Teams › BUF
Buffalo Bills
AFC East
Season by season
Adjusted ratings: opponent-adjusted EPA per play, regular season (the small number is the league rank; lower allowed is better). 4th-down WP lost: our model’s best option minus the coach’s call, 2018 on.
| Season | Record | Playoffs | Points for | Points against | Offence adj. EPA/play | Defence adj. EPA/play allowed | 4th-down WP lost per game (pts) | Head coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7–1 | 256 | 187 | +0.0973 | +0.01319 | 1.87 | Joe Brady | |
| 2025 | 12–5 | 1–1 | 481 | 365 | +0.1122 | +0.01615 | 2.44 | Sean McDermott |
| 2024 | 13–4 | 2–1 | 525 | 368 | +0.1422 | +0.00713 | 2.65 | Sean McDermott |
| 2023 | 11–6 | 1–1 | 451 | 311 | +0.0744 | −0.02516 | 1.74 | Sean McDermott |
| 2022 | 13–3 | 1–1 | 455 | 286 | +0.0842 | −0.0308 | 1.60 | Sean McDermott |
| 2021 | 11–6 | 1–1 | 483 | 289 | +0.0714 | −0.0552 | 2.83 | Sean McDermott |
| 2020 | 13–3 | 2–1 | 501 | 375 | +0.1463 | +0.04215 | 2.94 | Sean McDermott |
| 2019 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 314 | 259 | −0.01621 | −0.0367 | 2.88 | Sean McDermott |
| 2018 | 6–10 | 269 | 374 | −0.10131 | −0.0324 | 1.63 | Sean McDermott | |
| 2017 | 9–7 | 0–1 | 302 | 359 | −0.07425 | −0.00421 | – | Sean McDermott |
| 2016 | 7–9 | 399 | 378 | +0.04311 | +0.02720 | – | Rex Ryan, Anthony Lynn | |
| 2015 | 8–8 | 379 | 359 | +0.02010 | +0.01620 | – | Rex Ryan | |
| 2014 | 9–7 | 343 | 289 | −0.05726 | −0.0702 | – | Doug Marrone | |
| 2013 | 6–10 | 339 | 388 | −0.05926 | −0.0377 | – | Doug Marrone | |
| 2012 | 6–10 | 344 | 435 | −0.00418 | +0.06128 | – | Chan Gailey | |
| 2011 | 6–10 | 372 | 434 | −0.00515 | +0.02626 | – | Chan Gailey | |
| 2010 | 4–12 | 283 | 425 | −0.07327 | +0.02328 | – | Chan Gailey | |
| 2009 | 6–10 | 258 | 326 | −0.09626 | −0.0378 | – | Dick Jauron, Perry Fewell | |
| 2008 | 7–9 | 336 | 342 | −0.05926 | −0.00714 | – | Dick Jauron | |
| 2007 | 7–9 | 252 | 354 | −0.10728 | −0.01920 | – | Dick Jauron | |
| 2006 | 7–9 | 300 | 311 | −0.06522 | −0.04414 | – | Dick Jauron | |
| 2005 | 5–11 | 271 | 367 | −0.07523 | +0.02530 | – | Mike Mularkey | |
| 2004 | 9–7 | 395 | 284 | −0.05123 | −0.0792 | – | Mike Mularkey | |
| 2003 | 6–10 | 243 | 279 | −0.10130 | −0.0756 | – | Gregg Williams | |
| 2002 | 8–8 | 379 | 397 | +0.00911 | −0.00423 | – | Gregg Williams | |
| 2001 | 3–13 | 265 | 420 | −0.06022 | +0.00726 | – | Gregg Williams | |
| 2000 | 8–8 | 315 | 350 | −0.04921 | −0.06610 | – | Wade Phillips | |
| 1999 | 11–5 | 0–1 | 320 | 229 | −0.0109 | −0.1015 | – | Wade Phillips |
Tendencies by season
Regular season. The small number is the team’s rank that season (1 = the highest rate). Personnel, pressure and coverage from 2016 (man coverage 2018), published after each season; play action, motion, shotgun and blitzes from 2022. The sources and their labels changed in 2023, so compare a team with its league in the same season, not across years. Pressure and time to throw: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on); play action, blitzes and interception-worthy throws: FTN Data via nflverse (2022 on). Both CC BY-SA 4.0; aggregated by Red Zone Math, and this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.
| Season | Play action % | Motion % | Shotgun % | 11 personnel % | 12 personnel % | QB pressured % | Defence: blitz % | Defence: pressure % | Defence: man coverage % | Defence: nickel % | Defence: dime % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27.46 | 63.18 | 46.032 | – | – | – | 36.97 | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 24.811 | 60.28 | 51.030 | 62.714 | 11.728 | 26.029 | 31.510 | 35.12 | 31.617 | 62.315 | 15.48 |
| 2024 | 18.027 | 51.011 | 66.122 | 64.515 | 17.722 | 28.824 | 22.129 | 33.310 | 38.829 | 81.02 | 14.89 |
| 2023 | 19.123 | 41.521 | 74.715 | 67.013 | 19.317 | 29.815 | 24.820 | 32.57 | 39.019 | 80.45 | 16.410 |
| 2022 | 18.521 | 35.819 | 74.89 | 73.76 | 6.331 | 27.422 | 17.029 | 30.413 | 27.117 | 94.51 | 1.723 |
| 2021 | – | – | – | 73.15 | 6.932 | 29.614 | – | 31.37 | 34.010 | 91.11 | 3.026 |
| 2020 | – | – | – | 72.85 | 8.331 | 33.76 | – | 30.412 | 31.818 | 90.71 | 1.926 |
| 2019 | – | – | – | 70.57 | 9.731 | 27.126 | – | 28.718 | 35.618 | 76.43 | 0.032 |
| 2018 | – | – | – | 69.610 | 13.622 | 34.37 | – | 34.06 | 27.727 | 79.44 | 0.031 |
| 2017 | – | – | – | 57.420 | 18.019 | 20.325 | – | 19.131 | – | 66.67 | 0.032 |
| 2016 | – | – | – | 47.628 | 16.722 | 22.521 | – | 22.027 | – | 48.826 | 14.214 |
Seasons
2026 season
2026: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ LA 37–34 (lowest chance 13.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs NE 26–29 (highest chance 83.4%)
2026 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-13 | @ HOU | W 36–31 | Joe Brady |
| 2 | 2026-09-17 | vs DET | W 41–31 | Joe Brady |
| 3 | 2026-09-27 | vs LAC | W 24–16 | Joe Brady |
| 4 | 2026-10-04 | vs NE | L 26–29 | Joe Brady |
| 5 | 2026-10-12 | @ LA | W 37–34 OT | Joe Brady |
| 6 | 2026-10-18 | @ LV | W 33–30 | Joe Brady |
| 8 | 2026-11-01 | vs BAL | W 36–10 | Joe Brady |
| 9 | 2026-11-09 | @ MIN | W 23–6 | Joe Brady |
| 10 | 2026-11-15 | @ NYJ | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 11 | 2026-11-22 | vs MIA | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 12 | 2026-11-26 | vs KC | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 13 | 2026-12-06 | @ NE | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 14 | 2026-12-13 | @ GB | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 15 | 2026-12-19 | vs CHI | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 16 | 2026-12-25 | @ DEN | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 17 | 2027-01-03 | @ MIA | upcoming | Joe Brady |
| 18 | 2027-01-10 | vs NYJ | upcoming | Joe Brady |
2026: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 330 | +93.4 | +2.63 |
