Teams › DEN
Denver Broncos
AFC West
Season by season
Adjusted ratings: opponent-adjusted EPA per play, regular season (the small number is the league rank; lower allowed is better). 4th-down WP lost: our model’s best option minus the coach’s call, 2018 on.
| Season | Record | Playoffs | Points for | Points against | Offence adj. EPA/play | Defence adj. EPA/play allowed | 4th-down WP lost per game (pts) | Head coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7–2 | 198 | 186 | +0.01414 | −0.0139 | 4.64 | Sean Payton | |
| 2025 | 14–3 | 1–1 | 401 | 311 | +0.02217 | −0.02410 | 2.98 | Sean Payton |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 0–1 | 425 | 311 | +0.01016 | −0.0493 | 3.06 | Sean Payton |
| 2023 | 8–9 | 357 | 413 | −0.03620 | +0.01327 | 3.50 | Sean Payton | |
| 2022 | 5–12 | 287 | 359 | −0.06629 | −0.02410 | 3.39 | Nathaniel Hackett, Jay Rosburg | |
| 2021 | 7–10 | 335 | 322 | +0.00619 | +0.00515 | 2.24 | Vic Fangio | |
| 2020 | 5–11 | 323 | 446 | −0.04831 | +0.02711 | 3.46 | Vic Fangio | |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 282 | 316 | −0.04923 | −0.01213 | 3.18 | Vic Fangio | |
| 2018 | 6–10 | 329 | 349 | −0.01824 | −0.00510 | 3.86 | Vance Joseph | |
| 2017 | 5–11 | 289 | 382 | −0.11331 | −0.0694 | – | Vance Joseph | |
| 2016 | 9–7 | 333 | 297 | −0.04626 | −0.0831 | – | Gary Kubiak | |
| 2015 | 12–4 | 3–0 | 355 | 296 | −0.05626 | −0.0881 | – | Gary Kubiak |
| 2014 | 12–4 | 0–1 | 482 | 354 | +0.0716 | −0.0366 | – | John Fox |
| 2013 | 13–3 | 2–1 | 606 | 399 | +0.1551 | +0.00114 | – | John Fox |
| 2012 | 13–3 | 0–1 | 481 | 289 | +0.0846 | −0.0513 | – | John Fox |
| 2011 | 8–8 | 1–1 | 309 | 390 | −0.07526 | −0.00615 | – | John Fox |
| 2010 | 4–12 | 344 | 471 | −0.01716 | +0.07032 | – | Josh McDaniels, Eric Studesville | |
| 2009 | 8–8 | 326 | 324 | −0.03218 | −0.0537 | – | Josh McDaniels | |
| 2008 | 8–8 | 370 | 448 | +0.0676 | +0.08131 | – | Mike Shanahan | |
| 2007 | 7–9 | 320 | 409 | +0.00110 | +0.02431 | – | Mike Shanahan | |
| 2006 | 9–7 | 319 | 305 | −0.04616 | −0.0619 | – | Mike Shanahan | |
| 2005 | 13–3 | 1–1 | 395 | 258 | +0.0676 | −0.0526 | – | Mike Shanahan |
| 2004 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 381 | 304 | +0.03710 | −0.0615 | – | Mike Shanahan |
| 2003 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 381 | 301 | +0.0219 | −0.0609 | – | Mike Shanahan |
| 2002 | 9–7 | 392 | 344 | +0.0395 | −0.03210 | – | Mike Shanahan | |
| 2001 | 8–8 | 340 | 339 | −0.04919 | −0.04815 | – | Mike Shanahan | |
| 2000 | 11–5 | 0–1 | 485 | 369 | +0.0536 | −0.02719 | – | Mike Shanahan |
| 1999 | 6–10 | 314 | 318 | −0.02211 | −0.06014 | – | Mike Shanahan |
Tendencies by season
Regular season. The small number is the team’s rank that season (1 = the highest rate). Personnel, pressure and coverage from 2016 (man coverage 2018), published after each season; play action, motion, shotgun and blitzes from 2022. The sources and their labels changed in 2023, so compare a team with its league in the same season, not across years. Pressure and time to throw: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on); play action, blitzes and interception-worthy throws: FTN Data via nflverse (2022 on). Both CC BY-SA 4.0; aggregated by Red Zone Math, and this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.
| Season | Play action % | Motion % | Shotgun % | 11 personnel % | 12 personnel % | QB pressured % | Defence: blitz % | Defence: pressure % | Defence: man coverage % | Defence: nickel % | Defence: dime % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23.414 | 59.913 | 66.710 | – | – | – | 33.413 | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 24.114 | 46.228 | 62.622 | 65.49 | 14.026 | 27.826 | 30.113 | 34.54 | 44.81 | 56.821 | 15.49 |
| 2024 | 27.16 | 35.330 | 64.323 | 61.219 | 16.527 | 28.626 | 34.67 | 38.52 | 62.61 | 63.219 | 7.320 |
| 2023 | 20.217 | 32.229 | 58.729 | 57.427 | 23.210 | 39.22 | 31.27 | 29.018 | 50.78 | 63.221 | 6.618 |
| 2022 | 17.922 | 30.326 | 66.320 | 57.722 | 30.91 | 26.724 | 29.77 | 29.416 | 19.431 | 57.724 | 10.016 |
| 2021 | – | – | – | 61.218 | 27.36 | 33.75 | – | 27.619 | 41.44 | 57.920 | 18.012 |
| 2020 | – | – | – | 66.912 | 21.813 | 31.410 | – | 27.225 | 39.214 | 65.710 | 9.019 |
| 2019 | – | – | – | 52.127 | 20.911 | 30.412 | – | 24.631 | 35.619 | 65.410 | 7.518 |
| 2018 | – | – | – | 63.518 | 12.126 | 32.913 | – | 29.622 | 41.78 | 22.831 | 32.35 |
| 2017 | – | – | – | 66.010 | 15.424 | 21.323 | – | 24.416 | – | 18.332 | 36.65 |
| 2016 | – | – | – | 52.225 | 11.028 | 29.56 | – | 36.41 | – | 0.632 | 38.32 |
Seasons
2026 season
2026: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs KC 28–24 (lowest chance 8.2%)
- Worst collapse: @ SF 14–24 (highest chance 57.6%)
2026 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-14 | @ KC | L 10–31 | Sean Payton |
| 2 | 2026-09-20 | vs JAX | W 20–13 | Sean Payton |
| 3 | 2026-09-27 | vs LA | W 30–26 | Sean Payton |
| 4 | 2026-10-04 | @ SF | L 14–24 | Sean Payton |
| 5 | 2026-10-11 | @ LAC | W 23–17 | Sean Payton |
| 6 | 2026-10-15 | vs SEA | W 17–14 OT | Sean Payton |
| 7 | 2026-10-25 | @ ARI | W 30–16 | Sean Payton |
| 8 | 2026-11-01 | vs KC | W 28–24 | Sean Payton |
| 9 | 2026-11-08 | @ CAR | W 26–21 | Sean Payton |
| 11 | 2026-11-22 | vs LV | upcoming | Sean Payton |
| 12 | 2026-11-27 | @ PIT | upcoming | Sean Payton |
| 13 | 2026-12-06 | vs MIA | upcoming | Sean Payton |
| 14 | 2026-12-13 | @ NYJ | upcoming | Sean Payton |
| 15 | 2026-12-20 | @ LV | upcoming | Sean Payton |
| 16 | 2026-12-25 | vs BUF | upcoming | Sean Payton |
| 17 | 2027-01-03 | @ NE | upcoming | Sean Payton |
| 18 | 2027-01-10 | vs LAC | upcoming | Sean Payton |
2026: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 357 | +23.7 | +1.50 |
| Pat Bryant | 18 | +17.8 | +0.56 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 54 | +5.5 | +0.38 |
| Nate Adkins | 8 | +9.0 | +0.30 |
| Jonah Coleman | 61 | +6.2 | +0.28 |
| Tyler Badie | 13 | +6.6 | +0.24 |
2025 season
2025: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NYG 33–32 (lowest chance 1.4%)
- Worst collapse: @ IND 28–29 (highest chance 86.5%)
