Teams › NE
New England Patriots
AFC East
Season by season
Adjusted ratings: opponent-adjusted EPA per play, regular season (the small number is the league rank; lower allowed is better). 4th-down WP lost: our model’s best option minus the coach’s call, 2018 on.
| Season | Record | Playoffs | Points for | Points against | Offence adj. EPA/play | Defence adj. EPA/play allowed | 4th-down WP lost per game (pts) | Head coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5–4 | 211 | 207 | +0.03010 | +0.01420 | 2.99 | Mike Vrabel | |
| 2025 | 14–3 | 3–1 | 490 | 320 | +0.1073 | +0.00211 | 2.61 | Mike Vrabel |
| 2024 | 4–13 | 289 | 417 | −0.06527 | +0.05730 | 1.69 | Jerod Mayo | |
| 2023 | 4–13 | 236 | 366 | −0.15231 | −0.0459 | 2.44 | Bill Belichick | |
| 2022 | 8–9 | 364 | 347 | −0.04024 | −0.0602 | 3.89 | Bill Belichick | |
| 2021 | 10–7 | 0–1 | 462 | 303 | +0.05710 | −0.0295 | 2.97 | Bill Belichick |
| 2020 | 7–9 | 326 | 353 | +0.01322 | +0.05921 | 2.91 | Bill Belichick | |
| 2019 | 12–4 | 0–1 | 420 | 225 | −0.00217 | −0.1201 | 4.11 | Bill Belichick |
| 2018 | 11–5 | 3–0 | 436 | 325 | +0.0757 | −0.00211 | 5.81 | Bill Belichick |
| 2017 | 13–3 | 2–1 | 458 | 296 | +0.0951 | +0.01229 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2016 | 14–2 | 3–0 | 441 | 250 | +0.1042 | −0.00712 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2015 | 12–4 | 1–1 | 465 | 315 | +0.0664 | −0.02213 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2014 | 12–4 | 3–0 | 468 | 313 | +0.0774 | −0.01912 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2013 | 12–4 | 1–1 | 444 | 338 | +0.0557 | +0.01120 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2012 | 12–4 | 1–1 | 557 | 331 | +0.1471 | +0.01018 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2011 | 13–3 | 2–1 | 513 | 342 | +0.1502 | +0.04429 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2010 | 14–2 | 0–1 | 518 | 313 | +0.1581 | −0.01618 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2009 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 427 | 285 | +0.1032 | −0.02713 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2008 | 11–5 | 410 | 309 | +0.0705 | +0.00617 | – | Bill Belichick | |
| 2007 | 16–0 | 2–1 | 589 | 274 | +0.1931 | −0.0587 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2006 | 12–4 | 2–1 | 385 | 237 | +0.0454 | −0.0686 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2005 | 10–6 | 1–1 | 379 | 338 | +0.0547 | +0.00826 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2004 | 14–2 | 3–0 | 437 | 260 | +0.0855 | −0.0567 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2003 | 14–2 | 3–0 | 348 | 238 | −0.04016 | −0.1092 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2002 | 9–7 | 381 | 346 | −0.00820 | −0.02116 | – | Bill Belichick | |
| 2001 | 11–5 | 3–0 | 371 | 272 | −0.02813 | −0.06210 | – | Bill Belichick |
| 2000 | 5–11 | 276 | 338 | −0.06222 | −0.00822 | – | Bill Belichick | |
| 1999 | 8–8 | 299 | 284 | −0.08522 | −0.06810 | – | Pete Carroll |
Tendencies by season
Regular season. The small number is the team’s rank that season (1 = the highest rate). Personnel, pressure and coverage from 2016 (man coverage 2018), published after each season; play action, motion, shotgun and blitzes from 2022. The sources and their labels changed in 2023, so compare a team with its league in the same season, not across years. Pressure and time to throw: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on); play action, blitzes and interception-worthy throws: FTN Data via nflverse (2022 on). Both CC BY-SA 4.0; aggregated by Red Zone Math, and this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.
| Season | Play action % | Motion % | Shotgun % | 11 personnel % | 12 personnel % | QB pressured % | Defence: blitz % | Defence: pressure % | Defence: man coverage % | Defence: nickel % | Defence: dime % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21.321 | 57.417 | 60.420 | – | – | – | 37.26 | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 23.815 | 52.421 | 55.926 | 52.524 | 21.519 | 32.29 | 28.219 | 27.127 | 31.815 | 69.27 | 4.721 |
| 2024 | 18.226 | 39.128 | 71.618 | 63.117 | 34.84 | 36.62 | 34.86 | 26.229 | 56.59 | 51.831 | 18.47 |
| 2023 | 15.030 | 45.815 | 67.020 | 50.728 | 38.92 | 27.921 | 32.36 | 30.914 | 45.312 | 61.825 | 26.42 |
| 2022 | 16.725 | 37.615 | 68.216 | 76.64 | 18.222 | 20.630 | 26.512 | 28.718 | 34.98 | 60.720 | 30.41 |
| 2021 | – | – | – | 56.625 | 14.027 | 26.822 | – | 31.63 | 45.92 | 65.611 | 21.88 |
| 2020 | – | – | – | 53.724 | 2.332 | 30.113 | – | 27.623 | 48.33 | 46.728 | 47.62 |
| 2019 | – | – | – | 58.223 | 18.417 | 28.421 | – | 31.49 | 67.01 | 42.327 | 41.44 |
| 2018 | – | – | – | 54.630 | 5.932 | 23.831 | – | 31.217 | 59.81 | 53.124 | 33.74 |
| 2017 | – | – | – | 43.930 | 17.321 | 30.06 | – | 19.729 | – | 47.721 | 37.44 |
| 2016 | – | – | – | 47.927 | 17.920 | 23.919 | – | 23.717 | – | 63.113 | 25.26 |
Seasons
2026 season
2026: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BUF 29–26 (lowest chance 16.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ SEA 10–13 (highest chance 81.2%)
2026 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | L 10–13 | Mike Vrabel |
| 2 | 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | W 20–3 | Mike Vrabel |
| 3 | 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | L 6–35 | Mike Vrabel |
| 4 | 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | W 29–26 | Mike Vrabel |
| 5 | 2026-10-11 | vs LV | W 45–17 | Mike Vrabel |
| 6 | 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | W 26–19 | Mike Vrabel |
| 7 | 2026-10-22 | @ CHI | L 24–30 | Mike Vrabel |
| 8 | 2026-11-01 | @ MIA | W 24–19 | Mike Vrabel |
| 9 | 2026-11-08 | vs GB | L 27–45 | Mike Vrabel |
| 10 | 2026-11-15 | @ DET | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
| 12 | 2026-11-29 | @ LAC | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
| 13 | 2026-12-06 | vs BUF | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
| 14 | 2026-12-10 | vs MIN | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
| 15 | 2026-12-21 | @ KC | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
| 16 | 2026-12-27 | @ NYJ | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
| 17 | 2027-01-03 | vs DEN | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
| 18 | 2027-01-10 | vs MIA | upcoming | Mike Vrabel |
2026: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 344 | +72.8 | +0.65 |
| Hunter Henry | 37 | +22.3 | +0.40 |
| Efton Chism III | 27 | +9.5 | +0.39 |
| DeMario Douglas | 46 | +24.9 | +0.29 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 138 | −7.3 | +0.20 |
| Romeo Doubs | 24 | +12.5 | +0.10 |
2025 season
2025: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BAL 28–24 (lowest chance 8.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs BUF 31–35 (highest chance 91.1%)
2025 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025-09-07 | vs LV | L 13–20 | Mike Vrabel |
| 2 | 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | W 33–27 | Mike Vrabel |
| 3 | 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | L 14–21 | Mike Vrabel |
| 4 | 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | W 42–13 | Mike Vrabel |
