Teams › IND
Indianapolis Colts
AFC South
Season by season
Adjusted ratings: opponent-adjusted EPA per play, regular season (the small number is the league rank; lower allowed is better). 4th-down WP lost: our model’s best option minus the coach’s call, 2018 on.
| Season | Record | Playoffs | Points for | Points against | Offence adj. EPA/play | Defence adj. EPA/play allowed | 4th-down WP lost per game (pts) | Head coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2–7 | 184 | 249 | −0.07729 | +0.01922 | 3.07 | Shane Steichen | |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 466 | 412 | +0.0807 | +0.02118 | 1.93 | Shane Steichen | |
| 2024 | 8–9 | 377 | 427 | −0.03423 | +0.01918 | 2.50 | Shane Steichen | |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 396 | 415 | −0.01514 | −0.00622 | 3.43 | Shane Steichen | |
| 2022 | 4–12–1 | 289 | 427 | −0.12231 | −0.00813 | 3.09 | Frank Reich, Jeff Saturday | |
| 2021 | 9–8 | 451 | 365 | +0.04612 | +0.00716 | 2.33 | Frank Reich | |
| 2020 | 11–5 | 0–1 | 451 | 362 | +0.05114 | +0.0088 | 2.44 | Frank Reich |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 361 | 373 | −0.00116 | −0.00118 | 3.00 | Frank Reich | |
| 2018 | 10–6 | 1–1 | 433 | 344 | +0.04910 | +0.00914 | 4.74 | Frank Reich |
| 2017 | 4–12 | 263 | 404 | −0.08126 | +0.04232 | – | Chuck Pagano | |
| 2016 | 8–8 | 411 | 392 | +0.04310 | +0.05728 | – | Chuck Pagano | |
| 2015 | 8–8 | 333 | 408 | −0.06529 | +0.00415 | – | Chuck Pagano | |
| 2014 | 11–5 | 2–1 | 458 | 369 | +0.01912 | −0.0239 | – | Chuck Pagano |
| 2013 | 11–5 | 1–1 | 391 | 336 | +0.03911 | +0.01422 | – | Chuck Pagano |
| 2012 | 11–5 | 0–1 | 357 | 387 | +0.02114 | +0.06732 | – | Chuck Pagano |
| 2011 | 2–14 | 243 | 430 | −0.09630 | +0.02727 | – | Jim Caldwell | |
| 2010 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 435 | 388 | +0.0565 | −0.01617 | – | Jim Caldwell |
| 2009 | 14–2 | 2–1 | 416 | 307 | +0.0943 | −0.02514 | – | Jim Caldwell |
| 2008 | 12–4 | 0–1 | 377 | 298 | +0.0921 | −0.00715 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2007 | 13–3 | 0–1 | 450 | 262 | +0.1052 | −0.0673 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2006 | 12–4 | 4–0 | 427 | 360 | +0.1111 | +0.02031 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2005 | 14–2 | 0–1 | 439 | 247 | +0.1301 | −0.04113 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2004 | 12–4 | 1–1 | 522 | 351 | +0.1811 | +0.01021 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2003 | 12–4 | 2–1 | 447 | 336 | +0.0792 | −0.00923 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2002 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 349 | 313 | +0.01510 | −0.02314 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2001 | 6–10 | 413 | 486 | −0.0037 | +0.01128 | – | Jim Mora | |
| 2000 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 429 | 326 | +0.0952 | −0.00723 | – | Jim Mora |
| 1999 | 13–3 | 0–1 | 423 | 333 | +0.0523 | −0.03420 | – | Jim Mora |
Tendencies by season
Regular season. The small number is the team’s rank that season (1 = the highest rate). Personnel, pressure and coverage from 2016 (man coverage 2018), published after each season; play action, motion, shotgun and blitzes from 2022. The sources and their labels changed in 2023, so compare a team with its league in the same season, not across years. Pressure and time to throw: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on); play action, blitzes and interception-worthy throws: FTN Data via nflverse (2022 on). Both CC BY-SA 4.0; aggregated by Red Zone Math, and this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.
| Season | Play action % | Motion % | Shotgun % | 11 personnel % | 12 personnel % | QB pressured % | Defence: blitz % | Defence: pressure % | Defence: man coverage % | Defence: nickel % | Defence: dime % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29.15 | 62.49 | 62.616 | – | – | – | 20.631 | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 28.34 | 52.920 | 72.510 | 63.712 | 26.115 | 27.028 | 30.912 | 29.718 | 37.38 | 68.49 | 12.811 |
| 2024 | 29.54 | 40.626 | 89.32 | 71.59 | 25.413 | 31.816 | 19.231 | 26.428 | 42.022 | 66.417 | 2.026 |
| 2023 | 21.614 | 42.420 | 91.02 | 77.93 | 19.118 | 28.020 | 17.631 | 27.226 | 32.429 | 70.014 | 1.927 |
| 2022 | 16.127 | 25.429 | 76.86 | 79.03 | 15.226 | 31.810 | 15.130 | 27.422 | 25.421 | 82.22 | 0.626 |
| 2021 | – | – | – | 64.313 | 23.014 | 31.99 | – | 27.023 | 26.224 | 78.23 | 0.730 |
| 2020 | – | – | – | 69.910 | 20.915 | 25.027 | – | 27.224 | 20.130 | 77.13 | 0.431 |
| 2019 | – | – | – | 62.016 | 26.16 | 30.810 | – | 26.226 | 29.726 | 46.824 | 19.710 |
| 2018 | – | – | – | 70.39 | 19.310 | 27.128 | – | 28.727 | 12.732 | 50.727 | 21.49 |
| 2017 | – | – | – | 65.113 | 29.22 | 31.24 | – | 25.410 | – | 45.222 | 11.213 |
| 2016 | – | – | – | 60.619 | 31.31 | 40.41 | – | 20.629 | – | 42.328 | 23.07 |
Seasons
2026 season
2026: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ WAS 30–13 (lowest chance 36.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs TEN 20–26 (highest chance 95.2%)
2026 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | L 23–41 | Shane Steichen |
| 2 | 2026-09-20 | @ KC | L 30–33 OT | Shane Steichen |
| 3 | 2026-09-27 | vs HOU | W 19–17 | Shane Steichen |
| 4 | 2026-10-04 | @ WAS | W 30–13 | Shane Steichen |
| 5 | 2026-10-11 | @ PIT | L 22–34 | Shane Steichen |
| 6 | 2026-10-18 | vs TEN | L 20–26 | Shane Steichen |
| 7 | 2026-10-25 | @ MIN | L 10–16 | Shane Steichen |
| 8 | 2026-11-01 | @ JAX | L 7–42 | Shane Steichen |
| 9 | 2026-11-08 | vs DAL | L 23–27 | Shane Steichen |
| 10 | 2026-11-15 | vs MIA | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
| 11 | 2026-11-19 | @ HOU | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
| 12 | 2026-11-29 | vs NYG | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
| 14 | 2026-12-13 | @ PHI | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
| 15 | 2026-12-20 | @ TEN | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