| Khalil Shakir | 42 | +20.5 | +0.77 |
| Keon Coleman | 33 | +17.5 | +0.59 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 38 | +19.5 | +0.54 |
| Ty Johnson | 25 | +17.0 | +0.41 |
| Ray Davis | 18 | −1.6 | +0.16 |
2025 season
2025: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs BAL 41–40 (lowest chance 1.1%)
- Worst collapse: @ HOU 19–23 (highest chance 83.8%)
2025 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025-09-07 | vs BAL | W 41–40 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2025-09-14 | @ NYJ | W 30–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2025-09-18 | vs MIA | W 31–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2025-09-28 | vs NO | W 31–19 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2025-10-05 | vs NE | L 20–23 | Sean McDermott |
| 6 | 2025-10-13 | @ ATL | L 14–24 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2025-10-26 | @ CAR | W 40–9 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2025-11-02 | vs KC | W 28–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2025-11-09 | @ MIA | L 13–30 | Sean McDermott |
| 11 | 2025-11-16 | vs TB | W 44–32 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2025-11-20 | @ HOU | L 19–23 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2025-11-30 | @ PIT | W 26–7 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2025-12-07 | vs CIN | W 39–34 | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2025-12-14 | @ NE | W 35–31 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2025-12-21 | @ CLE | W 23–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2025-12-28 | vs PHI | L 12–13 | Sean McDermott |
| 18 | 2026-01-04 | vs NYJ | W 35–8 | Sean McDermott |
| P19 | 2026-01-11 | @ JAX | W 27–24 | Sean McDermott |
| P20 | 2026-01-17 | @ DEN | L 30–33 OT | Sean McDermott |
2025: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 622 | +144.3 | +2.44 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 49 | +40.3 | +0.92 |
| Josh Palmer | 37 | +6.7 | +0.41 |
| Tyrell Shavers | 23 | +12.3 | +0.35 |
| Keon Coleman | 59 | +13.2 | +0.33 |
| Ty Johnson | 84 | +13.7 | +0.30 |
2024 season
2024: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs ARI 34–28 (lowest chance 25.4%)
- Worst collapse: @ NE 16–23 (highest chance 66.3%)
2024 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024-09-08 | vs ARI | W 34–28 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2024-09-12 | @ MIA | W 31–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2024-09-23 | vs JAX | W 47–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2024-09-29 | @ BAL | L 10–35 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2024-10-06 | @ HOU | L 20–23 | Sean McDermott |
| 6 | 2024-10-14 | @ NYJ | W 23–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 7 | 2024-10-20 | vs TEN | W 34–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2024-10-27 | @ SEA | W 31–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2024-11-03 | vs MIA | W 30–27 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2024-11-10 | @ IND | W 30–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 11 | 2024-11-17 | vs KC | W 30–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2024-12-01 | vs SF | W 35–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2024-12-08 | @ LA | L 42–44 | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2024-12-15 | @ DET | W 48–42 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2024-12-22 | vs NE | W 24–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2024-12-29 | vs NYJ | W 40–14 | Sean McDermott |
| 18 | 2025-01-05 | @ NE | L 16–23 | Sean McDermott |
| P19 | 2025-01-12 | vs DEN | W 31–7 | Sean McDermott |
| P20 | 2025-01-19 | vs BAL | W 27–25 | Sean McDermott |
| P21 | 2025-01-26 | @ KC | L 29–32 | Sean McDermott |
2024: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 638 | +205.1 | +3.77 |
| Mack Hollins | 50 | +24.4 | +0.86 |
| James Cook | 252 | +20.7 | +0.65 |
| Khalil Shakir | 102 | +43.2 | +0.49 |
| Ty Johnson | 67 | +23.2 | +0.43 |
| Keon Coleman | 58 | +25.0 | +0.28 |
2023 season
2023: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIA 21–14 (lowest chance 18.4%)
- Worst collapse: @ NYJ 16–22 (highest chance 88.1%)
2023 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2023-09-11 | @ NYJ | L 16–22 OT | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2023-09-17 | vs LV | W 38–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2023-09-24 | @ WAS | W 37–3 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2023-10-01 | vs MIA | W 48–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2023-10-08 | vs JAX | L 20–25 | Sean McDermott |
| 6 | 2023-10-15 | vs NYG | W 14–9 | Sean McDermott |
| 7 | 2023-10-22 | @ NE | L 25–29 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2023-10-26 | vs TB | W 24–18 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2023-11-05 | @ CIN | L 18–24 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2023-11-13 | vs DEN | L 22–24 | Sean McDermott |
| 11 | 2023-11-19 | vs NYJ | W 32–6 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2023-11-26 | @ PHI | L 34–37 OT | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2023-12-10 | @ KC | W 20–17 | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2023-12-17 | vs DAL | W 31–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2023-12-23 | @ LAC | W 24–22 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2023-12-31 | vs NE | W 27–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 18 | 2024-01-07 | @ MIA | W 21–14 | Sean McDermott |
| P19 | 2024-01-15 | vs PIT | W 31–17 | Sean McDermott |
| P20 | 2024-01-21 | vs KC | L 24–27 | Sean McDermott |
2023: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 742 | +143.4 | +3.09 |
| Stefon Diggs | 161 | +39.1 | +1.04 |
| Khalil Shakir | 46 | +44.7 | +0.81 |