| 5 | 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | W 23–20 | Mike Vrabel |
| 6 | 2025-10-12 | @ NO | W 25–19 | Mike Vrabel |
| 7 | 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | W 31–13 | Mike Vrabel |
| 8 | 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | W 32–13 | Mike Vrabel |
| 9 | 2025-11-02 | vs ATL | W 24–23 | Mike Vrabel |
| 10 | 2025-11-09 | @ TB | W 28–23 | Mike Vrabel |
| 11 | 2025-11-13 | vs NYJ | W 27–14 | Mike Vrabel |
| 12 | 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | W 26–20 | Mike Vrabel |
| 13 | 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | W 33–15 | Mike Vrabel |
| 15 | 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | L 31–35 | Mike Vrabel |
| 16 | 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | W 28–24 | Mike Vrabel |
| 17 | 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | W 42–10 | Mike Vrabel |
| 18 | 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | W 38–10 | Mike Vrabel |
| P19 | 2026-01-11 | vs LAC | W 16–3 | Mike Vrabel |
| P20 | 2026-01-18 | vs HOU | W 28–16 | Mike Vrabel |
| P21 | 2026-01-25 | @ DEN | W 10–7 | Mike Vrabel |
| P22 | 2026-02-08 | vs SEA | L 13–29 | Mike Vrabel |
2025: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 656 | +203.5 | +3.47 |
| Stefon Diggs | 102 | +70.4 | +1.26 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 46 | +36.9 | +0.91 |
| Hunter Henry | 87 | +37.7 | +0.85 |
| Austin Hooper | 26 | +16.8 | +0.46 |
| DeMario Douglas | 53 | +27.2 | +0.41 |
2024 season
2024: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NYJ 25–22 (lowest chance 9.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 24–25 (highest chance 88.5%)
2024 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024-09-08 | @ CIN | W 16–10 | Jerod Mayo |
| 2 | 2024-09-15 | vs SEA | L 20–23 OT | Jerod Mayo |
| 3 | 2024-09-19 | @ NYJ | L 3–24 | Jerod Mayo |
| 4 | 2024-09-29 | @ SF | L 13–30 | Jerod Mayo |
| 5 | 2024-10-06 | vs MIA | L 10–15 | Jerod Mayo |
| 6 | 2024-10-13 | vs HOU | L 21–41 | Jerod Mayo |
| 7 | 2024-10-20 | @ JAX | L 16–32 | Jerod Mayo |
| 8 | 2024-10-27 | vs NYJ | W 25–22 | Jerod Mayo |
| 9 | 2024-11-03 | @ TEN | L 17–20 OT | Jerod Mayo |
| 10 | 2024-11-10 | @ CHI | W 19–3 | Jerod Mayo |
| 11 | 2024-11-17 | vs LA | L 22–28 | Jerod Mayo |
| 12 | 2024-11-24 | @ MIA | L 15–34 | Jerod Mayo |
| 13 | 2024-12-01 | vs IND | L 24–25 | Jerod Mayo |
| 15 | 2024-12-15 | @ ARI | L 17–30 | Jerod Mayo |
| 16 | 2024-12-22 | @ BUF | L 21–24 | Jerod Mayo |
| 17 | 2024-12-28 | vs LAC | L 7–40 | Jerod Mayo |
| 18 | 2025-01-05 | vs BUF | W 23–16 | Jerod Mayo |
2024: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 256 | −34.1 | +0.89 |
| DeMario Douglas | 90 | +21.6 | +0.40 |
| Hunter Henry | 97 | +24.2 | +0.37 |
| Drake Maye | 459 | −3.1 | +0.32 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 68 | +19.7 | +0.31 |
| Antonio Gibson | 151 | −11.2 | +0.29 |
2023 season
2023: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DEN 26–23 (lowest chance 12.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs WAS 17–20 (highest chance 78.6%)
2023 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2023-09-10 | vs PHI | L 20–25 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2023-09-17 | vs MIA | L 17–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2023-09-24 | @ NYJ | W 15–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2023-10-01 | @ DAL | L 3–38 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2023-10-08 | vs NO | L 0–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2023-10-15 | @ LV | L 17–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2023-10-22 | vs BUF | W 29–25 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2023-10-29 | @ MIA | L 17–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2023-11-05 | vs WAS | L 17–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2023-11-12 | vs IND | L 6–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2023-11-26 | @ NYG | L 7–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2023-12-03 | vs LAC | L 0–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2023-12-07 | @ PIT | W 21–18 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2023-12-17 | vs KC | L 17–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2023-12-24 | @ DEN | W 26–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2023-12-31 | @ BUF | L 21–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 18 | 2024-01-07 | vs NYJ | L 3–17 | Bill Belichick |
2023: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Henry | 61 | +18.5 | +0.53 |
| DeVante Parker | 55 | +1.0 | +0.30 |
| Mike Gesicki | 45 | −2.2 | +0.28 |
| Pharaoh Brown | 15 | +5.5 | +0.08 |
| Jalen Reagor | 24 | −10.2 | +0.06 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 56 | −8.9 | +0.01 |
2022 season
2022: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ ARI 27–13 (lowest chance 27.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ LV 24–30 (highest chance 95.7%)
2022 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2022-09-11 | @ MIA | L 7–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2022-09-18 | @ PIT | W 17–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2022-09-25 | vs BAL | L 26–37 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2022-10-02 | @ GB | L 24–27 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2022-10-09 | vs DET | W 29–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2022-10-16 | @ CLE | W 38–15 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2022-10-24 | vs CHI | L 14–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2022-10-30 | @ NYJ | W 22–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2022-11-06 | vs IND | W 26–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2022-11-20 | vs NYJ | W 10–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2022-11-24 | @ MIN | L 26–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2022-12-01 | vs BUF | L 10–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2022-12-12 | @ ARI | W 27–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2022-12-18 | @ LV | L 24–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2022-12-24 | vs CIN | L 18–22 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2023-01-01 | vs MIA | W 23–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 18 | 2023-01-08 | @ BUF | L 23–35 | Bill Belichick |
2022: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 98 | +38.0 | +0.98 |
| DeVante Parker | 47 | +15.6 | +0.52 |
| Hunter Henry | 59 | +13.7 | +0.34 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 54 | +11.8 | +0.26 |
| Bailey Zappe | 113 | +6.0 | +0.25 |
| Marcus Jones | 4 | +6.4 | +0.25 |
2021 season
2021: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ HOU 25–22 (lowest chance 20.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs DAL 29–35 (highest chance 83.9%)
