Teams › HOU
Houston Texans
AFC South
Season by season
Adjusted ratings: opponent-adjusted EPA per play, regular season (the small number is the league rank; lower allowed is better). 4th-down WP lost: our model’s best option minus the coach’s call, 2018 on.
| Season | Record | Playoffs | Points for | Points against | Offence adj. EPA/play | Defence adj. EPA/play allowed | 4th-down WP lost per game (pts) | Head coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3–5 | 209 | 192 | +0.0379 | +0.01017 | 2.90 | DeMeco Ryans | |
| 2025 | 12–5 | 1–1 | 404 | 295 | +0.00321 | −0.0662 | 3.96 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 1–1 | 372 | 372 | −0.03322 | −0.0245 | 1.89 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 2023 | 10–7 | 1–1 | 377 | 353 | −0.02016 | −0.01519 | 3.09 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 2022 | 3–13–1 | 289 | 420 | −0.13532 | +0.00823 | 3.24 | Lovie Smith | |
| 2021 | 4–13 | 280 | 452 | −0.10331 | +0.05128 | 2.27 | David Culley | |
| 2020 | 4–12 | 384 | 464 | +0.07110 | +0.11431 | 3.63 | Bill O'Brien, Romeo Crennel | |
| 2019 | 10–6 | 1–1 | 378 | 385 | +0.0466 | +0.02722 | 2.67 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2018 | 11–5 | 0–1 | 402 | 316 | +0.03313 | −0.0137 | 4.66 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2017 | 4–12 | 338 | 436 | −0.04520 | +0.00926 | – | Bill O'Brien | |
| 2016 | 9–7 | 1–1 | 279 | 328 | −0.06329 | −0.0335 | – | Bill O'Brien |
| 2015 | 9–7 | 0–1 | 339 | 313 | −0.05225 | −0.0625 | – | Bill O'Brien |
| 2014 | 9–7 | 372 | 307 | −0.03422 | −0.0624 | – | Bill O'Brien | |
| 2013 | 2–14 | 276 | 428 | −0.08630 | +0.02024 | – | Gary Kubiak, Wade Phillips | |
| 2012 | 12–4 | 1–1 | 416 | 331 | +0.04311 | −0.0425 | – | Gary Kubiak |
| 2011 | 10–6 | 1–1 | 381 | 278 | +0.01414 | −0.0575 | – | Gary Kubiak |
| 2010 | 6–10 | 390 | 427 | +0.0792 | +0.06931 | – | Gary Kubiak | |
| 2009 | 9–7 | 388 | 333 | +0.02313 | −0.02215 | – | Gary Kubiak | |
| 2008 | 8–8 | 366 | 394 | +0.03810 | +0.03326 | – | Gary Kubiak | |
| 2007 | 8–8 | 379 | 384 | −0.01412 | +0.00628 | – | Gary Kubiak | |
| 2006 | 6–10 | 267 | 366 | −0.05721 | −0.00426 | – | Gary Kubiak | |
| 2005 | 2–14 | 260 | 431 | −0.08426 | +0.05832 | – | Dom Capers | |
| 2004 | 7–9 | 309 | 339 | −0.02918 | −0.03012 | – | Dom Capers | |
| 2003 | 5–11 | 255 | 380 | −0.08122 | −0.00125 | – | Dom Capers | |
| 2002 | 4–12 | 213 | 356 | −0.17931 | −0.0508 | – | Dom Capers |
Tendencies by season
Regular season. The small number is the team’s rank that season (1 = the highest rate). Personnel, pressure and coverage from 2016 (man coverage 2018), published after each season; play action, motion, shotgun and blitzes from 2022. The sources and their labels changed in 2023, so compare a team with its league in the same season, not across years. Pressure and time to throw: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on); play action, blitzes and interception-worthy throws: FTN Data via nflverse (2022 on). Both CC BY-SA 4.0; aggregated by Red Zone Math, and this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.
| Season | Play action % | Motion % | Shotgun % | 11 personnel % | 12 personnel % | QB pressured % | Defence: blitz % | Defence: pressure % | Defence: man coverage % | Defence: nickel % | Defence: dime % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20.824 | 56.020 | 69.67 | – | – | – | 24.526 | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 22.916 | 53.517 | 62.023 | 72.14 | 12.427 | 28.524 | 22.031 | 30.416 | 31.816 | 73.45 | 0.130 |
| 2024 | 22.715 | 57.37 | 61.525 | 63.916 | 31.97 | 37.41 | 25.523 | 33.211 | 49.220 | 80.84 | 5.321 |
| 2023 | 22.59 | 49.69 | 61.228 | 60.523 | 10.829 | 28.518 | 20.229 | 32.38 | 36.522 | 76.06 | 1.428 |
| 2022 | 25.18 | 31.823 | 61.923 | 53.427 | 20.918 | 36.04 | 17.928 | 31.37 | 22.325 | 66.811 | 0.031 |
| 2021 | – | – | – | 60.022 | 28.34 | 29.116 | – | 27.421 | 27.621 | 66.610 | 0.032 |
| 2020 | – | – | – | 62.716 | 30.63 | 27.619 | – | 25.528 | 37.715 | 41.530 | 21.011 |
| 2019 | – | – | – | 60.620 | 35.42 | 24.628 | – | 28.221 | 47.55 | 51.419 | 18.714 |
| 2018 | – | – | – | 47.331 | 41.21 | 36.83 | – | 26.531 | 38.311 | 51.126 | 17.411 |
| 2017 | – | – | – | 56.721 | 12.031 | 36.41 | – | 21.826 | – | 32.328 | 25.37 |
| 2016 | – | – | – | 63.911 | 16.324 | 28.110 | – | 25.114 | – | 37.230 | 26.34 |
Seasons
2026 season
2026: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ JAX 34–31 (lowest chance 37.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs DAL 30–34 (highest chance 84.0%)
2026 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-13 | vs BUF | L 31–36 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 2 | 2026-09-20 | vs CIN | L 6–20 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 3 | 2026-09-27 | @ IND | L 17–19 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 4 | 2026-10-04 | vs DAL | L 30–34 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 5 | 2026-10-11 | @ TEN | W 26–3 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 6 | 2026-10-18 | @ JAX | W 34–31 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 7 | 2026-10-25 | vs NYG | L 21–27 OT | DeMeco Ryans |
| 9 | 2026-11-08 | @ LAC | W 44–22 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 10 | 2026-11-15 | @ CLE | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 11 | 2026-11-19 | vs IND | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 12 | 2026-11-29 | vs BAL | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 13 | 2026-12-06 | @ PIT | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 14 | 2026-12-13 | @ WAS | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 15 | 2026-12-20 | vs JAX | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 16 | 2026-12-24 | @ PHI | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 17 | 2027-01-04 | @ GB | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