| Gabe Davis | 82 | +22.2 | +0.46 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 91 | +12.6 | +0.42 |
| Latavius Murray | 101 | +4.1 | +0.37 |
2022 season
2022: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BAL 23–20 (lowest chance 9.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIN 30–33 (highest chance 98.2%)
2022 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2022-09-08 | @ LA | W 31–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2022-09-19 | vs TEN | W 41–7 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2022-09-25 | @ MIA | L 19–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2022-10-02 | @ BAL | W 23–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2022-10-09 | vs PIT | W 38–3 | Sean McDermott |
| 6 | 2022-10-16 | @ KC | W 24–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2022-10-30 | vs GB | W 27–17 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2022-11-06 | @ NYJ | L 17–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2022-11-13 | vs MIN | L 30–33 OT | Sean McDermott |
| 11 | 2022-11-20 | vs CLE | W 31–23 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2022-11-24 | @ DET | W 28–25 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2022-12-01 | @ NE | W 24–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2022-12-11 | vs NYJ | W 20–12 | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2022-12-17 | vs MIA | W 32–29 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2022-12-24 | @ CHI | W 35–13 | Sean McDermott |
| 18 | 2023-01-08 | vs NE | W 35–23 | Sean McDermott |
| P19 | 2023-01-15 | vs MIA | W 34–31 | Sean McDermott |
| P20 | 2023-01-22 | vs CIN | L 10–27 | Sean McDermott |
2022: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 741 | +162.9 | +1.84 |
| Stefon Diggs | 155 | +73.8 | +1.30 |
| Dawson Knox | 65 | +20.5 | +0.62 |
| James Cook | 122 | +9.2 | +0.23 |
| Quintin Morris | 11 | −0.2 | +0.17 |
| Khalil Shakir | 20 | +6.7 | +0.16 |
2021 season
2021: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ KC 38–20 (lowest chance 34.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ KC 36–42 (highest chance 91.9%)
2021 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | vs PIT | L 16–23 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2021-09-19 | @ MIA | W 35–0 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2021-09-26 | vs WAS | W 43–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2021-10-03 | vs HOU | W 40–0 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2021-10-10 | @ KC | W 38–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 6 | 2021-10-18 | @ TEN | L 31–34 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2021-10-31 | vs MIA | W 26–11 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2021-11-07 | @ JAX | L 6–9 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2021-11-14 | @ NYJ | W 45–17 | Sean McDermott |
| 11 | 2021-11-21 | vs IND | L 15–41 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2021-11-25 | @ NO | W 31–6 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2021-12-06 | vs NE | L 10–14 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2021-12-12 | @ TB | L 27–33 OT | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2021-12-19 | vs CAR | W 31–14 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2021-12-26 | @ NE | W 33–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2022-01-02 | vs ATL | W 29–15 | Sean McDermott |
| 18 | 2022-01-09 | vs NYJ | W 27–10 | Sean McDermott |
| P19 | 2022-01-15 | vs NE | W 47–17 | Sean McDermott |
| P20 | 2022-01-23 | @ KC | L 36–42 OT | Sean McDermott |
2021: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Knox | 71 | +33.2 | +0.41 |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 74 | +27.8 | +0.39 |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 35 | +18.9 | +0.37 |
| Gabe Davis | 63 | +20.7 | +0.18 |
| Cole Beasley | 113 | +4.7 | +0.05 |
| Stefon Diggs | 165 | +31.2 | +0.04 |
2020 season
2020: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LA 35–32 (lowest chance 21.7%)
- Worst collapse: @ ARI 30–32 (highest chance 88.7%)
2020 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2020-09-13 | vs NYJ | W 27–17 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2020-09-20 | @ MIA | W 31–28 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2020-09-27 | vs LA | W 35–32 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2020-10-04 | @ LV | W 30–23 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2020-10-13 | @ TEN | L 16–42 | Sean McDermott |
| 6 | 2020-10-19 | vs KC | L 17–26 | Sean McDermott |
| 7 | 2020-10-25 | @ NYJ | W 18–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2020-11-01 | vs NE | W 24–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2020-11-08 | vs SEA | W 44–34 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2020-11-15 | @ ARI | L 30–32 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2020-11-29 | vs LAC | W 27–17 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2020-12-07 | @ SF | W 34–24 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2020-12-13 | vs PIT | W 26–15 | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2020-12-19 | @ DEN | W 48–19 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2020-12-28 | @ NE | W 38–9 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2021-01-03 | vs MIA | W 56–26 | Sean McDermott |
| P18 | 2021-01-09 | vs IND | W 27–24 | Sean McDermott |
| P19 | 2021-01-16 | vs BAL | W 17–3 | Sean McDermott |
| P20 | 2021-01-24 | @ KC | L 24–38 | Sean McDermott |
2020: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 728 | +208.2 | +4.61 |
| Cole Beasley | 108 | +63.3 | +1.85 |
| Stefon Diggs | 167 | +84.1 | +1.73 |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 45 | +21.6 | +0.61 |
| John Brown | 52 | +27.6 | +0.57 |
| Tyler Kroft | 16 | +8.5 | +0.42 |
2019 season