2021 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | vs MIA | L 16–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2021-09-19 | @ NYJ | W 25–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2021-09-26 | vs NO | L 13–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2021-10-03 | vs TB | L 17–19 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2021-10-10 | @ HOU | W 25–22 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2021-10-17 | vs DAL | L 29–35 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2021-10-24 | vs NYJ | W 54–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2021-10-31 | @ LAC | W 27–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2021-11-07 | @ CAR | W 24–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2021-11-14 | vs CLE | W 45–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2021-11-18 | @ ATL | W 25–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2021-11-28 | vs TEN | W 36–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2021-12-06 | @ BUF | W 14–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2021-12-18 | @ IND | L 17–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2021-12-26 | vs BUF | L 21–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2022-01-02 | vs JAX | W 50–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 18 | 2022-01-09 | @ MIA | L 24–33 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2022-01-15 | @ BUF | L 17–47 | Bill Belichick |
2021: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Henry | 75 | +34.4 | +0.91 |
| Mac Jones | 616 | +75.6 | +0.80 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 129 | +19.7 | +0.39 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 83 | +54.3 | +0.31 |
| Brandon Bolden | 94 | +17.3 | +0.26 |
| James White | 24 | +5.1 | +0.20 |
2020 season
2020: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs BAL 23–17 (lowest chance 15.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs DEN 12–18 (highest chance 76.1%)
2020 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2020-09-13 | vs MIA | W 21–11 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2020-09-20 | @ SEA | L 30–35 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2020-09-27 | vs LV | W 36–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2020-10-05 | @ KC | L 10–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2020-10-18 | vs DEN | L 12–18 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2020-10-25 | vs SF | L 6–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2020-11-01 | @ BUF | L 21–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2020-11-09 | @ NYJ | W 30–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2020-11-15 | vs BAL | W 23–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2020-11-22 | @ HOU | L 20–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2020-11-29 | vs ARI | W 20–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2020-12-06 | @ LAC | W 45–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2020-12-10 | @ LA | L 3–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2020-12-20 | @ MIA | L 12–22 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2020-12-28 | vs BUF | L 9–38 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2021-01-03 | vs NYJ | W 28–14 | Bill Belichick |
2020: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 85 | +30.4 | +1.04 |
| Damiere Byrd | 79 | +17.1 | +0.55 |
| Cam Newton | 547 | +30.1 | +0.49 |
| Sony Michel | 88 | +14.0 | +0.44 |
| Julian Edelman | 43 | +4.6 | +0.35 |
| Rex Burkhead | 101 | +3.6 | +0.18 |
2019 season
2019: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ PHI 17–10 (lowest chance 36.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIA 24–27 (highest chance 98.3%)
2019 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2019-09-08 | vs PIT | W 33–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2019-09-15 | @ MIA | W 43–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2019-09-22 | vs NYJ | W 30–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2019-09-29 | @ BUF | W 16–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2019-10-06 | @ WAS | W 33–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2019-10-10 | vs NYG | W 35–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2019-10-21 | @ NYJ | W 33–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2019-10-27 | vs CLE | W 27–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2019-11-03 | @ BAL | L 20–37 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2019-11-17 | @ PHI | W 17–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2019-11-24 | vs DAL | W 13–9 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2019-12-01 | @ HOU | L 22–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2019-12-08 | vs KC | L 16–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2019-12-15 | @ CIN | W 34–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2019-12-21 | vs BUF | W 24–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | vs MIA | L 24–27 | Bill Belichick |
| P18 | 2020-01-04 | vs TEN | L 13–20 | Bill Belichick |
2019: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 41 | +14.2 | +0.17 |
| Benjamin Watson | 24 | +10.2 | +0.16 |
| Brandon Bolden | 27 | +1.7 | +0.09 |
| Josh Gordon | 37 | +10.5 | +0.07 |
| Elandon Roberts | 1 | +3.3 | +0.05 |
| James White | 164 | +11.6 | +0.04 |
2018 season
2018: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CHI 38–31 (lowest chance 25.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ MIA 33–34 (highest chance 98.6%)
2018 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2018-09-09 | vs HOU | W 27–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2018-09-16 | @ JAX | L 20–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2018-09-23 | @ DET | L 10–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2018-09-30 | vs MIA | W 38–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2018-10-04 | vs IND | W 38–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2018-10-14 | vs KC | W 43–40 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2018-10-21 | @ CHI | W 38–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2018-10-29 | @ BUF | W 25–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2018-11-04 | vs GB | W 31–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2018-11-11 | @ TEN | L 10–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2018-11-25 | @ NYJ | W 27–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2018-12-02 | vs MIN | W 24–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2018-12-09 | @ MIA | L 33–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2018-12-16 | @ PIT | L 10–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2018-12-23 | vs BUF | W 24–12 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2018-12-30 | vs NYJ | W 38–3 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2019-01-13 | vs LAC | W 41–28 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2019-01-20 | @ KC | W 37–31 OT | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2019-02-03 | @ LA | W 13–3 | Bill Belichick |
2018: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 632 | +123.1 | +2.45 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 72 | +31.0 | +0.77 |
| Julian Edelman | 119 | +38.5 | +0.63 |
| Josh Gordon | 68 | +34.3 | +0.62 |
| Chris Hogan | 55 | +21.3 | +0.61 |
| James White | 218 | +16.1 | +0.50 |
2017 season