| 18 | 2027-01-10 | vs TEN | upcoming | DeMeco Ryans |
2026: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 341 | +69.5 | +1.60 |
| Jaylin Noel | 27 | +20.1 | +0.66 |
| Nico Collins | 41 | +27.2 | +0.63 |
| Dalton Schultz | 47 | +12.4 | +0.43 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 28 | +15.6 | +0.27 |
| Tank Dell | 11 | +6.4 | +0.15 |
2025 season
2025: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs JAX 36–29 (lowest chance 2.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs TB 19–20 (highest chance 89.5%)
2025 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025-09-07 | @ LA | L 9–14 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 2 | 2025-09-15 | vs TB | L 19–20 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 3 | 2025-09-21 | @ JAX | L 10–17 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 4 | 2025-09-28 | vs TEN | W 26–0 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 5 | 2025-10-05 | @ BAL | W 44–10 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 7 | 2025-10-20 | @ SEA | L 19–27 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 8 | 2025-10-26 | vs SF | W 26–15 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 9 | 2025-11-02 | vs DEN | L 15–18 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 10 | 2025-11-09 | vs JAX | W 36–29 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 11 | 2025-11-16 | @ TEN | W 16–13 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 12 | 2025-11-20 | vs BUF | W 23–19 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 13 | 2025-11-30 | @ IND | W 20–16 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 14 | 2025-12-07 | @ KC | W 20–10 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 15 | 2025-12-14 | vs ARI | W 40–20 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 16 | 2025-12-21 | vs LV | W 23–21 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 17 | 2025-12-27 | @ LAC | W 20–16 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 18 | 2026-01-04 | vs IND | W 38–30 | DeMeco Ryans |
| P19 | 2026-01-12 | @ PIT | W 30–6 | DeMeco Ryans |
| P20 | 2026-01-18 | @ NE | L 16–28 | DeMeco Ryans |
2025: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 521 | +85.2 | +1.31 |
| Nico Collins | 122 | +40.3 | +1.04 |
| Dalton Schultz | 106 | +37.7 | +0.79 |
| Jayden Higgins | 68 | +17.7 | +0.67 |
| Davis Mills | 185 | −11.0 | +0.32 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 59 | +13.8 | +0.25 |
2024 season
2024: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LAC 32–12 (lowest chance 22.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs DET 23–26 (highest chance 87.4%)
2024 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024-09-08 | @ IND | W 29–27 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 2 | 2024-09-15 | vs CHI | W 19–13 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 3 | 2024-09-22 | @ MIN | L 7–34 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 4 | 2024-09-29 | vs JAX | W 24–20 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 5 | 2024-10-06 | vs BUF | W 23–20 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 6 | 2024-10-13 | @ NE | W 41–21 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 7 | 2024-10-20 | @ GB | L 22–24 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 8 | 2024-10-27 | vs IND | W 23–20 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 9 | 2024-10-31 | @ NYJ | L 13–21 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 10 | 2024-11-10 | vs DET | L 23–26 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 11 | 2024-11-18 | @ DAL | W 34–10 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 12 | 2024-11-24 | vs TEN | L 27–32 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 13 | 2024-12-01 | @ JAX | W 23–20 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 15 | 2024-12-15 | vs MIA | W 20–12 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 16 | 2024-12-21 | @ KC | L 19–27 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 17 | 2024-12-25 | vs BAL | L 2–31 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 18 | 2025-01-05 | @ TEN | W 23–14 | DeMeco Ryans |
| P19 | 2025-01-11 | vs LAC | W 32–12 | DeMeco Ryans |
| P20 | 2025-01-18 | @ KC | L 14–23 | DeMeco Ryans |
2024: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 99 | +42.8 | +1.34 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 59 | −3.6 | +0.66 |
| Dalton Schultz | 85 | +3.3 | +0.61 |
| Tank Dell | 90 | +19.6 | +0.44 |
| C.J. Stroud | 657 | −5.3 | +0.37 |
| Stefon Diggs | 68 | +21.5 | +0.36 |
2023 season
2023: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ TEN 19–16 (lowest chance 9.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ CAR 13–15 (highest chance 76.0%)
2023 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2023-09-10 | @ BAL | L 9–25 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 2 | 2023-09-17 | vs IND | L 20–31 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 3 | 2023-09-24 | @ JAX | W 37–17 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 4 | 2023-10-01 | vs PIT | W 30–6 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 5 | 2023-10-08 | @ ATL | L 19–21 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 6 | 2023-10-15 | vs NO | W 20–13 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 8 | 2023-10-29 | @ CAR | L 13–15 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 9 | 2023-11-05 | vs TB | W 39–37 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 10 | 2023-11-12 | @ CIN | W 30–27 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 11 | 2023-11-19 | vs ARI | W 21–16 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 12 | 2023-11-26 | vs JAX | L 21–24 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 13 | 2023-12-03 | vs DEN | W 22–17 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 14 | 2023-12-10 | @ NYJ | L 6–30 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 15 | 2023-12-17 | @ TEN | W 19–16 OT | DeMeco Ryans |