| 16 | 2026-12-27 | vs CIN | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
| 17 | 2027-01-03 | @ CLE | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
| 18 | 2027-01-10 | vs JAX | upcoming | Shane Steichen |
2026: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Downs | 58 | +15.9 | +0.47 |
| Tyler Warren | 56 | −7.7 | +0.44 |
| Laquon Treadwell | 29 | +1.0 | +0.29 |
| Deion Burks | 13 | +1.6 | +0.11 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 6 | +1.4 | +0.06 |
| Alec Pierce | 7 | +2.6 | +0.04 |
2025 season
2025: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs DEN 29–28 (lowest chance 13.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ KC 20–23 (highest chance 87.0%)
2025 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025-09-07 | vs MIA | W 33–8 | Shane Steichen |
| 2 | 2025-09-14 | vs DEN | W 29–28 | Shane Steichen |
| 3 | 2025-09-21 | @ TEN | W 41–20 | Shane Steichen |
| 4 | 2025-09-28 | @ LA | L 20–27 | Shane Steichen |
| 5 | 2025-10-05 | vs LV | W 40–6 | Shane Steichen |
| 6 | 2025-10-12 | vs ARI | W 31–27 | Shane Steichen |
| 7 | 2025-10-19 | @ LAC | W 38–24 | Shane Steichen |
| 8 | 2025-10-26 | vs TEN | W 38–14 | Shane Steichen |
| 9 | 2025-11-02 | @ PIT | L 20–27 | Shane Steichen |
| 10 | 2025-11-09 | vs ATL | W 31–25 OT | Shane Steichen |
| 12 | 2025-11-23 | @ KC | L 20–23 OT | Shane Steichen |
| 13 | 2025-11-30 | vs HOU | L 16–20 | Shane Steichen |
| 14 | 2025-12-07 | @ JAX | L 19–36 | Shane Steichen |
| 15 | 2025-12-14 | @ SEA | L 16–18 | Shane Steichen |
| 16 | 2025-12-22 | vs SF | L 27–48 | Shane Steichen |
| 17 | 2025-12-28 | vs JAX | L 17–23 | Shane Steichen |
| 18 | 2026-01-04 | @ HOU | L 30–38 | Shane Steichen |
2025: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones | 468 | +94.2 | +1.29 |
| Alec Pierce | 84 | +55.8 | +1.23 |
| Tyler Warren | 119 | +12.9 | +0.91 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 387 | +23.7 | +0.29 |
| Ashton Dulin | 13 | +9.7 | +0.20 |
| Philip Rivers | 103 | −7.0 | +0.10 |
2024 season
2024: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NE 25–24 (lowest chance 11.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ NYG 33–45 (highest chance 81.2%)
2024 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024-09-08 | vs HOU | L 27–29 | Shane Steichen |
| 2 | 2024-09-15 | @ GB | L 10–16 | Shane Steichen |
| 3 | 2024-09-22 | vs CHI | W 21–16 | Shane Steichen |
| 4 | 2024-09-29 | vs PIT | W 27–24 | Shane Steichen |
| 5 | 2024-10-06 | @ JAX | L 34–37 | Shane Steichen |
| 6 | 2024-10-13 | @ TEN | W 20–17 | Shane Steichen |
| 7 | 2024-10-20 | vs MIA | W 16–10 | Shane Steichen |
| 8 | 2024-10-27 | @ HOU | L 20–23 | Shane Steichen |
| 9 | 2024-11-03 | @ MIN | L 13–21 | Shane Steichen |
| 10 | 2024-11-10 | vs BUF | L 20–30 | Shane Steichen |
| 11 | 2024-11-17 | @ NYJ | W 28–27 | Shane Steichen |
| 12 | 2024-11-24 | vs DET | L 6–24 | Shane Steichen |
| 13 | 2024-12-01 | @ NE | W 25–24 | Shane Steichen |
| 15 | 2024-12-15 | @ DEN | L 13–31 | Shane Steichen |
| 16 | 2024-12-22 | vs TEN | W 38–30 | Shane Steichen |
| 17 | 2024-12-29 | @ NYG | L 33–45 | Shane Steichen |
| 18 | 2025-01-05 | vs JAX | W 26–23 OT | Shane Steichen |
2024: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Pierce | 69 | +40.3 | +1.19 |
| Joe Flacco | 291 | +14.2 | +0.65 |
| Josh Downs | 108 | +24.7 | +0.64 |
| Anthony Richardson | 373 | −20.1 | +0.29 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 22 | +7.9 | +0.27 |
| Michael Pittman | 111 | +2.2 | +0.27 |
2023 season
2023: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BAL 22–19 (lowest chance 8.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs CLE 38–39 (highest chance 85.7%)
2023 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2023-09-10 | vs JAX | L 21–31 | Shane Steichen |
| 2 | 2023-09-17 | @ HOU | W 31–20 | Shane Steichen |
| 3 | 2023-09-24 | @ BAL | W 22–19 OT | Shane Steichen |
| 4 | 2023-10-01 | vs LA | L 23–29 OT | Shane Steichen |
| 5 | 2023-10-08 | vs TEN | W 23–16 | Shane Steichen |
| 6 | 2023-10-15 | @ JAX | L 20–37 | Shane Steichen |
| 7 | 2023-10-22 | vs CLE | L 38–39 | Shane Steichen |
| 8 | 2023-10-29 | vs NO | L 27–38 | Shane Steichen |
| 9 | 2023-11-05 | @ CAR | W 27–13 | Shane Steichen |
| 10 | 2023-11-12 | @ NE | W 10–6 | Shane Steichen |
| 12 | 2023-11-26 | vs TB | W 27–20 | Shane Steichen |
| 13 | 2023-12-03 | @ TEN | W 31–28 OT | Shane Steichen |
| 14 | 2023-12-10 | @ CIN | L 14–34 | Shane Steichen |
| 15 | 2023-12-16 | vs PIT | W 30–13 | Shane Steichen |
| 16 | 2023-12-24 | @ ATL | L 10–29 | Shane Steichen |
| 17 | 2023-12-31 | vs LV | W 23–20 | Shane Steichen |
| 18 | 2024-01-06 | vs HOU | L 19–23 | Shane Steichen |
2023: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner Minshew | 578 | +12.8 | +1.80 |
| Michael Pittman | 156 | +26.0 | +1.49 |
| Josh Downs | 98 | +26.5 | +0.83 |
| Alec Pierce | 65 | +17.2 | +0.60 |
| Will Mallory | 26 | +11.7 | +0.23 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 194 | −7.3 | +0.22 |
2022 season
2022: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DEN 12–9 (lowest chance 6.7%)
- Worst collapse: @ MIN 36–39 (highest chance 99.7%)
2022 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2022-09-11 | @ HOU | T 20–20 OT | Frank Reich |
| 2 | 2022-09-18 | @ JAX | L 0–24 | Frank Reich |
| 3 | 2022-09-25 | vs KC | W 20–17 | Frank Reich |
| 4 | 2022-10-02 | vs TEN | L 17–24 | Frank Reich |
| 5 | 2022-10-06 | @ DEN | W 12–9 OT | Frank Reich |
| 6 | 2022-10-16 | vs JAX | W 34–27 | Frank Reich |
| 7 | 2022-10-23 | @ TEN | L 10–19 | Frank Reich |
| 8 | 2022-10-30 | vs WAS | L 16–17 | Frank Reich |
| 9 | 2022-11-06 | @ NE | L 3–26 | Frank Reich |
| 10 | 2022-11-13 | @ LV | W 25–20 | Jeff Saturday |
| 11 | 2022-11-20 | vs PHI | L 16–17 | Jeff Saturday |
| 12 | 2022-11-28 | vs PIT | L 17–24 | Jeff Saturday |
| 13 | 2022-12-04 | @ DAL | L 19–54 | Jeff Saturday |
| 15 | 2022-12-17 | @ MIN | L 36–39 OT | Jeff Saturday |
| 16 | 2022-12-26 | vs LAC | L 3–20 | Jeff Saturday |
| 17 | 2023-01-01 | @ NYG | L 10–38 | Jeff Saturday |
