Teams › ATL
Atlanta Falcons
NFC South
Season by season
Adjusted ratings: opponent-adjusted EPA per play, regular season (the small number is the league rank; lower allowed is better). 4th-down WP lost: our model’s best option minus the coach’s call, 2018 on.
| Season | Record | Playoffs | Points for | Points against | Offence adj. EPA/play | Defence adj. EPA/play allowed | 4th-down WP lost per game (pts) | Head coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3–6 | 188 | 223 | −0.03624 | −0.00812 | 2.54 | Kevin Stefanski | |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 353 | 401 | −0.00423 | +0.01114 | 2.36 | Raheem Morris | |
| 2024 | 8–9 | 389 | 423 | +0.03613 | +0.03524 | 3.05 | Raheem Morris | |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 321 | 373 | −0.08227 | −0.02615 | 2.35 | Arthur Smith | |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 365 | 386 | +0.00417 | +0.04529 | 1.80 | Arthur Smith | |
| 2021 | 7–10 | 313 | 459 | −0.05027 | +0.06430 | 2.18 | Arthur Smith | |
| 2020 | 4–12 | 396 | 414 | +0.04315 | +0.04817 | 2.72 | Dan Quinn, Raheem Morris | |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 381 | 399 | +0.02013 | +0.02120 | 2.40 | Dan Quinn | |
| 2018 | 7–9 | 414 | 423 | +0.0638 | +0.05328 | 3.93 | Dan Quinn | |
| 2017 | 10–6 | 1–1 | 353 | 315 | +0.0298 | −0.02316 | – | Dan Quinn |
| 2016 | 11–5 | 2–1 | 540 | 406 | +0.1601 | +0.03924 | – | Dan Quinn |
| 2015 | 8–8 | 339 | 345 | −0.01519 | +0.01018 | – | Dan Quinn | |
| 2014 | 6–10 | 381 | 417 | −0.00313 | +0.04129 | – | Mike Smith | |
| 2013 | 4–12 | 353 | 443 | +0.02213 | +0.05530 | – | Mike Smith | |
| 2012 | 13–3 | 1–1 | 419 | 299 | +0.0678 | −0.0238 | – | Mike Smith |
| 2011 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 402 | 350 | +0.03011 | −0.0318 | – | Mike Smith |
| 2010 | 13–3 | 0–1 | 414 | 288 | +0.0507 | −0.02012 | – | Mike Smith |
| 2009 | 9–7 | 363 | 325 | +0.0429 | −0.00419 | – | Mike Smith | |
| 2008 | 11–5 | 0–1 | 391 | 325 | +0.0508 | +0.00819 | – | Mike Smith |
| 2007 | 4–12 | 259 | 414 | −0.11830 | +0.00324 | – | Bobby Petrino, Emmitt Thomas | |
| 2006 | 7–9 | 292 | 328 | −0.05019 | −0.01622 | – | Jim Mora | |
| 2005 | 8–8 | 351 | 341 | −0.01713 | −0.00922 | – | Jim Mora | |
| 2004 | 11–5 | 1–1 | 340 | 337 | −0.03520 | −0.02016 | – | Jim Mora |
| 2003 | 5–11 | 299 | 422 | −0.09428 | +0.00327 | – | Dan Reeves, Wade Phillips | |
| 2002 | 9–6–1 | 1–1 | 402 | 314 | +0.0288 | −0.03111 | – | Dan Reeves |
| 2001 | 7–9 | 291 | 377 | −0.05620 | +0.01329 | – | Dan Reeves | |
| 2000 | 4–12 | 252 | 413 | −0.16431 | −0.03018 | – | Dan Reeves | |
| 1999 | 5–11 | 285 | 380 | −0.08723 | −0.01326 | – | Dan Reeves |
Tendencies by season
Regular season. The small number is the team’s rank that season (1 = the highest rate). Personnel, pressure and coverage from 2016 (man coverage 2018), published after each season; play action, motion, shotgun and blitzes from 2022. The sources and their labels changed in 2023, so compare a team with its league in the same season, not across years. Pressure and time to throw: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on); play action, blitzes and interception-worthy throws: FTN Data via nflverse (2022 on). Both CC BY-SA 4.0; aggregated by Red Zone Math, and this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.
| Season | Play action % | Motion % | Shotgun % | 11 personnel % | 12 personnel % | QB pressured % | Defence: blitz % | Defence: pressure % | Defence: man coverage % | Defence: nickel % | Defence: dime % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21.123 | 58.515 | 54.327 | – | – | – | 25.124 | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 20.725 | 66.93 | 80.84 | 45.528 | 38.02 | 29.022 | 35.66 | 31.213 | 33.212 | 71.86 | 0.826 |
| 2024 | 14.332 | 62.94 | 79.26 | 87.81 | 8.930 | 25.730 | 26.420 | 24.231 | 51.813 | 68.215 | 7.419 |
| 2023 | 26.92 | 53.17 | 77.911 | 17.332 | 41.81 | 26.127 | 25.518 | 28.820 | 52.64 | 62.422 | 18.28 |
| 2022 | 35.31 | 46.96 | 75.38 | 34.431 | 24.97 | 30.715 | 24.114 | 25.826 | 30.411 | 59.222 | 0.230 |
| 2021 | – | – | – | 32.231 | 24.411 | 34.13 | – | 23.432 | 33.612 | 74.34 | 0.231 |
| 2020 | – | – | – | 61.317 | 15.224 | 31.98 | – | 33.02 | 40.412 | 74.74 | 0.232 |
| 2019 | – | – | – | 61.119 | 15.925 | 32.37 | – | 25.029 | 44.46 | 70.56 | 1.926 |
| 2018 | – | – | – | 59.224 | 16.816 | 33.310 | – | 32.213 | 35.014 | 75.66 | 4.818 |
| 2017 | – | – | – | 49.126 | 21.514 | 26.212 | – | 23.520 | – | 74.02 | 2.022 |
| 2016 | – | – | – | 44.930 | 17.421 | 25.917 | – | 25.312 | – | 63.511 | 16.711 |
Seasons
2026 season
2026: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ GB 35–14 (lowest chance 17.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs BAL 23–30 (highest chance 95.1%)
2026 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-13 | @ PIT | L 13–20 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 2 | 2026-09-20 | vs CAR | L 3–34 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 3 | 2026-09-24 | @ GB | W 35–14 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 4 | 2026-10-05 | @ NO | W 45–24 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 5 | 2026-10-11 | vs BAL | L 23–30 OT | Kevin Stefanski |
| 6 | 2026-10-18 | vs CHI | L 23–31 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 7 | 2026-10-25 | vs SF | W 29–20 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 8 | 2026-11-01 | @ TB | L 0–16 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 9 | 2026-11-08 | vs CIN | L 17–34 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 10 | 2026-11-15 | vs KC | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
