Moe Williams

RB · MIN/BAL · 1999–2005

Born July 26, 1974 · College Kentucky · Drafted 1996, round 3, pick 75 (MIN) · 6-1, 205 lb

EPA per carry by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

Season	Team	G	Carries	Yds	TD	YPC	EPA/carry	Stabilised EPA/carry	Success %	Rush EPA	Rush WPA (wins)
1999	MIN	11	24	69	1	2.88	−0.161	−0.147−0.211 to −0.084	33.3	−3.9	−0.05
2000	MIN	15	23	67	0	2.91	−0.306	−0.129−0.192 to −0.065	34.8	−7.0	−0.04
2001	BAL	13	65	291	0	4.48	−0.175	−0.122−0.184 to −0.061	27.3	−11.6	−0.32
2001 playoffs	BAL	2	9	29	0	3.22	−0.113		44.4	−1.0	+0.02
2002	MIN	16	84	414	11	4.93	+0.295	−0.060−0.121 to +0.000	56.0	+24.8	+0.67
2003	MIN	16	174	745	5	4.28	−0.060	−0.081−0.138 to −0.024	40.3	−10.6	+0.04
2004	MIN	13	30	161	3	5.37	+0.290	−0.076−0.139 to −0.013	59.4	+9.3	+0.20
2005	MIN	5	13	20	0	1.54	−0.322	−0.108−0.172 to −0.044	21.4	−4.5	−0.13
Career	MIN	89	413	1,767	20	4.28	−0.009		41.5	−3.6	+0.37

Season	Team	G	Targets	Rec	Yds	TD	Catch %	EPA/target	Target share %	aDOT	Rec EPA	Rec WPA (wins)
1999	MIN	11	3	1	12	0	33.3	+0.252	0.9	–	+0.8	−0.02
2000	MIN	15	7	4	31	0	57.1	−0.095	1.6	–	−0.7	−0.03
2001	BAL	13	35	23	210	0	65.7	+0.016	7.6	–	+0.5	+0.03
2001 playoffs	BAL	2	4	4	24	0	100.0	+0.168	7.3	–	+0.7	−0.01
2002	MIN	16	41	27	225	0	65.9	+0.124	7.5	–	+5.1	−0.15
2003	MIN	16	85	65	616	2	76.5	+0.420	16.9	–	+35.7	+0.62
2004	MIN	13	27	21	233	1	77.8	+0.269	6.5	–	+7.3	+0.44
2004 playoffs	MIN	1	2	2	72	1	100.0	+2.942	6.9	–	+5.9	+0.13
2005	MIN	5	14	8	52	0	57.1	−0.522	7.8	–	−7.3	−0.48
Career	MIN	89	212	149	1,379	3	70.3	+0.195	7.3	–	+41.4	+0.41

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

Season	Team	G	Tackles	QB hits	Tackles for loss	Passes defensed	Forced fumbles
1999	MIN	11	14	–	–	–	1
1999 playoffs	MIN	1	2	–	–	–	0
2000	MIN	15	13	–	–	–	0
2000 playoffs	MIN	1	2	–	–	–	0
2001	BAL	13	6	–	–	–	0
2002	MIN	16	10	–	–	–	0
2003	MIN	16	4	–	–	–	0
2004	MIN	13	7	–	–	–	0
2004 playoffs	MIN	1	1	–	–	–	0
2005	MIN	5	2	–	–	–	0
Career	MIN	89	56	0	0	0	1

2005 game log (5 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2005-09-11	vs TB	L 13–24	6	15	−2.5	3	2	32	−2.2	0
2	2005-09-18	@ CIN	L 8–37	1	2	+0.7	0	0	0	0.0	1
3	2005-09-25	vs NO	W 33–16	4	2	−1.6	3	3	4	−2.0	1
6	2005-10-16	@ CHI	L 3–28	1	1	−0.7	1	0	0	−0.8	0
8	2005-10-30	@ CAR	L 13–38	1	0	−0.4	7	3	16	−2.3	0

