Red Zone Math

Players › WR

Wes Welker

WR · MIA/NE/DEN/LA · 2004–2015

Born May 1, 1981 · College Texas Tech · Undrafted · 5-9, 185 lb

1st-team All-Pro ×2 (2009, 2011) · 2nd-team All-Pro ×2 (2007, 2008) · Pro Bowl ×5 (2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012)

EPA per target by season

Filled dot: stabilised, with its 90% interval. Ring: the raw season rate.

-0.500.000.5020052006200720082009201020112012201320142015

Rushing

SeasonTeamGCarriesYdsTDYPCEPA/carryStabilised EPA/carrySuccess %Rush EPARush WPA
(wins)
2005MIA161505.00−0.32750.0−0.7−0.02
2007NE1643408.50+0.28750.0+1.1+0.01
2007 playoffsNE3113013.00+0.976100.0+1.0+0.01
2008NE16226013.00+1.070100.0+3.2+0.07
2009NE1453607.20+0.69980.0+3.5+0.05
2011NE1643007.50+0.21175.0+0.8+0.04
2011 playoffsNE3221010.50+1.040100.0+2.1+0.07
2012NE16220010.00+0.840100.0+1.7+0.01
CareerLA1621815108.39+0.48675.0+9.7+0.17

Receiving

SeasonTeamGTargetsRecYdsTDCatch %EPA/targetStabilised EPA/targetTarget
share %
aDOTRec EPARec WPA
(wins)
2005MIA165229434055.8+0.261+0.172+0.001 to +0.3429.6–+13.6+0.33
2006MIA1610067687167.0+0.078+0.150−0.006 to +0.30517.27.7+7.8+0.16
2007NE161451121,175877.2+0.531+0.364+0.219 to +0.50924.95.3+77.0+0.51
2007 playoffsNE33327213281.8+0.25230.32.9+8.3+0.11
2008NE161501121,165374.7+0.341+0.286+0.142 to +0.43028.54.8+51.1+1.11
2009NE141621231,348475.9+0.395+0.311+0.170 to +0.45332.45.6+64.1+0.35
2010NE1512386848769.9+0.289+0.249+0.099 to +0.39926.05.5+35.6+0.66
2010 playoffsNE19757077.8+0.44120.05.4+4.0+0.08
2011NE161721211,496970.3+0.557+0.404+0.264 to +0.54328.37.5+95.8+1.96
2011 playoffsNE32319168182.6+0.46021.16.9+10.6+0.20
2012NE161751181,354667.4+0.318+0.296+0.157 to +0.43527.67.7+55.6+0.74
2012 playoffsNE22516248164.0+0.51027.28.2+12.8+0.15
2013DEN13111737781065.8+0.335+0.261+0.108 to +0.41420.77.5+37.1+0.52
2013 playoffsDEN32418160175.0+0.44218.87.3+10.6+0.06
2014DEN146449464276.6+0.081+0.146−0.021 to +0.31211.86.4+5.2−0.04
2014 playoffsDEN12120050.0−0.0314.47.5−0.1−0.01
2015LA72213102059.1−0.505−0.004−0.186 to +0.1789.45.4−11.1−0.13
CareerLA1621,2769039,8515070.8+0.33821.76.4+431.8+6.18

Defence

Counting stats from the play-by-play credits (QB hits from 2006, tackles for loss and passes defensed from 2009).

SeasonTeamGTacklesSacksQB hitsTackles
for loss
INTPasses
defensed
Forced
fumbles
2004MIA350.0––0–0
2006MIA1610.00–0–0
2007NE1630.00–0–0
2007 playoffsNE310.00–0–0
2008NE1640.00–0–0
2009NE1430.000000
2011NE1620.000000
2012NE1620.000000
2013DEN1320.000000
2014DEN1410.000000
CareerLA162230.000000

Kicking

Over expected: against the season’s average kicker from the same spots, in the same weather (our frozen FG model).

SeasonTeamGFGFG %Expected
FG %
FG points
over expected
Stabilised
per attempt
LongXPXP points
over expected
2004MIA11/1100.092.6+0.2−0.00−0.12 to +0.11291/1+0.0
2010NE1–––0.0–1/1+0.0
Career21/1100.092.6+0.2292/2+0.0

Honours

Honours: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), matched to players through Wikidata (CC0). Awards and All-Pro teams are the Associated Press’s; Pro Bowl selections include replacements.