2019: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYJ 17–16 (lowest chance 5.8%)
- Worst collapse: @ HOU 19–22 (highest chance 93.3%)
2019 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2019-09-08 | @ NYJ | W 17–16 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2019-09-15 | @ NYG | W 28–14 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2019-09-22 | vs CIN | W 21–17 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2019-09-29 | vs NE | L 10–16 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2019-10-06 | @ TEN | W 14–7 | Sean McDermott |
| 7 | 2019-10-20 | vs MIA | W 31–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2019-10-27 | vs PHI | L 13–31 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2019-11-03 | vs WAS | W 24–9 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2019-11-10 | @ CLE | L 16–19 | Sean McDermott |
| 11 | 2019-11-17 | @ MIA | W 37–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2019-11-24 | vs DEN | W 20–3 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2019-11-28 | @ DAL | W 26–15 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2019-12-08 | vs BAL | L 17–24 | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2019-12-15 | @ PIT | W 17–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2019-12-21 | @ NE | L 17–24 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | vs NYJ | L 6–13 | Sean McDermott |
| P18 | 2020-01-04 | @ HOU | L 19–22 OT | Sean McDermott |
2019: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Brown | 119 | +54.1 | +1.45 |
| Josh Allen | 624 | +26.7 | +1.37 |
| Cole Beasley | 106 | +13.9 | +0.46 |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 49 | +8.8 | +0.36 |
| Dawson Knox | 51 | +8.7 | +0.32 |
| Tommy Sweeney | 13 | +5.2 | +0.14 |
2018 season
2018: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIN 27–6 (lowest chance 3.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYJ 23–27 (highest chance 89.7%)
2018 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2018-09-09 | @ BAL | L 3–47 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2018-09-16 | vs LAC | L 20–31 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2018-09-23 | @ MIN | W 27–6 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2018-09-30 | @ GB | L 0–22 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2018-10-07 | vs TEN | W 13–12 | Sean McDermott |
| 6 | 2018-10-14 | @ HOU | L 13–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 7 | 2018-10-21 | @ IND | L 5–37 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2018-10-29 | vs NE | L 6–25 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2018-11-04 | vs CHI | L 9–41 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2018-11-11 | @ NYJ | W 41–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2018-11-25 | vs JAX | W 24–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2018-12-02 | @ MIA | L 17–21 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2018-12-09 | vs NYJ | L 23–27 | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2018-12-16 | vs DET | W 14–13 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2018-12-23 | @ NE | L 12–24 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2018-12-30 | vs MIA | W 42–17 | Sean McDermott |
2018: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 463 | +3.1 | +1.22 |
| Robert Foster | 44 | +36.4 | +1.20 |
| Chris Ivory | 138 | −9.3 | +0.39 |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 40 | +5.8 | +0.38 |
| Matt Barkley | 27 | +14.0 | +0.26 |
| Patrick DiMarco | 5 | +4.1 | +0.08 |
2017 season
2017: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs IND 13–7 (lowest chance 10.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ NYJ 21–34 (highest chance 61.8%)
2017 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2017-09-10 | vs NYJ | W 21–12 | Sean McDermott |
| 2 | 2017-09-17 | @ CAR | L 3–9 | Sean McDermott |
| 3 | 2017-09-24 | vs DEN | W 26–16 | Sean McDermott |
| 4 | 2017-10-01 | @ ATL | W 23–17 | Sean McDermott |
| 5 | 2017-10-08 | @ CIN | L 16–20 | Sean McDermott |
| 7 | 2017-10-22 | vs TB | W 30–27 | Sean McDermott |
| 8 | 2017-10-29 | vs LV | W 34–14 | Sean McDermott |
| 9 | 2017-11-02 | @ NYJ | L 21–34 | Sean McDermott |
| 10 | 2017-11-12 | vs NO | L 10–47 | Sean McDermott |
| 11 | 2017-11-19 | @ LAC | L 24–54 | Sean McDermott |
| 12 | 2017-11-26 | @ KC | W 16–10 | Sean McDermott |
| 13 | 2017-12-03 | vs NE | L 3–23 | Sean McDermott |
| 14 | 2017-12-10 | vs IND | W 13–7 OT | Sean McDermott |
| 15 | 2017-12-17 | vs MIA | W 24–16 | Sean McDermott |
| 16 | 2017-12-24 | @ NE | L 16–37 | Sean McDermott |
| 17 | 2017-12-31 | @ MIA | W 22–16 | Sean McDermott |
| P18 | 2018-01-07 | @ JAX | L 3–10 | Sean McDermott |
2017: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod Taylor | 564 | +30.7 | +1.25 |
| Deonte Thompson | 53 | +3.2 | +0.69 |
| Nick O'Leary | 32 | +16.1 | +0.54 |
| Andre Holmes | 23 | +8.6 | +0.33 |
| Jordan Matthews | 36 | +13.8 | +0.19 |
| Charles Clay | 74 | +8.5 | +0.18 |
2016 season
2016: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs ARI 33–18 (lowest chance 25.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIA 31–34 (highest chance 91.1%)
2016 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2016-09-11 | @ BAL | L 7–13 | Rex Ryan |
| 2 | 2016-09-15 | vs NYJ | L 31–37 | Rex Ryan |
| 3 | 2016-09-25 | vs ARI | W 33–18 | Rex Ryan |
| 4 | 2016-10-02 | @ NE | W 16–0 | Rex Ryan |
| 5 | 2016-10-09 | @ LA | W 30–19 | Rex Ryan |
| 6 | 2016-10-16 | vs SF | W 45–16 | Rex Ryan |
| 7 | 2016-10-23 | @ MIA | L 25–28 | Rex Ryan |
| 8 | 2016-10-30 | vs NE | L 25–41 | Rex Ryan |
| 9 | 2016-11-07 | @ SEA | L 25–31 | Rex Ryan |
| 11 | 2016-11-20 | @ CIN | W 16–12 | Rex Ryan |
| 12 | 2016-11-27 | vs JAX | W 28–21 | Rex Ryan |
| 13 | 2016-12-04 | @ LV | L 24–38 | Rex Ryan |
| 14 | 2016-12-11 | vs PIT | L 20–27 | Rex Ryan |