| 18 | 2023-01-08 | vs HOU | L 31–32 | Jeff Saturday |
2022: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 144 | +23.1 | +0.97 |
| Alec Pierce | 78 | +19.4 | +0.82 |
| Matt Ryan | 541 | −28.9 | +0.81 |
| Parris Campbell | 96 | −4.8 | +0.62 |
| Jelani Woods | 40 | +5.3 | +0.30 |
| Ashton Dulin | 24 | +8.6 | +0.27 |
2021 season
2021: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ SF 30–18 (lowest chance 16.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ BAL 25–31 (highest chance 93.8%)
2021 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | vs SEA | L 16–28 | Frank Reich |
| 2 | 2021-09-19 | vs LA | L 24–27 | Frank Reich |
| 3 | 2021-09-26 | @ TEN | L 16–25 | Frank Reich |
| 4 | 2021-10-03 | @ MIA | W 27–17 | Frank Reich |
| 5 | 2021-10-11 | @ BAL | L 25–31 OT | Frank Reich |
| 6 | 2021-10-17 | vs HOU | W 31–3 | Frank Reich |
| 7 | 2021-10-24 | @ SF | W 30–18 | Frank Reich |
| 8 | 2021-10-31 | vs TEN | L 31–34 OT | Frank Reich |
| 9 | 2021-11-04 | vs NYJ | W 45–30 | Frank Reich |
| 10 | 2021-11-14 | vs JAX | W 23–17 | Frank Reich |
| 11 | 2021-11-21 | @ BUF | W 41–15 | Frank Reich |
| 12 | 2021-11-28 | vs TB | L 31–38 | Frank Reich |
| 13 | 2021-12-05 | @ HOU | W 31–0 | Frank Reich |
| 15 | 2021-12-18 | vs NE | W 27–17 | Frank Reich |
| 16 | 2021-12-25 | @ ARI | W 22–16 | Frank Reich |
| 17 | 2022-01-02 | vs LV | L 20–23 | Frank Reich |
| 18 | 2022-01-09 | @ JAX | L 11–26 | Frank Reich |
2021: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz | 636 | +53.5 | +1.22 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 392 | +29.8 | +1.12 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 37 | +20.3 | +0.56 |
| Michael Pittman | 134 | +48.6 | +0.53 |
| Jack Doyle | 43 | +11.7 | +0.21 |
| Parris Campbell | 20 | +2.4 | +0.17 |
2020 season
2020: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs GB 34–31 (lowest chance 12.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ PIT 24–28 (highest chance 95.5%)
2020 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2020-09-13 | @ JAX | L 20–27 | Frank Reich |
| 2 | 2020-09-20 | vs MIN | W 28–11 | Frank Reich |
| 3 | 2020-09-27 | vs NYJ | W 36–7 | Frank Reich |
| 4 | 2020-10-04 | @ CHI | W 19–11 | Frank Reich |
| 5 | 2020-10-11 | @ CLE | L 23–32 | Frank Reich |
| 6 | 2020-10-18 | vs CIN | W 31–27 | Frank Reich |
| 8 | 2020-11-01 | @ DET | W 41–21 | Frank Reich |
| 9 | 2020-11-08 | vs BAL | L 10–24 | Frank Reich |
| 10 | 2020-11-12 | @ TEN | W 34–17 | Frank Reich |
| 11 | 2020-11-22 | vs GB | W 34–31 OT | Frank Reich |
| 12 | 2020-11-29 | vs TEN | L 26–45 | Frank Reich |
| 13 | 2020-12-06 | @ HOU | W 26–20 | Frank Reich |
| 14 | 2020-12-13 | @ LV | W 44–27 | Frank Reich |
| 15 | 2020-12-20 | vs HOU | W 27–20 | Frank Reich |
| 16 | 2020-12-27 | @ PIT | L 24–28 | Frank Reich |
| 17 | 2021-01-03 | vs JAX | W 28–14 | Frank Reich |
| P18 | 2021-01-09 | @ BUF | L 24–27 | Frank Reich |
2020: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Rivers | 596 | +126.6 | +2.20 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 93 | +28.4 | +0.58 |
| Michael Pittman | 64 | +23.5 | +0.49 |
| Zach Pascal | 72 | +22.1 | +0.40 |
| Jack Doyle | 33 | +12.0 | +0.32 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 285 | +13.8 | +0.31 |
2019 season
2019: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ KC 19–13 (lowest chance 13.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIA 12–16 (highest chance 90.9%)
2019 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2019-09-08 | @ LAC | L 24–30 OT | Frank Reich |
| 2 | 2019-09-15 | @ TEN | W 19–17 | Frank Reich |
| 3 | 2019-09-22 | vs ATL | W 27–24 | Frank Reich |
| 4 | 2019-09-29 | vs LV | L 24–31 | Frank Reich |
| 5 | 2019-10-06 | @ KC | W 19–13 | Frank Reich |
| 7 | 2019-10-20 | vs HOU | W 30–23 | Frank Reich |
| 8 | 2019-10-27 | vs DEN | W 15–13 | Frank Reich |
| 9 | 2019-11-03 | @ PIT | L 24–26 | Frank Reich |
| 10 | 2019-11-10 | vs MIA | L 12–16 | Frank Reich |
| 11 | 2019-11-17 | vs JAX | W 33–13 | Frank Reich |
| 12 | 2019-11-21 | @ HOU | L 17–20 | Frank Reich |
| 13 | 2019-12-01 | vs TEN | L 17–31 | Frank Reich |
| 14 | 2019-12-08 | @ TB | L 35–38 | Frank Reich |
| 15 | 2019-12-16 | @ NO | L 7–34 | Frank Reich |
| 16 | 2019-12-22 | vs CAR | W 38–6 | Frank Reich |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | @ JAX | L 20–38 | Frank Reich |
2019: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | 557 | +43.5 | +1.62 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 68 | +22.3 | +0.68 |
| Zach Pascal | 75 | +19.5 | +0.65 |
| Chester Rogers | 29 | +9.2 | +0.30 |
| Marcus Johnson | 33 | +8.3 | +0.28 |
| Jonathan Williams | 54 | +8.1 | +0.20 |
2018 season
2018: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ HOU 24–21 (lowest chance 14.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs CIN 23–34 (highest chance 87.2%)
2018 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2018-09-09 | vs CIN | L 23–34 | Frank Reich |
| 2 | 2018-09-16 | @ WAS | W 21–9 | Frank Reich |
| 3 | 2018-09-23 | @ PHI | L 16–20 | Frank Reich |
| 4 | 2018-09-30 | vs HOU | L 34–37 OT | Frank Reich |
| 5 | 2018-10-04 | @ NE | L 24–38 | Frank Reich |
| 6 | 2018-10-14 | @ NYJ | L 34–42 | Frank Reich |
| 7 | 2018-10-21 | vs BUF | W 37–5 | Frank Reich |
| 8 | 2018-10-28 | @ LV | W 42–28 | Frank Reich |
| 10 | 2018-11-11 | vs JAX | W 29–26 | Frank Reich |
| 11 | 2018-11-18 | vs TEN | W 38–10 | Frank Reich |
| 12 | 2018-11-25 | vs MIA | W 27–24 | Frank Reich |
| 13 | 2018-12-02 | @ JAX | L 0–6 | Frank Reich |
| 14 | 2018-12-09 | @ HOU | W 24–21 | Frank Reich |
| 15 | 2018-12-16 | vs DAL | W 23–0 | Frank Reich |
| 16 | 2018-12-23 | vs NYG | W 28–27 | Frank Reich |
| 17 | 2018-12-30 | @ TEN | W 33–17 | Frank Reich |
| P18 | 2019-01-05 | @ HOU | W 21–7 | Frank Reich |
| P19 | 2019-01-12 | @ KC | L 13–31 | Frank Reich |
2018: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Luck | 728 | +127.5 | +2.47 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 120 | +63.5 | +1.47 |
| Dontrelle Inman | 39 | +23.8 | +0.62 |