| 16 | 2023-12-24 | vs CLE | L 22–36 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 17 | 2023-12-31 | vs TEN | W 26–3 | DeMeco Ryans |
| 18 | 2024-01-06 | @ IND | W 23–19 | DeMeco Ryans |
| P19 | 2024-01-13 | vs CLE | W 45–14 | DeMeco Ryans |
| P20 | 2024-01-20 | @ BAL | L 10–34 | DeMeco Ryans |
2023: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 595 | +72.9 | +3.60 |
| Nico Collins | 110 | +71.4 | +1.56 |
| Dalton Schultz | 88 | +25.4 | +1.16 |
| Noah Brown | 56 | +20.7 | +1.10 |
| Tank Dell | 87 | +30.1 | +1.09 |
| Brevin Jordan | 21 | +17.5 | +0.38 |
2022 season
2022: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ IND 32–31 (lowest chance 6.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs TEN 10–17 (highest chance 64.5%)
2022 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2022-09-11 | vs IND | T 20–20 OT | Lovie Smith |
| 2 | 2022-09-18 | @ DEN | L 9–16 | Lovie Smith |
| 3 | 2022-09-25 | @ CHI | L 20–23 | Lovie Smith |
| 4 | 2022-10-02 | vs LAC | L 24–34 | Lovie Smith |
| 5 | 2022-10-09 | @ JAX | W 13–6 | Lovie Smith |
| 7 | 2022-10-23 | @ LV | L 20–38 | Lovie Smith |
| 8 | 2022-10-30 | vs TEN | L 10–17 | Lovie Smith |
| 9 | 2022-11-03 | vs PHI | L 17–29 | Lovie Smith |
| 10 | 2022-11-13 | @ NYG | L 16–24 | Lovie Smith |
| 11 | 2022-11-20 | vs WAS | L 10–23 | Lovie Smith |
| 12 | 2022-11-27 | @ MIA | L 15–30 | Lovie Smith |
| 13 | 2022-12-04 | vs CLE | L 14–27 | Lovie Smith |
| 14 | 2022-12-11 | @ DAL | L 23–27 | Lovie Smith |
| 15 | 2022-12-18 | vs KC | L 24–30 OT | Lovie Smith |
| 16 | 2022-12-24 | @ TEN | W 19–14 | Lovie Smith |
| 17 | 2023-01-01 | vs JAX | L 3–31 | Lovie Smith |
| 18 | 2023-01-08 | @ IND | W 32–31 | Lovie Smith |
2022: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Akins | 54 | +21.4 | +0.68 |
| Chris Moore | 78 | +6.2 | +0.27 |
| Phillip Dorsett | 41 | −4.2 | +0.22 |
| Amari Rodgers | 19 | +8.0 | +0.17 |
| Teagan Quitoriano | 14 | +2.2 | +0.08 |
| M.J. Stewart | 1 | +2.4 | +0.08 |
2021 season
2021: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LAC 41–29 (lowest chance 11.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYJ 14–21 (highest chance 86.7%)
2021 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | vs JAX | W 37–21 | David Culley |
| 2 | 2021-09-19 | @ CLE | L 21–31 | David Culley |
| 3 | 2021-09-23 | vs CAR | L 9–24 | David Culley |
| 4 | 2021-10-03 | @ BUF | L 0–40 | David Culley |
| 5 | 2021-10-10 | vs NE | L 22–25 | David Culley |
| 6 | 2021-10-17 | @ IND | L 3–31 | David Culley |
| 7 | 2021-10-24 | @ ARI | L 5–31 | David Culley |
| 8 | 2021-10-31 | vs LA | L 22–38 | David Culley |
| 9 | 2021-11-07 | @ MIA | L 9–17 | David Culley |
| 11 | 2021-11-21 | @ TEN | W 22–13 | David Culley |
| 12 | 2021-11-28 | vs NYJ | L 14–21 | David Culley |
| 13 | 2021-12-05 | vs IND | L 0–31 | David Culley |
| 14 | 2021-12-12 | vs SEA | L 13–33 | David Culley |
| 15 | 2021-12-19 | @ JAX | W 30–16 | David Culley |
| 16 | 2021-12-26 | vs LAC | W 41–29 | David Culley |
| 17 | 2022-01-02 | @ SF | L 7–23 | David Culley |
| 18 | 2022-01-09 | vs TEN | L 25–28 | David Culley |
2021: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Mills | 470 | −42.2 | +1.27 |
| Brandin Cooks | 136 | +25.3 | +0.84 |
| Chris Conley | 38 | +11.2 | +0.48 |
| Rex Burkhead | 157 | −4.0 | +0.43 |
| Brevin Jordan | 28 | +5.8 | +0.23 |
| Chris Moore | 22 | +7.9 | +0.21 |
2020 season
2020: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NE 27–20 (lowest chance 25.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ TEN 36–42 (highest chance 89.8%)
2020 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2020-09-10 | @ KC | L 20–34 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2 | 2020-09-20 | vs BAL | L 16–33 | Bill O'Brien |
| 3 | 2020-09-27 | @ PIT | L 21–28 | Bill O'Brien |
| 4 | 2020-10-04 | vs MIN | L 23–31 | Bill O'Brien |
| 5 | 2020-10-11 | vs JAX | W 30–14 | Romeo Crennel |
| 6 | 2020-10-18 | @ TEN | L 36–42 OT | Romeo Crennel |
| 7 | 2020-10-25 | vs GB | L 20–35 | Romeo Crennel |
| 9 | 2020-11-08 | @ JAX | W 27–25 | Romeo Crennel |
| 10 | 2020-11-15 | @ CLE | L 7–10 | Romeo Crennel |
| 11 | 2020-11-22 | vs NE | W 27–20 | Romeo Crennel |
| 12 | 2020-11-26 | @ DET | W 41–25 | Romeo Crennel |
| 13 | 2020-12-06 | vs IND | L 20–26 | Romeo Crennel |
| 14 | 2020-12-13 | @ CHI | L 7–36 | Romeo Crennel |
| 15 | 2020-12-20 | @ IND | L 20–27 | Romeo Crennel |
| 16 | 2020-12-27 | vs CIN | L 31–37 | Romeo Crennel |
| 17 | 2021-01-03 | vs TEN | L 38–41 | Romeo Crennel |
2020: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 698 | +152.9 | +3.35 |
| Brandin Cooks | 119 | +48.3 | +1.28 |
| Will Fuller | 76 | +57.3 | +1.08 |
| Keke Coutee | 40 | +10.6 | +0.66 |
| Darren Fells | 28 | +22.8 | +0.52 |
| Randall Cobb | 49 | +25.4 | +0.48 |
2019 season
2019: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs BUF 22–19 (lowest chance 6.7%)
- Worst collapse: @ KC 31–51 (highest chance 85.2%)
2019 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2019-09-09 | @ NO | L 28–30 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2 | 2019-09-15 | vs JAX | W 13–12 | Bill O'Brien |