2017: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ PIT 27–24 (lowest chance 10.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs KC 27–42 (highest chance 94.0%)
2017 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2017-09-07 | vs KC | L 27–42 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2017-09-17 | @ NO | W 36–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2017-09-24 | vs HOU | W 36–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2017-10-01 | vs CAR | L 30–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2017-10-05 | @ TB | W 19–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2017-10-15 | @ NYJ | W 24–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2017-10-22 | vs ATL | W 23–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2017-10-29 | vs LAC | W 21–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2017-11-12 | @ DEN | W 41–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2017-11-19 | @ LV | W 33–8 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2017-11-26 | vs MIA | W 35–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2017-12-03 | @ BUF | W 23–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2017-12-11 | @ MIA | L 20–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2017-12-17 | @ PIT | W 27–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2017-12-24 | vs BUF | W 37–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2017-12-31 | vs NYJ | W 26–6 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2018-01-13 | vs TEN | W 35–14 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2018-01-21 | vs JAX | W 24–20 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2018-02-04 | vs PHI | L 33–41 | Bill Belichick |
2017: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 681 | +166.2 | +3.02 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 105 | +73.5 | +1.53 |
| Danny Amendola | 86 | +40.3 | +1.12 |
| Brandin Cooks | 123 | +38.4 | +0.73 |
| Dion Lewis | 220 | +27.2 | +0.35 |
| Rex Burkhead | 101 | +13.3 | +0.25 |
2016 season
2016: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ ATL 34–28 (lowest chance 1.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs SEA 24–31 (highest chance 84.6%)
2016 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2016-09-11 | @ ARI | W 23–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2016-09-18 | vs MIA | W 31–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2016-09-22 | vs HOU | W 27–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2016-10-02 | vs BUF | L 0–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2016-10-09 | @ CLE | W 33–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2016-10-16 | vs CIN | W 35–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2016-10-23 | @ PIT | W 27–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2016-10-30 | @ BUF | W 41–25 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2016-11-13 | vs SEA | L 24–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2016-11-20 | @ SF | W 30–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2016-11-27 | @ NYJ | W 22–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2016-12-04 | vs LA | W 26–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2016-12-12 | vs BAL | W 30–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2016-12-18 | @ DEN | W 16–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2016-12-24 | vs NYJ | W 41–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2017-01-01 | @ MIA | W 35–14 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2017-01-14 | vs HOU | W 34–16 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2017-01-22 | vs PIT | W 36–17 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2017-02-05 | @ ATL | W 34–28 OT | Bill Belichick |
2016: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 495 | +166.9 | +1.94 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 77 | +31.1 | +0.83 |
| Julian Edelman | 171 | +39.9 | +0.70 |
| Chris Hogan | 61 | +27.1 | +0.65 |
| Martellus Bennett | 75 | +39.0 | +0.48 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 38 | +35.2 | +0.45 |
2015 season
2015: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NYG 27–26 (lowest chance 22.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs PHI 28–35 (highest chance 96.4%)
2015 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2015-09-10 | vs PIT | W 28–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2015-09-20 | @ BUF | W 40–32 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2015-09-27 | vs JAX | W 51–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2015-10-11 | @ DAL | W 30–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2015-10-18 | @ IND | W 34–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2015-10-25 | vs NYJ | W 30–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2015-10-29 | vs MIA | W 36–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2015-11-08 | vs WAS | W 27–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2015-11-15 | @ NYG | W 27–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2015-11-23 | vs BUF | W 20–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2015-11-29 | @ DEN | L 24–30 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2015-12-06 | vs PHI | L 28–35 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2015-12-13 | @ HOU | W 27–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2015-12-20 | vs TEN | W 33–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2015-12-27 | @ NYJ | L 20–26 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2016-01-03 | @ MIA | L 10–20 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2016-01-16 | vs KC | W 27–20 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2016-01-24 | @ DEN | L 18–20 | Bill Belichick |
2015: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 728 | +145.2 | +1.62 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 120 | +65.2 | +1.18 |
| Danny Amendola | 90 | +21.1 | +0.84 |
| Julian Edelman | 92 | +29.5 | +0.51 |
| Dion Lewis | 101 | +18.8 | +0.24 |
| James White | 78 | +20.1 | +0.23 |
2014 season
2014: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ SEA 28–24 (lowest chance 10.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ MIA 20–33 (highest chance 86.1%)
2014 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2014-09-07 | @ MIA | L 20–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2014-09-14 | @ MIN | W 30–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2014-09-21 | vs LV | W 16–9 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2014-09-29 | @ KC | L 14–41 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2014-10-05 | vs CIN | W 43–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2014-10-12 | @ BUF | W 37–22 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2014-10-16 | vs NYJ | W 27–25 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2014-10-26 | vs CHI | W 51–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2014-11-02 | vs DEN | W 43–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2014-11-16 | @ IND | W 42–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2014-11-23 | vs DET | W 34–9 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2014-11-30 | @ GB | L 21–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2014-12-07 | @ LAC | W 23–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2014-12-14 | vs MIA | W 41–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2014-12-21 | @ NYJ | W 17–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2014-12-28 | vs BUF | L 9–17 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2015-01-10 | vs BAL | W 35–31 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2015-01-18 | vs IND | W 45–7 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2015-02-01 | @ SEA | W 28–24 | Bill Belichick |