| Eric Ebron | 114 | +28.9 | +0.61 |
| Ryan Grant | 52 | +10.1 | +0.27 |
| Chester Rogers | 73 | +9.0 | +0.27 |
2017 season
2017: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs SF 26–23 (lowest chance 26.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ BUF 7–13 (highest chance 89.5%)
2017 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2017-09-10 | @ LA | L 9–46 | Chuck Pagano |
| 2 | 2017-09-17 | vs ARI | L 13–16 OT | Chuck Pagano |
| 3 | 2017-09-24 | vs CLE | W 31–28 | Chuck Pagano |
| 4 | 2017-10-01 | @ SEA | L 18–46 | Chuck Pagano |
| 5 | 2017-10-08 | vs SF | W 26–23 OT | Chuck Pagano |
| 6 | 2017-10-16 | @ TEN | L 22–36 | Chuck Pagano |
| 7 | 2017-10-22 | vs JAX | L 0–27 | Chuck Pagano |
| 8 | 2017-10-29 | @ CIN | L 23–24 | Chuck Pagano |
| 9 | 2017-11-05 | @ HOU | W 20–14 | Chuck Pagano |
| 10 | 2017-11-12 | vs PIT | L 17–20 | Chuck Pagano |
| 12 | 2017-11-26 | vs TEN | L 16–20 | Chuck Pagano |
| 13 | 2017-12-03 | @ JAX | L 10–30 | Chuck Pagano |
| 14 | 2017-12-10 | @ BUF | L 7–13 OT | Chuck Pagano |
| 15 | 2017-12-14 | vs DEN | L 13–25 | Chuck Pagano |
| 16 | 2017-12-23 | @ BAL | L 16–23 | Chuck Pagano |
| 17 | 2017-12-31 | vs HOU | W 22–13 | Chuck Pagano |
2017: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Moncrief | 47 | +17.2 | +0.68 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 109 | +13.0 | +0.59 |
| Marlon Mack | 129 | +0.7 | +0.27 |
| Chester Rogers | 40 | +2.9 | +0.21 |
| Brandon Williams | 17 | +3.4 | +0.07 |
| Ross Travis | 5 | +1.0 | +0.05 |
2016 season
2016: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs JAX 24–20 (lowest chance 10.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ HOU 23–26 (highest chance 97.0%)
2016 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2016-09-11 | vs DET | L 35–39 | Chuck Pagano |
| 2 | 2016-09-18 | @ DEN | L 20–34 | Chuck Pagano |
| 3 | 2016-09-25 | vs LAC | W 26–22 | Chuck Pagano |
| 4 | 2016-10-02 | @ JAX | L 27–30 | Chuck Pagano |
| 5 | 2016-10-09 | vs CHI | W 29–23 | Chuck Pagano |
| 6 | 2016-10-16 | @ HOU | L 23–26 OT | Chuck Pagano |
| 7 | 2016-10-23 | @ TEN | W 34–26 | Chuck Pagano |
| 8 | 2016-10-30 | vs KC | L 14–30 | Chuck Pagano |
| 9 | 2016-11-06 | @ GB | W 31–26 | Chuck Pagano |
| 11 | 2016-11-20 | vs TEN | W 24–17 | Chuck Pagano |
| 12 | 2016-11-24 | vs PIT | L 7–28 | Chuck Pagano |
| 13 | 2016-12-05 | @ NYJ | W 41–10 | Chuck Pagano |
| 14 | 2016-12-11 | vs HOU | L 17–22 | Chuck Pagano |
| 15 | 2016-12-18 | @ MIN | W 34–6 | Chuck Pagano |
| 16 | 2016-12-24 | @ LV | L 25–33 | Chuck Pagano |
| 17 | 2017-01-01 | vs JAX | W 24–20 | Chuck Pagano |
2016: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Luck | 676 | +91.5 | +2.52 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 155 | +60.1 | +1.83 |
| Jack Doyle | 75 | +16.2 | +1.21 |
| Erik Swoope | 22 | +21.1 | +0.43 |
| Dwayne Allen | 52 | +24.0 | +0.33 |
| Robert Turbin | 87 | +9.7 | +0.29 |
2015 season
2015: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ ATL 24–21 (lowest chance 5.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs HOU 10–16 (highest chance 88.6%)
2015 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2015-09-13 | @ BUF | L 14–27 | Chuck Pagano |
| 2 | 2015-09-21 | vs NYJ | L 7–20 | Chuck Pagano |
| 3 | 2015-09-27 | @ TEN | W 35–33 | Chuck Pagano |
| 4 | 2015-10-04 | vs JAX | W 16–13 OT | Chuck Pagano |
| 5 | 2015-10-08 | @ HOU | W 27–20 | Chuck Pagano |
| 6 | 2015-10-18 | vs NE | L 27–34 | Chuck Pagano |
| 7 | 2015-10-25 | vs NO | L 21–27 | Chuck Pagano |
| 8 | 2015-11-02 | @ CAR | L 26–29 OT | Chuck Pagano |
| 9 | 2015-11-08 | vs DEN | W 27–24 | Chuck Pagano |
| 11 | 2015-11-22 | @ ATL | W 24–21 | Chuck Pagano |
| 12 | 2015-11-29 | vs TB | W 25–12 | Chuck Pagano |
| 13 | 2015-12-06 | @ PIT | L 10–45 | Chuck Pagano |
| 14 | 2015-12-13 | @ JAX | L 16–51 | Chuck Pagano |
| 15 | 2015-12-20 | vs HOU | L 10–16 | Chuck Pagano |
| 16 | 2015-12-27 | @ MIA | W 18–12 | Chuck Pagano |
| 17 | 2016-01-03 | vs TEN | W 30–24 | Chuck Pagano |
2015: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Moncrief | 105 | +36.9 | +0.82 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 134 | +16.1 | +0.58 |
| Matt Hasselbeck | 298 | +9.5 | +0.51 |
| Griff Whalen | 26 | +0.9 | +0.40 |
| Jack Doyle | 14 | +4.6 | +0.18 |
| Andrew Luck | 350 | −3.6 | +0.18 |
2014 season
2014: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DEN 24–13 (lowest chance 8.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs PHI 27–30 (highest chance 94.5%)
2014 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2014-09-07 | @ DEN | L 24–31 | Chuck Pagano |
| 2 | 2014-09-15 | vs PHI | L 27–30 | Chuck Pagano |
| 3 | 2014-09-21 | @ JAX | W 44–17 | Chuck Pagano |
| 4 | 2014-09-28 | vs TEN | W 41–17 | Chuck Pagano |
| 5 | 2014-10-05 | vs BAL | W 20–13 | Chuck Pagano |
| 6 | 2014-10-09 | @ HOU | W 33–28 | Chuck Pagano |
| 7 | 2014-10-19 | vs CIN | W 27–0 | Chuck Pagano |
| 8 | 2014-10-26 | @ PIT | L 34–51 | Chuck Pagano |
| 9 | 2014-11-03 | @ NYG | W 40–24 | Chuck Pagano |
| 11 | 2014-11-16 | vs NE | L 20–42 | Chuck Pagano |
| 12 | 2014-11-23 | vs JAX | W 23–3 | Chuck Pagano |
| 13 | 2014-11-30 | vs WAS | W 49–27 | Chuck Pagano |
| 14 | 2014-12-07 | @ CLE | W 25–24 | Chuck Pagano |
| 15 | 2014-12-14 | vs HOU | W 17–10 | Chuck Pagano |
| 16 | 2014-12-21 | @ DAL | L 7–42 | Chuck Pagano |
| 17 | 2014-12-28 | @ TEN | W 27–10 | Chuck Pagano |
| P18 | 2015-01-04 | vs CIN | W 26–10 | Chuck Pagano |
| P19 | 2015-01-11 | @ DEN | W 24–13 | Chuck Pagano |
| P20 | 2015-01-18 | @ NE | L 7–45 | Chuck Pagano |
2014: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| T.Y. Hilton | 133 | +58.8 | +1.00 |
| Andrew Luck | 729 | +98.0 | +0.92 |
| Coby Fleener | 92 | +27.7 | +0.43 |
| Donte Moncrief | 53 | +22.7 | +0.32 |
| Dwayne Allen | 50 | +25.5 | +0.28 |
| Dan Herron | 106 | −9.0 | +0.13 |
2013 season
2013: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs KC 45–44 (lowest chance 0.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs LA 8–38 (highest chance 79.4%)