SeasonHonours
20072nd-team All-Pro
20082nd-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl
20091st-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2010Pro Bowl
20111st-team All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2012Pro Bowl

Game logs

2015 game log (7 games)

2015 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
102015-11-15vs CHIL 13–3763320−9.1
112015-11-22@ BALL 13–1642130+0.0
122015-11-29@ CINL 7–3132120−1.2
132015-12-06vs ARIL 3–2732150+0.1
142015-12-13vs DETW 21–1421110−0.1
162015-12-27@ SEAW 23–171130−0.7
172016-01-03@ SFL 16–19 OT32160−0.2
2014 game log (15 games)

2014 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
32014-09-21@ SEAL 20–26 OT96600−4.500.000
52014-10-05vs ARIW 41–2097580−2.110.000
62014-10-12@ NYJW 31–171180+1.200.000
72014-10-19vs SFW 42–1733501+5.000.000
82014-10-23vs LACW 35–212250+0.600.000
92014-11-02@ NEL 21–4383310−6.300.000
102014-11-09@ LVW 41–1754240+0.500.000
112014-11-16@ LAL 7–2264280−0.700.000
122014-11-23vs MIAW 39–3644181+3.000.000
132014-11-30@ KCW 29–1621120+0.800.000
142014-12-07vs BUFW 24–1766820+3.400.000
152014-12-14@ LACW 22–1032160+1.000.000
162014-12-22@ CINL 28–3744300+1.300.000
172014-12-28vs LVW 47–1422420+2.000.000
P192015-01-11vs INDL 13–2421200−0.100.000
2013 game log (16 games)

2013 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12013-09-05vs BALW 49–27119672+7.910.000
22013-09-15@ NYGW 41–2383391+1.900.000
32013-09-23vs LVW 37–2187841+6.100.000
42013-09-29vs PHIW 52–2097762+5.000.000
52013-10-06@ DALW 51–4865491+5.600.000
62013-10-13vs JAXW 35–1986631−2.810.000
72013-10-20@ INDL 33–39127960+3.300.000
82013-10-27vs WASW 45–21106811+0.800.000
102013-11-10@ LACW 28–2063210+0.000.000
112013-11-17vs KCW 27–17108720+1.900.000
122013-11-24@ NEL 31–34 OT84310−1.200.000
132013-12-01@ KCW 35–2853380+1.800.000
142013-12-08vs TENW 51–28105611+6.700.000
P192014-01-12vs LACW 24–1796381+2.800.000
P202014-01-19vs NEW 26–1654380+3.000.000
P212014-02-02vs SEAL 8–43108840+4.900.000
2012 game log (18 games)

2012 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12012-09-09@ TENW 34–130000.053140−1.300.000
22012-09-16vs ARIL 18–200000.0115950+2.000.000
32012-09-23@ BALL 30–310000.01081420+9.000.000
42012-09-30@ BUFW 52–280000.01191290+5.100.000
52012-10-07vs DENW 31–210000.015131041+6.500.000
62012-10-14@ SEAL 23–240000.014101381+0.400.000
72012-10-21vs NYJW 29–26 OT0000.086660+3.700.000
82012-10-28@ LAW 45–70000.096480+1.000.000
102012-11-11vs BUFW 37–310000.0116740+3.500.000
112012-11-18vs INDW 59–240000.0117800+3.600.000
122012-11-22@ NYJW 49–190000.0107711+6.500.000
132012-12-02@ MIAW 23–160000.018121031+5.000.000
142012-12-10vs HOUW 42–140000.093520+0.600.000
152012-12-16vs SFL 34–410000.095560−3.010.000
162012-12-23@ JAXW 23–16190+1.01210881+5.410.000
172012-12-30vs MIAW 28–01110+0.7128941+7.500.000
P192013-01-13vs HOUW 41–280000.01381310+8.200.000
P202013-01-20vs BALL 13–280000.01281171+4.600.000
2011 game log (19 games)