2025 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025-09-07 | vs TEN | W 20–12 | Sean Payton |
| 2 | 2025-09-14 | @ IND | L 28–29 | Sean Payton |
| 3 | 2025-09-21 | @ LAC | L 20–23 | Sean Payton |
| 4 | 2025-09-29 | vs CIN | W 28–3 | Sean Payton |
| 5 | 2025-10-05 | @ PHI | W 21–17 | Sean Payton |
| 6 | 2025-10-12 | @ NYJ | W 13–11 | Sean Payton |
| 7 | 2025-10-19 | vs NYG | W 33–32 | Sean Payton |
| 8 | 2025-10-26 | vs DAL | W 44–24 | Sean Payton |
| 9 | 2025-11-02 | @ HOU | W 18–15 | Sean Payton |
| 10 | 2025-11-06 | vs LV | W 10–7 | Sean Payton |
| 11 | 2025-11-16 | vs KC | W 22–19 | Sean Payton |
| 13 | 2025-11-30 | @ WAS | W 27–26 OT | Sean Payton |
| 14 | 2025-12-07 | @ LV | W 24–17 | Sean Payton |
| 15 | 2025-12-14 | vs GB | W 34–26 | Sean Payton |
| 16 | 2025-12-21 | vs JAX | L 20–34 | Sean Payton |
| 17 | 2025-12-25 | @ KC | W 20–13 | Sean Payton |
| 18 | 2026-01-04 | vs LAC | W 19–3 | Sean Payton |
| P20 | 2026-01-17 | vs BUF | W 33–30 OT | Sean Payton |
| P21 | 2026-01-25 | vs NE | L 7–10 | Sean Payton |
2025: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 734 | +73.4 | +2.93 |
| Courtland Sutton | 125 | +40.5 | +1.76 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 63 | +8.6 | +0.56 |
| Pat Bryant | 49 | +14.2 | +0.46 |
| Adam Trautman | 23 | +10.8 | +0.29 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 15 | +6.7 | +0.23 |
2024 season
2024: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYJ 10–9 (lowest chance 11.7%)
- Worst collapse: @ KC 14–16 (highest chance 92.2%)
2024 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024-09-08 | @ SEA | L 20–26 | Sean Payton |
| 2 | 2024-09-15 | vs PIT | L 6–13 | Sean Payton |
| 3 | 2024-09-22 | @ TB | W 26–7 | Sean Payton |
| 4 | 2024-09-29 | @ NYJ | W 10–9 | Sean Payton |
| 5 | 2024-10-06 | vs LV | W 34–18 | Sean Payton |
| 6 | 2024-10-13 | vs LAC | L 16–23 | Sean Payton |
| 7 | 2024-10-17 | @ NO | W 33–10 | Sean Payton |
| 8 | 2024-10-27 | vs CAR | W 28–14 | Sean Payton |
| 9 | 2024-11-03 | @ BAL | L 10–41 | Sean Payton |
| 10 | 2024-11-10 | @ KC | L 14–16 | Sean Payton |
| 11 | 2024-11-17 | vs ATL | W 38–6 | Sean Payton |
| 12 | 2024-11-24 | @ LV | W 29–19 | Sean Payton |
| 13 | 2024-12-02 | vs CLE | W 41–32 | Sean Payton |
| 15 | 2024-12-15 | vs IND | W 31–13 | Sean Payton |
| 16 | 2024-12-19 | @ LAC | L 27–34 | Sean Payton |
| 17 | 2024-12-28 | @ CIN | L 24–30 OT | Sean Payton |
| 18 | 2025-01-05 | vs KC | W 38–0 | Sean Payton |
| P19 | 2025-01-12 | @ BUF | L 7–31 | Sean Payton |
2024: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 137 | +44.6 | +0.97 |
| Bo Nix | 704 | +68.3 | +0.95 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 65 | +20.8 | +0.71 |
| Devaughn Vele | 55 | +35.1 | +0.53 |
| Nate Adkins | 15 | +9.1 | +0.27 |
| Michael Burton | 17 | +3.4 | +0.13 |
2023 season
2023: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CHI 31–28 (lowest chance 3.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs WAS 33–35 (highest chance 97.5%)
2023 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2023-09-10 | vs LV | L 16–17 | Sean Payton |
| 2 | 2023-09-17 | vs WAS | L 33–35 | Sean Payton |
| 3 | 2023-09-24 | @ MIA | L 20–70 | Sean Payton |
| 4 | 2023-10-01 | @ CHI | W 31–28 | Sean Payton |
| 5 | 2023-10-08 | vs NYJ | L 21–31 | Sean Payton |
| 6 | 2023-10-12 | @ KC | L 8–19 | Sean Payton |
| 7 | 2023-10-22 | vs GB | W 19–17 | Sean Payton |
| 8 | 2023-10-29 | vs KC | W 24–9 | Sean Payton |
| 10 | 2023-11-13 | @ BUF | W 24–22 | Sean Payton |
| 11 | 2023-11-19 | vs MIN | W 21–20 | Sean Payton |
| 12 | 2023-11-26 | vs CLE | W 29–12 | Sean Payton |
| 13 | 2023-12-03 | @ HOU | L 17–22 | Sean Payton |
| 14 | 2023-12-10 | @ LAC | W 24–7 | Sean Payton |
| 15 | 2023-12-16 | @ DET | L 17–42 | Sean Payton |
| 16 | 2023-12-24 | vs NE | L 23–26 | Sean Payton |
| 17 | 2023-12-31 | vs LAC | W 16–9 | Sean Payton |
| 18 | 2024-01-07 | @ LV | L 14–27 | Sean Payton |
2023: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 90 | +23.0 | +1.02 |
| Russell Wilson | 589 | +26.4 | +0.78 |
| Brandon Johnson | 30 | +20.3 | +0.60 |
| Samaje Perine | 111 | +2.0 | +0.41 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 87 | +17.0 | +0.38 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 19 | +14.2 | +0.24 |
2022 season
2022: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ JAX 21–17 (lowest chance 15.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 9–12 (highest chance 93.3%)
2022 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2022-09-12 | @ SEA | L 16–17 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 2 | 2022-09-18 | vs HOU | W 16–9 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 3 | 2022-09-25 | vs SF | W 11–10 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 4 | 2022-10-02 | @ LV | L 23–32 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 5 | 2022-10-06 | vs IND | L 9–12 OT | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 6 | 2022-10-17 | @ LAC | L 16–19 OT | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 7 | 2022-10-23 | vs NYJ | L 9–16 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 8 | 2022-10-30 | @ JAX | W 21–17 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 10 | 2022-11-13 | @ TEN | L 10–17 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 11 | 2022-11-20 | vs LV | L 16–22 OT | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 12 | 2022-11-27 | @ CAR | L 10–23 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 13 | 2022-12-04 | @ BAL | L 9–10 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 14 | 2022-12-11 | vs KC | L 28–34 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 15 | 2022-12-18 | vs ARI | W 24–15 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 16 | 2022-12-25 | @ LA | L 14–51 | Nathaniel Hackett |
| 17 | 2023-01-01 | @ KC | L 24–27 | Jay Rosburg |
| 18 | 2023-01-08 | vs LAC | W 31–28 | Jay Rosburg |
2022: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 104 | +48.9 | +1.12 |
| Kendall Hinton | 35 | +16.6 | +0.52 |
| Latavius Murray | 199 | −20.0 | +0.26 |
| Jalen Virgil | 5 | +5.6 | +0.19 |