| 15 | 2016-12-18 | vs CLE | W 33–13 | Rex Ryan |
| 16 | 2016-12-24 | vs MIA | L 31–34 OT | Rex Ryan |
| 17 | 2017-01-01 | @ NYJ | L 10–30 | Anthony Lynn |
2016: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod Taylor | 604 | +54.3 | +0.70 |
| Charles Clay | 87 | +17.7 | +0.65 |
| Robert Woods | 77 | +20.6 | +0.57 |
| Mike Gillislee | 116 | +19.4 | +0.43 |
| Justin Hunter | 24 | +4.3 | +0.25 |
| Sammy Watkins | 52 | +12.9 | +0.24 |
2015 season
2015: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ TEN 14–13 (lowest chance 13.3%)
- Worst collapse: @ JAX 31–34 (highest chance 81.0%)
2015 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2015-09-13 | vs IND | W 27–14 | Rex Ryan |
| 2 | 2015-09-20 | vs NE | L 32–40 | Rex Ryan |
| 3 | 2015-09-27 | @ MIA | W 41–14 | Rex Ryan |
| 4 | 2015-10-04 | vs NYG | L 10–24 | Rex Ryan |
| 5 | 2015-10-11 | @ TEN | W 14–13 | Rex Ryan |
| 6 | 2015-10-18 | vs CIN | L 21–34 | Rex Ryan |
| 7 | 2015-10-25 | @ JAX | L 31–34 | Rex Ryan |
| 9 | 2015-11-08 | vs MIA | W 33–17 | Rex Ryan |
| 10 | 2015-11-12 | @ NYJ | W 22–17 | Rex Ryan |
| 11 | 2015-11-23 | @ NE | L 13–20 | Rex Ryan |
| 12 | 2015-11-29 | @ KC | L 22–30 | Rex Ryan |
| 13 | 2015-12-06 | vs HOU | W 30–21 | Rex Ryan |
| 14 | 2015-12-13 | @ PHI | L 20–23 | Rex Ryan |
| 15 | 2015-12-20 | @ WAS | L 25–35 | Rex Ryan |
| 16 | 2015-12-27 | vs DAL | W 16–6 | Rex Ryan |
| 17 | 2016-01-03 | vs NYJ | W 22–17 | Rex Ryan |
2015: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Watkins | 97 | +63.6 | +1.34 |
| Tyrod Taylor | 542 | +70.8 | +1.14 |
| Chris Hogan | 61 | +4.3 | +0.26 |
| Charles Clay | 77 | +11.5 | +0.22 |
| Marcus Easley | 3 | +5.0 | +0.17 |
| Greg Salas | 5 | +3.8 | +0.14 |
2014 season
2014: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DET 17–14 (lowest chance 4.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ LV 24–26 (highest chance 91.6%)
2014 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2014-09-07 | @ CHI | W 23–20 OT | Doug Marrone |
| 2 | 2014-09-14 | vs MIA | W 29–10 | Doug Marrone |
| 3 | 2014-09-21 | vs LAC | L 10–22 | Doug Marrone |
| 4 | 2014-09-28 | @ HOU | L 17–23 | Doug Marrone |
| 5 | 2014-10-05 | @ DET | W 17–14 | Doug Marrone |
| 6 | 2014-10-12 | vs NE | L 22–37 | Doug Marrone |
| 7 | 2014-10-19 | vs MIN | W 17–16 | Doug Marrone |
| 8 | 2014-10-26 | @ NYJ | W 43–23 | Doug Marrone |
| 10 | 2014-11-09 | vs KC | L 13–17 | Doug Marrone |
| 11 | 2014-11-13 | @ MIA | L 9–22 | Doug Marrone |
| 12 | 2014-11-24 | vs NYJ | W 38–3 | Doug Marrone |
| 13 | 2014-11-30 | vs CLE | W 26–10 | Doug Marrone |
| 14 | 2014-12-07 | @ DEN | L 17–24 | Doug Marrone |
| 15 | 2014-12-14 | vs GB | W 21–13 | Doug Marrone |
| 16 | 2014-12-21 | @ LV | L 24–26 | Doug Marrone |
| 17 | 2014-12-28 | @ NE | W 17–9 | Doug Marrone |
2014: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Watkins | 130 | +17.1 | +0.99 |
| Scott Chandler | 70 | +18.0 | +0.61 |
| Chris Hogan | 61 | +13.6 | +0.28 |
| Kyle Orton | 507 | +11.0 | +0.25 |
| MarQueis Gray | 9 | +7.5 | +0.19 |
| Mike Williams | 19 | +0.8 | +0.17 |
2013 season
2013: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CAR 24–23 (lowest chance 4.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs ATL 31–34 (highest chance 91.5%)
2013 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2013-09-08 | vs NE | L 21–23 | Doug Marrone |
| 2 | 2013-09-15 | vs CAR | W 24–23 | Doug Marrone |
| 3 | 2013-09-22 | @ NYJ | L 20–27 | Doug Marrone |
| 4 | 2013-09-29 | vs BAL | W 23–20 | Doug Marrone |
| 5 | 2013-10-03 | @ CLE | L 24–37 | Doug Marrone |
| 6 | 2013-10-13 | vs CIN | L 24–27 OT | Doug Marrone |
| 7 | 2013-10-20 | @ MIA | W 23–21 | Doug Marrone |
| 8 | 2013-10-27 | @ NO | L 17–35 | Doug Marrone |
| 9 | 2013-11-03 | vs KC | L 13–23 | Doug Marrone |
| 10 | 2013-11-10 | @ PIT | L 10–23 | Doug Marrone |
| 11 | 2013-11-17 | vs NYJ | W 37–14 | Doug Marrone |
| 13 | 2013-12-01 | vs ATL | L 31–34 OT | Doug Marrone |
| 14 | 2013-12-08 | @ TB | L 6–27 | Doug Marrone |
| 15 | 2013-12-15 | @ JAX | W 27–20 | Doug Marrone |
| 16 | 2013-12-22 | vs MIA | W 19–0 | Doug Marrone |
| 17 | 2013-12-29 | @ NE | L 20–34 | Doug Marrone |
2013: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Jackson | 277 | +7.0 | +0.83 |
| Robert Woods | 87 | +5.0 | +0.42 |
| Scott Chandler | 81 | +16.7 | +0.40 |
| Marquise Goodwin | 35 | +3.5 | +0.35 |
| Frank Summers | 20 | +5.7 | +0.20 |
| EJ Manuel | 400 | −24.5 | +0.18 |
2012 season
2012: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ ARI 19–16 (lowest chance 5.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs TEN 34–35 (highest chance 92.9%)
2012 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-09-09 | @ NYJ | L 28–48 | Chan Gailey |
| 2 | 2012-09-16 | vs KC | W 35–17 | Chan Gailey |
| 3 | 2012-09-23 | @ CLE | W 24–14 | Chan Gailey |
| 4 | 2012-09-30 | vs NE | L 28–52 | Chan Gailey |
| 5 | 2012-10-07 | @ SF | L 3–45 | Chan Gailey |
| 6 | 2012-10-14 | @ ARI | W 19–16 OT | Chan Gailey |
| 7 | 2012-10-21 | vs TEN | L 34–35 | Chan Gailey |
| 9 | 2012-11-04 | @ HOU | L 9–21 | Chan Gailey |
| 10 | 2012-11-11 | @ NE | L 31–37 | Chan Gailey |
| 11 | 2012-11-15 | vs MIA | W 19–14 | Chan Gailey |
| 12 | 2012-11-25 | @ IND | L 13–20 | Chan Gailey |
| 13 | 2012-12-02 | vs JAX | W 34–18 | Chan Gailey |
| 14 | 2012-12-09 | vs LA | L 12–15 | Chan Gailey |
| 15 | 2012-12-16 | vs SEA | L 17–50 | Chan Gailey |
| 16 | 2012-12-23 | @ MIA | L 10–24 | Chan Gailey |
| 17 | 2012-12-30 | vs NYJ | W 28–9 | Chan Gailey |
2012: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Spiller | 270 | +25.0 | +0.58 |
| Steve Johnson | 148 | +19.4 | +0.23 |
| Scott Chandler | 74 | +13.4 | +0.17 |
| Donald Jones | 67 | +4.1 | +0.06 |
| Lee Smith | 4 | +2.1 | +0.06 |
| Ruvell Martin | 6 | +1.0 | +0.03 |
2011 season
2011: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NE 34–31 (lowest chance 2.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ CIN 20–23 (highest chance 90.6%)
