Teams › TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC South
Season by season
Adjusted ratings: opponent-adjusted EPA per play, regular season (the small number is the league rank; lower allowed is better). 4th-down WP lost: our model’s best option minus the coach’s call, 2018 on.
| Season | Record | Playoffs | Points for | Points against | Offence adj. EPA/play | Defence adj. EPA/play allowed | 4th-down WP lost per game (pts) | Head coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3–6 | 202 | 178 | −0.06228 | −0.0751 | 1.74 | Todd Bowles | |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 380 | 411 | +0.01619 | +0.01716 | 2.39 | Todd Bowles | |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 0–1 | 502 | 385 | +0.1025 | +0.01117 | 2.02 | Todd Bowles |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 1–1 | 348 | 325 | −0.00013 | −0.02417 | 2.39 | Todd Bowles |
| 2022 | 8–9 | 0–1 | 313 | 358 | −0.02520 | −0.02411 | 4.19 | Todd Bowles |
| 2021 | 13–4 | 1–1 | 511 | 353 | +0.1241 | −0.0186 | 3.15 | Bruce Arians |
| 2020 | 11–5 | 4–0 | 492 | 355 | +0.1285 | −0.0105 | 3.59 | Bruce Arians |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 458 | 449 | −0.00619 | −0.0474 | 3.95 | Bruce Arians | |
| 2018 | 5–11 | 396 | 464 | +0.03812 | +0.05126 | 3.03 | Dirk Koetter | |
| 2017 | 5–11 | 335 | 382 | +0.00012 | +0.01128 | – | Dirk Koetter | |
| 2016 | 9–7 | 354 | 369 | −0.00217 | −0.00114 | – | Dirk Koetter | |
| 2015 | 6–10 | 342 | 417 | −0.00015 | +0.03327 | – | Lovie Smith | |
| 2014 | 2–14 | 277 | 410 | −0.09930 | +0.01224 | – | Lovie Smith | |
| 2013 | 4–12 | 288 | 389 | −0.05725 | +0.00013 | – | Greg Schiano | |
| 2012 | 7–9 | 389 | 394 | +0.01016 | +0.00616 | – | Greg Schiano | |
| 2011 | 4–12 | 287 | 494 | −0.08127 | +0.06031 | – | Raheem Morris | |
| 2010 | 10–6 | 341 | 318 | +0.0348 | +0.01027 | – | Raheem Morris | |
| 2009 | 3–13 | 244 | 400 | −0.11028 | +0.00221 | – | Raheem Morris | |
| 2008 | 9–7 | 361 | 323 | −0.03822 | −0.0606 | – | Jon Gruden | |
| 2007 | 9–7 | 0–1 | 334 | 270 | −0.01713 | −0.0624 | – | Jon Gruden |
| 2006 | 4–12 | 211 | 353 | −0.15030 | −0.01721 | – | Jon Gruden | |
| 2005 | 11–5 | 0–1 | 300 | 274 | −0.05920 | −0.0525 | – | Jon Gruden |
| 2004 | 5–11 | 301 | 304 | −0.06224 | −0.0528 | – | Jon Gruden | |
| 2003 | 7–9 | 301 | 264 | −0.04817 | −0.0864 | – | Jon Gruden | |
| 2002 | 12–4 | 3–0 | 346 | 196 | −0.03821 | −0.1251 | – | Jon Gruden |
| 2001 | 9–7 | 0–1 | 324 | 280 | −0.02411 | −0.0717 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 2000 | 10–6 | 0–1 | 388 | 269 | −0.02012 | −0.0756 | – | Tony Dungy |
| 1999 | 11–5 | 1–1 | 270 | 235 | −0.12928 | −0.1181 | – | Tony Dungy |
Tendencies by season
Regular season. The small number is the team’s rank that season (1 = the highest rate). Personnel, pressure and coverage from 2016 (man coverage 2018), published after each season; play action, motion, shotgun and blitzes from 2022. The sources and their labels changed in 2023, so compare a team with its league in the same season, not across years. Pressure and time to throw: NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse (2016–22) and FTN Data via nflverse (2023 on); play action, blitzes and interception-worthy throws: FTN Data via nflverse (2022 on). Both CC BY-SA 4.0; aggregated by Red Zone Math, and this table is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0 too.
| Season | Play action % | Motion % | Shotgun % | 11 personnel % | 12 personnel % | QB pressured % | Defence: blitz % | Defence: pressure % | Defence: man coverage % | Defence: nickel % | Defence: dime % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21.719 | 69.34 | 64.814 | – | – | – | 43.62 | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 17.030 | 62.06 | 65.919 | 70.75 | 20.721 | 29.219 | 37.53 | 34.05 | 30.018 | 61.318 | 1.125 |
| 2024 | 18.525 | 49.614 | 60.227 | 72.58 | 17.623 | 26.828 | 43.52 | 35.25 | 33.830 | 70.911 | 2.424 |
| 2023 | 22.78 | 38.123 | 75.013 | 72.79 | 24.57 | 27.323 | 38.63 | 27.324 | 34.325 | 59.727 | 5.221 |
| 2022 | 12.831 | 39.112 | 70.511 | 72.88 | 18.820 | 19.932 | 33.22 | 25.727 | 22.226 | 59.023 | 1.225 |
| 2021 | – | – | – | 73.06 | 20.817 | 19.832 | – | 31.55 | 24.127 | 68.08 | 2.028 |
| 2020 | – | – | – | 62.815 | 22.511 | 26.824 | – | 32.64 | 27.923 | 63.512 | 0.829 |
| 2019 | – | – | – | 66.213 | 22.910 | 31.79 | – | 31.67 | 39.710 | 66.39 | 1.727 |
| 2018 | – | – | – | 69.213 | 22.37 | 32.117 | – | 28.926 | 31.620 | 52.725 | 13.215 |
| 2017 | – | – | – | 62.115 | 21.015 | 24.617 | – | 23.719 | – | 62.711 | 0.526 |
| 2016 | – | – | – | 61.517 | 23.66 | 25.318 | – | 19.532 | – | 61.415 | 0.131 |
Seasons
2026 season
2026: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DAL 24–16 (lowest chance 12.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs CLE 19–23 (highest chance 92.8%)