2014: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 671 | +127.6 | +1.86 |
| Julian Edelman | 144 | +57.6 | +1.18 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 131 | +60.3 | +0.82 |
| Jonas Gray | 95 | +5.5 | +0.39 |
| Brandon LaFell | 121 | +17.3 | +0.26 |
| Timothy Wright | 34 | +12.9 | +0.17 |
2013 season
2013: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CLE 27–26 (lowest chance 1.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ NYJ 27–30 (highest chance 92.7%)
2013 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2013-09-08 | @ BUF | W 23–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2013-09-12 | vs NYJ | W 13–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2013-09-22 | vs TB | W 23–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2013-09-29 | @ ATL | W 30–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2013-10-06 | @ CIN | L 6–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2013-10-13 | vs NO | W 30–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2013-10-20 | @ NYJ | L 27–30 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2013-10-27 | vs MIA | W 27–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2013-11-03 | vs PIT | W 55–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2013-11-18 | @ CAR | L 20–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2013-11-24 | vs DEN | W 34–31 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2013-12-01 | @ HOU | W 34–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2013-12-08 | vs CLE | W 27–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2013-12-15 | @ MIA | L 20–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2013-12-22 | @ BAL | W 41–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2013-12-29 | vs BUF | W 34–20 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2014-01-11 | vs IND | W 43–22 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2014-01-19 | @ DEN | L 16–26 | Bill Belichick |
2013: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 720 | +103.0 | +2.45 |
| Danny Amendola | 84 | +28.4 | +0.97 |
| Julian Edelman | 153 | +48.2 | +0.80 |
| Kenbrell Thompkins | 70 | +15.7 | +0.64 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 66 | +19.6 | +0.43 |
| Aaron Dobson | 72 | +18.0 | +0.26 |
2012 season
2012: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BUF 52–28 (lowest chance 17.3%)
- Worst collapse: @ SEA 23–24 (highest chance 96.4%)
2012 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-09-09 | @ TEN | W 34–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2012-09-16 | vs ARI | L 18–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2012-09-23 | @ BAL | L 30–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2012-09-30 | @ BUF | W 52–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2012-10-07 | vs DEN | W 31–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2012-10-14 | @ SEA | L 23–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2012-10-21 | vs NYJ | W 29–26 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2012-10-28 | @ LA | W 45–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2012-11-11 | vs BUF | W 37–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2012-11-18 | vs IND | W 59–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2012-11-22 | @ NYJ | W 49–19 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2012-12-02 | @ MIA | W 23–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2012-12-10 | vs HOU | W 42–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2012-12-16 | vs SF | L 34–41 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2012-12-23 | @ JAX | W 23–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2012-12-30 | vs MIA | W 28–0 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2013-01-13 | vs HOU | W 41–28 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2013-01-20 | vs BAL | L 13–28 | Bill Belichick |
2012: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 718 | +217.7 | +2.70 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 80 | +57.0 | +0.81 |
| Wes Welker | 177 | +57.3 | +0.75 |
| Brandon Lloyd | 130 | +38.3 | +0.56 |
| Julian Edelman | 36 | +16.9 | +0.36 |
| Danny Woodhead | 132 | +27.3 | +0.32 |
2011 season
2011: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs MIA 27–24 (lowest chance 13.7%)
- Worst collapse: @ BUF 31–34 (highest chance 98.0%)
2011 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011-09-12 | @ MIA | W 38–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2011-09-18 | vs LAC | W 35–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2011-09-25 | @ BUF | L 31–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2011-10-02 | @ LV | W 31–19 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2011-10-09 | vs NYJ | W 30–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2011-10-16 | vs DAL | W 20–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2011-10-30 | @ PIT | L 17–25 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2011-11-06 | vs NYG | L 20–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2011-11-13 | @ NYJ | W 37–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2011-11-21 | vs KC | W 34–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2011-11-27 | @ PHI | W 38–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2011-12-04 | vs IND | W 31–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2011-12-11 | @ WAS | W 34–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2011-12-18 | @ DEN | W 41–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2011-12-24 | vs MIA | W 27–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2012-01-01 | vs BUF | W 49–21 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2012-01-14 | vs DEN | W 45–10 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2012-01-22 | vs BAL | W 23–20 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2012-02-05 | vs NYG | L 17–21 | Bill Belichick |
2011: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 709 | +219.0 | +4.14 |
| Wes Welker | 176 | +96.6 | +2.00 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 125 | +98.3 | +1.67 |
| Aaron Hernandez | 118 | +38.4 | +0.76 |
| Deion Branch | 90 | +25.0 | +0.53 |
| Chad Johnson | 32 | +7.3 | +0.17 |
2010 season
2010: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs BAL 23–20 (lowest chance 14.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYJ 21–28 (highest chance 87.9%)