| 3 | 2019-09-22 | @ LAC | W 27–20 | Bill O'Brien |
| 4 | 2019-09-29 | vs CAR | L 10–16 | Bill O'Brien |
| 5 | 2019-10-06 | vs ATL | W 53–32 | Bill O'Brien |
| 6 | 2019-10-13 | @ KC | W 31–24 | Bill O'Brien |
| 7 | 2019-10-20 | @ IND | L 23–30 | Bill O'Brien |
| 8 | 2019-10-27 | vs LV | W 27–24 | Bill O'Brien |
| 9 | 2019-11-03 | @ JAX | W 26–3 | Bill O'Brien |
| 11 | 2019-11-17 | @ BAL | L 7–41 | Bill O'Brien |
| 12 | 2019-11-21 | vs IND | W 20–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 13 | 2019-12-01 | vs NE | W 28–22 | Bill O'Brien |
| 14 | 2019-12-08 | vs DEN | L 24–38 | Bill O'Brien |
| 15 | 2019-12-15 | @ TEN | W 24–21 | Bill O'Brien |
| 16 | 2019-12-21 | @ TB | W 23–20 | Bill O'Brien |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | vs TEN | L 14–35 | Bill O'Brien |
| P18 | 2020-01-04 | vs BUF | W 22–19 OT | Bill O'Brien |
| P19 | 2020-01-12 | @ KC | L 31–51 | Bill O'Brien |
2019: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 645 | +119.9 | +3.63 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 154 | +55.3 | +1.53 |
| Kenny Stills | 55 | +29.4 | +0.98 |
| Darren Fells | 48 | +22.1 | +0.81 |
| Will Fuller | 71 | +27.0 | +0.59 |
| Jordan Akins | 55 | +13.2 | +0.51 |
2018 season
2018: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ IND 37–34 (lowest chance 16.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 21–24 (highest chance 85.1%)
2018 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2018-09-09 | @ NE | L 20–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2 | 2018-09-16 | @ TEN | L 17–20 | Bill O'Brien |
| 3 | 2018-09-23 | vs NYG | L 22–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 4 | 2018-09-30 | @ IND | W 37–34 OT | Bill O'Brien |
| 5 | 2018-10-07 | vs DAL | W 19–16 OT | Bill O'Brien |
| 6 | 2018-10-14 | vs BUF | W 20–13 | Bill O'Brien |
| 7 | 2018-10-21 | @ JAX | W 20–7 | Bill O'Brien |
| 8 | 2018-10-25 | vs MIA | W 42–23 | Bill O'Brien |
| 9 | 2018-11-04 | @ DEN | W 19–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 11 | 2018-11-18 | @ WAS | W 23–21 | Bill O'Brien |
| 12 | 2018-11-26 | vs TEN | W 34–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 13 | 2018-12-02 | vs CLE | W 29–13 | Bill O'Brien |
| 14 | 2018-12-09 | vs IND | L 21–24 | Bill O'Brien |
| 15 | 2018-12-15 | @ NYJ | W 29–22 | Bill O'Brien |
| 16 | 2018-12-23 | @ PHI | L 30–32 | Bill O'Brien |
| 17 | 2018-12-30 | vs JAX | W 20–3 | Bill O'Brien |
| P18 | 2019-01-05 | vs IND | L 7–21 | Bill O'Brien |
2018: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 695 | +107.2 | +3.08 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 165 | +74.3 | +2.18 |
| Will Fuller | 45 | +31.4 | +0.90 |
| Keke Coutee | 44 | +0.2 | +0.32 |
| Demaryius Thomas | 33 | +12.3 | +0.31 |
| Jordan Thomas | 27 | +15.3 | +0.30 |
2017 season
2017: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CIN 13–9 (lowest chance 24.1%)
- Worst collapse: @ SEA 38–41 (highest chance 87.4%)
2017 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2017-09-10 | vs JAX | L 7–29 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2 | 2017-09-14 | @ CIN | W 13–9 | Bill O'Brien |
| 3 | 2017-09-24 | @ NE | L 33–36 | Bill O'Brien |
| 4 | 2017-10-01 | vs TEN | W 57–14 | Bill O'Brien |
| 5 | 2017-10-08 | vs KC | L 34–42 | Bill O'Brien |
| 6 | 2017-10-15 | vs CLE | W 33–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 8 | 2017-10-29 | @ SEA | L 38–41 | Bill O'Brien |
| 9 | 2017-11-05 | vs IND | L 14–20 | Bill O'Brien |
| 10 | 2017-11-12 | @ LA | L 7–33 | Bill O'Brien |
| 11 | 2017-11-19 | vs ARI | W 31–21 | Bill O'Brien |
| 12 | 2017-11-27 | @ BAL | L 16–23 | Bill O'Brien |
| 13 | 2017-12-03 | @ TEN | L 13–24 | Bill O'Brien |
| 14 | 2017-12-10 | vs SF | L 16–26 | Bill O'Brien |
| 15 | 2017-12-17 | @ JAX | L 7–45 | Bill O'Brien |
| 16 | 2017-12-25 | vs PIT | L 6–34 | Bill O'Brien |
| 17 | 2017-12-31 | @ IND | L 13–22 | Bill O'Brien |
2017: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 280 | +60.9 | +2.04 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 174 | +37.9 | +0.81 |
| Will Fuller | 52 | +12.4 | +0.48 |
| Chris Thompson | 6 | +7.0 | +0.24 |
| Stephen Anderson | 52 | −10.1 | +0.14 |
| Ryan Griffin | 26 | +4.4 | +0.08 |
2016 season
2016: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs IND 26–23 (lowest chance 3.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ LV 20–27 (highest chance 75.2%)
2016 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2016-09-11 | vs CHI | W 23–14 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2 | 2016-09-18 | vs KC | W 19–12 | Bill O'Brien |
| 3 | 2016-09-22 | @ NE | L 0–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 4 | 2016-10-02 | vs TEN | W 27–20 | Bill O'Brien |
| 5 | 2016-10-09 | @ MIN | L 13–31 | Bill O'Brien |
| 6 | 2016-10-16 | vs IND | W 26–23 OT | Bill O'Brien |
| 7 | 2016-10-24 | @ DEN | L 9–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 8 | 2016-10-30 | vs DET | W 20–13 | Bill O'Brien |
| 10 | 2016-11-13 | @ JAX | W 24–21 | Bill O'Brien |
| 11 | 2016-11-21 | @ LV | L 20–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 12 | 2016-11-27 | vs LAC | L 13–21 | Bill O'Brien |
| 13 | 2016-12-04 | @ GB | L 13–21 | Bill O'Brien |
| 14 | 2016-12-11 | @ IND | W 22–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 15 | 2016-12-18 | vs JAX | W 21–20 | Bill O'Brien |
| 16 | 2016-12-24 | vs CIN | W 12–10 | Bill O'Brien |
| 17 | 2017-01-01 | @ TEN | L 17–24 | Bill O'Brien |
| P18 | 2017-01-07 | vs LV | W 27–14 | Bill O'Brien |
| P19 | 2017-01-14 | @ NE | L 16–34 | Bill O'Brien |
2016: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Osweiler | 582 | −15.5 | +0.83 |