2026 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-13 | @ CIN | L 27–33 | Todd Bowles |
| 2 | 2026-09-20 | vs CLE | L 19–23 | Todd Bowles |
| 3 | 2026-09-27 | vs MIN | L 16–23 | Todd Bowles |
| 4 | 2026-10-04 | vs GB | L 14–17 | Todd Bowles |
| 5 | 2026-10-08 | @ DAL | W 24–16 | Todd Bowles |
| 6 | 2026-10-18 | vs PIT | L 19–26 OT | Todd Bowles |
| 7 | 2026-10-25 | @ CAR | W 43–13 | Todd Bowles |
| 8 | 2026-11-01 | vs ATL | W 16–0 | Todd Bowles |
| 9 | 2026-11-08 | @ CHI | L 24–27 | Todd Bowles |
| 11 | 2026-11-22 | @ DET | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
| 12 | 2026-11-30 | vs CAR | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
| 13 | 2026-12-06 | vs LAC | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
| 14 | 2026-12-13 | @ BAL | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
| 15 | 2026-12-20 | vs NO | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
| 16 | 2026-12-27 | @ ATL | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
| 17 | 2027-01-03 | vs LA | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
| 18 | 2027-01-10 | @ NO | upcoming | Todd Bowles |
2026: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tez Johnson | 23 | +11.3 | +0.28 |
| Bucky Irving | 201 | −5.9 | +0.14 |
| Cade Otton | 38 | −4.5 | +0.05 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 42 | +7.9 | +0.04 |
| Bauer Sharp | 1 | +1.4 | +0.03 |
| Ted Hurst III | 25 | −1.0 | −0.01 |
2025 season
2025: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ HOU 20–19 (lowest chance 10.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs ATL 28–29 (highest chance 95.9%)
2025 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025-09-07 | @ ATL | W 23–20 | Todd Bowles |
| 2 | 2025-09-15 | @ HOU | W 20–19 | Todd Bowles |
| 3 | 2025-09-21 | vs NYJ | W 29–27 | Todd Bowles |
| 4 | 2025-09-28 | vs PHI | L 25–31 | Todd Bowles |
| 5 | 2025-10-05 | @ SEA | W 38–35 | Todd Bowles |
| 6 | 2025-10-12 | vs SF | W 30–19 | Todd Bowles |
| 7 | 2025-10-20 | @ DET | L 9–24 | Todd Bowles |
| 8 | 2025-10-26 | @ NO | W 23–3 | Todd Bowles |
| 10 | 2025-11-09 | vs NE | L 23–28 | Todd Bowles |
| 11 | 2025-11-16 | @ BUF | L 32–44 | Todd Bowles |
| 12 | 2025-11-23 | @ LA | L 7–34 | Todd Bowles |
| 13 | 2025-11-30 | vs ARI | W 20–17 | Todd Bowles |
| 14 | 2025-12-07 | vs NO | L 20–24 | Todd Bowles |
| 15 | 2025-12-11 | vs ATL | L 28–29 | Todd Bowles |
| 16 | 2025-12-21 | @ CAR | L 20–23 | Todd Bowles |
| 17 | 2025-12-28 | @ MIA | L 17–20 | Todd Bowles |
| 18 | 2026-01-03 | vs CAR | W 16–14 | Todd Bowles |
2025: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 668 | +61.5 | +1.54 |
| Rachaad White | 180 | +6.2 | +0.71 |
| Emeka Egbuka | 129 | +5.4 | +0.70 |
| Sterling Shepard | 57 | −1.7 | +0.38 |
| Tez Johnson | 51 | +15.1 | +0.31 |
| Jalen McMillan | 16 | +12.0 | +0.20 |
2024 season
2024: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CAR 26–23 (lowest chance 17.2%)
- Worst collapse: @ ATL 30–36 (highest chance 93.4%)
2024 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024-09-08 | vs WAS | W 37–20 | Todd Bowles |
| 2 | 2024-09-15 | @ DET | W 20–16 | Todd Bowles |
| 3 | 2024-09-22 | vs DEN | L 7–26 | Todd Bowles |
| 4 | 2024-09-29 | vs PHI | W 33–16 | Todd Bowles |
| 5 | 2024-10-03 | @ ATL | L 30–36 OT | Todd Bowles |
| 6 | 2024-10-13 | @ NO | W 51–27 | Todd Bowles |
| 7 | 2024-10-21 | vs BAL | L 31–41 | Todd Bowles |
| 8 | 2024-10-27 | vs ATL | L 26–31 | Todd Bowles |
| 9 | 2024-11-04 | @ KC | L 24–30 OT | Todd Bowles |
| 10 | 2024-11-10 | vs SF | L 20–23 | Todd Bowles |
| 12 | 2024-11-24 | @ NYG | W 30–7 | Todd Bowles |
| 13 | 2024-12-01 | @ CAR | W 26–23 OT | Todd Bowles |
| 14 | 2024-12-08 | vs LV | W 28–13 | Todd Bowles |
| 15 | 2024-12-15 | @ LAC | W 40–17 | Todd Bowles |
| 16 | 2024-12-22 | @ DAL | L 24–26 | Todd Bowles |
| 17 | 2024-12-29 | vs CAR | W 48–14 | Todd Bowles |
| 18 | 2025-01-05 | vs NO | W 27–19 | Todd Bowles |
| P19 | 2025-01-12 | vs WAS | L 20–23 | Todd Bowles |
2024: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 697 | +145.7 | +2.55 |
| Mike Evans | 110 | +38.5 | +1.01 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 63 | +37.0 | +0.89 |
| Sterling Shepard | 59 | +17.3 | +0.49 |
| Bucky Irving | 264 | +30.8 | +0.38 |
| Sean Tucker | 62 | +17.5 | +0.30 |
2023 season
2023: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIN 20–17 (lowest chance 17.5%)
- Worst collapse: @ HOU 37–39 (highest chance 84.9%)
2023 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2023-09-10 | @ MIN | W 20–17 | Todd Bowles |
| 2 | 2023-09-17 | vs CHI | W 27–17 | Todd Bowles |
| 3 | 2023-09-25 | vs PHI | L 11–25 | Todd Bowles |
| 4 | 2023-10-01 | @ NO | W 26–9 | Todd Bowles |