2013 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2013-09-08 | vs LV | W 21–17 | Chuck Pagano |
| 2 | 2013-09-15 | vs MIA | L 20–24 | Chuck Pagano |
| 3 | 2013-09-22 | @ SF | W 27–7 | Chuck Pagano |
| 4 | 2013-09-29 | @ JAX | W 37–3 | Chuck Pagano |
| 5 | 2013-10-06 | vs SEA | W 34–28 | Chuck Pagano |
| 6 | 2013-10-14 | @ LAC | L 9–19 | Chuck Pagano |
| 7 | 2013-10-20 | vs DEN | W 39–33 | Chuck Pagano |
| 9 | 2013-11-03 | @ HOU | W 27–24 | Chuck Pagano |
| 10 | 2013-11-10 | vs LA | L 8–38 | Chuck Pagano |
| 11 | 2013-11-14 | @ TEN | W 30–27 | Chuck Pagano |
| 12 | 2013-11-24 | @ ARI | L 11–40 | Chuck Pagano |
| 13 | 2013-12-01 | vs TEN | W 22–14 | Chuck Pagano |
| 14 | 2013-12-08 | @ CIN | L 28–42 | Chuck Pagano |
| 15 | 2013-12-15 | vs HOU | W 25–3 | Chuck Pagano |
| 16 | 2013-12-22 | @ KC | W 23–7 | Chuck Pagano |
| 17 | 2013-12-29 | vs JAX | W 30–10 | Chuck Pagano |
| P18 | 2014-01-04 | vs KC | W 45–44 | Chuck Pagano |
| P19 | 2014-01-11 | @ NE | L 22–43 | Chuck Pagano |
2013: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Luck | 688 | +75.7 | +1.63 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 140 | +38.4 | +0.98 |
| Donald Brown | 138 | +16.9 | +0.66 |
| Reggie Wayne | 59 | +22.6 | +0.54 |
| Ahmad Bradshaw | 49 | +3.4 | +0.17 |
| Coby Fleener | 87 | +5.1 | +0.14 |
2012 season
2012: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DET 35–33 (lowest chance 0.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs JAX 17–22 (highest chance 89.8%)
2012 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-09-09 | @ CHI | L 21–41 | Chuck Pagano |
| 2 | 2012-09-16 | vs MIN | W 23–20 | Chuck Pagano |
| 3 | 2012-09-23 | vs JAX | L 17–22 | Chuck Pagano |
| 5 | 2012-10-07 | vs GB | W 30–27 | Chuck Pagano |
| 6 | 2012-10-14 | @ NYJ | L 9–35 | Chuck Pagano |
| 7 | 2012-10-21 | vs CLE | W 17–13 | Chuck Pagano |
| 8 | 2012-10-28 | @ TEN | W 19–13 OT | Chuck Pagano |
| 9 | 2012-11-04 | vs MIA | W 23–20 | Chuck Pagano |
| 10 | 2012-11-08 | @ JAX | W 27–10 | Chuck Pagano |
| 11 | 2012-11-18 | @ NE | L 24–59 | Chuck Pagano |
| 12 | 2012-11-25 | vs BUF | W 20–13 | Chuck Pagano |
| 13 | 2012-12-02 | @ DET | W 35–33 | Chuck Pagano |
| 14 | 2012-12-09 | vs TEN | W 27–23 | Chuck Pagano |
| 15 | 2012-12-16 | @ HOU | L 17–29 | Chuck Pagano |
| 16 | 2012-12-23 | @ KC | W 20–13 | Chuck Pagano |
| 17 | 2012-12-30 | vs HOU | W 28–16 | Chuck Pagano |
| P18 | 2013-01-06 | @ BAL | L 9–24 | Chuck Pagano |
2012: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Luck | 751 | +79.6 | +4.65 |
| Donnie Avery | 130 | +9.8 | +1.13 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 96 | +36.0 | +1.11 |
| Reggie Wayne | 196 | +2.9 | +0.95 |
| Dwayne Allen | 69 | +22.7 | +0.58 |
| Vick Ballard | 244 | −12.3 | +0.33 |
2011 season
2011: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs HOU 19–16 (lowest chance 8.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs KC 24–28 (highest chance 91.6%)
2011 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011-09-11 | @ HOU | L 7–34 | Jim Caldwell |
| 2 | 2011-09-18 | vs CLE | L 19–27 | Jim Caldwell |
| 3 | 2011-09-25 | vs PIT | L 20–23 | Jim Caldwell |
| 4 | 2011-10-03 | @ TB | L 17–24 | Jim Caldwell |
| 5 | 2011-10-09 | vs KC | L 24–28 | Jim Caldwell |
| 6 | 2011-10-16 | @ CIN | L 17–27 | Jim Caldwell |
| 7 | 2011-10-23 | @ NO | L 7–62 | Jim Caldwell |
| 8 | 2011-10-30 | @ TEN | L 10–27 | Jim Caldwell |
| 9 | 2011-11-06 | vs ATL | L 7–31 | Jim Caldwell |
| 10 | 2011-11-13 | vs JAX | L 3–17 | Jim Caldwell |
| 12 | 2011-11-27 | vs CAR | L 19–27 | Jim Caldwell |
| 13 | 2011-12-04 | @ NE | L 24–31 | Jim Caldwell |
| 14 | 2011-12-11 | @ BAL | L 10–24 | Jim Caldwell |
| 15 | 2011-12-18 | vs TEN | W 27–13 | Jim Caldwell |
| 16 | 2011-12-22 | vs HOU | W 19–16 | Jim Caldwell |
| 17 | 2012-01-01 | @ JAX | L 13–19 | Jim Caldwell |
2011: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Wayne | 131 | +19.4 | +0.60 |
| Dan Orlovsky | 212 | +11.4 | +0.58 |
| Austin Collie | 97 | −11.8 | +0.07 |
| Jerome Felton | 2 | +1.2 | +0.03 |
| Brody Eldridge | 10 | +1.0 | +0.01 |
| Dallas Clark | 65 | −2.4 | +0.01 |
2010 season
2010: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs TEN 23–20 (lowest chance 26.4%)
- Worst collapse: @ JAX 28–31 (highest chance 84.5%)
2010 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010-09-12 | @ HOU | L 24–34 | Jim Caldwell |
| 2 | 2010-09-19 | vs NYG | W 38–14 | Jim Caldwell |
| 3 | 2010-09-26 | @ DEN | W 27–13 | Jim Caldwell |
| 4 | 2010-10-03 | @ JAX | L 28–31 | Jim Caldwell |
| 5 | 2010-10-10 | vs KC | W 19–9 | Jim Caldwell |
| 6 | 2010-10-17 | @ WAS | W 27–24 | Jim Caldwell |
| 8 | 2010-11-01 | vs HOU | W 30–17 | Jim Caldwell |
| 9 | 2010-11-07 | @ PHI | L 24–26 | Jim Caldwell |
| 10 | 2010-11-14 | vs CIN | W 23–17 | Jim Caldwell |
| 11 | 2010-11-21 | @ NE | L 28–31 | Jim Caldwell |
| 12 | 2010-11-28 | vs LAC | L 14–36 | Jim Caldwell |
| 13 | 2010-12-05 | vs DAL | L 35–38 OT | Jim Caldwell |
| 14 | 2010-12-09 | @ TEN | W 30–28 | Jim Caldwell |
| 15 | 2010-12-19 | vs JAX | W 34–24 | Jim Caldwell |
| 16 | 2010-12-26 | @ LV | W 31–26 | Jim Caldwell |
| 17 | 2011-01-02 | vs TEN | W 23–20 | Jim Caldwell |
| P18 | 2011-01-08 | vs NYJ | L 16–17 | Jim Caldwell |
2010: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 722 | +150.0 | +1.74 |
| Reggie Wayne | 175 | +39.2 | +0.85 |
| Austin Collie | 70 | +48.6 | +0.81 |
| Dallas Clark | 53 | +18.2 | +0.33 |
| Jacob Tamme | 93 | +18.0 | +0.23 |
| Javarris James | 58 | −3.9 | +0.13 |
2009 season
2009: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NE 35–34 (lowest chance 2.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 17–31 (highest chance 86.4%)
2009 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009-09-13 | vs JAX | W 14–12 | Jim Caldwell |
| 2 | 2009-09-21 | @ MIA | W 27–23 | Jim Caldwell |
| 3 | 2009-09-27 | @ ARI | W 31–10 | Jim Caldwell |
| 4 | 2009-10-04 | vs SEA | W 34–17 | Jim Caldwell |
| 5 | 2009-10-11 | @ TEN | W 31–9 | Jim Caldwell |
| 7 | 2009-10-25 | @ LA | W 42–6 | Jim Caldwell |