| Eric Tomlinson | 13 | +7.3 | +0.18 |
| Marlon Mack | 27 | +1.6 | +0.17 |
2021 season
2021: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DAL 30–16 (lowest chance 15.1%)
- Worst collapse: @ LV 13–17 (highest chance 70.3%)
2021 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | @ NYG | W 27–13 | Vic Fangio |
| 2 | 2021-09-19 | @ JAX | W 23–13 | Vic Fangio |
| 3 | 2021-09-26 | vs NYJ | W 26–0 | Vic Fangio |
| 4 | 2021-10-03 | vs BAL | L 7–23 | Vic Fangio |
| 5 | 2021-10-10 | @ PIT | L 19–27 | Vic Fangio |
| 6 | 2021-10-17 | vs LV | L 24–34 | Vic Fangio |
| 7 | 2021-10-21 | @ CLE | L 14–17 | Vic Fangio |
| 8 | 2021-10-31 | vs WAS | W 17–10 | Vic Fangio |
| 9 | 2021-11-07 | @ DAL | W 30–16 | Vic Fangio |
| 10 | 2021-11-14 | vs PHI | L 13–30 | Vic Fangio |
| 12 | 2021-11-28 | vs LAC | W 28–13 | Vic Fangio |
| 13 | 2021-12-05 | @ KC | L 9–22 | Vic Fangio |
| 14 | 2021-12-12 | vs DET | W 38–10 | Vic Fangio |
| 15 | 2021-12-19 | vs CIN | L 10–15 | Vic Fangio |
| 16 | 2021-12-26 | @ LV | L 13–17 | Vic Fangio |
| 17 | 2022-01-02 | @ LAC | L 13–34 | Vic Fangio |
| 18 | 2022-01-08 | vs KC | L 24–28 | Vic Fangio |
2021: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Patrick | 85 | +37.7 | +1.13 |
| Teddy Bridgewater | 500 | +78.7 | +1.06 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 58 | +14.5 | +0.44 |
| Courtland Sutton | 99 | +21.1 | +0.42 |
| Albert Okwuegbunam | 40 | +13.6 | +0.29 |
| Javonte Williams | 260 | −10.5 | +0.09 |
2020 season
2020: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LAC 31–30 (lowest chance 2.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs LV 31–32 (highest chance 95.0%)
2020 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2020-09-14 | vs TEN | L 14–16 | Vic Fangio |
| 2 | 2020-09-20 | @ PIT | L 21–26 | Vic Fangio |
| 3 | 2020-09-27 | vs TB | L 10–28 | Vic Fangio |
| 4 | 2020-10-01 | @ NYJ | W 37–28 | Vic Fangio |
| 6 | 2020-10-18 | @ NE | W 18–12 | Vic Fangio |
| 7 | 2020-10-25 | vs KC | L 16–43 | Vic Fangio |
| 8 | 2020-11-01 | vs LAC | W 31–30 | Vic Fangio |
| 9 | 2020-11-08 | @ ATL | L 27–34 | Vic Fangio |
| 10 | 2020-11-15 | @ LV | L 12–37 | Vic Fangio |
| 11 | 2020-11-22 | vs MIA | W 20–13 | Vic Fangio |
| 12 | 2020-11-29 | vs NO | L 3–31 | Vic Fangio |
| 13 | 2020-12-06 | @ KC | L 16–22 | Vic Fangio |
| 14 | 2020-12-13 | @ CAR | W 32–27 | Vic Fangio |
| 15 | 2020-12-19 | vs BUF | L 19–48 | Vic Fangio |
| 16 | 2020-12-27 | @ LAC | L 16–19 | Vic Fangio |
| 17 | 2021-01-03 | vs LV | L 31–32 | Vic Fangio |
2020: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Lock | 518 | −3.6 | +1.51 |
| Tim Patrick | 79 | +35.3 | +1.01 |
| KJ Hamler | 65 | −1.0 | +0.69 |
| Noah Fant | 93 | +10.5 | +0.68 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 113 | −0.8 | +0.20 |
| Brett Rypien | 49 | +6.8 | +0.15 |
2019 season
2019: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ HOU 38–24 (lowest chance 20.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs JAX 24–26 (highest chance 92.1%)
2019 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2019-09-09 | @ LV | L 16–24 | Vic Fangio |
| 2 | 2019-09-15 | vs CHI | L 14–16 | Vic Fangio |
| 3 | 2019-09-22 | @ GB | L 16–27 | Vic Fangio |
| 4 | 2019-09-29 | vs JAX | L 24–26 | Vic Fangio |
| 5 | 2019-10-06 | @ LAC | W 20–13 | Vic Fangio |
| 6 | 2019-10-13 | vs TEN | W 16–0 | Vic Fangio |
| 7 | 2019-10-17 | vs KC | L 6–30 | Vic Fangio |
| 8 | 2019-10-27 | @ IND | L 13–15 | Vic Fangio |
| 9 | 2019-11-03 | vs CLE | W 24–19 | Vic Fangio |
| 11 | 2019-11-17 | @ MIN | L 23–27 | Vic Fangio |
| 12 | 2019-11-24 | @ BUF | L 3–20 | Vic Fangio |
| 13 | 2019-12-01 | vs LAC | W 23–20 | Vic Fangio |
| 14 | 2019-12-08 | @ HOU | W 38–24 | Vic Fangio |
| 15 | 2019-12-15 | @ KC | L 3–23 | Vic Fangio |
| 16 | 2019-12-22 | vs DET | W 27–17 | Vic Fangio |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | vs LV | W 16–15 | Vic Fangio |
2019: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 128 | +55.7 | +1.74 |
| Drew Lock | 189 | +19.6 | +1.00 |
| Joe Flacco | 314 | −13.7 | +0.44 |
| Phillip Lindsay | 285 | −19.6 | +0.25 |
| Andrew Beck | 14 | +8.7 | +0.25 |
| Jeff Heuerman | 20 | +3.9 | +0.17 |
2018 season
2018: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ LAC 23–22 (lowest chance 2.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs KC 23–27 (highest chance 86.3%)
2018 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2018-09-09 | vs SEA | W 27–24 | Vance Joseph |
| 2 | 2018-09-16 | vs LV | W 20–19 | Vance Joseph |
| 3 | 2018-09-23 | @ BAL | L 14–27 | Vance Joseph |
| 4 | 2018-10-01 | vs KC | L 23–27 | Vance Joseph |
| 5 | 2018-10-07 | @ NYJ | L 16–34 | Vance Joseph |
| 6 | 2018-10-14 | vs LA | L 20–23 | Vance Joseph |
| 7 | 2018-10-18 | @ ARI | W 45–10 | Vance Joseph |
| 8 | 2018-10-28 | @ KC | L 23–30 | Vance Joseph |
| 9 | 2018-11-04 | vs HOU | L 17–19 | Vance Joseph |
| 11 | 2018-11-18 | @ LAC | W 23–22 | Vance Joseph |
| 12 | 2018-11-25 | vs PIT | W 24–17 | Vance Joseph |
| 13 | 2018-12-02 | @ CIN | W 24–10 | Vance Joseph |
| 14 | 2018-12-09 | @ SF | L 14–20 | Vance Joseph |
| 15 | 2018-12-15 | vs CLE | L 16–17 | Vance Joseph |
| 16 | 2018-12-24 | @ LV | L 14–27 | Vance Joseph |
| 17 | 2018-12-30 | vs LAC | L 9–23 | Vance Joseph |
2018: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Sanders | 103 | +25.0 | +1.24 |
| Case Keenum | 680 | −6.2 | +1.21 |
| Courtland Sutton | 85 | +14.8 | +0.85 |
| Tim Patrick | 44 | +4.1 | +0.47 |
| Jeff Heuerman | 48 | −4.7 | +0.40 |
| Andy Janovich | 12 | +11.9 | +0.20 |
2017 season
2017: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ IND 25–13 (lowest chance 25.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYG 10–23 (highest chance 86.6%)
2017 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2017-09-11 | vs LAC | W 24–21 | Vance Joseph |
| 2 | 2017-09-17 | vs DAL | W 42–17 | Vance Joseph |
| 3 | 2017-09-24 | @ BUF | L 16–26 | Vance Joseph |
| 4 | 2017-10-01 | vs LV | W 16–10 | Vance Joseph |
| 6 | 2017-10-15 | vs NYG | L 10–23 | Vance Joseph |
| 7 | 2017-10-22 | @ LAC | L 0–21 | Vance Joseph |
| 8 | 2017-10-30 | @ KC | L 19–29 | Vance Joseph |