| 6 | 2023-10-15 | vs DET | L 6–20 | Todd Bowles |
| 7 | 2023-10-22 | vs ATL | L 13–16 | Todd Bowles |
| 8 | 2023-10-26 | @ BUF | L 18–24 | Todd Bowles |
| 9 | 2023-11-05 | @ HOU | L 37–39 | Todd Bowles |
| 10 | 2023-11-12 | vs TEN | W 20–6 | Todd Bowles |
| 11 | 2023-11-19 | @ SF | L 14–27 | Todd Bowles |
| 12 | 2023-11-26 | @ IND | L 20–27 | Todd Bowles |
| 13 | 2023-12-03 | vs CAR | W 21–18 | Todd Bowles |
| 14 | 2023-12-10 | @ ATL | W 29–25 | Todd Bowles |
| 15 | 2023-12-17 | @ GB | W 34–20 | Todd Bowles |
| 16 | 2023-12-24 | vs JAX | W 30–12 | Todd Bowles |
| 17 | 2023-12-31 | vs NO | L 13–23 | Todd Bowles |
| 18 | 2024-01-07 | @ CAR | W 9–0 | Todd Bowles |
| P19 | 2024-01-15 | vs PHI | W 32–9 | Todd Bowles |
| P20 | 2024-01-21 | @ DET | L 23–31 | Todd Bowles |
2023: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 686 | +89.8 | +3.14 |
| Mike Evans | 136 | +55.0 | +1.65 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 135 | +46.6 | +0.85 |
| Cade Otton | 67 | +11.5 | +0.75 |
| Rachaad White | 347 | −26.6 | +0.28 |
| David Moore | 7 | +2.8 | +0.17 |
2022 season
2022: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NO 17–16 (lowest chance 1.3%)
- Worst collapse: @ CLE 17–23 (highest chance 95.0%)
2022 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2022-09-11 | @ DAL | W 19–3 | Todd Bowles |
| 2 | 2022-09-18 | @ NO | W 20–10 | Todd Bowles |
| 3 | 2022-09-25 | vs GB | L 12–14 | Todd Bowles |
| 4 | 2022-10-02 | vs KC | L 31–41 | Todd Bowles |
| 5 | 2022-10-09 | vs ATL | W 21–15 | Todd Bowles |
| 6 | 2022-10-16 | @ PIT | L 18–20 | Todd Bowles |
| 7 | 2022-10-23 | @ CAR | L 3–21 | Todd Bowles |
| 8 | 2022-10-27 | vs BAL | L 22–27 | Todd Bowles |
| 9 | 2022-11-06 | vs LA | W 16–13 | Todd Bowles |
| 10 | 2022-11-13 | vs SEA | W 21–16 | Todd Bowles |
| 12 | 2022-11-27 | @ CLE | L 17–23 OT | Todd Bowles |
| 13 | 2022-12-05 | vs NO | W 17–16 | Todd Bowles |
| 14 | 2022-12-11 | @ SF | L 7–35 | Todd Bowles |
| 15 | 2022-12-18 | vs CIN | L 23–34 | Todd Bowles |
| 16 | 2022-12-25 | @ ARI | W 19–16 OT | Todd Bowles |
| 17 | 2023-01-01 | vs CAR | W 30–24 | Todd Bowles |
| 18 | 2023-01-08 | @ ATL | L 17–30 | Todd Bowles |
| P19 | 2023-01-16 | vs DAL | L 14–31 | Todd Bowles |
2022: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 805 | +60.9 | +1.75 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 146 | +29.5 | +0.78 |
| Mike Evans | 127 | +27.0 | +0.76 |
| Russell Gage | 70 | +20.4 | +0.74 |
| Cade Otton | 65 | +5.0 | +0.47 |
| Julio Jones | 48 | +10.7 | +0.41 |
2021 season
2021: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ IND 38–31 (lowest chance 13.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 0–9 (highest chance 87.5%)
2021 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021-09-09 | vs DAL | W 31–29 | Bruce Arians |
| 2 | 2021-09-19 | vs ATL | W 48–25 | Bruce Arians |
| 3 | 2021-09-26 | @ LA | L 24–34 | Bruce Arians |
| 4 | 2021-10-03 | @ NE | W 19–17 | Bruce Arians |
| 5 | 2021-10-10 | vs MIA | W 45–17 | Bruce Arians |
| 6 | 2021-10-14 | @ PHI | W 28–22 | Bruce Arians |
| 7 | 2021-10-24 | vs CHI | W 38–3 | Bruce Arians |
| 8 | 2021-10-31 | @ NO | L 27–36 | Bruce Arians |
| 10 | 2021-11-14 | @ WAS | L 19–29 | Bruce Arians |
| 11 | 2021-11-22 | vs NYG | W 30–10 | Bruce Arians |
| 12 | 2021-11-28 | @ IND | W 38–31 | Bruce Arians |
| 13 | 2021-12-05 | @ ATL | W 30–17 | Bruce Arians |
| 14 | 2021-12-12 | vs BUF | W 33–27 OT | Bruce Arians |
| 15 | 2021-12-19 | vs NO | L 0–9 | Bruce Arians |
| 16 | 2021-12-26 | @ CAR | W 32–6 | Bruce Arians |
| 17 | 2022-01-02 | @ NYJ | W 28–24 | Bruce Arians |
| 18 | 2022-01-09 | vs CAR | W 41–17 | Bruce Arians |
| P19 | 2022-01-16 | vs PHI | W 31–15 | Bruce Arians |
| P20 | 2022-01-23 | vs LA | L 27–30 | Bruce Arians |
2021: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 786 | +170.2 | +3.20 |
| Cyril Grayson | 14 | +19.1 | +0.89 |
| Mike Evans | 115 | +66.3 | +0.84 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 89 | +32.7 | +0.80 |
| Breshad Perriman | 19 | +6.3 | +0.42 |
| Antonio Brown | 63 | +34.3 | +0.39 |
2020 season
2020: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ ATL 31–27 (lowest chance 9.2%)
- Worst collapse: @ CHI 19–20 (highest chance 90.4%)
2020 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2020-09-13 | @ NO | L 23–34 | Bruce Arians |
| 2 | 2020-09-20 | vs CAR | W 31–17 | Bruce Arians |
| 3 | 2020-09-27 | @ DEN | W 28–10 | Bruce Arians |
| 4 | 2020-10-04 | vs LAC | W 38–31 | Bruce Arians |
| 5 | 2020-10-08 | @ CHI | L 19–20 | Bruce Arians |
| 6 | 2020-10-18 | vs GB | W 38–10 | Bruce Arians |
| 7 | 2020-10-25 | @ LV | W 45–20 | Bruce Arians |
| 8 | 2020-11-02 | @ NYG | W 25–23 | Bruce Arians |
| 9 | 2020-11-08 | vs NO | L 3–38 | Bruce Arians |
| 10 | 2020-11-15 | @ CAR | W 46–23 | Bruce Arians |
