-09	vs MIA	W 38–17	4	2	79	2	+8.1	0
15	2007-12-16	@ CLE	L 0–8	12	4	36	0	−0.7	0
16	2007-12-23	vs NYG	L 21–38	6	3	43	1	−4.7	1
17	2007-12-30	@ PHI	L 9–17	3	1	2	0	−2.8	0

2006 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2006-09-10	@ NE	L 17–19	5	2	25	0	+0.2	0
2	2006-09-17	@ MIA	W 16–6	5	2	19	0	+0.8	0
3	2006-09-24	vs NYJ	L 20–28	13	8	107	0	+3.3	1
4	2006-10-01	vs MIN	W 17–12	9	7	90	0	+5.8	0
5	2006-10-08	@ CHI	L 7–40	14	9	94	1	+1.8	1
6	2006-10-15	@ DET	L 17–20	13	8	82	0	−2.5	0
7	2006-10-22	vs NE	L 6–28	6	1	11	0	−6.7	1
9	2006-11-05	vs GB	W 24–10	3	2	58	1	+4.2	0
10	2006-11-12	@ IND	L 16–17	6	5	70	0	+9.1	0
11	2006-11-19	@ HOU	W 24–21	16	11	265	2	+16.1	0
12	2006-11-26	vs JAX	W 27–24	8	5	58	0	+6.9	0
13	2006-12-03	vs LAC	L 21–24	11	5	45	0	−1.9	0
14	2006-12-10	@ NYJ	W 31–13	5	2	91	1	+4.5	0
15	2006-12-17	vs MIA	W 21–0	5	3	67	1	+5.9	0
16	2006-12-24	vs TEN	L 29–30	8	5	64	1	+4.6	0
17	2006-12-31	@ BAL	L 7–19	10	7	145	1	+6.0	0

2005 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2005-09-11	vs HOU	W 22–7	1	-10	−1.4	5	3	68	0	+3.6	0
2	2005-09-18	@ TB	L 3–19	0	0	0.0	5	2	12	0	−2.7	0
3	2005-09-25	vs ATL	L 16–24	0	0	0.0	5	2	7	0	−4.7	1
4	2005-10-02	@ NO	L 7–19	0	0	0.0	3	2	27	0	+3.7	1
5	2005-10-09	vs MIA	W 20–14	0	0	0.0	3	3	65	0	+5.8	0
6	2005-10-16	vs NYJ	W 27–17	1	2	−0.3	6	3	22	0	−6.9	2
7	2005-10-23	@ LV	L 17–38	1	7	+0.7	5	3	19	1	+0.6	0
8	2005-10-30	@ NE	L 16–21	0	0	0.0	4	1	14	0	+0.2	0
10	2005-11-13	vs KC	W 14–3	0	0	0.0	3	3	66	2	+7.4	0
11	2005-11-20	@ LAC	L 10–48	0	0	0.0	9	4	69	0	+4.1	0
12	2005-11-27	vs CAR	L 9–13	0	0	0.0	9	5	45	0	+2.5	0
13	2005-12-04	@ MIA	L 23–24	0	0	0.0	9	5	117	3	+10.6	0
14	2005-12-11	vs NE	L 7–35	0	0	0.0	7	4	83	0	+1.9	0
15	2005-12-17	vs DEN	L 17–28	0	0	0.0	7	2	5	0	−4.7	0
16	2005-12-24	@ CIN	W 37–27	0	0	0.0	6	5	107	1	+8.4	0
17	2006-01-01	@ NYJ	L 26–30	1	39	+2.9	6	2	17	0	−4.1	0

2004 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2004-09-12	vs JAX	L 10–13	0	0	0.0	3	2	12	0	−0.0	1
2	2004-09-19	@ LV	L 10–13	0	0	0.0	2	1	65	0	+5.5	0
4	2004-10-03	vs NE	L 17–31	0	0	0.0	5	4	93	0	+4.0	0
5	2004-10-10	@ NYJ	L 14–16	0	0	0.0	1	1	46	1	+4.4	0
6	2004-10-17	vs MIA	W 20–13	0	0	0.0	5	2	32	0	+1.5	0
7	2004-10-24	@ BAL	L 6–20	0	0	0.0	4	0	0	0	−14.2	0
8	2004-10-31	vs ARI	W 38–14	0	0	0.0	2	1	9	0	−0.1	0
9	2004-11-07	vs NYJ	W 22–17	0	0	0.0	6	5	64	1	+6.6	0
10	2004-11-14	@ NE	L 6–29	0	0	0.0	3	1	15	0	−4.7	0
11	2004-11-21	vs LA	W 37–17	0	0	0.0	3	2	38	0	−1.8	0
12	2004-11-28	@ SEA	W 38–9	1	15	+1.2	9	6	70	1	+6.6	2
13	2004-12-05	@ MIA	W 42–32	0	0	0.0	5	4	110	2	+11.8	0
14	2004-12-12	vs CLE	W 37–7	1	48	+2.8	4	4	33	1	+5.7	0
15	2004-12-19	@ CIN	W 33–17	0	0	0.0	8	5	101	1	+6.8	0
16	2004-12-26	@ SF	W 41–7	1	21	+0.3	9	8	92	2	+12.4	0
17	2005-01-02	vs PIT	L 24–29	1	15	+0.9	6	2	63	0	+0.8	0