2010 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010-09-12 | vs CIN | W 38–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2010-09-19 | @ NYJ | L 14–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2010-09-26 | vs BUF | W 38–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2010-10-04 | @ MIA | W 41–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2010-10-17 | vs BAL | W 23–20 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2010-10-24 | @ LAC | W 23–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2010-10-31 | vs MIN | W 28–18 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2010-11-07 | @ CLE | L 14–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2010-11-14 | @ PIT | W 39–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2010-11-21 | vs IND | W 31–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2010-11-25 | @ DET | W 45–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2010-12-06 | vs NYJ | W 45–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2010-12-12 | @ CHI | W 36–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2010-12-19 | vs GB | W 31–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2010-12-26 | @ BUF | W 34–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2011-01-02 | vs MIA | W 38–7 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2011-01-16 | vs NYJ | L 21–28 | Bill Belichick |
2010: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 564 | +156.5 | +2.39 |
| Deion Branch | 74 | +43.8 | +0.81 |
| Aaron Hernandez | 67 | +34.7 | +0.78 |
| Wes Welker | 123 | +35.6 | +0.66 |
| Danny Woodhead | 144 | +30.0 | +0.62 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 59 | +43.9 | +0.53 |
2009 season
2009: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs BUF 25–24 (lowest chance 10.4%)
- Worst collapse: @ IND 34–35 (highest chance 97.6%)
2009 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009-09-14 | vs BUF | W 25–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2009-09-20 | @ NYJ | L 9–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2009-09-27 | vs ATL | W 26–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2009-10-04 | vs BAL | W 27–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2009-10-11 | @ DEN | L 17–20 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2009-10-18 | vs TEN | W 59–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2009-10-25 | @ TB | W 35–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2009-11-08 | vs MIA | W 27–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2009-11-15 | @ IND | L 34–35 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2009-11-22 | vs NYJ | W 31–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2009-11-30 | @ NO | L 17–38 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2009-12-06 | @ MIA | L 21–22 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2009-12-13 | vs CAR | W 20–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2009-12-20 | @ BUF | W 17–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2009-12-27 | vs JAX | W 35–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2010-01-03 | @ HOU | L 27–34 | Bill Belichick |
| P18 | 2010-01-10 | vs BAL | L 14–33 | Bill Belichick |
2009: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 633 | +158.0 | +1.05 |
| Randy Moss | 138 | +45.4 | +0.83 |
| Benjamin Watson | 41 | +33.1 | +0.67 |
| Wes Welker | 167 | +67.6 | +0.41 |
| Julian Edelman | 56 | +12.0 | +0.22 |
| Chris Baker | 19 | +8.3 | +0.04 |
2008 season
2008: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ SEA 24–21 (lowest chance 28.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs MIA 13–38 (highest chance 90.0%)
2008 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2008-09-07 | vs KC | W 17–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2008-09-14 | @ NYJ | W 19–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2008-09-21 | vs MIA | L 13–38 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2008-10-05 | @ SF | W 30–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2008-10-12 | @ LAC | L 10–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2008-10-20 | vs DEN | W 41–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2008-10-26 | vs LA | W 23–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2008-11-02 | @ IND | L 15–18 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2008-11-09 | vs BUF | W 20–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2008-11-13 | vs NYJ | L 31–34 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2008-11-23 | @ MIA | W 48–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2008-11-30 | vs PIT | L 10–33 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2008-12-07 | @ SEA | W 24–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2008-12-14 | @ LV | W 49–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2008-12-21 | vs ARI | W 47–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2008-12-28 | @ BUF | W 13–0 | Bill Belichick |
2008: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cassel | 629 | +108.9 | +2.38 |
| Wes Welker | 153 | +54.4 | +1.18 |
| Randy Moss | 128 | +43.6 | +1.09 |
| Kevin Faulk | 158 | +24.1 | +0.87 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 65 | +31.6 | +0.54 |
| Sammy Morris | 183 | +14.7 | +0.28 |
2007 season
2007: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ IND 24–20 (lowest chance 14.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYG 14–17 (highest chance 92.9%)
2007 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2007-09-09 | @ NYJ | W 38–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2007-09-16 | vs LAC | W 38–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2007-09-23 | vs BUF | W 38–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2007-10-01 | @ CIN | W 34–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2007-10-07 | vs CLE | W 34–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2007-10-14 | @ DAL | W 48–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2007-10-21 | @ MIA | W 49–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2007-10-28 | vs WAS | W 52–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2007-11-04 | @ IND | W 24–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2007-11-18 | @ BUF | W 56–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2007-11-25 | vs PHI | W 31–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2007-12-03 | @ BAL | W 27–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2007-12-09 | vs PIT | W 34–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2007-12-16 | vs NYJ | W 20–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2007-12-23 | vs MIA | W 28–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2007-12-29 | @ NYG | W 38–35 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2008-01-12 | vs JAX | W 31–20 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2008-01-20 | vs LAC | W 21–12 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2008-02-03 | vs NYG | L 14–17 | Bill Belichick |
2007: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 653 | +275.9 | +2.46 |
| Randy Moss | 159 | +100.9 | +1.03 |
| Wes Welker | 149 | +78.2 | +0.53 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 50 | +34.4 | +0.36 |
| Donte' Stallworth | 76 | +34.4 | +0.30 |
| Benjamin Watson | 50 | +24.6 | +0.16 |
2006 season
2006: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ LAC 24–21 (lowest chance 9.9%)