| 8 | 2009-11-01 | vs SF | W 18–14 | Jim Caldwell |
| 9 | 2009-11-08 | vs HOU | W 20–17 | Jim Caldwell |
| 10 | 2009-11-15 | vs NE | W 35–34 | Jim Caldwell |
| 11 | 2009-11-22 | @ BAL | W 17–15 | Jim Caldwell |
| 12 | 2009-11-29 | @ HOU | W 35–27 | Jim Caldwell |
| 13 | 2009-12-06 | vs TEN | W 27–17 | Jim Caldwell |
| 14 | 2009-12-13 | vs DEN | W 28–16 | Jim Caldwell |
| 15 | 2009-12-17 | @ JAX | W 35–31 | Jim Caldwell |
| 16 | 2009-12-27 | vs NYJ | L 15–29 | Jim Caldwell |
| 17 | 2010-01-03 | @ BUF | L 7–30 | Jim Caldwell |
| P19 | 2010-01-16 | vs BAL | W 20–3 | Jim Caldwell |
| P20 | 2010-01-24 | vs NYJ | W 30–17 | Jim Caldwell |
| P21 | 2010-02-07 | vs NO | L 17–31 | Jim Caldwell |
2009: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 612 | +189.2 | +4.77 |
| Reggie Wayne | 150 | +43.5 | +1.47 |
| Dallas Clark | 134 | +57.0 | +1.28 |
| Pierre Garcon | 94 | +32.6 | +0.93 |
| Austin Collie | 92 | +36.2 | +0.69 |
| Joseph Addai | 288 | −13.4 | +0.12 |
2008 season
2008: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ HOU 31–27 (lowest chance 0.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs CHI 13–29 (highest chance 86.4%)
2008 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2008-09-07 | vs CHI | L 13–29 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2008-09-14 | @ MIN | W 18–15 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2008-09-21 | vs JAX | L 21–23 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2008-10-05 | @ HOU | W 31–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 6 | 2008-10-12 | vs BAL | W 31–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 2008-10-19 | @ GB | L 14–34 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2008-10-27 | @ TEN | L 21–31 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2008-11-02 | vs NE | W 18–15 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2008-11-09 | @ PIT | W 24–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2008-11-16 | vs HOU | W 33–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2008-11-23 | @ LAC | W 23–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2008-11-30 | @ CLE | W 10–6 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2008-12-07 | vs CIN | W 35–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2008-12-14 | vs DET | W 31–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2008-12-18 | @ JAX | W 31–24 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2008-12-28 | vs TEN | W 23–0 | Tony Dungy |
| P18 | 2009-01-03 | @ LAC | L 17–23 OT | Tony Dungy |
2008: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 598 | +149.1 | +2.96 |
| Reggie Wayne | 130 | +54.4 | +1.65 |
| Anthony Gonzalez | 79 | +36.8 | +0.90 |
| Dallas Clark | 107 | +47.9 | +0.73 |
| Jim Sorgi | 31 | +4.1 | +0.13 |
| Dominic Rhodes | 216 | −7.5 | +0.13 |
2007 season
2007: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CAR 31–7 (lowest chance 44.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs LAC 24–28 (highest chance 92.9%)
2007 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2007-09-06 | vs NO | W 41–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2007-09-16 | @ TEN | W 22–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2007-09-23 | @ HOU | W 30–24 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 2007-09-30 | vs DEN | W 38–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2007-10-07 | vs TB | W 33–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 2007-10-22 | @ JAX | W 29–7 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2007-10-28 | @ CAR | W 31–7 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2007-11-04 | vs NE | L 20–24 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2007-11-11 | @ LAC | L 21–23 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2007-11-18 | vs KC | W 13–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2007-11-22 | @ ATL | W 31–13 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2007-12-02 | vs JAX | W 28–25 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2007-12-09 | @ BAL | W 44–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2007-12-16 | @ LV | W 21–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2007-12-23 | vs HOU | W 38–15 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2007-12-30 | vs TEN | L 10–16 | Tony Dungy |
| P19 | 2008-01-13 | vs LAC | L 24–28 | Tony Dungy |
2007: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 559 | +167.7 | +1.85 |
| Joseph Addai | 314 | +27.8 | +0.88 |
| Reggie Wayne | 157 | +56.9 | +0.85 |
| Anthony Gonzalez | 52 | +37.3 | +0.46 |
| Dallas Clark | 102 | +27.6 | +0.34 |
| Marvin Harrison | 32 | +12.4 | +0.33 |
2006 season
2006: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NE 38–34 (lowest chance 9.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ TEN 17–20 (highest chance 94.6%)
2006 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2006-09-10 | @ NYG | W 26–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2006-09-17 | vs HOU | W 43–24 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2006-09-24 | vs JAX | W 21–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 2006-10-01 | @ NYJ | W 31–28 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2006-10-08 | vs TEN | W 14–13 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 2006-10-22 | vs WAS | W 36–22 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2006-10-29 | @ DEN | W 34–31 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2006-11-05 | @ NE | W 27–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2006-11-12 | vs BUF | W 17–16 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2006-11-19 | @ DAL | L 14–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2006-11-26 | vs PHI | W 45–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2006-12-03 | @ TEN | L 17–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2006-12-10 | @ JAX | L 17–44 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2006-12-18 | vs CIN | W 34–16 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2006-12-24 | @ HOU | L 24–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2006-12-31 | vs MIA | W 27–22 | Tony Dungy |