| 12 | 2026-11-29 | @ MIN | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
| 13 | 2026-12-06 | vs DET | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
| 14 | 2026-12-13 | @ CLE | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
| 15 | 2026-12-20 | @ WAS | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
| 16 | 2026-12-27 | vs TB | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
| 17 | 2027-01-03 | vs NO | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
| 18 | 2027-01-10 | @ CAR | upcoming | Kevin Stefanski |
2026: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake London | 69 | +27.2 | +0.44 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 236 | +15.8 | +0.25 |
| Bijan Robinson | 213 | −14.4 | +0.17 |
| Austin Hooper | 11 | +8.3 | +0.13 |
| Zachariah Branch | 13 | −1.6 | +0.04 |
| Kyle Pitts | 37 | +0.6 | +0.04 |
2025 season
2025: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ TB 29–28 (lowest chance 4.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs CAR 27–30 (highest chance 90.9%)
2025 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025-09-07 | vs TB | L 20–23 | Raheem Morris |
| 2 | 2025-09-14 | @ MIN | W 22–6 | Raheem Morris |
| 3 | 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | L 0–30 | Raheem Morris |
| 4 | 2025-09-28 | vs WAS | W 34–27 | Raheem Morris |
| 6 | 2025-10-13 | vs BUF | W 24–14 | Raheem Morris |
| 7 | 2025-10-19 | @ SF | L 10–20 | Raheem Morris |
| 8 | 2025-10-26 | vs MIA | L 10–34 | Raheem Morris |
| 9 | 2025-11-02 | @ NE | L 23–24 | Raheem Morris |
| 10 | 2025-11-09 | @ IND | L 25–31 OT | Raheem Morris |
| 11 | 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | L 27–30 OT | Raheem Morris |
| 12 | 2025-11-23 | @ NO | W 24–10 | Raheem Morris |
| 13 | 2025-11-30 | @ NYJ | L 24–27 | Raheem Morris |
| 14 | 2025-12-07 | vs SEA | L 9–37 | Raheem Morris |
| 15 | 2025-12-11 | @ TB | W 29–28 | Raheem Morris |
| 16 | 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | W 26–19 | Raheem Morris |
| 17 | 2025-12-29 | vs LA | W 27–24 | Raheem Morris |
| 18 | 2026-01-04 | vs NO | W 19–17 | Raheem Morris |
2025: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 118 | +25.5 | +1.35 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 324 | +24.7 | +1.13 |
| Bijan Robinson | 399 | +9.7 | +0.92 |
| Kirk Cousins | 297 | +9.1 | +0.76 |
| Drake London | 112 | +23.7 | +0.57 |
| David Sills | 36 | −1.8 | +0.40 |
2024 season
2024: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ PHI 22–21 (lowest chance 3.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs CAR 38–44 (highest chance 88.8%)
2024 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024-09-08 | vs PIT | L 10–18 | Raheem Morris |
| 2 | 2024-09-16 | @ PHI | W 22–21 | Raheem Morris |
| 3 | 2024-09-22 | vs KC | L 17–22 | Raheem Morris |
| 4 | 2024-09-29 | vs NO | W 26–24 | Raheem Morris |
| 5 | 2024-10-03 | vs TB | W 36–30 OT | Raheem Morris |
| 6 | 2024-10-13 | @ CAR | W 38–20 | Raheem Morris |
| 7 | 2024-10-20 | vs SEA | L 14–34 | Raheem Morris |
| 8 | 2024-10-27 | @ TB | W 31–26 | Raheem Morris |
| 9 | 2024-11-03 | vs DAL | W 27–21 | Raheem Morris |
| 10 | 2024-11-10 | @ NO | L 17–20 | Raheem Morris |
| 11 | 2024-11-17 | @ DEN | L 6–38 | Raheem Morris |
| 13 | 2024-12-01 | vs LAC | L 13–17 | Raheem Morris |
| 14 | 2024-12-08 | @ MIN | L 21–42 | Raheem Morris |
| 15 | 2024-12-16 | @ LV | W 15–9 | Raheem Morris |
| 16 | 2024-12-22 | vs NYG | W 34–7 | Raheem Morris |
| 17 | 2024-12-29 | @ WAS | L 24–30 OT | Raheem Morris |
| 18 | 2025-01-05 | vs CAR | L 38–44 OT | Raheem Morris |
2024: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | 524 | +34.3 | +1.82 |
| Drake London | 159 | +35.3 | +1.44 |
| Darnell Mooney | 107 | +43.5 | +1.04 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 120 | +20.0 | +0.71 |
| Kyle Pitts | 74 | +6.9 | +0.50 |
| Bijan Robinson | 384 | +18.2 | +0.40 |
2023 season
2023: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs GB 25–24 (lowest chance 13.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIN 28–31 (highest chance 86.2%)
2023 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2023-09-10 | vs CAR | W 24–10 | Arthur Smith |
| 2 | 2023-09-17 | vs GB | W 25–24 | Arthur Smith |
| 3 | 2023-09-24 | @ DET | L 6–20 | Arthur Smith |
| 4 | 2023-10-01 | @ JAX | L 7–23 | Arthur Smith |
| 5 | 2023-10-08 | vs HOU | W 21–19 | Arthur Smith |
| 6 | 2023-10-15 | vs WAS | L 16–24 | Arthur Smith |
| 7 | 2023-10-22 | @ TB | W 16–13 | Arthur Smith |
| 8 | 2023-10-29 | @ TEN | L 23–28 | Arthur Smith |
| 9 | 2023-11-05 | vs MIN | L 28–31 | Arthur Smith |
| 10 | 2023-11-12 | @ ARI | L 23–25 | Arthur Smith |
| 12 | 2023-11-26 | vs NO | W 24–15 | Arthur Smith |
| 13 | 2023-12-03 | @ NYJ | W 13–8 | Arthur Smith |
| 14 | 2023-12-10 | vs TB | L 25–29 | Arthur Smith |
| 15 | 2023-12-17 | @ CAR | L 7–9 | Arthur Smith |
| 16 | 2023-12-24 | vs IND | W 29–10 | Arthur Smith |
| 17 | 2023-12-31 | @ CHI | L 17–37 | Arthur Smith |
| 18 | 2024-01-07 | @ NO | L 17–48 | Arthur Smith |
2023: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 91 | +15.7 | +1.18 |
| Desmond Ridder | 483 | −30.9 | +1.04 |
| Drake London | 111 | +13.6 | +0.97 |
| KhaDarel Hodge | 24 | +4.6 | +0.31 |
| Jonnu Smith | 72 | +7.7 | +0.24 |
| Scott Miller | 16 | +8.6 | +0.23 |
2022 season