| Will Fuller | 93 | +7.0 | +0.47 |
| C.J. Fiedorowicz | 89 | +12.2 | +0.41 |
| Tom Savage | 93 | −1.0 | +0.26 |
| Stephen Anderson | 16 | +7.3 | +0.16 |
| Jaelen Strong | 24 | −6.8 | +0.10 |
2015 season
2015: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ IND 16–10 (lowest chance 11.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 20–27 (highest chance 73.0%)
2015 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2015-09-13 | vs KC | L 20–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2 | 2015-09-20 | @ CAR | L 17–24 | Bill O'Brien |
| 3 | 2015-09-27 | vs TB | W 19–9 | Bill O'Brien |
| 4 | 2015-10-04 | @ ATL | L 21–48 | Bill O'Brien |
| 5 | 2015-10-08 | vs IND | L 20–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 6 | 2015-10-18 | @ JAX | W 31–20 | Bill O'Brien |
| 7 | 2015-10-25 | @ MIA | L 26–44 | Bill O'Brien |
| 8 | 2015-11-01 | vs TEN | W 20–6 | Bill O'Brien |
| 10 | 2015-11-16 | @ CIN | W 10–6 | Bill O'Brien |
| 11 | 2015-11-22 | vs NYJ | W 24–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 12 | 2015-11-29 | vs NO | W 24–6 | Bill O'Brien |
| 13 | 2015-12-06 | @ BUF | L 21–30 | Bill O'Brien |
| 14 | 2015-12-13 | vs NE | L 6–27 | Bill O'Brien |
| 15 | 2015-12-20 | @ IND | W 16–10 | Bill O'Brien |
| 16 | 2015-12-27 | @ TEN | W 34–6 | Bill O'Brien |
| 17 | 2016-01-03 | vs JAX | W 30–6 | Bill O'Brien |
| P18 | 2016-01-09 | vs KC | L 0–30 | Bill O'Brien |
2015: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | 192 | +62.9 | +1.51 |
| Brian Hoyer | 419 | +15.6 | +0.90 |
| Jaelen Strong | 24 | +11.6 | +0.52 |
| T.J. Yates | 69 | −1.3 | +0.24 |
| Ryan Griffin | 34 | +13.0 | +0.24 |
| Brandon Weeden | 49 | +16.2 | +0.19 |
2014 season
2014: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs BUF 23–17 (lowest chance 22.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ PIT 23–30 (highest chance 84.8%)
2014 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2014-09-07 | vs WAS | W 17–6 | Bill O'Brien |
| 2 | 2014-09-14 | @ LV | W 30–14 | Bill O'Brien |
| 3 | 2014-09-21 | @ NYG | L 17–30 | Bill O'Brien |
| 4 | 2014-09-28 | vs BUF | W 23–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 5 | 2014-10-05 | @ DAL | L 17–20 OT | Bill O'Brien |
| 6 | 2014-10-09 | vs IND | L 28–33 | Bill O'Brien |
| 7 | 2014-10-20 | @ PIT | L 23–30 | Bill O'Brien |
| 8 | 2014-10-26 | @ TEN | W 30–16 | Bill O'Brien |
| 9 | 2014-11-02 | vs PHI | L 21–31 | Bill O'Brien |
| 11 | 2014-11-16 | @ CLE | W 23–7 | Bill O'Brien |
| 12 | 2014-11-23 | vs CIN | L 13–22 | Bill O'Brien |
| 13 | 2014-11-30 | vs TEN | W 45–21 | Bill O'Brien |
| 14 | 2014-12-07 | @ JAX | W 27–13 | Bill O'Brien |
| 15 | 2014-12-14 | @ IND | L 10–17 | Bill O'Brien |
| 16 | 2014-12-21 | vs BAL | W 25–13 | Bill O'Brien |
| 17 | 2014-12-28 | vs JAX | W 23–17 | Bill O'Brien |
2014: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | 127 | +36.5 | +0.56 |
| Ryan Griffin | 16 | +6.8 | +0.21 |
| Damaris Johnson | 54 | +5.2 | +0.13 |
| Garrett Graham | 28 | +5.0 | +0.08 |
| Shane Lechler | 1 | +2.8 | +0.07 |
| Jonathan Grimes | 48 | −4.0 | +0.06 |
2013 season
2013: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ LAC 31–28 (lowest chance 5.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 24–27 (highest chance 96.4%)
2013 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2013-09-09 | @ LAC | W 31–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2013-09-15 | vs TEN | W 30–24 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2013-09-22 | @ BAL | L 9–30 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2013-09-29 | vs SEA | L 20–23 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2013-10-06 | @ SF | L 3–34 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2013-10-13 | vs LA | L 13–38 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2013-10-20 | @ KC | L 16–17 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2013-11-03 | vs IND | L 24–27 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2013-11-10 | @ ARI | L 24–27 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2013-11-17 | vs LV | L 23–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2013-11-24 | vs JAX | L 6–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2013-12-01 | vs NE | L 31–34 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2013-12-05 | @ JAX | L 20–27 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2013-12-15 | @ IND | L 3–25 | Wade Phillips |
| 16 | 2013-12-22 | vs DEN | L 13–37 | Wade Phillips |
| 17 | 2013-12-29 | @ TEN | L 10–16 | Wade Phillips |
2013: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Johnson | 181 | +10.8 | +0.47 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 91 | +14.0 | +0.31 |
| Ryan Griffin | 28 | +8.9 | +0.12 |
| Keshawn Martin | 40 | +1.3 | +0.09 |
| Shiloh Keo | 1 | +2.3 | +0.08 |
| Deji Karim | 15 | −2.1 | +0.01 |
2012 season
2012: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DET 34–31 (lowest chance 11.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIN 6–23 (highest chance 79.5%)