- Worst collapse: @ IND 34–38 (highest chance 91.0%)
2006 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2006-09-10 | vs BUF | W 19–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2006-09-17 | @ NYJ | W 24–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2006-09-24 | vs DEN | L 7–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2006-10-01 | @ CIN | W 38–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2006-10-08 | vs MIA | W 20–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2006-10-22 | @ BUF | W 28–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2006-10-30 | @ MIN | W 31–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2006-11-05 | vs IND | L 20–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2006-11-12 | vs NYJ | L 14–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2006-11-19 | @ GB | W 35–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2006-11-26 | vs CHI | W 17–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2006-12-03 | vs DET | W 28–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2006-12-10 | @ MIA | L 0–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2006-12-17 | vs HOU | W 40–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2006-12-24 | @ JAX | W 24–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2006-12-31 | @ TEN | W 40–23 | Bill Belichick |
| P18 | 2007-01-07 | vs NYJ | W 37–16 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2007-01-14 | @ LAC | W 24–21 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2007-01-21 | @ IND | L 34–38 | Bill Belichick |
2006: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reche Caldwell | 103 | +29.9 | +0.71 |
| Tom Brady | 595 | +94.9 | +0.68 |
| Corey Dillon | 220 | +3.9 | +0.39 |
| Doug Gabriel | 47 | +9.0 | +0.27 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 20 | +5.8 | +0.21 |
| David Thomas | 16 | +8.2 | +0.18 |
2005 season
2005: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs BUF 21–16 (lowest chance 19.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs LAC 17–41 (highest chance 80.3%)
2005 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2005-09-08 | vs LV | W 30–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2005-09-18 | @ CAR | L 17–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2005-09-25 | @ PIT | W 23–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2005-10-02 | vs LAC | L 17–41 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2005-10-09 | @ ATL | W 31–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2005-10-16 | @ DEN | L 20–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2005-10-30 | vs BUF | W 21–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2005-11-07 | vs IND | L 21–40 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2005-11-13 | @ MIA | W 23–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2005-11-20 | vs NO | W 24–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2005-11-27 | @ KC | L 16–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2005-12-04 | vs NYJ | W 16–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2005-12-11 | @ BUF | W 35–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2005-12-17 | vs TB | W 28–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2005-12-26 | @ NYJ | W 31–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2006-01-01 | vs MIA | L 26–28 | Bill Belichick |
| P18 | 2006-01-07 | vs JAX | W 28–3 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2006-01-14 | @ DEN | L 13–27 | Bill Belichick |
2005: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 605 | +142.4 | +2.44 |
| Deion Branch | 125 | +58.2 | +0.94 |
| Tim Dwight | 38 | +16.3 | +0.52 |
| David Givens | 97 | +15.3 | +0.48 |
| Benjamin Watson | 54 | +22.0 | +0.35 |
| Daniel Graham | 25 | +12.6 | +0.35 |
2004 season
2004: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs IND 27–24 (lowest chance 32.4%)
- Worst collapse: @ MIA 28–29 (highest chance 97.4%)
2004 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2004-09-09 | vs IND | W 27–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2004-09-19 | @ ARI | W 23–12 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2004-10-03 | @ BUF | W 31–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2004-10-10 | vs MIA | W 24–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2004-10-17 | vs SEA | W 30–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2004-10-24 | vs NYJ | W 13–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2004-10-31 | @ PIT | L 20–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2004-11-07 | @ LA | W 40–22 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2004-11-14 | vs BUF | W 29–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2004-11-22 | @ KC | W 27–19 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2004-11-28 | vs BAL | W 24–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2004-12-05 | @ CLE | W 42–15 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2004-12-12 | vs CIN | W 35–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2004-12-20 | @ MIA | L 28–29 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2004-12-26 | @ NYJ | W 23–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2005-01-02 | vs SF | W 21–7 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2005-01-16 | vs IND | W 20–3 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2005-01-23 | @ PIT | W 41–27 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2005-02-06 | @ PHI | W 24–21 | Bill Belichick |
2004: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 545 | +129.1 | +1.31 |
| Deion Branch | 51 | +33.9 | +0.76 |
| David Patten | 96 | +50.8 | +0.60 |
| David Givens | 106 | +38.7 | +0.37 |
| Daniel Graham | 48 | +14.1 | +0.29 |
| Kevin Faulk | 85 | +13.2 | +0.22 |
2003 season
2003: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIA 19–13 (lowest chance 9.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ BUF 0–31 (highest chance 51.7%)
2003 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2003-09-07 | @ BUF | L 0–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2003-09-14 | @ PHI | W 31–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2003-09-21 | vs NYJ | W 23–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2003-09-28 | @ WAS | L 17–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2003-10-05 | vs TEN | W 38–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2003-10-12 | vs NYG | W 17–6 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2003-10-19 | @ MIA | W 19–13 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2003-10-26 | vs CLE | W 9–3 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2003-11-03 | @ DEN | W 30–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2003-11-16 | vs DAL | W 12–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2003-11-23 | @ HOU | W 23–20 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2003-11-30 | @ IND | W 38–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2003-12-07 | vs MIA | W 12–0 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2003-12-14 | vs JAX | W 27–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2003-12-20 | @ NYJ | W 21–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2003-12-27 | vs BUF | W 31–0 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2004-01-10 | vs TEN | W 17–14 | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2004-01-18 | vs IND | W 24–14 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2004-02-01 | vs CAR | W 32–29 | Bill Belichick |
