Matt Willis

WR · BAL/DEN · 2007–2012

Born April 13, 1984 · College UCLA · Undrafted · 6-0, 190 lb

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Season	Team	G	Targets	Rec	Yds	TD	Catch %	EPA/target	Stabilised EPA/target	Target share %	aDOT	Rec EPA	Rec WPA (wins)
2007	BAL	2	1	1	11	0	100.0	+0.947	−0.059−0.251 to +0.132	1.6	11.0	+0.9	+0.00
2010	DEN	2	2	1	17	0	50.0	+1.499	−0.044−0.235 to +0.147	2.2	17.0	+3.0	+0.00
2011	DEN	14	36	18	267	1	50.0	+0.224	+0.111−0.066 to +0.287	9.5	11.3	+8.1	+0.10
2011 playoffs	DEN	2	5	1	18	0	20.0	−0.225		10.6	11.4	−1.1	−0.04
2012	DEN	14	22	10	90	0	45.5	−1.075	−0.073−0.254 to +0.109	4.4	5.8	−23.6	−0.36
2012 playoffs	DEN	1	1	1	4	0	100.0	−0.026		2.3	-7.0	−0.0	−0.01
Career	DEN	33	61	30	385	1	49.2	−0.191		5.6	9.5	−11.6	−0.25

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	Tackles for loss	Passes defensed
2007	BAL	2	1	–	–
2009	DEN	1	1	0	0
2010	DEN	2	1	0	0
2011	DEN	14	6	0	0
2011 playoffs	DEN	2	1	0	0
2012	DEN	14	7	0	0
2012 playoffs	DEN	1	1	0	0
Career	DEN	33	16	0	0

2012 game log (15 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2012-09-09	vs PIT	W 31–19	1	1	14	+1.1	0
2	2012-09-17	@ ATL	L 21–27	1	1	14	+1.4	0
3	2012-09-23	vs HOU	L 25–31	1	0	0	−0.6	0
6	2012-10-15	@ LAC	W 35–24	1	0	0	−10.1	1
8	2012-10-28	vs NO	W 34–14	1	0	0	−0.9	0
9	2012-11-04	@ CIN	W 31–23	1	0	0	−0.4	0
10	2012-11-11	@ CAR	W 36–14	1	1	2	−0.4	1
11	2012-11-18	vs LAC	W 30–23	4	2	14	−9.1	0
12	2012-11-25	@ KC	W 17–9	0	0	0	0.0	2
13	2012-12-02	vs TB	W 31–23	5	3	22	−0.7	0
14	2012-12-06	@ LV	W 26–13	3	1	19	−4.2	0
15	2012-12-16	@ BAL	W 34–17	0	0	0	0.0	1
16	2012-12-23	vs CLE	W 34–12	2	0	0	−1.1	2
17	2012-12-30	vs KC	W 38–3	1	1	5	+1.2	0
P19	2013-01-12	vs BAL	L 35–38 OT	1	1	4	−0.0	1

2011 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2011-09-12	vs LV	L 20–23	2	1	6	0	−0.3	0
2	2011-09-18	vs CIN	W 24–22	4	2	22	0	−0.2	0
3	2011-09-25	@ TEN	L 14–17	3	2	16	1	+2.6	0
4	2011-10-02	@ GB	L 23–49	1	1	15	0	+1.9	1
5	2011-10-09	vs LAC	L 24–29	3	0	0	0	−3.3	0
7	2011-10-23	@ MIA	W 18–15 OT	2	1	42	0	+2.7	0
8	2011-10-30	vs DET	L 10–45	3	1	28	0	+1.4	2
10	2011-11-13	@ KC	W 17–10	1	1	13	0	+1.4	0
12	2011-11-27	@ LAC	W 16–13 OT	3	2	12	0	+0.5	0
13	2011-12-04	@ MIN	W 35–32	1	1	12	0	+1.3	1
14	2011-12-11	vs CHI	W 13–10 OT	8	4	75	0	+0.9	0
15	2011-12-18	vs NE	L 23–41	2	1	15	0	−0.8	2
16	2011-12-24	@ BUF	L 14–40	2	1	11	0	+0.1	0
17	2012-01-01	vs KC	L 3–7	1	0	0	0	−0.2	0
P18	2012-01-08	vs PIT	W 29–23 OT	1	0	0	0	−1.8	0
P19	2012-01-14	@ NE	L 10–45	4	1	18	0	+0.7	1

2010 game log (2 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles	Sacks	INT	PD
1	2010-09-12	@ JAX	L 17–24	0	0	0	0	0.0	1	0.0	0	0
3	2010-09-26	vs IND	L 13–27	2	1	17	0	+3.0	0	0.0	0	0

2009 game log (1 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Tackles	Sacks	INT	PD
17	2010-01-03	vs KC	L 24–44	1	0.0	0	0

2007 game log (2 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles	Sacks	INT	PD
14	2007-12-09	vs IND	L 20–44	1	1	11	0	+0.9	0	0.0	0	0
16	2007-12-23	@ SEA	L 6–27	0	0	0	0	0.0	1	0.0	0	0