2012 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-09-09 | vs MIA | W 30–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2012-09-16 | @ JAX | W 27–7 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2012-09-23 | @ DEN | W 31–25 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2012-09-30 | vs TEN | W 38–14 | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2012-10-08 | @ NYJ | W 23–17 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2012-10-14 | vs GB | L 24–42 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2012-10-21 | vs BAL | W 43–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2012-11-04 | vs BUF | W 21–9 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2012-11-11 | @ CHI | W 13–6 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2012-11-18 | vs JAX | W 43–37 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2012-11-22 | @ DET | W 34–31 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2012-12-02 | @ TEN | W 24–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2012-12-10 | @ NE | L 14–42 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2012-12-16 | vs IND | W 29–17 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2012-12-23 | vs MIN | L 6–23 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2012-12-30 | @ IND | L 16–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| P18 | 2013-01-05 | vs CIN | W 19–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| P19 | 2013-01-13 | @ NE | L 28–41 | Gary Kubiak |
2012: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Johnson | 163 | +75.9 | +1.17 |
| Matt Schaub | 600 | +101.7 | +1.09 |
| Kevin Walter | 68 | +17.3 | +0.41 |
| Garrett Graham | 40 | +11.6 | +0.20 |
| Lestar Jean | 12 | +9.7 | +0.18 |
| Owen Daniels | 104 | +22.6 | +0.17 |
2011 season
2011: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CIN 20–19 (lowest chance 8.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ IND 16–19 (highest chance 91.7%)
2011 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011-09-11 | vs IND | W 34–7 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2011-09-18 | @ MIA | W 23–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2011-09-25 | @ NO | L 33–40 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2011-10-02 | vs PIT | W 17–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2011-10-09 | vs LV | L 20–25 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2011-10-16 | @ BAL | L 14–29 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2011-10-23 | @ TEN | W 41–7 | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2011-10-30 | vs JAX | W 24–14 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2011-11-06 | vs CLE | W 30–12 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2011-11-13 | @ TB | W 37–9 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2011-11-27 | @ JAX | W 20–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2011-12-04 | vs ATL | W 17–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2011-12-11 | @ CIN | W 20–19 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2011-12-18 | vs CAR | L 13–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2011-12-22 | @ IND | L 16–19 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2012-01-01 | vs TEN | L 22–23 | Gary Kubiak |
| P18 | 2012-01-07 | vs CIN | W 31–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| P19 | 2012-01-15 | @ BAL | L 13–20 | Gary Kubiak |
2011: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schaub | 327 | +66.3 | +1.59 |
| Kevin Walter | 59 | +21.4 | +1.35 |
| T.J. Yates | 162 | +2.6 | +0.97 |
| Joel Dreessen | 39 | +26.3 | +0.77 |
| Owen Daniels | 85 | +28.3 | +0.66 |
| James Casey | 25 | +14.3 | +0.53 |
2010 season
2010: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ WAS 30–27 (lowest chance 4.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ DEN 23–24 (highest chance 92.7%)
2010 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010-09-12 | vs IND | W 34–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2010-09-19 | @ WAS | W 30–27 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2010-09-26 | vs DAL | L 13–27 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2010-10-03 | @ LV | W 31–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2010-10-10 | vs NYG | L 10–34 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2010-10-17 | vs KC | W 35–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2010-11-01 | @ IND | L 17–30 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2010-11-07 | vs LAC | L 23–29 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2010-11-14 | @ JAX | L 24–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2010-11-21 | @ NYJ | L 27–30 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2010-11-28 | vs TEN | W 20–0 | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2010-12-02 | @ PHI | L 24–34 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2010-12-13 | vs BAL | L 28–34 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2010-12-19 | @ TEN | L 17–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2010-12-26 | @ DEN | L 23–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2011-01-02 | vs JAX | W 34–17 | Gary Kubiak |
2010: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schaub | 648 | +92.0 | +1.31 |
| Arian Foster | 415 | +27.5 | +1.11 |
| Andre Johnson | 140 | +48.1 | +0.94 |
| Joel Dreessen | 55 | +25.1 | +0.70 |
| Jacoby Jones | 79 | +18.2 | +0.33 |
| Derrick Ward | 62 | +11.1 | +0.28 |
2009 season
2009: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ TEN 34–31 (lowest chance 5.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 27–35 (highest chance 86.6%)
2009 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009-09-13 | vs NYJ | L 7–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2009-09-20 | @ TEN | W 34–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2009-09-27 | vs JAX | L 24–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2009-10-04 | vs LV | W 29–6 | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2009-10-11 | @ ARI | L 21–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2009-10-18 | @ CIN | W 28–17 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2009-10-25 | vs SF | W 24–21 | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2009-11-01 | @ BUF | W 31–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2009-11-08 | @ IND | L 17–20 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2009-11-23 | vs TEN | L 17–20 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2009-11-29 | vs IND | L 27–35 | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2009-12-06 | @ JAX | L 18–23 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2009-12-13 | vs SEA | W 34–7 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2009-12-20 | @ LA | W 16–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2009-12-27 | @ MIA | W 27–20 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2010-01-03 | vs NE | W 34–27 | Gary Kubiak |