| 9 | 2017-11-05 | @ PHI | L 23–51 | Vance Joseph |
| 10 | 2017-11-12 | vs NE | L 16–41 | Vance Joseph |
| 11 | 2017-11-19 | vs CIN | L 17–20 | Vance Joseph |
| 12 | 2017-11-26 | @ LV | L 14–21 | Vance Joseph |
| 13 | 2017-12-03 | @ MIA | L 9–35 | Vance Joseph |
| 14 | 2017-12-10 | vs NYJ | W 23–0 | Vance Joseph |
| 15 | 2017-12-14 | @ IND | W 25–13 | Vance Joseph |
| 16 | 2017-12-24 | @ WAS | L 11–27 | Vance Joseph |
| 17 | 2017-12-31 | vs KC | L 24–27 | Vance Joseph |
2017: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devontae Booker | 117 | −2.1 | +0.28 |
| Demaryius Thomas | 140 | −10.0 | +0.26 |
| Jeff Heuerman | 18 | −3.7 | +0.20 |
| Virgil Green | 22 | +3.3 | +0.06 |
| Andy Janovich | 12 | +1.9 | +0.06 |
| Austin Traylor | 13 | +4.3 | +0.05 |
2016 season
2016: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CAR 21–20 (lowest chance 9.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs KC 27–30 (highest chance 96.6%)
2016 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2016-09-08 | vs CAR | W 21–20 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2016-09-18 | vs IND | W 34–20 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2016-09-25 | @ CIN | W 29–17 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2016-10-02 | @ TB | W 27–7 | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2016-10-09 | vs ATL | L 16–23 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2016-10-13 | @ LAC | L 13–21 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2016-10-24 | vs HOU | W 27–9 | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2016-10-30 | vs LAC | W 27–19 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2016-11-06 | @ LV | L 20–30 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2016-11-13 | @ NO | W 25–23 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2016-11-27 | vs KC | L 27–30 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2016-12-04 | @ JAX | W 20–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2016-12-11 | @ TEN | L 10–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2016-12-18 | vs NE | L 3–16 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2016-12-25 | @ KC | L 10–33 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2017-01-01 | vs LV | W 24–6 | Gary Kubiak |
2016: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Siemian | 570 | +29.3 | +1.04 |
| Demaryius Thomas | 144 | +24.7 | +0.75 |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 138 | +20.2 | +0.35 |
| Jordan Taylor | 25 | +6.9 | +0.24 |
| Jeff Heuerman | 17 | +5.2 | +0.23 |
| A.J. Derby | 20 | +3.8 | +0.23 |
2015 season
2015: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NE 30–24 (lowest chance 4.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs LV 12–15 (highest chance 94.5%)
2015 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2015-09-13 | vs BAL | W 19–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2015-09-17 | @ KC | W 31–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2015-09-27 | @ DET | W 24–12 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2015-10-04 | vs MIN | W 23–20 | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2015-10-11 | @ LV | W 16–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2015-10-18 | @ CLE | W 26–23 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2015-11-01 | vs GB | W 29–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2015-11-08 | @ IND | L 24–27 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2015-11-15 | vs KC | L 13–29 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2015-11-22 | @ CHI | W 17–15 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2015-11-29 | vs NE | W 30–24 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2015-12-06 | @ LAC | W 17–3 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2015-12-13 | vs LV | L 12–15 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2015-12-20 | @ PIT | L 27–34 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2015-12-28 | vs CIN | W 20–17 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2016-01-03 | vs LAC | W 27–20 | Gary Kubiak |
| P19 | 2016-01-17 | vs PIT | W 23–16 | Gary Kubiak |
| P20 | 2016-01-24 | vs NE | W 20–18 | Gary Kubiak |
| P21 | 2016-02-07 | vs CAR | W 24–10 | Gary Kubiak |
2015: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Sanders | 140 | +33.6 | +1.15 |
| Owen Daniels | 77 | +3.7 | +0.52 |
| Brock Osweiler | 332 | +13.1 | +0.39 |
| Virgil Green | 15 | +15.9 | +0.38 |
| Bennie Fowler | 25 | −0.1 | +0.23 |
| Cody Latimer | 13 | +1.7 | +0.05 |
2014 season
2014: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs MIA 39–36 (lowest chance 20.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 13–24 (highest chance 91.7%)
2014 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2014-09-07 | vs IND | W 31–24 | John Fox |
| 2 | 2014-09-14 | vs KC | W 24–17 | John Fox |
| 3 | 2014-09-21 | @ SEA | L 20–26 OT | John Fox |
| 5 | 2014-10-05 | vs ARI | W 41–20 | John Fox |
| 6 | 2014-10-12 | @ NYJ | W 31–17 | John Fox |
| 7 | 2014-10-19 | vs SF | W 42–17 | John Fox |
| 8 | 2014-10-23 | vs LAC | W 35–21 | John Fox |
| 9 | 2014-11-02 | @ NE | L 21–43 | John Fox |
| 10 | 2014-11-09 | @ LV | W 41–17 | John Fox |
| 11 | 2014-11-16 | @ LA | L 7–22 | John Fox |
| 12 | 2014-11-23 | vs MIA | W 39–36 | John Fox |
| 13 | 2014-11-30 | @ KC | W 29–16 | John Fox |
| 14 | 2014-12-07 | vs BUF | W 24–17 | John Fox |
| 15 | 2014-12-14 | @ LAC | W 22–10 | John Fox |
| 16 | 2014-12-22 | @ CIN | L 28–37 | John Fox |
| 17 | 2014-12-28 | vs LV | W 47–14 | John Fox |
| P19 | 2015-01-11 | vs IND | L 13–24 | John Fox |
2014: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Sanders | 149 | +82.3 | +1.81 |
| Peyton Manning | 662 | +119.5 | +1.80 |
| Demaryius Thomas | 184 | +46.4 | +0.68 |
| Julius Thomas | 62 | +29.9 | +0.15 |
| C.J. Anderson | 232 | +12.8 | +0.06 |
| David Bruton | 1 | +3.4 | +0.05 |
2013 season
2013: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ KC 35–28 (lowest chance 24.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ NE 31–34 (highest chance 97.8%)