| 11 | 2020-11-23 | vs LA | L 24–27 | Bruce Arians |
| 12 | 2020-11-29 | vs KC | L 24–27 | Bruce Arians |
| 14 | 2020-12-13 | vs MIN | W 26–14 | Bruce Arians |
| 15 | 2020-12-20 | @ ATL | W 31–27 | Bruce Arians |
| 16 | 2020-12-26 | @ DET | W 47–7 | Bruce Arians |
| 17 | 2021-01-03 | vs ATL | W 44–27 | Bruce Arians |
| P18 | 2021-01-09 | @ WAS | W 31–23 | Bruce Arians |
| P19 | 2021-01-17 | @ NO | W 30–20 | Bruce Arians |
| P20 | 2021-01-24 | @ GB | W 31–26 | Bruce Arians |
| P21 | 2021-02-07 | vs KC | W 31–9 | Bruce Arians |
2020: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 682 | +169.8 | +2.52 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 84 | +55.2 | +1.17 |
| Mike Evans | 109 | +51.9 | +0.89 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 77 | +23.1 | +0.41 |
| Scott Miller | 56 | +14.3 | +0.40 |
| Antonio Brown | 64 | +23.7 | +0.33 |
2019 season
2019: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs ARI 30–27 (lowest chance 12.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYG 31–32 (highest chance 96.3%)
2019 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2019-09-08 | vs SF | L 17–31 | Bruce Arians |
| 2 | 2019-09-12 | @ CAR | W 20–14 | Bruce Arians |
| 3 | 2019-09-22 | vs NYG | L 31–32 | Bruce Arians |
| 4 | 2019-09-29 | @ LA | W 55–40 | Bruce Arians |
| 5 | 2019-10-06 | @ NO | L 24–31 | Bruce Arians |
| 6 | 2019-10-13 | vs CAR | L 26–37 | Bruce Arians |
| 8 | 2019-10-27 | @ TEN | L 23–27 | Bruce Arians |
| 9 | 2019-11-03 | @ SEA | L 34–40 OT | Bruce Arians |
| 10 | 2019-11-10 | vs ARI | W 30–27 | Bruce Arians |
| 11 | 2019-11-17 | vs NO | L 17–34 | Bruce Arians |
| 12 | 2019-11-24 | @ ATL | W 35–22 | Bruce Arians |
| 13 | 2019-12-01 | @ JAX | W 28–11 | Bruce Arians |
| 14 | 2019-12-08 | vs IND | W 38–35 | Bruce Arians |
| 15 | 2019-12-15 | @ DET | W 38–17 | Bruce Arians |
| 16 | 2019-12-21 | vs HOU | L 20–23 | Bruce Arians |
| 17 | 2019-12-29 | vs ATL | L 22–28 OT | Bruce Arians |
2019: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 122 | +85.4 | +1.98 |
| Jameis Winston | 752 | +72.8 | +1.56 |
| Mike Evans | 118 | +27.7 | +1.49 |
| Breshad Perriman | 71 | +30.3 | +0.67 |
| Justin Watson | 26 | +1.9 | +0.15 |
| O.J. Howard | 53 | +9.4 | +0.09 |
2018 season
2018: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NO 48–40 (lowest chance 11.9%)
- Worst collapse: vs ATL 32–34 (highest chance 88.7%)
2018 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2018-09-09 | @ NO | W 48–40 | Dirk Koetter |
| 2 | 2018-09-16 | vs PHI | W 27–21 | Dirk Koetter |
| 3 | 2018-09-24 | vs PIT | L 27–30 | Dirk Koetter |
| 4 | 2018-09-30 | @ CHI | L 10–48 | Dirk Koetter |
| 6 | 2018-10-14 | @ ATL | L 29–34 | Dirk Koetter |
| 7 | 2018-10-21 | vs CLE | W 26–23 OT | Dirk Koetter |
| 8 | 2018-10-28 | @ CIN | L 34–37 | Dirk Koetter |
| 9 | 2018-11-04 | @ CAR | L 28–42 | Dirk Koetter |
| 10 | 2018-11-11 | vs WAS | L 3–16 | Dirk Koetter |
| 11 | 2018-11-18 | @ NYG | L 35–38 | Dirk Koetter |
| 12 | 2018-11-25 | vs SF | W 27–9 | Dirk Koetter |
| 13 | 2018-12-02 | vs CAR | W 24–17 | Dirk Koetter |
| 14 | 2018-12-09 | vs NO | L 14–28 | Dirk Koetter |
| 15 | 2018-12-16 | @ BAL | L 12–20 | Dirk Koetter |
| 16 | 2018-12-23 | @ DAL | L 20–27 | Dirk Koetter |
| 17 | 2018-12-30 | vs ATL | L 32–34 | Dirk Koetter |
2018: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 477 | +80.0 | +1.62 |
| Mike Evans | 138 | +60.7 | +1.59 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 305 | +65.3 | +1.10 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 95 | +34.0 | +0.77 |
| Adam Humphries | 107 | +40.3 | +0.70 |
| O.J. Howard | 48 | +25.6 | +0.50 |
2017 season
2017: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs NO 31–24 (lowest chance 14.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ BUF 27–30 (highest chance 83.5%)
2017 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2017-09-17 | vs CHI | W 29–7 | Dirk Koetter |
| 3 | 2017-09-24 | @ MIN | L 17–34 | Dirk Koetter |
| 4 | 2017-10-01 | vs NYG | W 25–23 | Dirk Koetter |
| 5 | 2017-10-05 | vs NE | L 14–19 | Dirk Koetter |
| 6 | 2017-10-15 | @ ARI | L 33–38 | Dirk Koetter |
| 7 | 2017-10-22 | @ BUF | L 27–30 | Dirk Koetter |
| 8 | 2017-10-29 | vs CAR | L 3–17 | Dirk Koetter |
| 9 | 2017-11-05 | @ NO | L 10–30 | Dirk Koetter |
| 10 | 2017-11-12 | vs NYJ | W 15–10 | Dirk Koetter |
| 11 | 2017-11-19 | @ MIA | W 30–20 | Dirk Koetter |
| 12 | 2017-11-26 | @ ATL | L 20–34 | Dirk Koetter |
| 13 | 2017-12-03 | @ GB | L 20–26 OT | Dirk Koetter |
| 14 | 2017-12-10 | vs DET | L 21–24 | Dirk Koetter |
| 15 | 2017-12-18 | vs ATL | L 21–24 | Dirk Koetter |
| 16 | 2017-12-24 | @ CAR | L 19–22 | Dirk Koetter |
| 17 | 2017-12-31 | vs NO | W 31–24 | Dirk Koetter |