2009: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schaub | 646 | +131.5 | +2.90 |
| Andre Johnson | 173 | +49.0 | +1.50 |
| Owen Daniels | 58 | +30.8 | +0.80 |
| Jacoby Jones | 43 | +19.0 | +0.48 |
| Kevin Walter | 74 | +30.4 | +0.41 |
| Vonta Leach | 26 | +3.8 | +0.15 |
2008 season
2008: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs MIA 29–28 (lowest chance 8.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 27–31 (highest chance 99.1%)
2008 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2008-09-07 | @ PIT | L 17–38 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2008-09-21 | @ TEN | L 12–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2008-09-28 | @ JAX | L 27–30 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2008-10-05 | vs IND | L 27–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2008-10-12 | vs MIA | W 29–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2008-10-19 | vs DET | W 28–21 | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2008-10-26 | vs CIN | W 35–6 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2008-11-02 | @ MIN | L 21–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2008-11-09 | vs BAL | L 13–41 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2008-11-16 | @ IND | L 27–33 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2008-11-23 | @ CLE | W 16–6 | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2008-12-01 | vs JAX | W 30–17 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2008-12-07 | @ GB | W 24–21 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2008-12-14 | vs TEN | W 13–12 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2008-12-21 | @ LV | L 16–27 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2008-12-28 | vs CHI | W 31–24 | Gary Kubiak |
2008: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schaub | 436 | +58.9 | +2.71 |
| Kevin Walter | 98 | +41.6 | +1.27 |
| Andre Johnson | 170 | +45.7 | +1.23 |
| Owen Daniels | 101 | +22.7 | +0.45 |
| David Anderson | 29 | +3.7 | +0.29 |
| Vonta Leach | 19 | −0.2 | +0.19 |
2007 season
2007: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CAR 34–21 (lowest chance 7.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs TEN 36–38 (highest chance 74.3%)
2007 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2007-09-09 | vs KC | W 20–3 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2007-09-16 | @ CAR | W 34–21 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2007-09-23 | vs IND | L 24–30 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2007-09-30 | @ ATL | L 16–26 | Gary Kubiak |
| 5 | 2007-10-07 | vs MIA | W 22–19 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2007-10-14 | @ JAX | L 17–37 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2007-10-21 | vs TEN | L 36–38 | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2007-10-28 | @ LAC | L 10–35 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2007-11-04 | @ LV | W 24–17 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2007-11-18 | vs NO | W 23–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2007-11-25 | @ CLE | L 17–27 | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2007-12-02 | @ TEN | L 20–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2007-12-09 | vs TB | W 28–14 | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2007-12-13 | vs DEN | W 31–13 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2007-12-23 | @ IND | L 15–38 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2007-12-30 | vs JAX | W 42–28 | Gary Kubiak |
2007: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sage Rosenfels | 259 | +33.7 | +0.91 |
| Andre Johnson | 86 | +37.5 | +0.91 |
| Andre Davis | 63 | +9.6 | +0.71 |
| Owen Daniels | 94 | +16.0 | +0.66 |
| Kevin Walter | 111 | +16.3 | +0.54 |
| Darius Walker | 73 | +7.2 | +0.18 |
2006 season
2006: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ JAX 13–10 (lowest chance 18.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs BUF 21–24 (highest chance 89.4%)
2006 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2006-09-10 | vs PHI | L 10–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 2 | 2006-09-17 | @ IND | L 24–43 | Gary Kubiak |
| 3 | 2006-09-24 | vs WAS | L 15–31 | Gary Kubiak |
| 4 | 2006-10-01 | vs MIA | W 17–15 | Gary Kubiak |
| 6 | 2006-10-15 | @ DAL | L 6–34 | Gary Kubiak |
| 7 | 2006-10-22 | vs JAX | W 27–7 | Gary Kubiak |
| 8 | 2006-10-29 | @ TEN | L 22–28 | Gary Kubiak |
| 9 | 2006-11-05 | @ NYG | L 10–14 | Gary Kubiak |
| 10 | 2006-11-12 | @ JAX | W 13–10 | Gary Kubiak |
| 11 | 2006-11-19 | vs BUF | L 21–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 12 | 2006-11-26 | @ NYJ | L 11–26 | Gary Kubiak |
| 13 | 2006-12-03 | @ LV | W 23–14 | Gary Kubiak |
| 14 | 2006-12-10 | vs TEN | L 20–26 OT | Gary Kubiak |
| 15 | 2006-12-17 | @ NE | L 7–40 | Gary Kubiak |
| 16 | 2006-12-24 | vs IND | W 27–24 | Gary Kubiak |
| 17 | 2006-12-31 | vs CLE | W 14–6 | Gary Kubiak |
2006: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Dayne | 170 | +5.3 | +0.70 |