2011 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011-09-11 | @ KC | W 41–7 | Chan Gailey |
| 2 | 2011-09-18 | vs LV | W 38–35 | Chan Gailey |
| 3 | 2011-09-25 | vs NE | W 34–31 | Chan Gailey |
| 4 | 2011-10-02 | @ CIN | L 20–23 | Chan Gailey |
| 5 | 2011-10-09 | vs PHI | W 31–24 | Chan Gailey |
| 6 | 2011-10-16 | @ NYG | L 24–27 | Chan Gailey |
| 8 | 2011-10-30 | vs WAS | W 23–0 | Chan Gailey |
| 9 | 2011-11-06 | vs NYJ | L 11–27 | Chan Gailey |
| 10 | 2011-11-13 | @ DAL | L 7–44 | Chan Gailey |
| 11 | 2011-11-20 | @ MIA | L 8–35 | Chan Gailey |
| 12 | 2011-11-27 | @ NYJ | L 24–28 | Chan Gailey |
| 13 | 2011-12-04 | vs TEN | L 17–23 | Chan Gailey |
| 14 | 2011-12-11 | @ LAC | L 10–37 | Chan Gailey |
| 15 | 2011-12-18 | vs MIA | L 23–30 | Chan Gailey |
| 16 | 2011-12-24 | vs DEN | W 40–14 | Chan Gailey |
| 17 | 2012-01-01 | @ NE | L 21–49 | Chan Gailey |
2011: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 667 | +19.6 | +2.21 |
| David Nelson | 98 | −1.8 | +0.93 |
| Scott Chandler | 45 | +30.5 | +0.57 |
| Fred Jackson | 222 | +6.9 | +0.54 |
| C.J. Spiller | 165 | +3.1 | +0.30 |
| Steve Johnson | 134 | +8.2 | +0.18 |
2010 season
2010: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CIN 49–31 (lowest chance 2.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs JAX 26–36 (highest chance 84.4%)
2010 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010-09-12 | vs MIA | L 10–15 | Chan Gailey |
| 2 | 2010-09-19 | @ GB | L 7–34 | Chan Gailey |
| 3 | 2010-09-26 | @ NE | L 30–38 | Chan Gailey |
| 4 | 2010-10-03 | vs NYJ | L 14–38 | Chan Gailey |
| 5 | 2010-10-10 | vs JAX | L 26–36 | Chan Gailey |
| 7 | 2010-10-24 | @ BAL | L 34–37 OT | Chan Gailey |
| 8 | 2010-10-31 | @ KC | L 10–13 OT | Chan Gailey |
| 9 | 2010-11-07 | vs CHI | L 19–22 | Chan Gailey |
| 10 | 2010-11-14 | vs DET | W 14–12 | Chan Gailey |
| 11 | 2010-11-21 | @ CIN | W 49–31 | Chan Gailey |
| 12 | 2010-11-28 | vs PIT | L 16–19 OT | Chan Gailey |
| 13 | 2010-12-05 | @ MIN | L 14–38 | Chan Gailey |
| 14 | 2010-12-12 | vs CLE | W 13–6 | Chan Gailey |
| 15 | 2010-12-19 | @ MIA | W 17–14 | Chan Gailey |
| 16 | 2010-12-26 | vs NE | L 3–34 | Chan Gailey |
| 17 | 2011-01-02 | @ NYJ | L 7–38 | Chan Gailey |
2010: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Nelson | 47 | +15.8 | +0.59 |
| Steve Johnson | 142 | +19.5 | +0.48 |
| Roscoe Parrish | 56 | +10.6 | +0.41 |
| Jonathan Stupar | 13 | +0.8 | +0.14 |
| Corey McIntyre | 12 | −6.3 | +0.07 |
| David Martin | 8 | +1.2 | +0.05 |
2009 season
2009: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYJ 16–13 (lowest chance 4.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ NE 24–25 (highest chance 89.6%)
2009 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009-09-14 | @ NE | L 24–25 | Dick Jauron |
| 2 | 2009-09-20 | vs TB | W 33–20 | Dick Jauron |
| 3 | 2009-09-27 | vs NO | L 7–27 | Dick Jauron |
| 4 | 2009-10-04 | @ MIA | L 10–38 | Dick Jauron |
| 5 | 2009-10-11 | vs CLE | L 3–6 | Dick Jauron |
| 6 | 2009-10-18 | @ NYJ | W 16–13 OT | Dick Jauron |
| 7 | 2009-10-25 | @ CAR | W 20–9 | Dick Jauron |
| 8 | 2009-11-01 | vs HOU | L 10–31 | Dick Jauron |
| 10 | 2009-11-15 | @ TEN | L 17–41 | Dick Jauron |
| 11 | 2009-11-22 | @ JAX | L 15–18 | Perry Fewell |
| 12 | 2009-11-29 | vs MIA | W 31–14 | Perry Fewell |
| 13 | 2009-12-03 | vs NYJ | L 13–19 | Perry Fewell |
| 14 | 2009-12-13 | @ KC | W 16–10 | Perry Fewell |
| 15 | 2009-12-20 | vs NE | L 10–17 | Perry Fewell |
| 16 | 2009-12-27 | @ ATL | L 3–31 | Perry Fewell |
| 17 | 2010-01-03 | vs IND | W 30–7 | Perry Fewell |
2009: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Owens | 117 | −0.5 | +0.44 |
| Fred Jackson | 309 | −22.0 | +0.19 |
| Ryan Denney | 1 | +4.8 | +0.11 |
| Brian Moorman | 1 | +4.8 | +0.11 |
| Corey McIntyre | 14 | +2.9 | +0.01 |
| Joe Klopfenstein | 2 | +0.4 | +0.00 |
2008 season
2008: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DEN 30–23 (lowest chance 6.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYJ 17–26 (highest chance 80.0%)
2008 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2008-09-07 | vs SEA | W 34–10 | Dick Jauron |
| 2 | 2008-09-14 | @ JAX | W 20–16 | Dick Jauron |
| 3 | 2008-09-21 | vs LV | W 24–23 | Dick Jauron |
| 4 | 2008-09-28 | @ LA | W 31–14 | Dick Jauron |
| 5 | 2008-10-05 | @ ARI | L 17–41 | Dick Jauron |
| 7 | 2008-10-19 | vs LAC | W 23–14 | Dick Jauron |
| 8 | 2008-10-26 | @ MIA | L 16–25 | Dick Jauron |
| 9 | 2008-11-02 | vs NYJ | L 17–26 | Dick Jauron |
| 10 | 2008-11-09 | @ NE | L 10–20 | Dick Jauron |
| 11 | 2008-11-17 | vs CLE | L 27–29 | Dick Jauron |
| 12 | 2008-11-23 | @ KC | W 54–31 | Dick Jauron |
| 13 | 2008-11-30 | vs SF | L 3–10 | Dick Jauron |
| 14 | 2008-12-07 | vs MIA | L 3–16 | Dick Jauron |
| 15 | 2008-12-14 | @ NYJ | L 27–31 | Dick Jauron |
| 16 | 2008-12-21 | @ DEN | W 30–23 | Dick Jauron |
| 17 | 2008-12-28 | vs NE | L 0–13 | Dick Jauron |
2008: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reed | 80 | +24.2 | +0.62 |
| Lee Evans | 103 | +24.2 | +0.49 |
| Trent Edwards | 439 | +19.5 | +0.43 |
| Steve Johnson | 15 | +10.7 | +0.36 |
| Derek Schouman | 20 | +8.5 | +0.29 |
| Fred Jackson | 177 | −4.3 | +0.12 |
2007 season
2007: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ WAS 17–16 (lowest chance 4.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs DAL 24–25 (highest chance 90.1%)
2007 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2007-09-09 | vs DEN | L 14–15 | Dick Jauron |
| 2 | 2007-09-16 | @ PIT | L 3–26 | Dick Jauron |
| 3 | 2007-09-23 | @ NE | L 7–38 | Dick Jauron |
| 4 | 2007-09-30 | vs NYJ | W 17–14 | Dick Jauron |
| 5 | 2007-10-08 | vs DAL | L 24–25 | Dick Jauron |
| 7 | 2007-10-21 | vs BAL | W 19–14 | Dick Jauron |
| 8 | 2007-10-28 | @ NYJ | W 13–3 | Dick Jauron |