2022: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CAR 37–34 (lowest chance 15.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 26–27 (highest chance 95.0%)
2022 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2022-09-11 | vs NO | L 26–27 | Arthur Smith |
| 2 | 2022-09-18 | @ LA | L 27–31 | Arthur Smith |
| 3 | 2022-09-25 | @ SEA | W 27–23 | Arthur Smith |
| 4 | 2022-10-02 | vs CLE | W 23–20 | Arthur Smith |
| 5 | 2022-10-09 | @ TB | L 15–21 | Arthur Smith |
| 6 | 2022-10-16 | vs SF | W 28–14 | Arthur Smith |
| 7 | 2022-10-23 | @ CIN | L 17–35 | Arthur Smith |
| 8 | 2022-10-30 | vs CAR | W 37–34 OT | Arthur Smith |
| 9 | 2022-11-06 | vs LAC | L 17–20 | Arthur Smith |
| 10 | 2022-11-10 | @ CAR | L 15–25 | Arthur Smith |
| 11 | 2022-11-20 | vs CHI | W 27–24 | Arthur Smith |
| 12 | 2022-11-27 | @ WAS | L 13–19 | Arthur Smith |
| 13 | 2022-12-04 | vs PIT | L 16–19 | Arthur Smith |
| 15 | 2022-12-18 | @ NO | L 18–21 | Arthur Smith |
| 16 | 2022-12-24 | @ BAL | L 9–17 | Arthur Smith |
| 17 | 2023-01-01 | vs ARI | W 20–19 | Arthur Smith |
| 18 | 2023-01-08 | vs TB | W 30–17 | Arthur Smith |
2022: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Allgeier | 230 | +17.1 | +0.99 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 63 | +23.2 | +0.79 |
| Marcus Mariota | 416 | +30.2 | +0.77 |
| MyCole Pruitt | 21 | +8.2 | +0.44 |
| Caleb Huntley | 79 | +1.9 | +0.28 |
| Parker Hesse | 11 | +8.6 | +0.19 |
2021 season
2021: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYG 17–14 (lowest chance 16.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs WAS 30–34 (highest chance 88.3%)
2021 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | vs PHI | L 6–32 | Arthur Smith |
| 2 | 2021-09-19 | @ TB | L 25–48 | Arthur Smith |
| 3 | 2021-09-26 | @ NYG | W 17–14 | Arthur Smith |
| 4 | 2021-10-03 | vs WAS | L 30–34 | Arthur Smith |
| 5 | 2021-10-10 | vs NYJ | W 27–20 | Arthur Smith |
| 7 | 2021-10-24 | @ MIA | W 30–28 | Arthur Smith |
| 8 | 2021-10-31 | vs CAR | L 13–19 | Arthur Smith |
| 9 | 2021-11-07 | @ NO | W 27–25 | Arthur Smith |
| 10 | 2021-11-14 | @ DAL | L 3–43 | Arthur Smith |
| 11 | 2021-11-18 | vs NE | L 0–25 | Arthur Smith |
| 12 | 2021-11-28 | @ JAX | W 21–14 | Arthur Smith |
| 13 | 2021-12-05 | vs TB | L 17–30 | Arthur Smith |
| 14 | 2021-12-12 | @ CAR | W 29–21 | Arthur Smith |
| 15 | 2021-12-19 | @ SF | L 13–31 | Arthur Smith |
| 16 | 2021-12-26 | vs DET | W 20–16 | Arthur Smith |
| 17 | 2022-01-02 | @ BUF | L 15–29 | Arthur Smith |
| 18 | 2022-01-09 | vs NO | L 20–30 | Arthur Smith |
2021: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 663 | +20.7 | +2.53 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 222 | +2.5 | +1.45 |
| Kyle Pitts | 110 | +26.3 | +1.24 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 54 | +13.1 | +0.46 |
| Russell Gage | 94 | +9.5 | +0.43 |
| Tajae Sharpe | 37 | +4.8 | +0.19 |
2020 season
2020: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CAR 25–17 (lowest chance 22.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs CHI 26–30 (highest chance 98.7%)
2020 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2020-09-13 | vs SEA | L 25–38 | Dan Quinn |
| 2 | 2020-09-20 | @ DAL | L 39–40 | Dan Quinn |
| 3 | 2020-09-27 | vs CHI | L 26–30 | Dan Quinn |
| 4 | 2020-10-05 | @ GB | L 16–30 | Dan Quinn |
| 5 | 2020-10-11 | vs CAR | L 16–23 | Dan Quinn |
| 6 | 2020-10-18 | @ MIN | W 40–23 | Raheem Morris |
| 7 | 2020-10-25 | vs DET | L 22–23 | Raheem Morris |
| 8 | 2020-10-29 | @ CAR | W 25–17 | Raheem Morris |
| 9 | 2020-11-08 | vs DEN | W 34–27 | Raheem Morris |
| 11 | 2020-11-22 | @ NO | L 9–24 | Raheem Morris |
| 12 | 2020-11-29 | vs LV | W 43–6 | Raheem Morris |
| 13 | 2020-12-06 | vs NO | L 16–21 | Raheem Morris |
| 14 | 2020-12-13 | @ LAC | L 17–20 | Raheem Morris |
| 15 | 2020-12-20 | vs TB | L 27–31 | Raheem Morris |
| 16 | 2020-12-27 | @ KC | L 14–17 | Raheem Morris |
| 17 | 2021-01-03 | @ TB | L 27–44 | Raheem Morris |
2020: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 722 | +105.1 | +2.45 |
| Calvin Ridley | 149 | +47.6 | +1.28 |
| Julio Jones | 68 | +53.4 | +1.14 |
| Russell Gage | 113 | +33.4 | +1.09 |
| Laquon Treadwell | 7 | +3.9 | +0.20 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 33 | +10.5 | +0.18 |
2019 season
2019: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ SF 29–22 (lowest chance 5.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs TB 22–35 (highest chance 73.5%)
2019 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2019-09-08 | @ MIN | L 12–28 | Dan Quinn |
| 2 | 2019-09-15 | vs PHI | W 24–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 3 | 2019-09-22 | @ IND | L 24–27 | Dan Quinn |
| 4 | 2019-09-29 | vs TEN | L 10–24 | Dan Quinn |
| 5 | 2019-10-06 | @ HOU | L 32–53 | Dan Quinn |
| 6 | 2019-10-13 | @ ARI | L 33–34 | Dan Quinn |
| 7 | 2019-10-20 | vs LA | L 10–37 | Dan Quinn |
| 8 | 2019-10-27 | vs SEA | L 20–27 | Dan Quinn |
| 10 | 2019-11-10 | @ NO | W 26–9 | Dan Quinn |
| 11 | 2019-11-17 | @ CAR | W 29–3 | Dan Quinn |
| 12 | 2019-11-24 | vs TB | L 22–35 | Dan Quinn |
| 13 | 2019-11-28 | vs NO | L 18–26 | Dan Quinn |
| 14 | 2019-12-08 | vs CAR | W 40–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 15 | 2019-12-15 | @ SF | W 29–22 | Dan Quinn |
| 16 | 2019-12-22 | vs JAX | W 24–12 | Dan Quinn |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | @ TB | W 28–22 OT | Dan Quinn |
2019: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 729 | +52.2 | +2.71 |
| Julio Jones | 159 | +65.0 | +2.40 |
| Calvin Ridley | 95 | +48.7 | +0.67 |
| Austin Hooper | 97 | +25.5 | +0.38 |