| P18 | 2007-01-06 | vs KC | W 23–8 | Tony Dungy |
| P19 | 2007-01-13 | @ BAL | W 15–6 | Tony Dungy |
| P20 | 2007-01-21 | vs NE | W 38–34 | Tony Dungy |
| P21 | 2007-02-04 | @ CHI | W 29–17 | Tony Dungy |
2006: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 597 | +197.1 | +5.23 |
| Marvin Harrison | 148 | +74.3 | +2.29 |
| Reggie Wayne | 137 | +76.9 | +1.91 |
| Joseph Addai | 284 | +14.0 | +0.62 |
| Bryan Fletcher | 25 | +10.1 | +0.54 |
| Dallas Clark | 58 | +6.6 | +0.14 |
2005 season
2005: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LA 45–28 (lowest chance 35.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs PIT 18–21 (highest chance 79.4%)
2005 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2005-09-11 | @ BAL | W 24–7 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2005-09-18 | vs JAX | W 10–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2005-09-25 | vs CLE | W 13–6 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 2005-10-02 | @ TEN | W 31–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2005-10-09 | @ SF | W 28–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 6 | 2005-10-17 | vs LA | W 45–28 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 2005-10-23 | @ HOU | W 38–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2005-11-07 | @ NE | W 40–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2005-11-13 | vs HOU | W 31–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2005-11-20 | @ CIN | W 45–37 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2005-11-28 | vs PIT | W 26–7 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2005-12-04 | vs TEN | W 35–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2005-12-11 | @ JAX | W 26–18 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2005-12-18 | vs LAC | L 17–26 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2005-12-24 | @ SEA | L 13–28 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2006-01-01 | vs ARI | W 17–13 | Tony Dungy |
| P19 | 2006-01-15 | vs PIT | L 18–21 | Tony Dungy |
2005: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 504 | +187.4 | +1.60 |
| Reggie Wayne | 122 | +68.2 | +0.76 |
| Edgerrin James | 424 | +27.3 | +0.67 |
| Marvin Harrison | 132 | +54.7 | +0.47 |
| Dallas Clark | 52 | +24.6 | +0.19 |
| Brandon Stokley | 67 | +28.5 | +0.17 |
2004 season
2004: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LAC 34–31 (lowest chance 5.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs JAX 24–27 (highest chance 85.8%)
2004 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2004-09-09 | @ NE | L 24–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2004-09-19 | @ TEN | W 31–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2004-09-26 | vs GB | W 45–31 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 2004-10-03 | @ JAX | W 24–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2004-10-10 | vs LV | W 35–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 2004-10-24 | vs JAX | L 24–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2004-10-31 | @ KC | L 35–45 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2004-11-08 | vs MIN | W 31–28 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2004-11-14 | vs HOU | W 49–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2004-11-21 | @ CHI | W 41–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2004-11-25 | @ DET | W 41–9 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2004-12-05 | vs TEN | W 51–24 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2004-12-12 | @ HOU | W 23–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2004-12-19 | vs BAL | W 20–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2004-12-26 | vs LAC | W 34–31 OT | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2005-01-02 | @ DEN | L 14–33 | Tony Dungy |
| P18 | 2005-01-09 | vs DEN | W 49–24 | Tony Dungy |
| P19 | 2005-01-16 | @ NE | L 3–20 | Tony Dungy |
2004: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 562 | +249.2 | +4.89 |
| Brandon Stokley | 102 | +58.6 | +1.64 |
| Reggie Wayne | 116 | +69.0 | +1.31 |
| Marvin Harrison | 139 | +57.3 | +1.06 |
| Marcus Pollard | 41 | +14.1 | +0.40 |
| Edgerrin James | 402 | +30.8 | +0.24 |
2003 season
2003: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ TB 38–35 (lowest chance 0.1%)
- Worst collapse: @ JAX 23–28 (highest chance 93.8%)
2003 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2003-09-07 | @ CLE | W 9–6 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2003-09-14 | vs TEN | W 33–7 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2003-09-21 | vs JAX | W 23–13 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 2003-09-28 | @ NO | W 55–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2003-10-06 | @ TB | W 38–35 OT | Tony Dungy |
| 6 | 2003-10-12 | vs CAR | L 20–23 OT | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2003-10-26 | vs HOU | W 30–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2003-11-02 | @ MIA | W 23–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2003-11-09 | @ JAX | L 23–28 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2003-11-16 | vs NYJ | W 38–31 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2003-11-23 | @ BUF | W 17–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2003-11-30 | vs NE | L 34–38 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2003-12-07 | @ TEN | W 29–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2003-12-14 | vs ATL | W 38–7 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2003-12-21 | vs DEN | L 17–31 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2003-12-28 | @ HOU | W 20–17 | Tony Dungy |
| P18 | 2004-01-04 | vs DEN | W 41–10 | Tony Dungy |
| P19 | 2004-01-11 | @ KC | W 38–31 | Tony Dungy |
| P20 | 2004-01-18 | @ NE | L 14–24 | Tony Dungy |
2003: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 634 | +137.5 | +2.56 |
| Marvin Harrison | 143 | +56.1 | +1.36 |