2004 game log (14 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2004-09-12	vs DAL	W 35–17	6	27	0	+0.1	1	1	8	0	+0.4	0
6	2004-10-17	@ NO	W 38–31	6	66	0	+2.4	1	1	13	0	+2.5	0
7	2004-10-24	vs TEN	W 20–3	3	10	1	−0.3	2	1	1	0	−2.6	1
8	2004-10-31	vs NYG	L 13–34	1	4	0	+0.7	0	0	0	0	0.0	1
9	2004-11-08	@ IND	L 28–31	1	13	0	+0.6	3	2	15	0	−0.9	0
10	2004-11-14	@ GB	L 31–34	1	-3	0	−1.3	4	4	57	1	+7.6	0
11	2004-11-21	vs DET	W 22–19	4	15	1	+2.6	2	2	21	0	+3.2	0
12	2004-11-28	vs JAX	W 27–16	1	6	0	+0.2	0	0	0	0	0.0	0
13	2004-12-05	@ CHI	L 14–24	1	3	0	+0.9	6	4	45	0	−2.0	2
14	2004-12-12	vs SEA	L 23–27	0	0	0	0.0	3	3	23	0	−0.3	0
15	2004-12-19	@ DET	W 28–27	2	12	1	+3.0	2	1	28	0	+0.8	0
16	2004-12-24	vs GB	L 31–34	1	4	0	+0.4	1	1	14	0	+0.0	3
17	2005-01-02	@ WAS	L 18–21	3	4	0	−0.1	2	1	8	0	−1.5	0
P18	2005-01-09	@ GB	W 31–17	0	0	0	0.0	2	2	72	1	+5.9	1

2003 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2003-09-07	@ GB	W 30–25	22	80	0	−1.2	3	0	0	0	−2.0	2
2	2003-09-14	vs CHI	W 24–13	21	108	1	+4.3	6	4	50	0	+5.0	2
3	2003-09-21	@ DET	W 23–13	13	95	0	+0.7	7	6	54	0	+4.5	0
4	2003-09-28	vs SF	W 35–7	13	43	0	+1.1	3	2	16	0	+0.6	0
5	2003-10-05	@ ATL	W 39–26	11	71	2	+6.4	3	2	15	0	+0.4	0
7	2003-10-19	vs DEN	W 28–20	14	42	0	−4.7	4	4	35	0	−1.6	0
8	2003-10-26	vs NYG	L 17–29	11	69	0	−0.4	4	2	19	0	−1.6	0
9	2003-11-02	vs GB	L 27–30	12	63	0	+1.5	6	4	26	0	+0.9	0
10	2003-11-09	@ LAC	L 28–42	12	45	0	−1.4	12	11	113	2	+12.5	0
11	2003-11-16	@ LV	L 18–28	10	39	0	+0.2	8	6	80	0	+5.7	0
12	2003-11-23	vs DET	W 24–14	5	14	0	−14.4	7	6	56	0	+6.1	0
13	2003-11-30	@ LA	L 17–48	6	2	1	+0.4	8	7	35	0	−0.0	0
14	2003-12-07	vs SEA	W 34–7	8	28	0	−1.4	5	3	29	0	+0.8	0
15	2003-12-14	@ CHI	L 10–13	4	0	0	−1.2	4	4	55	0	+1.5	0
16	2003-12-20	vs KC	W 45–20	5	34	0	−0.2	2	2	18	0	+1.9	0
17	2003-12-28	@ ARI	L 17–18	7	12	1	−0.3	3	2	15	0	+1.0	0

2002 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2002-09-08	@ CHI	L 23–27	7	48	0	+2.4	2	1	-4	−0.7	1
2	2002-09-15	vs BUF	L 39–45 OT	17	102	1	+5.8	1	0	0	−0.1	2
3	2002-09-22	vs CAR	L 14–21	4	16	0	+0.7	4	4	66	+5.0	0
4	2002-09-29	@ SEA	L 23–48	6	19	2	+3.7	7	7	57	+4.5	1
6	2002-10-13	vs DET	W 31–24	2	4	1	+0.8	3	2	18	+0.5	1
7	2002-10-20	@ NYJ	L 7–20	5	16	1	+1.5	5	4	30	+2.2	2
8	2002-10-27	vs CHI	W 25–7	6	9	1	+2.2	2	1	13	−0.0	0
9	2002-11-03	@ TB	L 24–38	7	43	2	+3.0	5	5	18	−1.4	0
10	2002-11-10	vs NYG	L 20–27	2	2	1	−0.1	2	1	10	−0.8	0
11	2002-11-17	vs GB	W 31–21	6	29	1	+0.5	1	0	0	−1.0	0
12	2002-11-24	@ NE	L 17–24	6	39	0	+2.4	5	1	11	−1.8	1
13	2002-12-01	vs ATL	L 24–30 OT	5	3	0	−1.9	3	0	0	−1.6	1
14	2002-12-08	@ GB	L 22–26	2	45	0	+2.9	0	0	0	0.0	0
15	2002-12-15	@ NO	W 32–31	1	2	0	−0.5	1	1	6	+0.4	0
16	2002-12-21	vs MIA	W 20–17	2	2	1	+1.8	0	0	0	0.0	1
17	2002-12-29	@ DET	W 38–36	6	35	0	−0.5	0	0	0	0.0	0