| Justin Hardy | 26 | +4.4 | +0.32 |
| Russell Gage | 78 | +5.7 | +0.30 |
2018 season
2018: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ TB 34–32 (lowest chance 11.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs CIN 36–37 (highest chance 88.1%)
2018 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2018-09-06 | @ PHI | L 12–18 | Dan Quinn |
| 2 | 2018-09-16 | vs CAR | W 31–24 | Dan Quinn |
| 3 | 2018-09-23 | vs NO | L 37–43 OT | Dan Quinn |
| 4 | 2018-09-30 | vs CIN | L 36–37 | Dan Quinn |
| 5 | 2018-10-07 | @ PIT | L 17–41 | Dan Quinn |
| 6 | 2018-10-14 | vs TB | W 34–29 | Dan Quinn |
| 7 | 2018-10-22 | vs NYG | W 23–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 9 | 2018-11-04 | @ WAS | W 38–14 | Dan Quinn |
| 10 | 2018-11-11 | @ CLE | L 16–28 | Dan Quinn |
| 11 | 2018-11-18 | vs DAL | L 19–22 | Dan Quinn |
| 12 | 2018-11-22 | @ NO | L 17–31 | Dan Quinn |
| 13 | 2018-12-02 | vs BAL | L 16–26 | Dan Quinn |
| 14 | 2018-12-09 | @ GB | L 20–34 | Dan Quinn |
| 15 | 2018-12-16 | vs ARI | W 40–14 | Dan Quinn |
| 16 | 2018-12-23 | @ CAR | W 24–10 | Dan Quinn |
| 17 | 2018-12-30 | @ TB | W 34–32 | Dan Quinn |
2018: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 707 | +166.5 | +3.45 |
| Julio Jones | 172 | +69.4 | +1.76 |
| Mohamed Sanu | 104 | +47.6 | +1.17 |
| Calvin Ridley | 99 | +33.3 | +0.80 |
| Austin Hooper | 88 | +30.3 | +0.56 |
| Logan Paulsen | 9 | +7.6 | +0.21 |
2017 season
2017: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NO 20–17 (lowest chance 22.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIA 17–20 (highest chance 98.8%)
2017 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2017-09-10 | @ CHI | W 23–17 | Dan Quinn |
| 2 | 2017-09-17 | vs GB | W 34–23 | Dan Quinn |
| 3 | 2017-09-24 | @ DET | W 30–26 | Dan Quinn |
| 4 | 2017-10-01 | vs BUF | L 17–23 | Dan Quinn |
| 6 | 2017-10-15 | vs MIA | L 17–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 7 | 2017-10-22 | @ NE | L 7–23 | Dan Quinn |
| 8 | 2017-10-29 | @ NYJ | W 25–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 9 | 2017-11-05 | @ CAR | L 17–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 10 | 2017-11-12 | vs DAL | W 27–7 | Dan Quinn |
| 11 | 2017-11-20 | @ SEA | W 34–31 | Dan Quinn |
| 12 | 2017-11-26 | vs TB | W 34–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 13 | 2017-12-03 | vs MIN | L 9–14 | Dan Quinn |
| 14 | 2017-12-07 | vs NO | W 20–17 | Dan Quinn |
| 15 | 2017-12-18 | @ TB | W 24–21 | Dan Quinn |
| 16 | 2017-12-24 | @ NO | L 13–23 | Dan Quinn |
| 17 | 2017-12-31 | vs CAR | W 22–10 | Dan Quinn |
| P18 | 2018-01-06 | @ LA | W 26–13 | Dan Quinn |
| P19 | 2018-01-13 | @ PHI | L 10–15 | Dan Quinn |
2017: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 601 | +95.4 | +0.92 |
| Julio Jones | 149 | +58.4 | +0.87 |
| Mohamed Sanu | 101 | +22.9 | +0.60 |
| Justin Hardy | 29 | +16.8 | +0.52 |
| Levine Toilolo | 14 | +9.7 | +0.26 |
| Nick Williams | 4 | +0.3 | +0.01 |
2016 season
2016: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs GB 33–32 (lowest chance 21.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs NE 28–34 (highest chance 98.7%)
2016 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2016-09-11 | vs TB | L 24–31 | Dan Quinn |
| 2 | 2016-09-18 | @ LV | W 35–28 | Dan Quinn |
| 3 | 2016-09-26 | @ NO | W 45–32 | Dan Quinn |
| 4 | 2016-10-02 | vs CAR | W 48–33 | Dan Quinn |
| 5 | 2016-10-09 | @ DEN | W 23–16 | Dan Quinn |
| 6 | 2016-10-16 | @ SEA | L 24–26 | Dan Quinn |
| 7 | 2016-10-23 | vs LAC | L 30–33 OT | Dan Quinn |
| 8 | 2016-10-30 | vs GB | W 33–32 | Dan Quinn |
| 9 | 2016-11-03 | @ TB | W 43–28 | Dan Quinn |
| 10 | 2016-11-13 | @ PHI | L 15–24 | Dan Quinn |
| 12 | 2016-11-27 | vs ARI | W 38–19 | Dan Quinn |
| 13 | 2016-12-04 | vs KC | L 28–29 | Dan Quinn |
| 14 | 2016-12-11 | @ LA | W 42–14 | Dan Quinn |
| 15 | 2016-12-18 | vs SF | W 41–13 | Dan Quinn |
| 16 | 2016-12-24 | @ CAR | W 33–16 | Dan Quinn |
| 17 | 2017-01-01 | vs NO | W 38–32 | Dan Quinn |
| P19 | 2017-01-14 | vs SEA | W 36–20 | Dan Quinn |
| P20 | 2017-01-22 | vs GB | W 44–21 | Dan Quinn |
| P21 | 2017-02-05 | vs NE | L 28–34 OT | Dan Quinn |
2016: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 624 | +204.0 | +4.52 |
| Julio Jones | 129 | +62.0 | +1.07 |
| Mohamed Sanu | 82 | +35.1 | +0.92 |
| Taylor Gabriel | 54 | +33.6 | +0.66 |
| Levine Toilolo | 19 | +17.7 | +0.63 |
| Justin Hardy | 31 | +14.6 | +0.39 |
2015 season
2015: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYG 24–20 (lowest chance 8.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 21–24 (highest chance 94.9%)
2015 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2015-09-14 | vs PHI | W 26–24 | Dan Quinn |
| 2 | 2015-09-20 | @ NYG | W 24–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 3 | 2015-09-27 | @ DAL | W 39–28 | Dan Quinn |
| 4 | 2015-10-04 | vs HOU | W 48–21 | Dan Quinn |
| 5 | 2015-10-11 | vs WAS | W 25–19 OT | Dan Quinn |
| 6 | 2015-10-15 | @ NO | L 21–31 | Dan Quinn |
| 7 | 2015-10-25 | @ TEN | W 10–7 | Dan Quinn |
| 8 | 2015-11-01 | vs TB | L 20–23 OT | Dan Quinn |
| 9 | 2015-11-08 | @ SF | L 16–17 | Dan Quinn |
| 11 | 2015-11-22 | vs IND | L 21–24 | Dan Quinn |
| 12 | 2015-11-29 | vs MIN | L 10–20 | Dan Quinn |
| 13 | 2015-12-06 | @ TB | L 19–23 | Dan Quinn |
| 14 | 2015-12-13 | @ CAR | L 0–38 | Dan Quinn |
| 15 | 2015-12-20 | @ JAX | W 23–17 | Dan Quinn |
| 16 | 2015-12-27 | vs CAR | W 20–13 | Dan Quinn |
| 17 | 2016-01-03 | vs NO | L 17–20 | Dan Quinn |
