Red Zone Math

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Ray Davis

RB · BUF · 2024–2026

Born November 20, 1999 · College Kentucky; Vanderbilt; Temple · Drafted 2024, round 4, pick 128 (BUF) · 5-8, 211 lb

1st-team All-Pro (2025)

EPA per carry by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

-0.20-0.15-0.10-0.05202420252026

Rushing

SeasonTeamGCarriesYdsTDYPCEPA/carryStabilised EPA/carrySuccess %Rush EPARush WPA
(wins)
2024BUF1611344233.91−0.084−0.092−0.151 to −0.03337.6−9.8−0.09
2024 playoffsBUF373615.14+0.12150.0+1.0+0.02
2025BUF135827504.74−0.039−0.079−0.141 to −0.01839.3−2.4−0.01
2026BUF6134403.38−0.227−0.114−0.178 to −0.05035.7−3.2+0.06
CareerBUF3518476134.14−0.08038.0−15.4−0.04

Receiving

SeasonTeamGTargetsRecYdsTDCatch %EPA/targetStabilised EPA/targetTarget
share %
aDOTRec EPARec WPA
(wins)
2024BUF161917189389.5+0.7834.10.8+14.9+0.36
2025BUF13131086276.9+0.4353.60.1+5.7+0.06
2025 playoffsBUF12290100.0+0.6475.1-4.0+1.3+0.14
2026BUF64340075.0+0.4022.4-3.8+1.6+0.10
CareerBUF353630315583.3+0.6153.60.1+22.1+0.53

Defence

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

SeasonTeamGTacklesSacksQB hitsTackles
for loss
INTPasses
defensed
Forced
fumbles
2025BUF1310.000000

Honours

Honours: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), matched to players through Wikidata (CC0). Awards and All-Pro teams are the Associated Press’s; Pro Bowl selections include replacements.

SeasonHonours
20251st-team All-Pro

Playing time

Scrimmage snaps from 2016, in the games he played (share: of his team’s snaps in those games). A season’s snaps appear after its playoffs, when the data is published. Who was on the field: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on), CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTeamGOffensive
snaps
Share of the
offence’s snaps
Defensive
snaps
Share of the
defence’s snaps
2024BUF1724623.111.4
2024 playoffsBUF32210.9––
2025BUF1613913.3––
2025 playoffsBUF24733.8––

Hands and contested catches

Regular season, 2022 on. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse, CC BY-SA 4.0. Aggregated by Red Zone Math; this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.

SeasonTargets
charted
Catchable %DropsDrop % of
catchable
Contested
targets
Contested
catch %
20241989.500.01100.0
20251384.619.110.0
2026475.000.00–

Game logs

2026 game log (6 games)

2026 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
12026-09-13@ HOUW 36–31130−0.200000.0
42026-10-04vs NEL 26–29130−0.21140−0.3
52026-10-12@ LAW 37–34 OT220−1.011310+2.5
62026-10-18@ LVW 33–30140+0.01150+0.0
82026-11-01vs BALW 36–106300−0.000000.0
92026-11-09@ MINW 23–6220−1.91000−0.6
2025 game log (14 games)

2025 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12025-09-07vs BALW 41–40120−2.211-10−0.800.000
22025-09-14@ NYJW 30–109240−1.200000.000.000
32025-09-18vs MIAW 31–210000.01000−0.410.000
42025-09-28vs NOW 31–19130−0.000000.000.000
52025-10-05vs NEL 20–23210−0.900000.000.000
62025-10-13@ ATLL 14–240000.022191+2.300.000
82025-10-26@ CARW 40–99160−3.81000−0.600.000
102025-11-09@ MIAL 13–302-20−1.02100−1.500.000
132025-11-30@ PITW 26–79620+1.900000.000.000
152025-12-14@ NEW 35–310000.011130+0.900.000
162025-12-21@ CLEW 23–203140+0.422200+1.700.000
172025-12-28vs PHIL 12–13140−0.011120+0.700.000
182026-01-04vs NYJW 35–8211510+4.422231+3.300.000
P202026-01-17@ DENL 30–33 OT0000.02290+1.300.000
2024 game log (19 games)

2024 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
12024-09-08vs ARIW 34–283130−0.711140+1.9
22024-09-12@ MIAW 31–109290−2.711-10−0.8
32024-09-23vs JAXW 47–107221−0.71110−0.5
42024-09-29@ BALL 10–357110−3.000000.0
52024-10-06@ HOUL 20–230000.02140−1.1
62024-10-14@ NYJW 23–2020970+3.233550+3.5
72024-10-20vs TENW 34–105411+3.41160+0.2
82024-10-27@ SEAW 31–106290−0.300000.0
92024-11-03vs MIAW 30–274200+0.422701+5.3
102024-11-10@ INDW 30–20360−0.700000.0
112024-11-17vs KCW 30–215110−2.300000.0
132024-12-01vs SFW 35–1011631+3.31140−0.1
152024-12-15@ DETW 48–427150−2.922141+2.4
162024-12-22vs NEW 24–215120−0.811170+1.3
172024-12-29vs NYJW 40–14690−5.21140+0.1
182025-01-05@ NEL 16–2315640−0.73211+2.6
P192025-01-12vs DENW 31–7130−1.000000.0
P202025-01-19vs BALW 27–254291+2.800000.0
P212025-01-26@ KCL 29–32240−0.800000.0