2001 game log (15 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
2	2001-09-23	@ CIN	L 10–21	0	0	0.0	3	3	54	+4.4	1
3	2001-09-30	@ DEN	W 20–13	2	2	−1.0	2	1	7	−1.1	0
4	2001-10-07	vs TEN	W 26–7	0	0	0.0	2	1	10	+0.6	1
5	2001-10-14	@ GB	L 23–31	1	1	−0.5	0	0	0	0.0	0
6	2001-10-21	@ CLE	L 14–24	1	2	−0.5	0	0	0	0.0	0
7	2001-10-28	vs JAX	W 18–17	1	-3	−1.5	0	0	0	0.0	0
10	2001-11-18	vs CLE	L 17–27	5	19	−0.1	1	1	15	+0.3	1
11	2001-11-25	@ JAX	W 24–21	9	31	−0.3	6	4	47	+4.7	0
12	2001-12-02	vs IND	W 39–27	24	111	−9.2	6	3	27	−5.9	0
14	2001-12-16	vs PIT	L 21–26	4	15	+0.1	3	3	14	+0.6	0
15	2001-12-23	vs CIN	W 16–0	6	49	+2.1	4	2	5	−2.4	0
16	2001-12-29	@ TB	L 10–22	5	15	−3.0	2	2	12	+1.3	2
17	2002-01-07	vs MIN	W 19–3	7	49	+2.2	6	3	19	−1.9	1
P18	2002-01-13	@ MIA	W 20–3	6	24	+0.1	0	0	0	0.0	0
P19	2002-01-20	@ PIT	L 10–27	3	5	−1.2	4	4	24	+0.7	0

2000 game log (16 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
1	2000-09-03	vs CHI	W 30–27	1	-1	−1.9	0	0	0	0.0	0
2	2000-09-10	vs MIA	W 13–7	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	1
3	2000-09-17	@ NE	W 21–13	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	2
5	2000-10-01	@ DET	W 31–24	4	12	−2.3	0	0	0	0.0	2
6	2000-10-09	vs TB	W 30–23	1	-1	−0.8	0	0	0	0.0	1
7	2000-10-15	@ CHI	W 28–16	2	6	−0.1	0	0	0	0.0	0
8	2000-10-22	vs BUF	W 31–27	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	1
9	2000-10-29	@ TB	L 13–41	0	0	0.0	2	1	5	+0.1	0
10	2000-11-06	@ GB	L 20–26 OT	2	9	+0.3	0	0	0	0.0	2
11	2000-11-12	vs ARI	W 31–14	5	14	−2.0	1	1	12	+1.0	0
12	2000-11-19	vs CAR	W 31–17	2	14	+1.8	0	0	0	0.0	0
13	2000-11-23	@ DAL	W 27–15	4	12	−1.6	1	0	0	−1.3	0
14	2000-11-30	vs DET	W 24–17	1	1	−0.4	2	2	14	−0.1	2
16	2000-12-17	vs GB	L 28–33	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	−0.4	1
17	2000-12-24	@ IND	L 10–31	1	1	+0.1	0	0	0	0.0	1
P19	2001-01-06	vs NO	W 34–16	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	2

1999 game log (12 games)

Week	Date	Opponent	Result	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rush EPA	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec EPA	Tackles
3	1999-09-26	@ GB	L 20–23	2	10	0	+2.2	0	0	0	0.0	0
4	1999-10-03	vs TB	W 21–14	2	1	0	−1.1	1	1	12	+2.0	2
5	1999-10-10	vs CHI	L 22–24	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	1
6	1999-10-17	@ DET	L 23–25	2	1	0	−1.4	0	0	0	0.0	4
7	1999-10-24	vs SF	W 40–16	6	25	1	+1.1	2	0	0	−1.2	0
8	1999-10-31	@ DEN	W 23–20	4	9	0	−1.6	0	0	0	0.0	2
9	1999-11-08	vs DAL	W 27–17	6	20	0	−1.4	0	0	0	0.0	1
13	1999-12-06	@ TB	L 17–24	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	1
14	1999-12-12	@ KC	L 28–31	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	1
15	1999-12-20	vs GB	W 24–20	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	1
16	1999-12-26	@ NYG	W 34–17	2	3	0	−1.7	0	0	0	0.0	1
P19	2000-01-16	@ LA	L 37–49	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0.0	2