2013 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2013-09-05 | vs BAL | W 49–27 | John Fox |
| 2 | 2013-09-15 | @ NYG | W 41–23 | John Fox |
| 3 | 2013-09-23 | vs LV | W 37–21 | John Fox |
| 4 | 2013-09-29 | vs PHI | W 52–20 | John Fox |
| 5 | 2013-10-06 | @ DAL | W 51–48 | John Fox |
| 6 | 2013-10-13 | vs JAX | W 35–19 | John Fox |
| 7 | 2013-10-20 | @ IND | L 33–39 | John Fox |
| 8 | 2013-10-27 | vs WAS | W 45–21 | John Fox |
| 10 | 2013-11-10 | @ LAC | W 28–20 | John Fox |
| 11 | 2013-11-17 | vs KC | W 27–17 | John Fox |
| 12 | 2013-11-24 | @ NE | L 31–34 OT | John Fox |
| 13 | 2013-12-01 | @ KC | W 35–28 | John Fox |
| 14 | 2013-12-08 | vs TEN | W 51–28 | John Fox |
| 15 | 2013-12-12 | vs LAC | L 20–27 | John Fox |
| 16 | 2013-12-22 | @ HOU | W 37–13 | John Fox |
| 17 | 2013-12-29 | @ LV | W 34–14 | John Fox |
| P19 | 2014-01-12 | vs LAC | W 24–17 | John Fox |
| P20 | 2014-01-19 | vs NE | W 26–16 | John Fox |
| P21 | 2014-02-02 | vs SEA | L 8–43 | John Fox |
2013: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 728 | +248.4 | +3.15 |
| Eric Decker | 136 | +62.1 | +0.73 |
| Knowshon Moreno | 321 | +38.8 | +0.68 |
| Demaryius Thomas | 142 | +72.4 | +0.66 |
| Julius Thomas | 90 | +51.2 | +0.55 |
| Wes Welker | 111 | +37.1 | +0.52 |
2012 season
2012: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ LAC 35–24 (lowest chance 2.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs BAL 35–38 (highest chance 99.3%)
2012 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-09-09 | vs PIT | W 31–19 | John Fox |
| 2 | 2012-09-17 | @ ATL | L 21–27 | John Fox |
| 3 | 2012-09-23 | vs HOU | L 25–31 | John Fox |
| 4 | 2012-09-30 | vs LV | W 37–6 | John Fox |
| 5 | 2012-10-07 | @ NE | L 21–31 | John Fox |
| 6 | 2012-10-15 | @ LAC | W 35–24 | John Fox |
| 8 | 2012-10-28 | vs NO | W 34–14 | John Fox |
| 9 | 2012-11-04 | @ CIN | W 31–23 | John Fox |
| 10 | 2012-11-11 | @ CAR | W 36–14 | John Fox |
| 11 | 2012-11-18 | vs LAC | W 30–23 | John Fox |
| 12 | 2012-11-25 | @ KC | W 17–9 | John Fox |
| 13 | 2012-12-02 | vs TB | W 31–23 | John Fox |
| 14 | 2012-12-06 | @ LV | W 26–13 | John Fox |
| 15 | 2012-12-16 | @ BAL | W 34–17 | John Fox |
| 16 | 2012-12-23 | vs CLE | W 34–12 | John Fox |
| 17 | 2012-12-30 | vs KC | W 38–3 | John Fox |
| P19 | 2013-01-12 | vs BAL | L 35–38 OT | John Fox |
2012: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 644 | +188.6 | +2.32 |
| Demaryius Thomas | 141 | +78.0 | +1.00 |
| Eric Decker | 123 | +67.8 | +0.72 |
| Brandon Stokley | 59 | +27.6 | +0.52 |
| Jacob Tamme | 84 | +8.1 | +0.34 |
| Joel Dreessen | 58 | +14.1 | +0.15 |
2011 season
2011: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIA 18–15 (lowest chance 0.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ BUF 14–40 (highest chance 80.5%)
2011 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011-09-12 | vs LV | L 20–23 | John Fox |
| 2 | 2011-09-18 | vs CIN | W 24–22 | John Fox |
| 3 | 2011-09-25 | @ TEN | L 14–17 | John Fox |
| 4 | 2011-10-02 | @ GB | L 23–49 | John Fox |
| 5 | 2011-10-09 | vs LAC | L 24–29 | John Fox |
| 7 | 2011-10-23 | @ MIA | W 18–15 OT | John Fox |
| 8 | 2011-10-30 | vs DET | L 10–45 | John Fox |
| 9 | 2011-11-06 | @ LV | W 38–24 | John Fox |
| 10 | 2011-11-13 | @ KC | W 17–10 | John Fox |
| 11 | 2011-11-17 | vs NYJ | W 17–13 | John Fox |
| 12 | 2011-11-27 | @ LAC | W 16–13 OT | John Fox |
| 13 | 2011-12-04 | @ MIN | W 35–32 | John Fox |
| 14 | 2011-12-11 | vs CHI | W 13–10 OT | John Fox |
| 15 | 2011-12-18 | vs NE | L 23–41 | John Fox |
| 16 | 2011-12-24 | @ BUF | L 14–40 | John Fox |
| 17 | 2012-01-01 | vs KC | L 3–7 | John Fox |
| P18 | 2012-01-08 | vs PIT | W 29–23 OT | John Fox |
| P19 | 2012-01-14 | @ NE | L 10–45 | John Fox |
2011: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demaryius Thomas | 72 | +21.3 | +0.43 |
| Daniel Fells | 31 | +6.0 | +0.33 |
| Dante Rosario | 11 | +5.9 | +0.28 |
| Spencer Larsen | 23 | +5.9 | +0.16 |
| Brandon Lloyd | 31 | +6.4 | +0.15 |
| Matt Willis | 36 | +8.1 | +0.10 |
2010 season
2010: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs HOU 24–23 (lowest chance 7.3%)
- Worst collapse: @ SF 16–24 (highest chance 81.0%)
2010 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010-09-12 | @ JAX | L 17–24 | Josh McDaniels |
| 2 | 2010-09-19 | vs SEA | W 31–14 | Josh McDaniels |
| 3 | 2010-09-26 | vs IND | L 13–27 | Josh McDaniels |
| 4 | 2010-10-03 | @ TEN | W 26–20 | Josh McDaniels |
| 5 | 2010-10-10 | @ BAL | L 17–31 | Josh McDaniels |
| 6 | 2010-10-17 | vs NYJ | L 20–24 | Josh McDaniels |
| 7 | 2010-10-24 | vs LV | L 14–59 | Josh McDaniels |
| 8 | 2010-10-31 | @ SF | L 16–24 | Josh McDaniels |
| 10 | 2010-11-14 | vs KC | W 49–29 | Josh McDaniels |
| 11 | 2010-11-22 | @ LAC | L 14–35 | Josh McDaniels |
| 12 | 2010-11-28 | vs LA | L 33–36 | Josh McDaniels |
| 13 | 2010-12-05 | @ KC | L 6–10 | Josh McDaniels |
| 14 | 2010-12-12 | @ ARI | L 13–43 | Eric Studesville |
| 15 | 2010-12-19 | @ LV | L 23–39 | Eric Studesville |
| 16 | 2010-12-26 | vs HOU | W 24–23 | Eric Studesville |
| 17 | 2011-01-02 | vs LAC | L 28–33 | Eric Studesville |
2010: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lloyd | 154 | +63.2 | +0.96 |
| Tim Tebow | 131 | +27.6 | +0.53 |
| Spencer Larsen | 8 | +5.8 | +0.11 |
| Kyle Orton | 575 | +38.7 | +0.08 |
| Eric Decker | 8 | +3.7 | +0.05 |
| Dan Gronkowski | 13 | −2.8 | +0.01 |
2009 season
2009: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NE 20–17 (lowest chance 9.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs LV 19–20 (highest chance 95.8%)
2009 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009-09-13 | @ CIN | W 12–7 | Josh McDaniels |
| 2 | 2009-09-20 | vs CLE | W 27–6 | Josh McDaniels |
| 3 | 2009-09-27 | @ LV | W 23–3 | Josh McDaniels |
| 4 | 2009-10-04 | vs DAL | W 17–10 | Josh McDaniels |
| 5 | 2009-10-11 | vs NE | W 20–17 OT | Josh McDaniels |
| 6 | 2009-10-19 | @ LAC | W 34–23 | Josh McDaniels |
| 8 | 2009-11-01 | @ BAL | L 7–30 | Josh McDaniels |
| 9 | 2009-11-09 | vs PIT | L 10–28 | Josh McDaniels |
| 10 | 2009-11-15 | @ WAS | L 17–27 | Josh McDaniels |
| 11 | 2009-11-22 | vs LAC | L 3–32 | Josh McDaniels |