2015: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Jones | 203 | +82.9 | +3.05 |
| Matt Ryan | 707 | +85.8 | +1.83 |
| Roddy White | 70 | +3.2 | +0.46 |
| Leonard Hankerson | 46 | +18.9 | +0.36 |
| Patrick DiMarco | 18 | +5.4 | +0.18 |
| Nick Williams | 25 | +3.6 | +0.12 |
2014 season
2014: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NO 37–34 (lowest chance 12.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs DET 21–22 (highest chance 94.3%)
2014 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2014-09-07 | vs NO | W 37–34 OT | Mike Smith |
| 2 | 2014-09-14 | @ CIN | L 10–24 | Mike Smith |
| 3 | 2014-09-18 | vs TB | W 56–14 | Mike Smith |
| 4 | 2014-09-28 | @ MIN | L 28–41 | Mike Smith |
| 5 | 2014-10-05 | @ NYG | L 20–30 | Mike Smith |
| 6 | 2014-10-12 | vs CHI | L 13–27 | Mike Smith |
| 7 | 2014-10-19 | @ BAL | L 7–29 | Mike Smith |
| 8 | 2014-10-26 | vs DET | L 21–22 | Mike Smith |
| 10 | 2014-11-09 | @ TB | W 27–17 | Mike Smith |
| 11 | 2014-11-16 | @ CAR | W 19–17 | Mike Smith |
| 12 | 2014-11-23 | vs CLE | L 24–26 | Mike Smith |
| 13 | 2014-11-30 | vs ARI | W 29–18 | Mike Smith |
| 14 | 2014-12-08 | @ GB | L 37–43 | Mike Smith |
| 15 | 2014-12-14 | vs PIT | L 20–27 | Mike Smith |
| 16 | 2014-12-21 | @ NO | W 30–14 | Mike Smith |
| 17 | 2014-12-28 | vs CAR | L 3–34 | Mike Smith |
2014: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 715 | +79.2 | +2.69 |
| Julio Jones | 164 | +65.4 | +1.07 |
| Antone Smith | 38 | +15.8 | +0.78 |
| Roddy White | 125 | +29.4 | +0.77 |
| Harry Douglas | 74 | +3.5 | +0.62 |
| Devin Hester | 65 | +9.3 | +0.44 |
2013 season
2013: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BUF 34–31 (lowest chance 8.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ MIA 23–27 (highest chance 83.4%)
2013 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2013-09-08 | @ NO | L 17–23 | Mike Smith |
| 2 | 2013-09-15 | vs LA | W 31–24 | Mike Smith |
| 3 | 2013-09-22 | @ MIA | L 23–27 | Mike Smith |
| 4 | 2013-09-29 | vs NE | L 23–30 | Mike Smith |
| 5 | 2013-10-07 | vs NYJ | L 28–30 | Mike Smith |
| 7 | 2013-10-20 | vs TB | W 31–23 | Mike Smith |
| 8 | 2013-10-27 | @ ARI | L 13–27 | Mike Smith |
| 9 | 2013-11-03 | @ CAR | L 10–34 | Mike Smith |
| 10 | 2013-11-10 | vs SEA | L 10–33 | Mike Smith |
| 11 | 2013-11-17 | @ TB | L 28–41 | Mike Smith |
| 12 | 2013-11-21 | vs NO | L 13–17 | Mike Smith |
| 13 | 2013-12-01 | @ BUF | W 34–31 OT | Mike Smith |
| 14 | 2013-12-08 | @ GB | L 21–22 | Mike Smith |
| 15 | 2013-12-15 | vs WAS | W 27–26 | Mike Smith |
| 16 | 2013-12-23 | @ SF | L 24–34 | Mike Smith |
| 17 | 2013-12-29 | vs CAR | L 20–21 | Mike Smith |
2013: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonzalez | 121 | +50.2 | +0.95 |
| Matt Ryan | 744 | +66.8 | +0.72 |
| Roddy White | 97 | +33.5 | +0.58 |
| Julio Jones | 61 | +17.1 | +0.51 |
| Drew Davis | 17 | +6.9 | +0.28 |
| Levine Toilolo | 14 | −0.4 | +0.18 |
2012 season
2012: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CAR 30–28 (lowest chance 18.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs SF 24–28 (highest chance 79.8%)
2012 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-09-09 | @ KC | W 40–24 | Mike Smith |
| 2 | 2012-09-17 | vs DEN | W 27–21 | Mike Smith |
| 3 | 2012-09-23 | @ LAC | W 27–3 | Mike Smith |
| 4 | 2012-09-30 | vs CAR | W 30–28 | Mike Smith |
| 5 | 2012-10-07 | @ WAS | W 24–17 | Mike Smith |
| 6 | 2012-10-14 | vs LV | W 23–20 | Mike Smith |
| 8 | 2012-10-28 | @ PHI | W 30–17 | Mike Smith |
| 9 | 2012-11-04 | vs DAL | W 19–13 | Mike Smith |
| 10 | 2012-11-11 | @ NO | L 27–31 | Mike Smith |
| 11 | 2012-11-18 | vs ARI | W 23–19 | Mike Smith |
| 12 | 2012-11-25 | @ TB | W 24–23 | Mike Smith |
| 13 | 2012-11-29 | vs NO | W 23–13 | Mike Smith |
| 14 | 2012-12-09 | @ CAR | L 20–30 | Mike Smith |
| 15 | 2012-12-16 | vs NYG | W 34–0 | Mike Smith |
| 16 | 2012-12-22 | @ DET | W 31–18 | Mike Smith |
| 17 | 2012-12-30 | vs TB | L 17–22 | Mike Smith |
| P19 | 2013-01-13 | vs SEA | W 30–28 | Mike Smith |
| P20 | 2013-01-20 | vs SF | L 24–28 | Mike Smith |
2012: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 698 | +162.5 | +4.27 |
| Roddy White | 143 | +60.0 | +1.63 |
| Tony Gonzalez | 124 | +61.1 | +1.63 |
| Julio Jones | 135 | +61.9 | +1.35 |
| Jacquizz Rodgers | 154 | −9.2 | +0.34 |
| Drew Davis | 6 | +2.8 | +0.07 |
2011 season
2011: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CAR 31–23 (lowest chance 9.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs GB 14–25 (highest chance 73.7%)
2011 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011-09-11 | @ CHI | L 12–30 | Mike Smith |
| 2 | 2011-09-18 | vs PHI | W 35–31 | Mike Smith |
| 3 | 2011-09-25 | @ TB | L 13–16 | Mike Smith |
| 4 | 2011-10-02 | @ SEA | W 30–28 | Mike Smith |
| 5 | 2011-10-09 | vs GB | L 14–25 | Mike Smith |
| 6 | 2011-10-16 | vs CAR | W 31–17 | Mike Smith |
| 7 | 2011-10-23 | @ DET | W 23–16 | Mike Smith |
| 9 | 2011-11-06 | @ IND | W 31–7 | Mike Smith |
| 10 | 2011-11-13 | vs NO | L 23–26 OT | Mike Smith |
| 11 | 2011-11-20 | vs TEN | W 23–17 | Mike Smith |
| 12 | 2011-11-27 | vs MIN | W 24–14 | Mike Smith |
| 13 | 2011-12-04 | @ HOU | L 10–17 | Mike Smith |
| 14 | 2011-12-11 | @ CAR | W 31–23 | Mike Smith |
| 15 | 2011-12-15 | vs JAX | W 41–14 | Mike Smith |
| 16 | 2011-12-26 | @ NO | L 16–45 | Mike Smith |
| 17 | 2012-01-01 | vs TB | W 45–24 | Mike Smith |
| P18 | 2012-01-08 | @ NYG | L 2–24 | Mike Smith |
2011: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 652 | +109.6 | +2.39 |
| Tony Gonzalez | 116 | +45.4 | +1.07 |