| 9 | 2007-11-04 | vs CIN | W 33–21 | Dick Jauron |
| 10 | 2007-11-11 | @ MIA | W 13–10 | Dick Jauron |
| 11 | 2007-11-18 | vs NE | L 10–56 | Dick Jauron |
| 12 | 2007-11-25 | @ JAX | L 14–36 | Dick Jauron |
| 13 | 2007-12-02 | @ WAS | W 17–16 | Dick Jauron |
| 14 | 2007-12-09 | vs MIA | W 38–17 | Dick Jauron |
| 15 | 2007-12-16 | @ CLE | L 0–8 | Dick Jauron |
| 16 | 2007-12-23 | vs NYG | L 21–38 | Dick Jauron |
| 17 | 2007-12-30 | @ PHI | L 9–17 | Dick Jauron |
2007: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn Lynch | 311 | −18.1 | +0.25 |
| Michael Gaines | 35 | +11.7 | +0.24 |
| J.P. Losman | 210 | −22.3 | +0.20 |
| Josh Reed | 91 | −18.2 | +0.19 |
| Lee Evans | 113 | −4.2 | +0.18 |
| Robert Royal | 38 | −1.8 | +0.12 |
2006 season
2006: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ HOU 24–21 (lowest chance 10.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs TEN 29–30 (highest chance 91.7%)
2006 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2006-09-10 | @ NE | L 17–19 | Dick Jauron |
| 2 | 2006-09-17 | @ MIA | W 16–6 | Dick Jauron |
| 3 | 2006-09-24 | vs NYJ | L 20–28 | Dick Jauron |
| 4 | 2006-10-01 | vs MIN | W 17–12 | Dick Jauron |
| 5 | 2006-10-08 | @ CHI | L 7–40 | Dick Jauron |
| 6 | 2006-10-15 | @ DET | L 17–20 | Dick Jauron |
| 7 | 2006-10-22 | vs NE | L 6–28 | Dick Jauron |
| 9 | 2006-11-05 | vs GB | W 24–10 | Dick Jauron |
| 10 | 2006-11-12 | @ IND | L 16–17 | Dick Jauron |
| 11 | 2006-11-19 | @ HOU | W 24–21 | Dick Jauron |
| 12 | 2006-11-26 | vs JAX | W 27–24 | Dick Jauron |
| 13 | 2006-12-03 | vs LAC | L 21–24 | Dick Jauron |
| 14 | 2006-12-10 | @ NYJ | W 31–13 | Dick Jauron |
| 15 | 2006-12-17 | vs MIA | W 21–0 | Dick Jauron |
| 16 | 2006-12-24 | vs TEN | L 29–30 | Dick Jauron |
| 17 | 2006-12-31 | @ BAL | L 7–19 | Dick Jauron |
2006: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Evans | 138 | +57.6 | +1.33 |
| Peerless Price | 83 | −0.2 | +0.44 |
| Roscoe Parrish | 42 | +0.3 | +0.36 |
| J.P. Losman | 526 | −20.7 | +0.05 |
| Ryan Neufeld | 1 | +1.2 | +0.04 |
| Robert Royal | 40 | +1.9 | +0.02 |
2005 season
2005: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CIN 37–27 (lowest chance 10.1%)
- Worst collapse: @ MIA 23–24 (highest chance 98.6%)
2005 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2005-09-11 | vs HOU | W 22–7 | Mike Mularkey |
| 2 | 2005-09-18 | @ TB | L 3–19 | Mike Mularkey |
| 3 | 2005-09-25 | vs ATL | L 16–24 | Mike Mularkey |
| 4 | 2005-10-02 | @ NO | L 7–19 | Mike Mularkey |
| 5 | 2005-10-09 | vs MIA | W 20–14 | Mike Mularkey |
| 6 | 2005-10-16 | vs NYJ | W 27–17 | Mike Mularkey |
| 7 | 2005-10-23 | @ LV | L 17–38 | Mike Mularkey |
| 8 | 2005-10-30 | @ NE | L 16–21 | Mike Mularkey |
| 10 | 2005-11-13 | vs KC | W 14–3 | Mike Mularkey |
| 11 | 2005-11-20 | @ LAC | L 10–48 | Mike Mularkey |
| 12 | 2005-11-27 | vs CAR | L 9–13 | Mike Mularkey |
| 13 | 2005-12-04 | @ MIA | L 23–24 | Mike Mularkey |
| 14 | 2005-12-11 | vs NE | L 7–35 | Mike Mularkey |
| 15 | 2005-12-17 | vs DEN | L 17–28 | Mike Mularkey |
| 16 | 2005-12-24 | @ CIN | W 37–27 | Mike Mularkey |
| 17 | 2006-01-01 | @ NYJ | L 26–30 | Mike Mularkey |
2005: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Evans | 96 | +27.9 | +0.62 |
| Eric Moulds | 129 | +23.0 | +0.60 |
| Jonathan Smith | 8 | +3.7 | +0.13 |
| Josh Reed | 54 | +8.9 | +0.04 |
| Joe Burns | 1 | +3.3 | +0.00 |
| Jason Peters | 4 | +0.3 | −0.02 |
2004 season
2004: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LA 37–17 (lowest chance 25.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs JAX 10–13 (highest chance 91.0%)
2004 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2004-09-12 | vs JAX | L 10–13 | Mike Mularkey |
| 2 | 2004-09-19 | @ LV | L 10–13 | Mike Mularkey |
| 4 | 2004-10-03 | vs NE | L 17–31 | Mike Mularkey |
| 5 | 2004-10-10 | @ NYJ | L 14–16 | Mike Mularkey |
| 6 | 2004-10-17 | vs MIA | W 20–13 | Mike Mularkey |
| 7 | 2004-10-24 | @ BAL | L 6–20 | Mike Mularkey |
| 8 | 2004-10-31 | vs ARI | W 38–14 | Mike Mularkey |
| 9 | 2004-11-07 | vs NYJ | W 22–17 | Mike Mularkey |
| 10 | 2004-11-14 | @ NE | L 6–29 | Mike Mularkey |
| 11 | 2004-11-21 | vs LA | W 37–17 | Mike Mularkey |
| 12 | 2004-11-28 | @ SEA | W 38–9 | Mike Mularkey |
| 13 | 2004-12-05 | @ MIA | W 42–32 | Mike Mularkey |
| 14 | 2004-12-12 | vs CLE | W 37–7 | Mike Mularkey |
| 15 | 2004-12-19 | @ CIN | W 33–17 | Mike Mularkey |
| 16 | 2004-12-26 | @ SF | W 41–7 | Mike Mularkey |
| 17 | 2005-01-02 | vs PIT | L 24–29 | Mike Mularkey |
2004: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Evans | 80 | +50.5 | +1.28 |
| Eric Moulds | 157 | +22.4 | +0.33 |
| Mark Campbell | 30 | +14.2 | +0.31 |
| Jon Dorenbos | 1 | +3.4 | +0.10 |
| Kevin Thomas | 1 | +4.0 | +0.10 |
| Brian Moorman | 4 | −2.6 | +0.08 |
2003 season
2003: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYG 24–7 (lowest chance 34.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs HOU 10–12 (highest chance 84.3%)
2003 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2003-09-07 | vs NE | W 31–0 | Gregg Williams |
| 2 | 2003-09-14 | @ JAX | W 38–17 | Gregg Williams |
| 3 | 2003-09-21 | @ MIA | L 7–17 | Gregg Williams |
| 4 | 2003-09-28 | vs PHI | L 13–23 | Gregg Williams |
| 5 | 2003-10-05 | vs CIN | W 22–16 OT | Gregg Williams |
| 6 | 2003-10-12 | @ NYJ | L 3–30 | Gregg Williams |
| 7 | 2003-10-19 | vs WAS | W 24–7 | Gregg Williams |
| 8 | 2003-10-26 | @ KC | L 5–38 | Gregg Williams |
| 10 | 2003-11-09 | @ DAL | L 6–10 | Gregg Williams |
| 11 | 2003-11-16 | vs HOU | L 10–12 | Gregg Williams |
| 12 | 2003-11-23 | vs IND | L 14–17 | Gregg Williams |
| 13 | 2003-11-30 | @ NYG | W 24–7 | Gregg Williams |
| 14 | 2003-12-07 | vs NYJ | W 17–6 | Gregg Williams |
| 15 | 2003-12-14 | @ TEN | L 26–28 | Gregg Williams |
| 16 | 2003-12-21 | vs MIA | L 3–20 | Gregg Williams |
| 17 | 2003-12-27 | @ NE | L 0–31 | Gregg Williams |
