Playoff odds › NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles playoff chances
2–7 · 4th in the NFC East · out of the playoffs if the season ended today (16th in the NFC) · rating −5.5 (31st of 32)
The Philadelphia Eagles have a 1% chance to make the playoffs and a 1% chance to win the NFC East, from 100,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season.
Week 10: 1 of 14 games played (every game through Thu Nov 12) · updated Fri Nov 13, 10:27 AM ET
How the Eagles’ playoff chances have changed
Each point is our forecast at the time, kept in the forecast ledger. Weeks 1–9 were run afterwards with only what was known then.
The numbers
| When | Make the playoffs | Win the division |
|---|---|---|
| Before the season | 53% | 39% |
| After week 1 | 60% | 45% |
| After week 2 | 62% | 51% |
| After week 3 | 62% | 50% |
| After week 4 | 43% | 35% |
| After week 5 | 30% | 26% |
| After week 6 | 25% | 23% |
| After week 7 | 6% | 5% |
| After week 8 | 3% | 3% |
| After week 9 | 1% | 1% |
| Week 10, after the games through Thu Nov 12 | 1% | 1% |
Where the Eagles could finish
The chance of each playoff seed.
What do the Eagles need to make the playoffs?
How the Eagles’ final record decides it in the simulations, and, for the records in between, the other games that matter most then: each played with each result forced, and only differences of at least five points shown. A ½ is a tie.
- 7 wins or fewer (96% of the seasons): in <1%.
How many wins do the Eagles need?
How often the Eagles finished with each number of wins in the simulations, and its playoff and division chances when it did. Totals with under a 0.5% chance are left out; ½ is a tie.
| Final wins | Chance of that record | Make playoffs with it | Win division with it |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1% | 48% | 46% |
| 8 | 3% | 13% | 13% |
| 7 | 8% | 1% | 1% |
| 6 | 15% | <1% | <1% |
| 5½ | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 | 22% | <1% | <1% |
| 4½ | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 | 24% | <1% | <1% |
| 3½ | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 | 18% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 | 7% | <1% | <1% |
The Eagles’ remaining schedule
The chances to make the playoffs and to win the division after a win and after a loss. Kickoff times are Eastern.
| Game | Win chance | Make playoffs | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | loss | win | loss | ||
| vs PITweek 11 · Sun Nov 22, 4:25 PM · PIT by 4.5 | 35% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| at DALweek 12 · Thu Nov 26, 4:30 PM · no line yet | 26% | 3% | <1% | 3% | <1% |
| at ARIweek 13 · Sun Dec 6, 4:05 PM · no line yet | 43% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| vs INDweek 14 · Sun Dec 13, 1:00 PM · no line yet | 48% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| vs SEAweek 15 · Sat Dec 19, 5:00 PM · no line yet | 27% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| vs HOUweek 16 · Thu Dec 24, 8:15 PM · no line yet | 28% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| at SFweek 17 · Sun Jan 3, 8:20 PM · no line yet | 19% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| at NYGweek 18 · Sun Jan 10, 1:00 PM · no line yet | 36% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% |
Who should Eagles fans root for in week 10?
Other teams’ games this week that move the Eagles’ playoff or division chances by at least a point (and by more than the simulation error), biggest first.
No other game this week moves the Eagles’ chances by a point or more.
How often a tiebreaker decides
The share of the simulated seasons in which the Eagles finished level on record with a team on the other side of the line, so the NFL’s tiebreakers decided it, and the step that separated them (percentages of all seasons).
- A playoff spot: decided by a tiebreaker in 1% of the seasons: won <1%, lost 1%.
- The division title: a tiebreaker decides it in under 1% of the seasons.
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