| Roddy White | 180 | +28.9 | +0.58 |
| Harry Douglas | 63 | +10.6 | +0.47 |
| Julio Jones | 101 | +39.1 | +0.38 |
| Jacquizz Rodgers | 86 | −11.2 | +0.16 |
2010 season
2010: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NO 27–24 (lowest chance 9.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 14–17 (highest chance 80.5%)
2010 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010-09-12 | @ PIT | L 9–15 OT | Mike Smith |
| 2 | 2010-09-19 | vs ARI | W 41–7 | Mike Smith |
| 3 | 2010-09-26 | @ NO | W 27–24 OT | Mike Smith |
| 4 | 2010-10-03 | vs SF | W 16–14 | Mike Smith |
| 5 | 2010-10-10 | @ CLE | W 20–10 | Mike Smith |
| 6 | 2010-10-17 | @ PHI | L 17–31 | Mike Smith |
| 7 | 2010-10-24 | vs CIN | W 39–32 | Mike Smith |
| 9 | 2010-11-07 | vs TB | W 27–21 | Mike Smith |
| 10 | 2010-11-11 | vs BAL | W 26–21 | Mike Smith |
| 11 | 2010-11-21 | @ LA | W 34–17 | Mike Smith |
| 12 | 2010-11-28 | vs GB | W 20–17 | Mike Smith |
| 13 | 2010-12-05 | @ TB | W 28–24 | Mike Smith |
| 14 | 2010-12-12 | @ CAR | W 31–10 | Mike Smith |
| 15 | 2010-12-19 | @ SEA | W 34–18 | Mike Smith |
| 16 | 2010-12-27 | vs NO | L 14–17 | Mike Smith |
| 17 | 2011-01-02 | vs CAR | W 31–10 | Mike Smith |
| P19 | 2011-01-15 | vs GB | L 21–48 | Mike Smith |
2010: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 662 | +119.7 | +2.99 |
| Roddy White | 180 | +57.7 | +1.43 |
| Michael Jenkins | 73 | +22.9 | +0.59 |
| Tony Gonzalez | 108 | +24.9 | +0.51 |
| Jason Snelling | 140 | +4.6 | +0.36 |
| Brian Finneran | 32 | +10.8 | +0.20 |
2009 season
2009: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYJ 10–7 (lowest chance 9.2%)
- Worst collapse: @ CAR 19–28 (highest chance 66.3%)
2009 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009-09-13 | vs MIA | W 19–7 | Mike Smith |
| 2 | 2009-09-20 | vs CAR | W 28–20 | Mike Smith |
| 3 | 2009-09-27 | @ NE | L 10–26 | Mike Smith |
| 5 | 2009-10-11 | @ SF | W 45–10 | Mike Smith |
| 6 | 2009-10-18 | vs CHI | W 21–14 | Mike Smith |
| 7 | 2009-10-25 | @ DAL | L 21–37 | Mike Smith |
| 8 | 2009-11-02 | @ NO | L 27–35 | Mike Smith |
| 9 | 2009-11-08 | vs WAS | W 31–17 | Mike Smith |
| 10 | 2009-11-15 | @ CAR | L 19–28 | Mike Smith |
| 11 | 2009-11-22 | @ NYG | L 31–34 OT | Mike Smith |
| 12 | 2009-11-29 | vs TB | W 20–17 | Mike Smith |
| 13 | 2009-12-06 | vs PHI | L 7–34 | Mike Smith |
| 14 | 2009-12-13 | vs NO | L 23–26 | Mike Smith |
| 15 | 2009-12-20 | @ NYJ | W 10–7 | Mike Smith |
| 16 | 2009-12-27 | vs BUF | W 31–3 | Mike Smith |
| 17 | 2010-01-03 | @ TB | W 20–10 | Mike Smith |
2009: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 512 | +58.4 | +1.42 |
| Roddy White | 166 | +29.0 | +1.22 |
| Tony Gonzalez | 135 | +40.4 | +1.20 |
| Chris Redman | 133 | +8.9 | +0.43 |
| Justin Peelle | 15 | +12.4 | +0.31 |
| Brian Finneran | 16 | +3.8 | +0.09 |
2008 season
2008: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CHI 22–20 (lowest chance 20.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs DEN 20–24 (highest chance 85.6%)
2008 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2008-09-07 | vs DET | W 34–21 | Mike Smith |
| 2 | 2008-09-14 | @ TB | L 9–24 | Mike Smith |
| 3 | 2008-09-21 | vs KC | W 38–14 | Mike Smith |
| 4 | 2008-09-28 | @ CAR | L 9–24 | Mike Smith |
| 5 | 2008-10-05 | @ GB | W 27–24 | Mike Smith |
| 6 | 2008-10-12 | vs CHI | W 22–20 | Mike Smith |
| 8 | 2008-10-26 | @ PHI | L 14–27 | Mike Smith |
| 9 | 2008-11-02 | @ LV | W 24–0 | Mike Smith |
| 10 | 2008-11-09 | vs NO | W 34–20 | Mike Smith |
| 11 | 2008-11-16 | vs DEN | L 20–24 | Mike Smith |
| 12 | 2008-11-23 | vs CAR | W 45–28 | Mike Smith |
| 13 | 2008-11-30 | @ LAC | W 22–16 | Mike Smith |
| 14 | 2008-12-07 | @ NO | L 25–29 | Mike Smith |
| 15 | 2008-12-14 | vs TB | W 13–10 OT | Mike Smith |
| 16 | 2008-12-21 | @ MIN | W 24–17 | Mike Smith |
| 17 | 2008-12-28 | vs LA | W 31–27 | Mike Smith |
| P18 | 2009-01-03 | @ ARI | L 24–30 | Mike Smith |
2008: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 510 | +99.1 | +3.26 |
| Michael Jenkins | 81 | +28.5 | +1.34 |
| Roddy White | 150 | +56.1 | +1.26 |
| Harry Douglas | 51 | +3.9 | +0.42 |
| Justin Peelle | 23 | +11.8 | +0.34 |
| Brian Finneran | 36 | −1.4 | +0.21 |
2007 season
2007: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs SEA 44–41 (lowest chance 21.2%)
- Worst collapse: @ ARI 27–30 (highest chance 77.6%)
2007 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2007-09-09 | @ MIN | L 3–24 | Bobby Petrino |
| 2 | 2007-09-16 | @ JAX | L 7–13 | Bobby Petrino |
| 3 | 2007-09-23 | vs CAR | L 20–27 | Bobby Petrino |
| 4 | 2007-09-30 | vs HOU | W 26–16 | Bobby Petrino |
| 5 | 2007-10-07 | @ TEN | L 13–20 | Bobby Petrino |
| 6 | 2007-10-15 | vs NYG | L 10–31 | Bobby Petrino |
| 7 | 2007-10-21 | @ NO | L 16–22 | Bobby Petrino |
| 9 | 2007-11-04 | vs SF | W 20–16 | Bobby Petrino |
| 10 | 2007-11-11 | @ CAR | W 20–13 | Bobby Petrino |
| 11 | 2007-11-18 | vs TB | L 7–31 | Bobby Petrino |
| 12 | 2007-11-22 | vs IND | L 13–31 | Bobby Petrino |
| 13 | 2007-12-02 | @ LA | L 16–28 | Bobby Petrino |
| 14 | 2007-12-10 | vs NO | L 14–34 | Emmitt Thomas |
| 15 | 2007-12-16 | @ TB | L 3–37 | Emmitt Thomas |
| 16 | 2007-12-23 | @ ARI | L 27–30 OT | Emmitt Thomas |
| 17 | 2007-12-30 | vs SEA | W 44–41 | Emmitt Thomas |
2007: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roddy White | 138 | +41.7 | +1.39 |
| Chris Redman | 170 | −9.2 | +0.64 |
| Alge Crumpler | 71 | +4.1 | +0.63 |
| Jerious Norwood | 145 | +7.7 | +0.23 |
| Adam Jennings | 6 | +8.3 | +0.16 |