| Troy Walters | 53 | +27.8 | +1.00 |
| Reggie Wayne | 107 | +34.1 | +0.58 |
| Marcus Pollard | 57 | +29.6 | +0.56 |
| Dominic Rhodes | 47 | +2.8 | +0.23 |
2002 season
2002: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DEN 23–20 (lowest chance 5.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYG 27–44 (highest chance 68.7%)
2002 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2002-09-08 | @ JAX | W 28–25 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2002-09-15 | vs MIA | L 13–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2002-09-22 | @ HOU | W 23–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2002-10-06 | vs CIN | W 28–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 6 | 2002-10-13 | vs BAL | W 22–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 2002-10-21 | @ PIT | L 10–28 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2002-10-27 | @ WAS | L 21–26 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2002-11-03 | vs TEN | L 15–23 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2002-11-10 | @ PHI | W 35–13 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2002-11-17 | vs DAL | W 20–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2002-11-24 | @ DEN | W 23–20 OT | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2002-12-01 | vs HOU | W 19–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2002-12-08 | @ TEN | L 17–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2002-12-15 | @ CLE | W 28–23 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2002-12-22 | vs NYG | L 27–44 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2002-12-29 | vs JAX | W 20–13 | Tony Dungy |
| P18 | 2003-01-04 | @ NYJ | L 0–41 | Tony Dungy |
2002: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison | 207 | +89.4 | +1.54 |
| Peyton Manning | 661 | +96.1 | +0.43 |
| Troy Walters | 27 | +12.0 | +0.15 |
| Ricky Williams | 13 | +1.2 | +0.12 |
| Mike Roberg | 4 | +2.2 | +0.02 |
| Marcus Pollard | 69 | −0.6 | +0.01 |
2001 season
2001: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYJ 45–24 (lowest chance 37.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYJ 28–29 (highest chance 89.7%)
2001 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2001-09-09 | @ NYJ | W 45–24 | Jim Mora |
| 2 | 2001-09-23 | vs BUF | W 42–26 | Jim Mora |
| 3 | 2001-09-30 | @ NE | L 13–44 | Jim Mora |
| 5 | 2001-10-14 | vs LV | L 18–23 | Jim Mora |
| 6 | 2001-10-21 | vs NE | L 17–38 | Jim Mora |
| 7 | 2001-10-25 | @ KC | W 35–28 | Jim Mora |
| 8 | 2001-11-04 | @ BUF | W 30–14 | Jim Mora |
| 9 | 2001-11-11 | vs MIA | L 24–27 | Jim Mora |
| 10 | 2001-11-18 | @ NO | L 20–34 | Jim Mora |
| 11 | 2001-11-25 | vs SF | L 21–40 | Jim Mora |
| 12 | 2001-12-02 | @ BAL | L 27–39 | Jim Mora |
| 13 | 2001-12-10 | @ MIA | L 6–41 | Jim Mora |
| 14 | 2001-12-16 | vs ATL | W 41–27 | Jim Mora |
| 15 | 2001-12-23 | vs NYJ | L 28–29 | Jim Mora |
| 16 | 2001-12-30 | @ LA | L 17–42 | Jim Mora |
| 17 | 2002-01-06 | vs DEN | W 29–10 | Jim Mora |
2001: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison | 165 | +64.4 | +1.39 |
| Ken Dilger | 55 | −3.1 | +0.54 |
| Peyton Manning | 631 | +42.9 | +0.21 |
| Marcus Pollard | 73 | +18.4 | +0.18 |
| Reggie Wayne | 49 | +5.1 | +0.14 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 56 | +4.2 | +0.07 |
2000 season
2000: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BUF 18–16 (lowest chance 18.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs LV 31–38 (highest chance 98.5%)
2000 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2000-09-03 | @ KC | W 27–14 | Jim Mora |
| 2 | 2000-09-10 | vs LV | L 31–38 | Jim Mora |
| 4 | 2000-09-25 | vs JAX | W 43–14 | Jim Mora |
| 5 | 2000-10-01 | @ BUF | W 18–16 | Jim Mora |
| 6 | 2000-10-08 | @ NE | L 16–24 | Jim Mora |
| 7 | 2000-10-15 | @ SEA | W 37–24 | Jim Mora |
| 8 | 2000-10-22 | vs NE | W 30–23 | Jim Mora |
| 9 | 2000-10-29 | vs DET | W 30–18 | Jim Mora |
| 10 | 2000-11-05 | @ CHI | L 24–27 | Jim Mora |
| 11 | 2000-11-12 | vs NYJ | W 23–15 | Jim Mora |
| 12 | 2000-11-19 | @ GB | L 24–26 | Jim Mora |
| 13 | 2000-11-26 | vs MIA | L 14–17 | Jim Mora |
| 14 | 2000-12-03 | @ NYJ | L 17–27 | Jim Mora |
| 15 | 2000-12-11 | vs BUF | W 44–20 | Jim Mora |
| 16 | 2000-12-17 | @ MIA | W 20–13 | Jim Mora |
| 17 | 2000-12-24 | vs MIN | W 31–10 | Jim Mora |
| P18 | 2000-12-30 | @ MIA | L 17–23 OT | Jim Mora |
2000: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 665 | +160.8 | +2.21 |
| Marvin Harrison | 169 | +63.7 | +1.08 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 70 | +21.0 | +0.47 |
| Marcus Pollard | 42 | +26.3 | +0.44 |
| Jerome Pathon | 90 | +15.9 | +0.40 |
| E.G. Green | 26 | +13.0 | +0.22 |
1999 season
1999: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs DAL 34–24 (lowest chance 16.3%)
- Worst collapse: @ NE 28–31 (highest chance 96.6%)
1999 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1999-09-12 | vs BUF | W 31–14 | Jim Mora |
| 2 | 1999-09-19 | @ NE | L 28–31 | Jim Mora |
| 3 | 1999-09-26 | @ LAC | W 27–19 | Jim Mora |
| 5 | 1999-10-10 | vs MIA | L 31–34 | Jim Mora |
| 6 | 1999-10-17 | @ NYJ | W 16–13 | Jim Mora |
| 7 | 1999-10-24 | vs CIN | W 31–10 | Jim Mora |
| 8 | 1999-10-31 | vs DAL | W 34–24 | Jim Mora |
| 9 | 1999-11-07 | vs KC | W 25–17 | Jim Mora |
| 10 | 1999-11-14 | @ NYG | W 27–19 | Jim Mora |
| 11 | 1999-11-21 | @ PHI | W 44–17 | Jim Mora |
| 12 | 1999-11-28 | vs NYJ | W 13–6 | Jim Mora |
| 13 | 1999-12-05 | @ MIA | W 37–34 | Jim Mora |
| 14 | 1999-12-12 | vs NE | W 20–15 | Jim Mora |
| 15 | 1999-12-19 | vs WAS | W 24–21 | Jim Mora |
| 16 | 1999-12-26 | @ CLE | W 29–28 | Jim Mora |
| 17 | 2000-01-02 | @ BUF | L 6–31 | Jim Mora |
| P19 | 2000-01-16 | vs TEN | L 16–19 | Jim Mora |
1999: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 597 | +144.1 | +3.65 |
| Marvin Harrison | 194 | +67.7 | +1.74 |
| Terrence Wilkins | 69 | +14.2 | +0.60 |
| Ken Dilger | 51 | +25.2 | +0.58 |
| Marcus Pollard | 47 | +9.0 | +0.30 |
| E.G. Green | 44 | +4.1 | +0.09 |