Mike Hollis

K · JAX/BUF · 1999–2002

Born May 22, 1972 · College Idaho · Undrafted · 5-7, 178 lb

FG points over expected per attempt by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Over expected: against the season’s average kicker from the same spots, in the same weather (our frozen FG model).

Season	Team	G	FG	FG %	Expected FG %	FG points over expected	Stabilised per attempt	Long	XP	XP points over expected
1999	JAX	16	31/38	81.6	79.0	+2.9	+0.01−0.10 to +0.12	50	37/37	+0.4
1999 playoffs	JAX	2	2/3	66.7	74.6	−0.7		45	10/10	+0.1
2000	JAX	12	24/26	92.3	76.1	+12.6	+0.05−0.05 to +0.16	51	31/31	+0.3
2001	JAX	8	12/16	75.0	74.4	+0.3	−0.01−0.12 to +0.10	48	11/13	−1.8
2002	BUF	16	25/33	75.8	74.1	+1.6	+0.01−0.10 to +0.12	54	40/40	+0.5
Career		52	92/113	81.4	76.3	+17.5		54	119/121	−0.5

2002 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	FG	Long	FG points over exp.	XP
1	2002-09-08	vs NYJ	L 31–37 OT	1/2	52	−0.1	4/4
2	2002-09-15	@ MIN	W 45–39 OT	4/5	54	+1.1	3/3
3	2002-09-22	@ DEN	L 23–28	1/1	38	+0.5	2/2
4	2002-09-29	vs CHI	W 33–27 OT	2/3	49	+0.3	3/3
5	2002-10-06	vs LV	L 31–49	1/1	30	+0.3	4/4
6	2002-10-13	@ HOU	W 31–24	1/1	33	+0.4	4/4
7	2002-10-20	@ MIA	W 23–10	3/3	46	+2.3	2/2
8	2002-10-27	vs DET	W 24–17	1/1	33	+0.5	3/3
9	2002-11-03	vs NE	L 7–38	0/3	–	−6.4	1/1
11	2002-11-17	@ KC	L 16–17	3/3	33	+0.8	1/1
12	2002-11-24	@ NYJ	L 13–31	2/2	43	+1.9	1/1
13	2002-12-01	vs MIA	W 38–21	1/2	39	−0.3	5/5
14	2002-12-08	@ NE	L 17–27	1/1	26	+0.2	2/2
15	2002-12-15	vs LAC	W 20–13	2/2	42	+2.0	2/2
16	2002-12-22	@ GB	L 0–10	0/1	–	−2.3	–
17	2002-12-29	vs CIN	W 27–9	2/2	32	+0.6	3/3

2001 game log (8 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	FG	Long	FG points over exp.	XP
4	2001-10-07	@ SEA	L 15–24	3/4	48	+1.0	–
7	2001-10-28	@ BAL	L 17–18	1/1	40	+0.9	2/2
8	2001-11-04	@ TEN	L 24–28	1/1	38	+0.7	3/3
10	2001-11-18	@ PIT	L 7–20	0/1	–	−2.0	1/1
13	2001-12-09	@ CIN	W 14–10	0/1	–	−1.9	2/2
14	2001-12-16	@ CLE	W 15–10	3/3	46	+2.9	0/1
15	2001-12-23	@ MIN	W 33–3	4/4	39	+1.0	3/3
17	2002-01-06	@ CHI	L 13–33	0/1	–	−2.3	0/1

2000 game log (12 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	FG	Long	FG points over exp.	XP
1	2000-09-03	@ CLE	W 27–7	2/2	50	+1.6	3/3
2	2000-09-10	@ BAL	L 36–39	5/5	48	+4.4	3/3
7	2000-10-16	@ TEN	L 13–27	2/2	45	+1.1	–
8	2000-10-22	vs WAS	L 16–35	3/3	51	+2.3	1/1
9	2000-10-29	@ DAL	W 23–17 OT	1/2	42	−0.9	1/1
11	2000-11-12	vs SEA	L 21–28	–	–	0.0	3/3
12	2000-11-19	@ PIT	W 34–24	2/2	36	+1.1	4/4
13	2000-11-26	vs TEN	W 16–13	3/3	38	+1.0	1/1
14	2000-12-03	vs CLE	W 48–0	2/2	40	+1.0	6/6
15	2000-12-10	vs ARI	W 44–10	3/3	50	+2.8	5/5
16	2000-12-17	@ CIN	L 14–17	0/1	–	−2.6	2/2
17	2000-12-23	@ NYG	L 25–28	1/1	36	+0.8	2/2

1999 game log (18 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	FG	Long	FG points over exp.	XP
1	1999-09-12	vs SF	W 41–3	4/4	50	+3.4	3/3
2	1999-09-19	@ CAR	W 22–20	3/4	40	+0.3	1/1
3	1999-09-26	vs TEN	L 19–20	1/1	42	+1.0	2/2
4	1999-10-03	@ PIT	W 17–3	2/2	41	+1.0	1/1
5	1999-10-11	@ NYJ	W 16–6	3/3	44	+1.6	1/1
6	1999-10-17	vs CLE	W 24–7	3/3	36	+1.1	1/1
8	1999-10-31	@ CIN	W 41–10	2/2	43	+1.0	5/5
9	1999-11-07	@ ATL	W 30–7	3/4	34	−1.5	3/3
10	1999-11-14	vs BAL	W 6–3	2/3	28	−1.4	–
11	1999-11-21	vs NO	W 41–23	2/2	45	+1.4	5/5
12	1999-11-28	@ BAL	W 30–23	–	–	0.0	2/2
13	1999-12-02	vs PIT	W 20–6	2/2	32	+0.7	2/2
14	1999-12-13	vs DEN	W 27–24	2/2	49	+1.5	3/3
15	1999-12-19	@ CLE	W 24–14	1/3	41	−2.2	3/3
16	1999-12-26	@ TEN	L 14–41	–	–	0.0	2/2
17	2000-01-02	vs CIN	W 24–7	1/3	27	−5.0	3/3
P19	2000-01-15	vs MIA	W 62–7	2/3	45	−0.7	8/8
P20	2000-01-23	vs TEN	L 14–33	–	–	0.0	2/2