2011 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12011-09-12@ MIAW 38–240000.01281602+10.600.000
22011-09-18vs LACW 35–210000.0117810+3.900.000
32011-09-25@ BUFL 31–341190+1.320162172+25.500.000
42011-10-02@ LVW 31–190000.01491581+11.800.000
52011-10-09vs NYJW 30–210000.074510−1.300.000
62011-10-16vs DALW 20–160000.0106451+1.510.000
82011-10-30@ PITL 17–250000.086390+1.200.000
92011-11-06vs NYGL 20–241130+0.81091360+9.700.000
102011-11-13@ NYJW 37–160000.086460+0.600.000
112011-11-21vs KCW 34–30000.032220+0.900.000
122011-11-27@ PHIW 38–201-90−1.41281152+11.200.000
132011-12-04vs INDW 31–240000.011111100+8.800.000
142011-12-11@ WASW 34–270000.0107861+6.900.000
152011-12-18@ DENW 41–230000.064410+2.100.000
162011-12-24vs MIAW 27–24170+0.219121380+2.500.000
172012-01-01vs BUFW 49–210000.0116510−0.310.000
P192012-01-14vs DENW 45–100000.076551+4.800.000
P202012-01-22vs BALW 23–200000.086530+3.100.000
P212012-02-05vs NYGL 17–212210+2.187600+2.700.000
2010 game log (16 games)

2010 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPAFGLongFG points
over exp.
XP
12010-09-12vs CINW 38–24118642+4.9––––
22010-09-19@ NYJL 14–2876381+2.1––––
32010-09-26vs BUFW 38–3064450+1.4––––
42010-10-04@ MIAW 41–14108700+1.7––––
62010-10-17vs BALW 23–20 OT117530−5.1––––
72010-10-24@ LACW 23–2064250−0.8––––
82010-10-31vs MINW 28–1853240+2.2––––
92010-11-07@ CLEL 14–3464360+2.4––0.01/1
102010-11-14@ PITW 39–26128890+3.1––––
112010-11-21vs INDW 31–2875581+4.9––––
122010-11-25@ DETW 45–24108902+7.6––––
132010-12-06vs NYJW 45–377801+8.7––––
142010-12-12@ CHIW 36–71381150+5.9––––
152010-12-19vs GBW 31–2763420−0.8––––
162010-12-26@ BUFW 34–363190−2.7––––
P192011-01-16vs NYJL 21–2897570+4.0––––
2009 game log (14 games)

2009 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12009-09-14vs BUFW 25–240000.01612930+0.100.000
42009-10-04vs BALW 27–210000.0106480−0.400.000
52009-10-11@ DENL 17–20 OT0000.0158861+1.900.000
62009-10-18vs TENW 59–00000.011101502+15.800.000
72009-10-25@ TBW 35–7160+0.310101071+9.400.000
92009-11-08vs MIAW 27–170000.0109840+4.810.000
102009-11-15@ INDL 34–350000.0119940+4.100.000
112009-11-22vs NYJW 31–141110+0.717151920+12.100.000
122009-11-30@ NOL 17–382140+1.496320−2.910.000
132009-12-06@ MIAL 21–220000.013101670+9.000.000
142009-12-13vs CARW 20–100000.014101050+4.900.000
152009-12-20@ BUFW 17–10150+1.1114400−7.010.000
162009-12-27vs JAXW 35–70000.013131380+10.900.000
172010-01-03@ HOUL 27–340000.021120+1.400.000
2008 game log (16 games)

2008 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12008-09-07vs KCW 17–100000.0106510−4.800.000
22008-09-14@ NYJW 19–100000.0117720+4.800.000
32008-09-21vs MIAL 13–381190+2.276550+0.500.000
52008-10-05@ SFW 30–21000+0.7118730−1.510.000
62008-10-12@ LACL 10–300000.0119730−2.710.000
72008-10-20vs DENW 41–70000.066631+5.800.000
82008-10-26vs LAW 23–160000.0117790+1.700.000
92008-11-02@ INDL 15–180000.077370+0.100.000
102008-11-09vs BUFW 20–10170+0.311101070+4.900.000
112008-11-13vs NYJL 31–34 OT0000.0871080+6.610.000
122008-11-23@ MIAW 48–280000.01181200+6.400.000
132008-11-30vs PITL 10–330000.074300+3.100.000
142008-12-07@ SEAW 24–210000.017121340+9.900.000
152008-12-14@ LVW 49–260000.096691+6.010.000
162008-12-21vs ARIW 47–70000.0107681+6.400.000
172008-12-28@ BUFW 13–00000.032260+3.900.000
2007 game log (19 games)