| 12 | 2009-11-26 | vs NYG | W 26–6 | Josh McDaniels |
| 13 | 2009-12-06 | @ KC | W 44–13 | Josh McDaniels |
| 14 | 2009-12-13 | @ IND | L 16–28 | Josh McDaniels |
| 15 | 2009-12-20 | vs LV | L 19–20 | Josh McDaniels |
| 16 | 2009-12-27 | @ PHI | L 27–30 | Josh McDaniels |
| 17 | 2010-01-03 | vs KC | L 24–44 | Josh McDaniels |
2009: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Orton | 615 | +48.7 | +1.29 |
| Brandon Stokley | 33 | +11.7 | +0.98 |
| Brandon Marshall | 161 | +43.3 | +0.76 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 87 | +25.8 | +0.54 |
| Tony Scheffler | 50 | +13.9 | +0.35 |
| Eddie Royal | 80 | −9.8 | +0.19 |
2008 season
2008: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CLE 34–30 (lowest chance 7.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs BUF 23–30 (highest chance 93.4%)
2008 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2008-09-08 | @ LV | W 41–14 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2008-09-14 | vs LAC | W 39–38 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2008-09-21 | vs NO | W 34–32 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2008-09-28 | @ KC | L 19–33 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2008-10-05 | vs TB | W 16–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2008-10-12 | vs JAX | L 17–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2008-10-20 | @ NE | L 7–41 | Mike Shanahan |
| 9 | 2008-11-02 | vs MIA | L 17–26 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 2008-11-06 | @ CLE | W 34–30 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2008-11-16 | @ ATL | W 24–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2008-11-23 | vs LV | L 10–31 | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2008-11-30 | @ NYJ | W 34–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2008-12-07 | vs KC | W 24–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2008-12-14 | @ CAR | L 10–30 | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2008-12-21 | vs BUF | L 23–30 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2008-12-28 | @ LAC | L 21–52 | Mike Shanahan |
2008: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Cutler | 703 | +125.7 | +2.92 |
| Eddie Royal | 141 | +36.7 | +1.06 |
| Peyton Hillis | 88 | +25.5 | +0.86 |
| Daniel Graham | 50 | +21.8 | +0.72 |
| Tony Scheffler | 62 | +25.5 | +0.58 |
| Brandon Marshall | 183 | +10.6 | +0.26 |
2007 season
2007: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs PIT 31–28 (lowest chance 23.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ CHI 34–37 (highest chance 98.1%)
2007 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2007-09-09 | @ BUF | W 15–14 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2007-09-16 | vs LV | W 23–20 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2007-09-23 | vs JAX | L 14–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2007-09-30 | @ IND | L 20–38 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2007-10-07 | vs LAC | L 3–41 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2007-10-21 | vs PIT | W 31–28 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2007-10-29 | vs GB | L 13–19 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 9 | 2007-11-04 | @ DET | L 7–44 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 2007-11-11 | @ KC | W 27–11 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2007-11-19 | vs TEN | W 34–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2007-11-25 | @ CHI | L 34–37 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2007-12-02 | @ LV | L 20–34 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2007-12-09 | vs KC | W 41–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2007-12-13 | @ HOU | L 13–31 | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2007-12-24 | @ LAC | L 3–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2007-12-30 | vs MIN | W 22–19 OT | Mike Shanahan |
2007: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Cutler | 545 | +59.0 | +1.73 |
| Brandon Marshall | 177 | +42.8 | +1.50 |
| Brandon Stokley | 72 | +33.9 | +0.81 |
| Tony Scheffler | 65 | +16.5 | +0.69 |
| Andre Hall | 47 | +1.5 | +0.21 |
| Nate Jackson | 4 | +3.0 | +0.08 |
2006 season
2006: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NE 17–7 (lowest chance 21.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs SF 23–26 (highest chance 95.4%)
2006 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2006-09-10 | @ LA | L 10–18 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2006-09-17 | vs KC | W 9–6 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2006-09-24 | @ NE | W 17–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2006-10-09 | vs BAL | W 13–3 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2006-10-15 | vs LV | W 13–3 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2006-10-22 | @ CLE | W 17–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2006-10-29 | vs IND | L 31–34 | Mike Shanahan |
| 9 | 2006-11-05 | @ PIT | W 31–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 2006-11-12 | @ LV | W 17–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2006-11-19 | vs LAC | L 27–35 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2006-11-23 | @ KC | L 10–19 | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2006-12-03 | vs SEA | L 20–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2006-12-10 | @ LAC | L 20–48 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2006-12-17 | @ ARI | W 37–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2006-12-24 | vs CIN | W 24–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2006-12-31 | vs SF | L 23–26 OT | Mike Shanahan |
2006: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Walker | 135 | +53.3 | +1.36 |
| Brandon Marshall | 39 | +13.8 | +0.38 |
| Mike Bell | 186 | +8.3 | +0.37 |
| Cecil Sapp | 20 | +2.2 | +0.21 |
| David Kircus | 27 | −2.4 | +0.16 |
| Kyle Johnson | 16 | +0.0 | +0.13 |
2005 season
2005: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ LAC 23–7 (lowest chance 17.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ NYG 23–24 (highest chance 92.3%)