| Andre Johnson | 167 | +11.1 | +0.50 |
| Eric Moulds | 79 | +17.2 | +0.42 |
| Kevin Walter | 22 | +12.1 | +0.40 |
| Owen Daniels | 51 | +9.6 | +0.29 |
| Vonta Leach | 6 | +6.7 | +0.22 |
2005 season
2005: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CLE 19–16 (lowest chance 29.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs LA 27–33 (highest chance 98.9%)
2005 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2005-09-11 | @ BUF | L 7–22 | Dom Capers |
| 2 | 2005-09-18 | vs PIT | L 7–27 | Dom Capers |
| 4 | 2005-10-02 | @ CIN | L 10–16 | Dom Capers |
| 5 | 2005-10-09 | vs TEN | L 20–34 | Dom Capers |
| 6 | 2005-10-16 | @ SEA | L 10–42 | Dom Capers |
| 7 | 2005-10-23 | vs IND | L 20–38 | Dom Capers |
| 8 | 2005-10-30 | vs CLE | W 19–16 | Dom Capers |
| 9 | 2005-11-06 | @ JAX | L 14–21 | Dom Capers |
| 10 | 2005-11-13 | @ IND | L 17–31 | Dom Capers |
| 11 | 2005-11-20 | vs KC | L 17–45 | Dom Capers |
| 12 | 2005-11-27 | vs LA | L 27–33 OT | Dom Capers |
| 13 | 2005-12-04 | @ BAL | L 15–16 | Dom Capers |
| 14 | 2005-12-11 | @ TEN | L 10–13 | Dom Capers |
| 15 | 2005-12-18 | vs ARI | W 30–19 | Dom Capers |
| 16 | 2005-12-24 | vs JAX | L 20–38 | Dom Capers |
| 17 | 2006-01-01 | @ SF | L 17–20 OT | Dom Capers |
2005: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Wells | 117 | −1.2 | +0.42 |
| Andre Johnson | 120 | +2.6 | +0.19 |
| Kris Brown | 1 | +2.5 | +0.15 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 94 | +8.1 | +0.10 |
| Jerome Mathis | 13 | −1.5 | +0.08 |
| Derick Armstrong | 12 | +11.2 | +0.07 |
2004 season
2004: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ KC 24–21 (lowest chance 3.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs GB 13–16 (highest chance 89.3%)
2004 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2004-09-12 | vs LAC | L 20–27 | Dom Capers |
| 2 | 2004-09-19 | @ DET | L 16–28 | Dom Capers |
| 3 | 2004-09-26 | @ KC | W 24–21 | Dom Capers |
| 4 | 2004-10-03 | vs LV | W 30–17 | Dom Capers |
| 5 | 2004-10-10 | vs MIN | L 28–34 OT | Dom Capers |
| 6 | 2004-10-17 | @ TEN | W 20–10 | Dom Capers |
| 8 | 2004-10-31 | vs JAX | W 20–6 | Dom Capers |
| 9 | 2004-11-07 | @ DEN | L 13–31 | Dom Capers |
| 10 | 2004-11-14 | @ IND | L 14–49 | Dom Capers |
| 11 | 2004-11-21 | vs GB | L 13–16 | Dom Capers |
| 12 | 2004-11-28 | vs TEN | W 31–21 | Dom Capers |
| 13 | 2004-12-05 | @ NYJ | L 7–29 | Dom Capers |
| 14 | 2004-12-12 | vs IND | L 14–23 | Dom Capers |
| 15 | 2004-12-19 | @ CHI | W 24–5 | Dom Capers |
| 16 | 2004-12-26 | @ JAX | W 21–0 | Dom Capers |
| 17 | 2005-01-02 | vs CLE | L 14–22 | Dom Capers |
2004: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Carr | 603 | +38.5 | +1.29 |
| Derick Armstrong | 39 | +32.2 | +0.88 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 76 | +25.3 | +0.74 |
| Andre Johnson | 142 | +26.7 | +0.68 |
| Corey Bradford | 54 | +15.5 | +0.29 |
| Chad Stanley | 1 | +2.9 | +0.04 |
2003 season
2003: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIA 21–20 (lowest chance 3.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs NE 20–23 (highest chance 87.4%)
2003 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2003-09-07 | @ MIA | W 21–20 | Dom Capers |
| 2 | 2003-09-14 | @ NO | L 10–31 | Dom Capers |
| 3 | 2003-09-21 | vs KC | L 14–42 | Dom Capers |
| 4 | 2003-09-28 | vs JAX | W 24–20 | Dom Capers |
| 6 | 2003-10-12 | @ TEN | L 17–38 | Dom Capers |
| 7 | 2003-10-19 | vs NYJ | L 14–19 | Dom Capers |
| 8 | 2003-10-26 | @ IND | L 21–30 | Dom Capers |
| 9 | 2003-11-02 | vs CAR | W 14–10 | Dom Capers |
| 10 | 2003-11-09 | @ CIN | L 27–34 | Dom Capers |
| 11 | 2003-11-16 | @ BUF | W 12–10 | Dom Capers |
| 12 | 2003-11-23 | vs NE | L 20–23 OT | Dom Capers |
| 13 | 2003-11-30 | vs ATL | W 17–13 | Dom Capers |
| 14 | 2003-12-07 | @ JAX | L 0–27 | Dom Capers |
| 15 | 2003-12-14 | @ TB | L 3–16 | Dom Capers |
| 16 | 2003-12-21 | vs TEN | L 24–27 | Dom Capers |
| 17 | 2003-12-28 | vs IND | L 17–20 | Dom Capers |
2003: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Carr | 351 | −13.3 | +0.81 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 59 | +15.7 | +0.45 |
| Billy Miller | 65 | −5.2 | +0.39 |
| Andre Johnson | 124 | +21.3 | +0.30 |
| Tony Banks | 126 | +8.2 | +0.19 |
| Derick Armstrong | 13 | +1.4 | +0.14 |
2002 season
2002: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ PIT 24–6 (lowest chance 9.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs BUF 24–31 (highest chance 74.6%)
2002 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2002-09-08 | vs DAL | W 19–10 | Dom Capers |
| 2 | 2002-09-15 | @ LAC | L 3–24 | Dom Capers |
| 3 | 2002-09-22 | vs IND | L 3–23 | Dom Capers |
| 4 | 2002-09-29 | @ PHI | L 17–35 | Dom Capers |
| 6 | 2002-10-13 | vs BUF | L 24–31 | Dom Capers |
| 7 | 2002-10-20 | @ CLE | L 17–34 | Dom Capers |
| 8 | 2002-10-27 | @ JAX | W 21–19 | Dom Capers |
| 9 | 2002-11-03 | vs CIN | L 3–38 | Dom Capers |
| 10 | 2002-11-10 | @ TEN | L 10–17 | Dom Capers |
| 11 | 2002-11-17 | vs JAX | L 21–24 | Dom Capers |
| 12 | 2002-11-24 | vs NYG | W 16–14 | Dom Capers |
| 13 | 2002-12-01 | @ IND | L 3–19 | Dom Capers |
| 14 | 2002-12-08 | @ PIT | W 24–6 | Dom Capers |
| 15 | 2002-12-15 | vs BAL | L 19–23 | Dom Capers |
| 16 | 2002-12-22 | @ WAS | L 10–26 | Dom Capers |
| 17 | 2002-12-29 | vs TEN | L 3–13 | Dom Capers |
2002: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Miller | 80 | +30.8 | +0.58 |
| Jabari Holloway | 10 | +3.1 | +0.08 |
| JaJuan Dawson | 39 | +5.7 | +0.07 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 82 | −1.1 | +0.05 |
| Atnaf Harris | 2 | −1.1 | −0.01 |
| Avion Black | 12 | −4.5 | −0.02 |