| Martrez Milner | 9 | +1.2 | +0.06 |
2006 season
2006: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ WAS 24–14 (lowest chance 11.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYG 14–27 (highest chance 88.2%)
2006 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2006-09-10 | @ CAR | W 20–6 | Jim Mora |
| 2 | 2006-09-17 | vs TB | W 14–3 | Jim Mora |
| 3 | 2006-09-25 | @ NO | L 3–23 | Jim Mora |
| 4 | 2006-10-01 | vs ARI | W 32–10 | Jim Mora |
| 6 | 2006-10-15 | vs NYG | L 14–27 | Jim Mora |
| 7 | 2006-10-22 | vs PIT | W 41–38 OT | Jim Mora |
| 8 | 2006-10-29 | @ CIN | W 29–27 | Jim Mora |
| 9 | 2006-11-05 | @ DET | L 14–30 | Jim Mora |
| 10 | 2006-11-12 | vs CLE | L 13–17 | Jim Mora |
| 11 | 2006-11-19 | @ BAL | L 10–24 | Jim Mora |
| 12 | 2006-11-26 | vs NO | L 13–31 | Jim Mora |
| 13 | 2006-12-03 | @ WAS | W 24–14 | Jim Mora |
| 14 | 2006-12-10 | @ TB | W 17–6 | Jim Mora |
| 15 | 2006-12-16 | vs DAL | L 28–38 | Jim Mora |
| 16 | 2006-12-24 | vs CAR | L 3–10 | Jim Mora |
| 17 | 2006-12-31 | @ PHI | L 17–24 | Jim Mora |
2006: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alge Crumpler | 103 | +23.4 | +0.88 |
| Justin Griffith | 47 | +1.2 | +0.41 |
| Roddy White | 64 | +2.2 | +0.41 |
| Jerious Norwood | 117 | +7.3 | +0.36 |
| Mike Vick | 577 | −9.8 | +0.14 |
| Michael Jenkins | 84 | −9.9 | −0.00 |
2005 season
2005: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BUF 24–16 (lowest chance 32.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs TB 27–30 (highest chance 85.7%)
2005 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2005-09-12 | vs PHI | W 14–10 | Jim Mora |
| 2 | 2005-09-18 | @ SEA | L 18–21 | Jim Mora |
| 3 | 2005-09-25 | @ BUF | W 24–16 | Jim Mora |
| 4 | 2005-10-02 | vs MIN | W 30–10 | Jim Mora |
| 5 | 2005-10-09 | vs NE | L 28–31 | Jim Mora |
| 6 | 2005-10-16 | @ NO | W 34–31 | Jim Mora |
| 7 | 2005-10-24 | vs NYJ | W 27–14 | Jim Mora |
| 9 | 2005-11-06 | @ MIA | W 17–10 | Jim Mora |
| 10 | 2005-11-13 | vs GB | L 25–33 | Jim Mora |
| 11 | 2005-11-20 | vs TB | L 27–30 | Jim Mora |
| 12 | 2005-11-24 | @ DET | W 27–7 | Jim Mora |
| 13 | 2005-12-04 | @ CAR | L 6–24 | Jim Mora |
| 14 | 2005-12-12 | vs NO | W 36–17 | Jim Mora |
| 15 | 2005-12-18 | @ CHI | L 3–16 | Jim Mora |
| 16 | 2005-12-24 | @ TB | L 24–27 OT | Jim Mora |
| 17 | 2006-01-01 | vs CAR | L 11–44 | Jim Mora |
2005: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Finneran | 81 | +26.1 | +0.71 |
| Michael Jenkins | 71 | +16.9 | +0.56 |
| Alge Crumpler | 118 | +11.5 | +0.31 |
| Roddy White | 72 | +5.9 | +0.20 |
| Mike Vick | 529 | +24.9 | +0.14 |
| Jerome Pathon | 3 | −1.8 | +0.04 |
2004 season
2004: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DEN 41–28 (lowest chance 7.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs DET 10–17 (highest chance 83.2%)
2004 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2004-09-12 | @ SF | W 21–19 | Jim Mora |
| 2 | 2004-09-19 | vs LA | W 34–17 | Jim Mora |
| 3 | 2004-09-26 | vs ARI | W 6–3 | Jim Mora |
| 4 | 2004-10-03 | @ CAR | W 27–10 | Jim Mora |
| 5 | 2004-10-10 | vs DET | L 10–17 | Jim Mora |
| 6 | 2004-10-17 | vs LAC | W 21–20 | Jim Mora |
| 7 | 2004-10-24 | @ KC | L 10–56 | Jim Mora |
| 8 | 2004-10-31 | @ DEN | W 41–28 | Jim Mora |
| 10 | 2004-11-14 | vs TB | W 24–14 | Jim Mora |
| 11 | 2004-11-21 | @ NYG | W 14–10 | Jim Mora |
| 12 | 2004-11-28 | vs NO | W 24–21 | Jim Mora |
| 13 | 2004-12-05 | @ TB | L 0–27 | Jim Mora |
| 14 | 2004-12-12 | vs LV | W 35–10 | Jim Mora |
| 15 | 2004-12-18 | vs CAR | W 34–31 OT | Jim Mora |
| 16 | 2004-12-26 | @ NO | L 13–26 | Jim Mora |
| 17 | 2005-01-02 | @ SEA | L 26–28 | Jim Mora |
| P19 | 2005-01-15 | vs LA | W 47–17 | Jim Mora |
| P20 | 2005-01-23 | @ PHI | L 10–27 | Jim Mora |
2004: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alge Crumpler | 74 | +30.0 | +1.04 |
| Mike Vick | 504 | −0.6 | +0.76 |
| Brian Finneran | 33 | +18.6 | +0.56 |
| Justin Griffith | 40 | +6.0 | +0.26 |
| Fred McCrary | 4 | +2.7 | +0.13 |
| T.J. Duckett | 111 | +4.0 | +0.02 |
2003 season
2003: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYG 27–7 (lowest chance 11.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs WAS 31–33 (highest chance 95.5%)
2003 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2003-09-07 | @ DAL | W 27–13 | Dan Reeves |
| 2 | 2003-09-14 | vs WAS | L 31–33 | Dan Reeves |
| 3 | 2003-09-21 | vs TB | L 10–31 | Dan Reeves |
| 4 | 2003-09-28 | @ CAR | L 3–23 | Dan Reeves |
| 5 | 2003-10-05 | vs MIN | L 26–39 | Dan Reeves |
| 6 | 2003-10-13 | @ LA | L 0–36 | Dan Reeves |
| 7 | 2003-10-19 | vs NO | L 17–45 | Dan Reeves |
| 9 | 2003-11-02 | vs PHI | L 16–23 | Dan Reeves |
| 10 | 2003-11-09 | @ NYG | W 27–7 | Dan Reeves |
| 11 | 2003-11-16 | @ NO | L 20–23 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 12 | 2003-11-23 | vs TEN | L 31–38 | Dan Reeves |
| 13 | 2003-11-30 | @ HOU | L 13–17 | Dan Reeves |
| 14 | 2003-12-07 | vs CAR | W 20–14 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 15 | 2003-12-14 | @ IND | L 7–38 | Wade Phillips |
| 16 | 2003-12-20 | @ TB | W 30–28 | Wade Phillips |
| 17 | 2003-12-28 | vs JAX | W 21–14 | Wade Phillips |
2003: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrick Dunn | 184 | +1.6 | +0.65 |
| Mike Vick | 149 | +7.3 | +0.36 |
| Alge Crumpler | 80 | +1.7 | +0.35 |
| Brian Finneran | 54 | +11.3 | +0.26 |
| Justin Griffith | 73 | −2.8 | +0.10 |
| George Layne | 3 | −0.8 | −0.01 |
2002 season