2017: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 528 | +57.8 | +1.96 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 55 | +23.3 | +1.08 |
| Mike Evans | 136 | +23.0 | +0.94 |
| Cameron Brate | 77 | +22.4 | +0.74 |
| Adam Humphries | 84 | +29.0 | +0.49 |
| DeSean Jackson | 93 | +9.2 | +0.37 |
2016 season
2016: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CAR 17–14 (lowest chance 12.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs LA 32–37 (highest chance 89.0%)
2016 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2016-09-11 | @ ATL | W 31–24 | Dirk Koetter |
| 2 | 2016-09-18 | @ ARI | L 7–40 | Dirk Koetter |
| 3 | 2016-09-25 | vs LA | L 32–37 | Dirk Koetter |
| 4 | 2016-10-02 | vs DEN | L 7–27 | Dirk Koetter |
| 5 | 2016-10-10 | @ CAR | W 17–14 | Dirk Koetter |
| 7 | 2016-10-23 | @ SF | W 34–17 | Dirk Koetter |
| 8 | 2016-10-30 | vs LV | L 24–30 OT | Dirk Koetter |
| 9 | 2016-11-03 | vs ATL | L 28–43 | Dirk Koetter |
| 10 | 2016-11-13 | vs CHI | W 36–10 | Dirk Koetter |
| 11 | 2016-11-20 | @ KC | W 19–17 | Dirk Koetter |
| 12 | 2016-11-27 | vs SEA | W 14–5 | Dirk Koetter |
| 13 | 2016-12-04 | @ LAC | W 28–21 | Dirk Koetter |
| 14 | 2016-12-11 | vs NO | W 16–11 | Dirk Koetter |
| 15 | 2016-12-18 | @ DAL | L 20–26 | Dirk Koetter |
| 16 | 2016-12-24 | @ NO | L 24–31 | Dirk Koetter |
| 17 | 2017-01-01 | vs CAR | W 17–16 | Dirk Koetter |
2016: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 689 | +64.9 | +2.54 |
| Mike Evans | 173 | +62.2 | +1.66 |
| Cameron Brate | 81 | +40.3 | +1.21 |
| Russell Shepard | 41 | +15.8 | +0.33 |
| Adam Humphries | 88 | +13.8 | +0.33 |
| Freddie Martino | 11 | +8.3 | +0.23 |
2015 season
2015: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ PHI 45–17 (lowest chance 12.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ WAS 30–31 (highest chance 94.7%)
2015 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2015-09-13 | vs TEN | L 14–42 | Lovie Smith |
| 2 | 2015-09-20 | @ NO | W 26–19 | Lovie Smith |
| 3 | 2015-09-27 | @ HOU | L 9–19 | Lovie Smith |
| 4 | 2015-10-04 | vs CAR | L 23–37 | Lovie Smith |
| 5 | 2015-10-11 | vs JAX | W 38–31 | Lovie Smith |
| 7 | 2015-10-25 | @ WAS | L 30–31 | Lovie Smith |
| 8 | 2015-11-01 | @ ATL | W 23–20 OT | Lovie Smith |
| 9 | 2015-11-08 | vs NYG | L 18–32 | Lovie Smith |
| 10 | 2015-11-15 | vs DAL | W 10–6 | Lovie Smith |
| 11 | 2015-11-22 | @ PHI | W 45–17 | Lovie Smith |
| 12 | 2015-11-29 | @ IND | L 12–25 | Lovie Smith |
| 13 | 2015-12-06 | vs ATL | W 23–19 | Lovie Smith |
| 14 | 2015-12-13 | vs NO | L 17–24 | Lovie Smith |
| 15 | 2015-12-17 | @ LA | L 23–31 | Lovie Smith |
| 16 | 2015-12-27 | vs CHI | L 21–26 | Lovie Smith |
| 17 | 2016-01-03 | @ CAR | L 10–38 | Lovie Smith |
2015: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 650 | +77.6 | +2.67 |
| Mike Evans | 148 | +22.0 | +0.89 |
| Vincent Jackson | 63 | +21.2 | +0.66 |
| Charles Sims | 181 | −3.7 | +0.58 |
| Cameron Brate | 30 | +13.5 | +0.49 |
| Louis Murphy | 18 | +7.6 | +0.22 |
2014 season
2014: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ PIT 27–24 (lowest chance 4.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 20–23 (highest chance 86.3%)
2014 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2014-09-07 | vs CAR | L 14–20 | Lovie Smith |
| 2 | 2014-09-14 | vs LA | L 17–19 | Lovie Smith |
| 3 | 2014-09-18 | @ ATL | L 14–56 | Lovie Smith |
| 4 | 2014-09-28 | @ PIT | W 27–24 | Lovie Smith |
| 5 | 2014-10-05 | @ NO | L 31–37 OT | Lovie Smith |
| 6 | 2014-10-12 | vs BAL | L 17–48 | Lovie Smith |
| 8 | 2014-10-26 | vs MIN | L 13–19 OT | Lovie Smith |
| 9 | 2014-11-02 | @ CLE | L 17–22 | Lovie Smith |
| 10 | 2014-11-09 | vs ATL | L 17–27 | Lovie Smith |
| 11 | 2014-11-16 | @ WAS | W 27–7 | Lovie Smith |
| 12 | 2014-11-23 | @ CHI | L 13–21 | Lovie Smith |
| 13 | 2014-11-30 | vs CIN | L 13–14 | Lovie Smith |
| 14 | 2014-12-07 | @ DET | L 17–34 | Lovie Smith |
| 15 | 2014-12-14 | @ CAR | L 17–19 | Lovie Smith |
| 16 | 2014-12-21 | vs GB | L 3–20 | Lovie Smith |
| 17 | 2014-12-28 | vs NO | L 20–23 | Lovie Smith |
2014: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 123 | +42.7 | +1.02 |
| Vincent Jackson | 142 | +7.5 | +0.37 |
| Mike James | 20 | −4.8 | +0.15 |
| Russell Shepard | 8 | +2.9 | +0.10 |
| Jorvorskie Lane | 4 | +2.7 | +0.06 |
| Cameron Brate | 1 | +1.4 | +0.03 |
2013 season
2013: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ DET 24–21 (lowest chance 11.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs ARI 10–13 (highest chance 92.6%)
2013 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2013-09-08 | @ NYJ | L 17–18 | Greg Schiano |
| 2 | 2013-09-15 | vs NO | L 14–16 | Greg Schiano |
| 3 | 2013-09-22 | @ NE | L 3–23 | Greg Schiano |
| 4 | 2013-09-29 | vs ARI | L 10–13 | Greg Schiano |
| 6 | 2013-10-13 | vs PHI | L 20–31 | Greg Schiano |