2007 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12007-09-09@ NYJW 38–140000.096611+6.100.000
22007-09-16vs LACW 38–14160+0.398910+4.410.000
32007-09-23vs BUFW 38–70000.066690+7.100.000
42007-10-01@ CINW 34–131270+2.763220−1.210.000
52007-10-07vs CLEW 34–170000.064190−1.900.000
62007-10-14@ DALW 48–270000.015111242+12.000.000
72007-10-21@ MIAW 49–280000.01191382+6.700.000
82007-10-28vs WASW 52–70000.0109891+6.700.000
92007-11-04@ INDW 24–200000.055381+4.900.000
112007-11-18@ BUFW 56–10130−0.287780+5.100.000
122007-11-25vs PHIW 31–280000.017131490+10.700.000
132007-12-03@ BALW 27–240000.093180−3.400.000
142007-12-09vs PITW 34–130000.0119781+6.300.000
152007-12-16vs NYJW 20–101-20−1.643300+3.000.000
162007-12-23vs MIAW 28–70000.075490+2.810.000
172007-12-29@ NYGW 38–350000.012111220+7.800.000
P192008-01-12vs JAXW 31–201130+1.0109541+1.800.000
P202008-01-20vs LACW 21–120000.097561+3.110.000
P212008-02-03vs NYGL 14–170000.014111030+3.400.000
2006 game log (16 games)

2006 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPATacklesSacksINTPD
12006-09-07@ PITL 17–2884670−6.800.000
22006-09-17vs BUFL 6–1655410+3.800.000
32006-09-24vs TENW 13–1065590+3.600.000
42006-10-01@ HOUL 15–1774550+0.900.000
52006-10-08@ NEL 10–20129770−3.900.000
62006-10-15@ NYJL 17–20106560+1.600.000
72006-10-22vs GBL 24–3496380+3.300.000
92006-11-05@ CHIW 31–1332141+1.200.000
102006-11-12vs KCW 13–1043460+3.400.000
112006-11-19vs MINW 24–2084590+1.100.000
122006-11-23@ DETW 27–1055420+3.500.000
132006-12-03vs JAXL 10–2465440+3.200.000
142006-12-10vs NEW 21–031-10−3.000.000
152006-12-17@ BUFL 0–2154560−2.400.000
162006-12-25vs NYJL 10–1341110−2.100.000
172006-12-31@ INDL 22–2753230+0.810.000
2005 game log (16 games)

2005 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultCarriesRush ydsRush TDRush EPATargetsRecRec ydsRec TDRec EPA
12005-09-11vs DENW 34–100000.044600+7.0
22005-09-18@ NYJL 7–17000−0.842210+1.8
32005-09-25vs CARW 27–24150+0.11000−1.0
52005-10-09@ BUFL 14–200000.032240+0.5
62005-10-16@ TBL 13–270000.043970+4.9
72005-10-21vs KCL 20–300000.042410+1.4
82005-10-30@ NOW 21–60000.053170−0.9
92005-11-06vs ATLL 10–170000.02160−0.8
102005-11-13vs NEL 16–230000.042610−1.7
112005-11-20@ CLEL 0–220000.032120+2.0
122005-11-27@ LVW 33–210000.011160+2.1
132005-12-04vs BUFW 24–230000.084400−1.0
142005-12-11@ LACW 23–210000.01000−1.1
152005-12-18vs NYJW 24–200000.021190+0.9
162005-12-24vs TENW 24–100000.01000−0.5
172006-01-01@ NEW 28–260000.052200−0.1
2004 game log (3 games)

2004 game log

WeekDateOpponentResultTacklesSacksINTPDFGLongFG points
over exp.
XP
52004-10-10@ NEL 10–2410.0001/129+0.21/1
92004-11-07vs ARIL 23–2430.000––––
132004-12-05vs BUFL 32–4210.000––––