2002: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NO 37–35 (lowest chance 14.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs SEA 24–30 (highest chance 94.1%)
2002 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2002-09-08 | @ GB | L 34–37 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 2 | 2002-09-15 | vs CHI | L 13–14 | Dan Reeves |
| 3 | 2002-09-22 | vs CIN | W 30–3 | Dan Reeves |
| 5 | 2002-10-06 | vs TB | L 6–20 | Dan Reeves |
| 6 | 2002-10-13 | @ NYG | W 17–10 | Dan Reeves |
| 7 | 2002-10-20 | vs CAR | W 30–0 | Dan Reeves |
| 8 | 2002-10-27 | @ NO | W 37–35 | Dan Reeves |
| 9 | 2002-11-03 | vs BAL | W 20–17 | Dan Reeves |
| 10 | 2002-11-10 | @ PIT | T 34–34 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 11 | 2002-11-17 | vs NO | W 24–17 | Dan Reeves |
| 12 | 2002-11-24 | @ CAR | W 41–0 | Dan Reeves |
| 13 | 2002-12-01 | @ MIN | W 30–24 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 14 | 2002-12-08 | @ TB | L 10–34 | Dan Reeves |
| 15 | 2002-12-15 | vs SEA | L 24–30 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 16 | 2002-12-22 | vs DET | W 36–15 | Dan Reeves |
| 17 | 2002-12-29 | @ CLE | L 16–24 | Dan Reeves |
| P18 | 2003-01-04 | @ GB | W 27–7 | Dan Reeves |
| P19 | 2003-01-11 | @ PHI | L 6–20 | Dan Reeves |
2002: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Finneran | 101 | +33.5 | +0.95 |
| Mike Vick | 589 | +78.6 | +0.64 |
| Trevor Gaylor | 54 | +13.4 | +0.63 |
| Doug Johnson | 67 | +14.7 | +0.54 |
| Shawn Jefferson | 49 | +13.9 | +0.37 |
| Alge Crumpler | 58 | +29.9 | +0.36 |
2001 season
2001: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ GB 23–20 (lowest chance 18.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs SF 31–37 (highest chance 86.7%)
2001 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2001-09-09 | @ SF | L 13–16 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 2 | 2001-09-23 | vs CAR | W 24–16 | Dan Reeves |
| 3 | 2001-09-30 | @ ARI | W 34–14 | Dan Reeves |
| 4 | 2001-10-07 | vs CHI | L 3–31 | Dan Reeves |
| 5 | 2001-10-14 | vs SF | L 31–37 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 6 | 2001-10-21 | @ NO | W 20–13 | Dan Reeves |
| 8 | 2001-11-04 | vs NE | L 10–24 | Dan Reeves |
| 9 | 2001-11-11 | vs DAL | W 20–13 | Dan Reeves |
| 10 | 2001-11-18 | @ GB | W 23–20 | Dan Reeves |
| 11 | 2001-11-25 | @ CAR | W 10–7 | Dan Reeves |
| 12 | 2001-12-02 | vs LA | L 6–35 | Dan Reeves |
| 13 | 2001-12-09 | vs NO | L 10–28 | Dan Reeves |
| 14 | 2001-12-16 | @ IND | L 27–41 | Dan Reeves |
| 15 | 2001-12-23 | vs BUF | W 33–30 | Dan Reeves |
| 16 | 2001-12-30 | @ MIA | L 14–21 | Dan Reeves |
| 17 | 2002-01-06 | @ LA | L 13–31 | Dan Reeves |
2001: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Finneran | 41 | +28.2 | +1.14 |
| Chris Chandler | 457 | +22.8 | +1.00 |
| Bob Christian | 105 | +26.0 | +0.70 |
| Shawn Jefferson | 65 | +15.8 | +0.50 |
| Brian Kozlowski | 22 | +17.9 | +0.46 |
| Doug Johnson | 13 | −0.4 | +0.14 |
2000 season
2000: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CAR 13–12 (lowest chance 9.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 19–21 (highest chance 70.5%)
2000 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2000-09-03 | vs SF | W 36–28 | Dan Reeves |
| 2 | 2000-09-10 | @ DEN | L 14–42 | Dan Reeves |
| 3 | 2000-09-17 | @ CAR | W 15–10 | Dan Reeves |
| 4 | 2000-09-24 | vs LA | L 20–41 | Dan Reeves |
| 5 | 2000-10-01 | @ PHI | L 10–38 | Dan Reeves |
| 6 | 2000-10-08 | vs NYG | L 6–13 | Dan Reeves |
| 7 | 2000-10-15 | @ LA | L 29–45 | Dan Reeves |
| 8 | 2000-10-22 | vs NO | L 19–21 | Dan Reeves |
| 9 | 2000-10-29 | vs CAR | W 13–12 | Dan Reeves |
| 10 | 2000-11-05 | vs TB | L 14–27 | Dan Reeves |
| 11 | 2000-11-12 | @ DET | L 10–13 | Dan Reeves |
| 12 | 2000-11-19 | @ SF | L 6–16 | Dan Reeves |
| 13 | 2000-11-26 | @ LV | L 14–41 | Dan Reeves |
| 14 | 2000-12-03 | vs SEA | L 10–30 | Dan Reeves |
| 16 | 2000-12-17 | @ NO | L 7–23 | Dan Reeves |
| 17 | 2000-12-24 | vs KC | W 29–13 | Dan Reeves |
2000: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Dwight | 58 | +10.4 | +0.08 |
| Brian Kozlowski | 25 | +4.5 | +0.06 |
| Ron Rivers | 9 | −2.3 | −0.00 |
| Jammi German | 4 | −3.2 | −0.01 |
| Maurice Smith | 20 | −6.2 | −0.05 |
| Terance Mathis | 126 | −12.0 | −0.06 |
1999 season
1999: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NO 20–17 (lowest chance 13.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs BAL 13–19 (highest chance 86.8%)
1999 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1999-09-12 | vs MIN | L 14–17 | Dan Reeves |
| 2 | 1999-09-20 | @ DAL | L 7–24 | Dan Reeves |
| 3 | 1999-09-26 | @ LA | L 7–35 | Dan Reeves |
| 4 | 1999-10-03 | vs BAL | L 13–19 OT | Dan Reeves |
| 5 | 1999-10-10 | @ NO | W 20–17 | Dan Reeves |
| 6 | 1999-10-17 | vs LA | L 13–41 | Dan Reeves |
| 7 | 1999-10-25 | @ PIT | L 9–13 | Dan Reeves |
| 8 | 1999-10-31 | vs CAR | W 27–20 | Dan Reeves |
| 9 | 1999-11-07 | vs JAX | L 7–30 | Dan Reeves |
| 11 | 1999-11-21 | @ TB | L 10–19 | Dan Reeves |
| 12 | 1999-11-28 | @ CAR | L 28–34 | Dan Reeves |
| 13 | 1999-12-05 | vs NO | W 35–12 | Dan Reeves |
| 14 | 1999-12-12 | @ SF | L 7–26 | Dan Reeves |
| 15 | 1999-12-19 | @ TEN | L 17–30 | Dan Reeves |
| 16 | 1999-12-26 | vs ARI | W 37–14 | Dan Reeves |
| 17 | 2000-01-03 | vs SF | W 34–29 | Dan Reeves |
1999: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jammi German | 20 | +15.0 | +0.32 |
| Tim Dwight | 55 | +44.1 | +0.32 |
| Terance Mathis | 154 | +24.7 | +0.22 |
| Reggie Kelly | 13 | +7.5 | +0.10 |
| O.J. Santiago | 30 | +1.4 | +0.07 |
| Rod Monroe | 1 | +0.7 | +0.02 |