| 7 | 2013-10-20 | @ ATL | L 23–31 | Greg Schiano |
| 8 | 2013-10-24 | vs CAR | L 13–31 | Greg Schiano |
| 9 | 2013-11-03 | @ SEA | L 24–27 OT | Greg Schiano |
| 10 | 2013-11-11 | vs MIA | W 22–19 | Greg Schiano |
| 11 | 2013-11-17 | vs ATL | W 41–28 | Greg Schiano |
| 12 | 2013-11-24 | @ DET | W 24–21 | Greg Schiano |
| 13 | 2013-12-01 | @ CAR | L 6–27 | Greg Schiano |
| 14 | 2013-12-08 | vs BUF | W 27–6 | Greg Schiano |
| 15 | 2013-12-15 | vs SF | L 14–33 | Greg Schiano |
| 16 | 2013-12-22 | @ LA | L 13–23 | Greg Schiano |
| 17 | 2013-12-29 | @ NO | L 17–42 | Greg Schiano |
2013: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Wright | 76 | +39.1 | +0.67 |
| Tiquan Underwood | 46 | +19.8 | +0.49 |
| Vincent Jackson | 161 | +12.5 | +0.42 |
| Mike James | 77 | +1.0 | +0.19 |
| Tom Crabtree | 7 | +0.3 | +0.09 |
| Dashon Goldson | 1 | +3.0 | +0.06 |
2012 season
2012: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CAR 27–21 (lowest chance 0.5%)
- Worst collapse: vs PHI 21–23 (highest chance 96.0%)
2012 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-09-09 | vs CAR | W 16–10 | Greg Schiano |
| 2 | 2012-09-16 | @ NYG | L 34–41 | Greg Schiano |
| 3 | 2012-09-23 | @ DAL | L 10–16 | Greg Schiano |
| 4 | 2012-09-30 | vs WAS | L 22–24 | Greg Schiano |
| 6 | 2012-10-14 | vs KC | W 38–10 | Greg Schiano |
| 7 | 2012-10-21 | vs NO | L 28–35 | Greg Schiano |
| 8 | 2012-10-25 | @ MIN | W 36–17 | Greg Schiano |
| 9 | 2012-11-04 | @ LV | W 42–32 | Greg Schiano |
| 10 | 2012-11-11 | vs LAC | W 34–24 | Greg Schiano |
| 11 | 2012-11-18 | @ CAR | W 27–21 OT | Greg Schiano |
| 12 | 2012-11-25 | vs ATL | L 23–24 | Greg Schiano |
| 13 | 2012-12-02 | @ DEN | L 23–31 | Greg Schiano |
| 14 | 2012-12-09 | vs PHI | L 21–23 | Greg Schiano |
| 15 | 2012-12-16 | @ NO | L 0–41 | Greg Schiano |
| 16 | 2012-12-23 | vs LA | L 13–28 | Greg Schiano |
| 17 | 2012-12-30 | @ ATL | W 22–17 | Greg Schiano |
2012: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Jackson | 147 | +57.2 | +1.71 |
| Josh Freeman | 637 | +27.9 | +1.55 |
| Mike Williams | 127 | +27.7 | +0.77 |
| Doug Martin | 399 | +2.5 | +0.37 |
| Dallas Clark | 75 | −8.7 | +0.16 |
| Tiquan Underwood | 56 | +3.8 | +0.14 |
2011 season
2011: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ MIN 24–20 (lowest chance 6.4%)
- Worst collapse: @ JAX 14–41 (highest chance 91.6%)
2011 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011-09-11 | vs DET | L 20–27 | Raheem Morris |
| 2 | 2011-09-18 | @ MIN | W 24–20 | Raheem Morris |
| 3 | 2011-09-25 | vs ATL | W 16–13 | Raheem Morris |
| 4 | 2011-10-03 | vs IND | W 24–17 | Raheem Morris |
| 5 | 2011-10-09 | @ SF | L 3–48 | Raheem Morris |
| 6 | 2011-10-16 | vs NO | W 26–20 | Raheem Morris |
| 7 | 2011-10-23 | vs CHI | L 18–24 | Raheem Morris |
| 9 | 2011-11-06 | @ NO | L 16–27 | Raheem Morris |
| 10 | 2011-11-13 | vs HOU | L 9–37 | Raheem Morris |
| 11 | 2011-11-20 | @ GB | L 26–35 | Raheem Morris |
| 12 | 2011-11-27 | @ TEN | L 17–23 | Raheem Morris |
| 13 | 2011-12-04 | vs CAR | L 19–38 | Raheem Morris |
| 14 | 2011-12-11 | @ JAX | L 14–41 | Raheem Morris |
| 15 | 2011-12-17 | vs DAL | L 15–31 | Raheem Morris |
| 16 | 2011-12-24 | @ CAR | L 16–48 | Raheem Morris |
| 17 | 2012-01-01 | @ ATL | L 24–45 | Raheem Morris |
2011: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Parker | 65 | +14.7 | +0.46 |
| Dezmon Briscoe | 51 | +7.8 | +0.24 |
| Mike Williams | 125 | +6.0 | +0.23 |
| Earnest Graham | 70 | −7.1 | +0.13 |
| Luke Stocker | 17 | +1.4 | +0.07 |
| Josh Johnson | 53 | −8.4 | +0.07 |
2010 season
2010: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CIN 24–21 (lowest chance 3.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs DET 20–23 (highest chance 87.1%)
2010 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010-09-12 | vs CLE | W 17–14 | Raheem Morris |
| 2 | 2010-09-19 | @ CAR | W 20–7 | Raheem Morris |
| 3 | 2010-09-26 | vs PIT | L 13–38 | Raheem Morris |
| 5 | 2010-10-10 | @ CIN | W 24–21 | Raheem Morris |
| 6 | 2010-10-17 | vs NO | L 6–31 | Raheem Morris |
| 7 | 2010-10-24 | vs LA | W 18–17 | Raheem Morris |
| 8 | 2010-10-31 | @ ARI | W 38–35 | Raheem Morris |
| 9 | 2010-11-07 | @ ATL | L 21–27 | Raheem Morris |
| 10 | 2010-11-14 | vs CAR | W 31–16 | Raheem Morris |
| 11 | 2010-11-21 | @ SF | W 21–0 | Raheem Morris |
| 12 | 2010-11-28 | @ BAL | L 10–17 | Raheem Morris |
| 13 | 2010-12-05 | vs ATL | L 24–28 | Raheem Morris |
| 14 | 2010-12-12 | @ WAS | W 17–16 | Raheem Morris |
| 15 | 2010-12-19 | vs DET | L 20–23 OT | Raheem Morris |
| 16 | 2010-12-26 | vs SEA | W 38–15 | Raheem Morris |
| 17 | 2011-01-02 | @ NO | W 23–13 | Raheem Morris |
2010: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Freeman | 580 | +109.4 | +3.01 |
| Arrelious Benn | 44 | +28.3 | +0.93 |
| Mike Williams | 128 | +26.5 | +0.80 |