2005 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2005-09-11 | @ MIA | L 10–34 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2005-09-18 | vs LAC | W 20–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2005-09-26 | vs KC | W 30–10 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2005-10-02 | @ JAX | W 20–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2005-10-09 | vs WAS | W 21–19 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2005-10-16 | vs NE | W 28–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2005-10-23 | @ NYG | L 23–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2005-10-30 | vs PHI | W 49–21 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 2005-11-13 | @ LV | W 31–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2005-11-20 | vs NYJ | W 27–0 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2005-11-24 | @ DAL | W 24–21 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2005-12-04 | @ KC | L 27–31 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2005-12-11 | vs BAL | W 12–10 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2005-12-17 | @ BUF | W 28–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2005-12-24 | vs LV | W 22–3 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2005-12-31 | @ LAC | W 23–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| P19 | 2006-01-14 | vs NE | W 27–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| P20 | 2006-01-22 | vs PIT | L 17–34 | Mike Shanahan |
2005: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Plummer | 533 | +82.9 | +0.69 |
| Jeb Putzier | 58 | +19.2 | +0.64 |
| Rod Smith | 129 | +52.1 | +0.59 |
| Ron Dayne | 58 | −6.8 | +0.47 |
| Ashley Lelie | 93 | +29.7 | +0.29 |
| Bradlee Van Pelt | 19 | +3.1 | +0.17 |
2004 season
2004: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CAR 20–17 (lowest chance 36.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs LV 24–25 (highest chance 97.0%)
2004 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2004-09-12 | vs KC | W 34–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2004-09-19 | @ JAX | L 6–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2004-09-26 | vs LAC | W 23–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2004-10-03 | @ TB | W 16–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2004-10-10 | vs CAR | W 20–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2004-10-17 | @ LV | W 31–3 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2004-10-25 | @ CIN | L 10–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2004-10-31 | vs ATL | L 28–41 | Mike Shanahan |
| 9 | 2004-11-07 | vs HOU | W 31–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2004-11-21 | @ NO | W 34–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2004-11-28 | vs LV | L 24–25 | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2004-12-05 | @ LAC | L 17–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2004-12-12 | vs MIA | W 20–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2004-12-19 | @ KC | L 17–45 | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2004-12-25 | @ TEN | W 37–16 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2005-01-02 | vs IND | W 33–14 | Mike Shanahan |
| P18 | 2005-01-09 | @ IND | L 24–49 | Mike Shanahan |
2004: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Plummer | 617 | +94.9 | +1.18 |
| Ashley Lelie | 105 | +54.1 | +0.99 |
| Jeb Putzier | 54 | +26.3 | +0.43 |
| Darius Watts | 58 | +10.8 | +0.22 |
| Tatum Bell | 84 | +3.6 | +0.22 |
| Nate Jackson | 11 | +1.5 | +0.14 |
2003 season
2003: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ IND 31–17 (lowest chance 15.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs CHI 10–19 (highest chance 92.1%)
2003 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2003-09-07 | @ CIN | W 30–10 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2003-09-14 | @ LAC | W 37–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2003-09-22 | vs LV | W 31–10 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2003-09-28 | vs DET | W 20–16 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2003-10-05 | @ KC | L 23–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2003-10-12 | vs PIT | W 17–14 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2003-10-19 | @ MIN | L 20–28 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2003-10-26 | @ BAL | L 6–26 | Mike Shanahan |
| 9 | 2003-11-03 | vs NE | L 26–30 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2003-11-16 | vs LAC | W 37–8 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2003-11-23 | vs CHI | L 10–19 | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2003-11-30 | @ LV | W 22–8 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2003-12-07 | vs KC | W 45–27 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2003-12-14 | vs CLE | W 23–20 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2003-12-21 | @ IND | W 31–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2003-12-28 | @ GB | L 3–31 | Mike Shanahan |
| P18 | 2004-01-04 | @ IND | L 10–41 | Mike Shanahan |
2003: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Plummer | 362 | +73.0 | +1.58 |
| Shannon Sharpe | 94 | +34.3 | +0.79 |
| Rod Smith | 125 | +26.1 | +0.74 |
| Clinton Portis | 353 | +33.6 | +0.50 |
| Reuben Droughns | 18 | +5.5 | +0.16 |
| Steve Beuerlein | 81 | −13.2 | +0.09 |
2002 season
2002: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ KC 37–34 (lowest chance 6.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 20–23 (highest chance 94.2%)