2003: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 611 | +36.7 | +1.65 |
| Deion Branch | 105 | +31.7 | +1.25 |
| Troy Brown | 66 | +22.2 | +0.79 |
| David Givens | 55 | +33.9 | +0.63 |
| Daniel Graham | 63 | +12.6 | +0.24 |
| Christian Fauria | 45 | +7.2 | +0.24 |
2002 season
2002: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs MIA 27–24 (lowest chance 3.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ LAC 14–21 (highest chance 83.3%)
2002 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2002-09-09 | vs PIT | W 30–14 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2002-09-15 | @ NYJ | W 44–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2002-09-22 | vs KC | W 41–38 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2002-09-29 | @ LAC | L 14–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2002-10-06 | @ MIA | L 13–26 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2002-10-13 | vs GB | L 10–28 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2002-10-27 | vs DEN | L 16–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2002-11-03 | @ BUF | W 38–7 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2002-11-10 | @ CHI | W 33–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2002-11-17 | @ LV | L 20–27 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2002-11-24 | vs MIN | W 24–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2002-11-28 | @ DET | W 20–12 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2002-12-08 | vs BUF | W 27–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2002-12-16 | @ TEN | L 7–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2002-12-22 | vs NYJ | L 17–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2002-12-29 | vs MIA | W 27–24 OT | Bill Belichick |
2002: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Patten | 123 | +7.1 | +0.68 |
| Kevin Faulk | 110 | +8.0 | +0.55 |
| Troy Brown | 145 | +18.4 | +0.31 |
| Tom Brady | 695 | +27.9 | +0.30 |
| Christian Fauria | 40 | +15.8 | +0.27 |
| Damon Huard | 1 | +2.1 | +0.07 |
2001 season
2001: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LAC 29–26 (lowest chance 4.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ CIN 17–23 (highest chance 75.0%)
2001 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2001-09-09 | @ CIN | L 17–23 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2001-09-23 | vs NYJ | L 3–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2001-09-30 | vs IND | W 44–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2001-10-07 | @ MIA | L 10–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2001-10-14 | vs LAC | W 29–26 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2001-10-21 | @ IND | W 38–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2001-10-28 | @ DEN | L 20–31 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2001-11-04 | @ ATL | W 24–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 9 | 2001-11-11 | vs BUF | W 21–11 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2001-11-18 | vs LA | L 17–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2001-11-25 | vs NO | W 34–17 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2001-12-02 | @ NYJ | W 17–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2001-12-09 | vs CLE | W 27–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2001-12-16 | @ BUF | W 12–9 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2001-12-22 | vs MIA | W 20–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2002-01-06 | @ CAR | W 38–6 | Bill Belichick |
| P19 | 2002-01-19 | vs LV | W 16–13 OT | Bill Belichick |
| P20 | 2002-01-27 | @ PIT | W 24–17 | Bill Belichick |
| P21 | 2002-02-03 | vs LA | W 20–17 | Bill Belichick |
2001: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 509 | +14.4 | +1.43 |
| Troy Brown | 153 | +58.4 | +1.39 |
| David Patten | 101 | +17.2 | +0.60 |
| Kevin Faulk | 78 | +4.6 | +0.26 |
| Jermaine Wiggins | 21 | +10.8 | +0.23 |
| J.R. Redmond | 56 | −9.5 | +0.19 |
2000 season
2000: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ BUF 13–10 (lowest chance 9.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ NYJ 19–20 (highest chance 91.4%)
2000 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2000-09-03 | vs TB | L 16–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 2 | 2000-09-11 | @ NYJ | L 19–20 | Bill Belichick |
| 3 | 2000-09-17 | vs MIN | L 13–21 | Bill Belichick |
| 4 | 2000-09-24 | @ MIA | L 3–10 | Bill Belichick |
| 5 | 2000-10-01 | @ DEN | W 28–19 | Bill Belichick |
| 6 | 2000-10-08 | vs IND | W 24–16 | Bill Belichick |
| 7 | 2000-10-15 | vs NYJ | L 17–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 8 | 2000-10-22 | @ IND | L 23–30 | Bill Belichick |
| 10 | 2000-11-05 | vs BUF | L 13–16 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 11 | 2000-11-12 | @ CLE | L 11–19 | Bill Belichick |
| 12 | 2000-11-19 | vs CIN | W 16–13 | Bill Belichick |
| 13 | 2000-11-23 | @ DET | L 9–34 | Bill Belichick |
| 14 | 2000-12-04 | vs KC | W 30–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 15 | 2000-12-10 | @ CHI | L 17–24 | Bill Belichick |
| 16 | 2000-12-17 | @ BUF | W 13–10 OT | Bill Belichick |
| 17 | 2000-12-24 | vs MIA | L 24–27 | Bill Belichick |
2000: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Brown | 125 | +32.2 | +1.03 |
| Terry Glenn | 167 | +18.9 | +0.84 |
| Jermaine Wiggins | 24 | +8.5 | +0.28 |
| Tony Simmons | 30 | +9.1 | +0.15 |
| Chris Calloway | 10 | +4.3 | +0.14 |
| Drew Bledsoe | 656 | +5.2 | +0.08 |
1999 season
1999: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs IND 31–28 (lowest chance 3.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs BUF 10–13 (highest chance 91.1%)
1999 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1999-09-12 | @ NYJ | W 30–28 | Pete Carroll |
| 2 | 1999-09-19 | vs IND | W 31–28 | Pete Carroll |
| 3 | 1999-09-26 | vs NYG | W 16–14 | Pete Carroll |
| 4 | 1999-10-03 | @ CLE | W 19–7 | Pete Carroll |
| 5 | 1999-10-10 | @ KC | L 14–16 | Pete Carroll |
| 6 | 1999-10-17 | vs MIA | L 30–31 | Pete Carroll |
| 7 | 1999-10-24 | vs DEN | W 24–23 | Pete Carroll |
| 8 | 1999-10-31 | @ ARI | W 27–3 | Pete Carroll |
| 10 | 1999-11-15 | vs NYJ | L 17–24 | Pete Carroll |
| 11 | 1999-11-21 | @ MIA | L 17–27 | Pete Carroll |
| 12 | 1999-11-28 | @ BUF | L 7–17 | Pete Carroll |
| 13 | 1999-12-05 | vs DAL | W 13–6 | Pete Carroll |
| 14 | 1999-12-12 | @ IND | L 15–20 | Pete Carroll |
| 15 | 1999-12-19 | @ PHI | L 9–24 | Pete Carroll |
| 16 | 1999-12-26 | vs BUF | L 10–13 OT | Pete Carroll |
| 17 | 2000-01-02 | vs BAL | W 20–3 | Pete Carroll |
1999: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Glenn | 115 | +46.2 | +0.58 |
| Shawn Jefferson | 76 | +31.6 | +0.38 |
| Troy Brown | 57 | +13.7 | +0.30 |
| Tony Simmons | 33 | +4.0 | +0.20 |
| Vincent Brisby | 33 | +7.1 | +0.07 |
| Lee Johnson | 1 | +2.3 | +0.07 |