| Kellen Winslow | 98 | +30.5 | +0.78 |
| Sammie Stroughter | 39 | −3.6 | +0.44 |
| Micheal Spurlock | 36 | +7.5 | +0.25 |
2009 season
2009: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NO 20–17 (lowest chance 1.0%)
- Worst collapse: @ ATL 17–20 (highest chance 80.9%)
2009 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2009-09-13 | vs DAL | L 21–34 | Raheem Morris |
| 2 | 2009-09-20 | @ BUF | L 20–33 | Raheem Morris |
| 3 | 2009-09-27 | vs NYG | L 0–24 | Raheem Morris |
| 4 | 2009-10-04 | @ WAS | L 13–16 | Raheem Morris |
| 5 | 2009-10-11 | @ PHI | L 14–33 | Raheem Morris |
| 6 | 2009-10-18 | vs CAR | L 21–28 | Raheem Morris |
| 7 | 2009-10-25 | vs NE | L 7–35 | Raheem Morris |
| 9 | 2009-11-08 | vs GB | W 38–28 | Raheem Morris |
| 10 | 2009-11-15 | @ MIA | L 23–25 | Raheem Morris |
| 11 | 2009-11-22 | vs NO | L 7–38 | Raheem Morris |
| 12 | 2009-11-29 | @ ATL | L 17–20 | Raheem Morris |
| 13 | 2009-12-06 | @ CAR | L 6–16 | Raheem Morris |
| 14 | 2009-12-13 | vs NYJ | L 3–26 | Raheem Morris |
| 15 | 2009-12-20 | @ SEA | W 24–7 | Raheem Morris |
| 16 | 2009-12-27 | @ NO | W 20–17 OT | Raheem Morris |
| 17 | 2010-01-03 | vs ATL | L 10–20 | Raheem Morris |
2009: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Winslow | 128 | +20.7 | +0.35 |
| Sammie Stroughter | 58 | −10.9 | +0.33 |
| Jerramy Stevens | 32 | +1.6 | +0.09 |
| Cadillac Williams | 250 | −27.8 | +0.08 |
| Donald Penn | 1 | +1.0 | +0.00 |
| Jeff Faine | 1 | −0.5 | −0.00 |
2008 season
2008: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ CHI 27–24 (lowest chance 4.6%)
- Worst collapse: vs LV 24–31 (highest chance 94.3%)
2008 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2008-09-07 | @ NO | L 20–24 | Jon Gruden |
| 2 | 2008-09-14 | vs ATL | W 24–9 | Jon Gruden |
| 3 | 2008-09-21 | @ CHI | W 27–24 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 4 | 2008-09-28 | vs GB | W 30–21 | Jon Gruden |
| 5 | 2008-10-05 | @ DEN | L 13–16 | Jon Gruden |
| 6 | 2008-10-12 | vs CAR | W 27–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 7 | 2008-10-19 | vs SEA | W 20–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 8 | 2008-10-26 | @ DAL | L 9–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 9 | 2008-11-02 | @ KC | W 30–27 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 11 | 2008-11-16 | vs MIN | W 19–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 12 | 2008-11-23 | @ DET | W 38–20 | Jon Gruden |
| 13 | 2008-11-30 | vs NO | W 23–20 | Jon Gruden |
| 14 | 2008-12-08 | @ CAR | L 23–38 | Jon Gruden |
| 15 | 2008-12-14 | @ ATL | L 10–13 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 16 | 2008-12-21 | vs LAC | L 24–41 | Jon Gruden |
| 17 | 2008-12-28 | vs LV | L 24–31 | Jon Gruden |
2008: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Bryant | 139 | +49.6 | +1.08 |
| Ike Hilliard | 59 | +21.6 | +0.94 |
| Michael Clayton | 63 | +0.0 | +0.41 |
| Cadillac Williams | 70 | +2.7 | +0.26 |
| Jeff Garcia | 442 | +51.5 | +0.19 |
| Alex Smith | 38 | +11.5 | +0.17 |
2007 season
2007: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NO 27–23 (lowest chance 14.2%)
- Worst collapse: @ SF 19–21 (highest chance 87.8%)
2007 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2007-09-09 | @ SEA | L 6–20 | Jon Gruden |
| 2 | 2007-09-16 | vs NO | W 31–14 | Jon Gruden |
| 3 | 2007-09-23 | vs LA | W 24–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 4 | 2007-09-30 | @ CAR | W 20–7 | Jon Gruden |
| 5 | 2007-10-07 | @ IND | L 14–33 | Jon Gruden |
| 6 | 2007-10-14 | vs TEN | W 13–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 7 | 2007-10-21 | @ DET | L 16–23 | Jon Gruden |
| 8 | 2007-10-28 | vs JAX | L 23–24 | Jon Gruden |
| 9 | 2007-11-04 | vs ARI | W 17–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 11 | 2007-11-18 | @ ATL | W 31–7 | Jon Gruden |
| 12 | 2007-11-25 | vs WAS | W 19–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 13 | 2007-12-02 | @ NO | W 27–23 | Jon Gruden |
| 14 | 2007-12-09 | @ HOU | L 14–28 | Jon Gruden |
| 15 | 2007-12-16 | vs ATL | W 37–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 16 | 2007-12-23 | @ SF | L 19–21 | Jon Gruden |
| 17 | 2007-12-30 | vs CAR | L 23–31 | Jon Gruden |
| P18 | 2008-01-06 | vs NYG | L 14–24 | Jon Gruden |
2007: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerramy Stevens | 21 | +21.6 | +0.77 |
| Joey Galloway | 99 | +22.3 | +0.47 |
| B.J. Askew | 21 | +6.3 | +0.20 |
| Michael Clayton | 45 | +10.0 | +0.18 |
| Ike Hilliard | 88 | +29.0 | +0.13 |
| Chad Lucas | 5 | +4.1 | +0.11 |
2006 season
2006: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs CIN 14–13 (lowest chance 11.7%)
- Worst collapse: vs ATL 6–17 (highest chance 69.7%)
2006 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2006-09-10 | vs BAL | L 0–27 | Jon Gruden |