2002 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2002-09-08 | vs LA | W 23–16 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2002-09-15 | @ SF | W 24–14 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2002-09-22 | vs BUF | W 28–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2002-09-30 | @ BAL | L 23–34 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2002-10-06 | vs LAC | W 26–9 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2002-10-13 | vs MIA | L 22–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2002-10-20 | @ KC | W 37–34 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2002-10-27 | @ NE | W 24–16 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 2002-11-11 | vs LV | L 10–34 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2002-11-17 | @ SEA | W 31–9 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2002-11-24 | vs IND | L 20–23 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2002-12-01 | @ LAC | L 27–30 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2002-12-08 | @ NYJ | L 13–19 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2002-12-15 | vs KC | W 31–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2002-12-22 | @ LV | L 16–28 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2002-12-29 | vs ARI | W 37–7 | Mike Shanahan |
2002: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ed McCaffrey | 105 | +38.2 | +0.83 |
| Clinton Portis | 333 | +41.9 | +0.77 |
| Ashley Lelie | 57 | +28.2 | +0.73 |
| Shannon Sharpe | 88 | +28.7 | +0.60 |
| Reuben Droughns | 11 | +4.4 | +0.12 |
| Mike Anderson | 109 | +4.6 | +0.10 |
2001 season
2001: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LV 23–17 (lowest chance 30.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs WAS 10–17 (highest chance 92.1%)
2001 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2001-09-10 | vs NYG | W 31–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2001-09-23 | @ ARI | W 38–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2001-09-30 | vs BAL | L 13–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2001-10-07 | vs KC | W 20–6 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2001-10-14 | @ SEA | L 21–34 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2001-10-21 | @ LAC | L 10–27 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2001-10-28 | vs NE | W 31–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2001-11-05 | @ LV | L 28–38 | Mike Shanahan |
| 9 | 2001-11-11 | vs LAC | W 26–16 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 2001-11-18 | vs WAS | L 10–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2001-11-22 | @ DAL | W 26–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2001-12-02 | @ MIA | L 10–21 | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2001-12-09 | vs SEA | W 20–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2001-12-16 | @ KC | L 23–26 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2001-12-30 | vs LV | W 23–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2002-01-06 | @ IND | L 10–29 | Mike Shanahan |
2001: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Smith | 175 | +62.4 | +1.25 |
| Desmond Clark | 77 | +16.0 | +0.29 |
| Ed McCaffrey | 7 | +6.6 | +0.12 |
| Kevin Kasper | 15 | +6.2 | +0.11 |
| Gus Frerotte | 63 | +11.5 | +0.11 |
| KaRon Coleman | 16 | −3.5 | +0.02 |
2000 season
2000: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LAC 38–37 (lowest chance 7.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs KC 22–23 (highest chance 95.1%)
2000 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2000-09-04 | @ LA | L 36–41 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 2000-09-10 | vs ATL | W 42–14 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 2000-09-17 | @ LV | W 33–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 2000-09-24 | vs KC | L 22–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 2000-10-01 | vs NE | L 19–28 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 2000-10-08 | @ LAC | W 21–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 2000-10-15 | vs CLE | W 44–10 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 2000-10-22 | @ CIN | L 21–31 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 2000-11-05 | @ NYJ | W 30–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 2000-11-13 | vs LV | W 27–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 12 | 2000-11-19 | vs LAC | W 38–37 | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 2000-11-26 | @ SEA | W 38–31 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 2000-12-03 | @ NO | W 38–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 2000-12-10 | vs SEA | W 31–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 2000-12-17 | @ KC | L 7–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2000-12-23 | vs SF | W 38–9 | Mike Shanahan |
| P18 | 2000-12-31 | @ BAL | L 3–21 | Mike Shanahan |
2000: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Smith | 179 | +67.3 | +1.36 |
| Brian Griese | 402 | +88.0 | +1.32 |
| Ed McCaffrey | 149 | +55.9 | +0.96 |
| Dwayne Carswell | 64 | +24.8 | +0.55 |
| Desmond Clark | 38 | +22.9 | +0.51 |
| Byron Chamberlain | 32 | −3.6 | +0.13 |
1999 season
1999: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LV 27–21 (lowest chance 16.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIA 21–38 (highest chance 87.5%)
1999 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1999-09-13 | vs MIA | L 21–38 | Mike Shanahan |
| 2 | 1999-09-19 | @ KC | L 10–26 | Mike Shanahan |
| 3 | 1999-09-26 | @ TB | L 10–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 4 | 1999-10-03 | vs NYJ | L 13–21 | Mike Shanahan |
| 5 | 1999-10-10 | @ LV | W 16–13 | Mike Shanahan |
| 6 | 1999-10-17 | vs GB | W 31–10 | Mike Shanahan |
| 7 | 1999-10-24 | @ NE | L 23–24 | Mike Shanahan |
| 8 | 1999-10-31 | vs MIN | L 20–23 | Mike Shanahan |
| 9 | 1999-11-07 | @ LAC | W 33–17 | Mike Shanahan |
| 10 | 1999-11-14 | @ SEA | L 17–20 | Mike Shanahan |
| 11 | 1999-11-22 | vs LV | W 27–21 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 13 | 1999-12-05 | vs KC | L 10–16 | Mike Shanahan |
| 14 | 1999-12-13 | @ JAX | L 24–27 | Mike Shanahan |
| 15 | 1999-12-19 | vs SEA | W 36–30 OT | Mike Shanahan |
| 16 | 1999-12-25 | @ DET | W 17–7 | Mike Shanahan |
| 17 | 2000-01-02 | vs LAC | L 6–12 | Mike Shanahan |
1999: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ed McCaffrey | 123 | +25.9 | +0.66 |
| Rod Smith | 138 | +24.1 | +0.51 |
| Travis McGriff | 7 | +1.7 | +0.31 |
| Howard Griffith | 56 | +3.9 | +0.23 |
| Dwayne Carswell | 38 | +8.9 | +0.12 |
| Billy Miller | 10 | +1.0 | +0.03 |