2003: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Shaw | 86 | +23.2 | +0.57 |
| Eric Moulds | 121 | +11.9 | +0.24 |
| Brian Moorman | 1 | +4.3 | +0.15 |
| Sam Gash | 14 | +4.7 | +0.09 |
| Ryan Neufeld | 6 | +5.4 | +0.05 |
| Clarence Coleman | 17 | −2.0 | +0.05 |
2002 season
2002: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIN 45–39 (lowest chance 9.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ KC 16–17 (highest chance 78.7%)
2002 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2002-09-08 | vs NYJ | L 31–37 OT | Gregg Williams |
| 2 | 2002-09-15 | @ MIN | W 45–39 OT | Gregg Williams |
| 3 | 2002-09-22 | @ DEN | L 23–28 | Gregg Williams |
| 4 | 2002-09-29 | vs CHI | W 33–27 OT | Gregg Williams |
| 5 | 2002-10-06 | vs LV | L 31–49 | Gregg Williams |
| 6 | 2002-10-13 | @ HOU | W 31–24 | Gregg Williams |
| 7 | 2002-10-20 | @ MIA | W 23–10 | Gregg Williams |
| 8 | 2002-10-27 | vs DET | W 24–17 | Gregg Williams |
| 9 | 2002-11-03 | vs NE | L 7–38 | Gregg Williams |
| 11 | 2002-11-17 | @ KC | L 16–17 | Gregg Williams |
| 12 | 2002-11-24 | @ NYJ | L 13–31 | Gregg Williams |
| 13 | 2002-12-01 | vs MIA | W 38–21 | Gregg Williams |
| 14 | 2002-12-08 | @ NE | L 17–27 | Gregg Williams |
| 15 | 2002-12-15 | vs LAC | W 20–13 | Gregg Williams |
| 16 | 2002-12-22 | @ GB | L 0–10 | Gregg Williams |
| 17 | 2002-12-29 | vs CIN | W 27–9 | Gregg Williams |
2002: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Bledsoe | 728 | +83.8 | +3.31 |
| Peerless Price | 151 | +43.0 | +1.78 |
| Eric Moulds | 181 | +42.9 | +1.68 |
| Josh Reed | 59 | +27.7 | +0.74 |
| Jay Riemersma | 48 | +10.4 | +0.38 |
| Larry Centers | 75 | +10.4 | +0.34 |
2001 season
2001: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYJ 14–9 (lowest chance 9.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIA 27–34 (highest chance 92.0%)
2001 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2001-09-09 | vs NO | L 6–24 | Gregg Williams |
| 2 | 2001-09-23 | @ IND | L 26–42 | Gregg Williams |
| 3 | 2001-09-30 | vs PIT | L 3–20 | Gregg Williams |
| 4 | 2001-10-07 | vs NYJ | L 36–42 | Gregg Williams |
| 6 | 2001-10-18 | @ JAX | W 13–10 | Gregg Williams |
| 7 | 2001-10-28 | @ LAC | L 24–27 | Gregg Williams |
| 8 | 2001-11-04 | vs IND | L 14–30 | Gregg Williams |
| 9 | 2001-11-11 | @ NE | L 11–21 | Gregg Williams |
| 10 | 2001-11-18 | vs SEA | L 20–23 | Gregg Williams |
| 11 | 2001-11-25 | vs MIA | L 27–34 | Gregg Williams |
| 12 | 2001-12-02 | @ SF | L 0–35 | Gregg Williams |
| 13 | 2001-12-09 | vs CAR | W 25–24 | Gregg Williams |
| 14 | 2001-12-16 | vs NE | L 9–12 OT | Gregg Williams |
| 15 | 2001-12-23 | @ ATL | L 30–33 | Gregg Williams |
| 16 | 2001-12-30 | @ NYJ | W 14–9 | Gregg Williams |
| 17 | 2002-01-06 | @ MIA | L 7–34 | Gregg Williams |
2001: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Van Pelt | 347 | +29.1 | +0.90 |
| Peerless Price | 117 | +32.8 | +0.73 |
| Jay Riemersma | 78 | +12.9 | +0.51 |
| Jeremy McDaniel | 14 | +4.7 | +0.19 |
| Reggie Germany | 21 | +7.4 | +0.18 |
| Phillip Crosby | 2 | +1.1 | +0.03 |
2000 season
2000: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ KC 21–17 (lowest chance 20.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs NE 10–13 (highest chance 90.5%)
2000 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2000-09-03 | vs TEN | W 16–13 | Wade Phillips |
| 2 | 2000-09-10 | vs GB | W 27–18 | Wade Phillips |
| 3 | 2000-09-17 | @ NYJ | L 14–27 | Wade Phillips |
| 5 | 2000-10-01 | vs IND | L 16–18 | Wade Phillips |
| 6 | 2000-10-08 | @ MIA | L 13–22 | Wade Phillips |
| 7 | 2000-10-15 | vs LAC | W 27–24 OT | Wade Phillips |
| 8 | 2000-10-22 | @ MIN | L 27–31 | Wade Phillips |
| 9 | 2000-10-29 | vs NYJ | W 23–20 | Wade Phillips |
| 10 | 2000-11-05 | @ NE | W 16–13 OT | Wade Phillips |
| 11 | 2000-11-12 | vs CHI | W 20–3 | Wade Phillips |
| 12 | 2000-11-19 | @ KC | W 21–17 | Wade Phillips |
| 13 | 2000-11-26 | @ TB | L 17–31 | Wade Phillips |
| 14 | 2000-12-03 | vs MIA | L 6–33 | Wade Phillips |
| 15 | 2000-12-11 | @ IND | L 20–44 | Wade Phillips |
| 16 | 2000-12-17 | vs NE | L 10–13 OT | Wade Phillips |
| 17 | 2000-12-23 | @ SEA | W 42–23 | Wade Phillips |
2000: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 158 | +39.3 | +1.50 |
| Jeremy McDaniel | 64 | +37.3 | +1.27 |
| Doug Flutie | 282 | +23.2 | +0.75 |
| Rob Johnson | 387 | −13.7 | +0.67 |
| Peerless Price | 102 | −2.3 | +0.51 |
| Jay Riemersma | 60 | +3.6 | +0.47 |
1999 season
1999: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NE 13–10 (lowest chance 8.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYG 17–19 (highest chance 83.4%)
1999 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1999-09-12 | @ IND | L 14–31 | Wade Phillips |
| 2 | 1999-09-19 | vs NYJ | W 17–3 | Wade Phillips |
| 3 | 1999-09-26 | vs PHI | W 26–0 | Wade Phillips |
| 4 | 1999-10-04 | @ MIA | W 23–18 | Wade Phillips |
| 5 | 1999-10-10 | vs PIT | W 24–21 | Wade Phillips |
| 6 | 1999-10-17 | vs LV | L 14–20 | Wade Phillips |
| 7 | 1999-10-24 | @ SEA | L 16–26 | Wade Phillips |
| 8 | 1999-10-31 | @ BAL | W 13–10 | Wade Phillips |
| 9 | 1999-11-07 | @ WAS | W 34–17 | Wade Phillips |
| 10 | 1999-11-14 | vs MIA | W 23–3 | Wade Phillips |
| 11 | 1999-11-21 | @ NYJ | L 7–17 | Wade Phillips |
| 12 | 1999-11-28 | vs NE | W 17–7 | Wade Phillips |
| 14 | 1999-12-12 | vs NYG | L 17–19 | Wade Phillips |
| 15 | 1999-12-19 | @ ARI | W 31–21 | Wade Phillips |
| 16 | 1999-12-26 | @ NE | W 13–10 OT | Wade Phillips |
| 17 | 2000-01-02 | vs IND | W 31–6 | Wade Phillips |
| P18 | 2000-01-08 | @ TEN | L 16–22 | Wade Phillips |
1999: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Moulds | 116 | +57.2 | +0.96 |
| Rob Johnson | 41 | +25.0 | +0.38 |
| Kevin R. Williams | 52 | +10.6 | +0.22 |
| Jay Riemersma | 65 | +10.9 | +0.16 |
| Sam Gash | 29 | +4.7 | +0.07 |
| Thurman Thomas | 43 | −1.9 | +0.03 |