| 2 | 2006-09-17 | @ ATL | L 3–14 | Jon Gruden |
| 3 | 2006-09-24 | vs CAR | L 24–26 | Jon Gruden |
| 5 | 2006-10-08 | @ NO | L 21–24 | Jon Gruden |
| 6 | 2006-10-15 | vs CIN | W 14–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 7 | 2006-10-22 | vs PHI | W 23–21 | Jon Gruden |
| 8 | 2006-10-29 | @ NYG | L 3–17 | Jon Gruden |
| 9 | 2006-11-05 | vs NO | L 14–31 | Jon Gruden |
| 10 | 2006-11-13 | @ CAR | L 10–24 | Jon Gruden |
| 11 | 2006-11-19 | vs WAS | W 20–17 | Jon Gruden |
| 12 | 2006-11-23 | @ DAL | L 10–38 | Jon Gruden |
| 13 | 2006-12-03 | @ PIT | L 3–20 | Jon Gruden |
| 14 | 2006-12-10 | vs ATL | L 6–17 | Jon Gruden |
| 15 | 2006-12-17 | @ CHI | L 31–34 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 16 | 2006-12-24 | @ CLE | W 22–7 | Jon Gruden |
| 17 | 2006-12-31 | vs SEA | L 7–23 | Jon Gruden |
2006: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Hilliard | 55 | +3.8 | +0.46 |
| Michael Clayton | 70 | −9.8 | +0.25 |
| Maurice Stovall | 15 | +1.4 | +0.09 |
| Paris Warren | 7 | +4.5 | +0.07 |
| Anthony Becht | 26 | −1.6 | +0.05 |
| Michael Pittman | 127 | −8.7 | +0.05 |
2005 season
2005: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs WAS 36–35 (lowest chance 4.6%)
- Worst collapse: @ SF 10–15 (highest chance 87.5%)
2005 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2005-09-11 | @ MIN | W 24–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 2 | 2005-09-18 | vs BUF | W 19–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 3 | 2005-09-25 | @ GB | W 17–16 | Jon Gruden |
| 4 | 2005-10-02 | vs DET | W 17–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 5 | 2005-10-09 | @ NYJ | L 12–14 | Jon Gruden |
| 6 | 2005-10-16 | vs MIA | W 27–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 8 | 2005-10-30 | @ SF | L 10–15 | Jon Gruden |
| 9 | 2005-11-06 | vs CAR | L 14–34 | Jon Gruden |
| 10 | 2005-11-13 | vs WAS | W 36–35 | Jon Gruden |
| 11 | 2005-11-20 | @ ATL | W 30–27 | Jon Gruden |
| 12 | 2005-11-27 | vs CHI | L 10–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 13 | 2005-12-04 | @ NO | W 10–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 14 | 2005-12-11 | @ CAR | W 20–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 15 | 2005-12-17 | @ NE | L 0–28 | Jon Gruden |
| 16 | 2005-12-24 | vs ATL | W 27–24 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 17 | 2006-01-01 | vs NO | W 27–13 | Jon Gruden |
| P18 | 2006-01-07 | vs WAS | L 10–17 | Jon Gruden |
2005: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Galloway | 154 | +52.4 | +1.56 |
| Edell Shepherd | 9 | +0.9 | +0.25 |
| Alex Smith | 61 | +1.9 | +0.24 |
| Jameel Cook | 10 | +2.0 | +0.04 |
| Ike Hilliard | 53 | +6.5 | +0.03 |
| Mike Alstott | 74 | +3.2 | +0.03 |
2004 season
2004: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs KC 34–31 (lowest chance 28.4%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 17–21 (highest chance 98.1%)
2004 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2004-09-12 | @ WAS | L 10–16 | Jon Gruden |
| 2 | 2004-09-19 | vs SEA | L 6–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 3 | 2004-09-26 | @ LV | L 20–30 | Jon Gruden |
| 4 | 2004-10-03 | vs DEN | L 13–16 | Jon Gruden |
| 5 | 2004-10-10 | @ NO | W 20–17 | Jon Gruden |
| 6 | 2004-10-18 | @ LA | L 21–28 | Jon Gruden |
| 7 | 2004-10-24 | vs CHI | W 19–7 | Jon Gruden |
| 9 | 2004-11-07 | vs KC | W 34–31 | Jon Gruden |
| 10 | 2004-11-14 | @ ATL | L 14–24 | Jon Gruden |
| 11 | 2004-11-21 | vs SF | W 35–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 12 | 2004-11-28 | @ CAR | L 14–21 | Jon Gruden |
| 13 | 2004-12-05 | vs ATL | W 27–0 | Jon Gruden |
| 14 | 2004-12-12 | @ LAC | L 24–31 | Jon Gruden |
| 15 | 2004-12-19 | vs NO | L 17–21 | Jon Gruden |
| 16 | 2004-12-26 | vs CAR | L 20–37 | Jon Gruden |
| 17 | 2005-01-02 | @ ARI | L 7–12 | Jon Gruden |
2004: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Griese | 399 | +46.8 | +0.92 |
| Michael Clayton | 127 | +40.5 | +0.77 |
| Joey Galloway | 55 | +20.2 | +0.59 |
| Joe Jurevicius | 37 | +16.7 | +0.41 |
| Charles Lee | 22 | +7.7 | +0.28 |
| Bill Schroeder | 11 | +13.1 | +0.10 |
2003 season
2003: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ NO 14–7 (lowest chance 17.3%)
- Worst collapse: vs IND 35–38 (highest chance 99.9%)
2003 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2003-09-08 | @ PHI | W 17–0 | Jon Gruden |
| 2 | 2003-09-14 | vs CAR | L 9–12 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 3 | 2003-09-21 | @ ATL | W 31–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 5 | 2003-10-06 | vs IND | L 35–38 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 6 | 2003-10-12 | @ WAS | W 35–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 7 | 2003-10-19 | @ SF | L 7–24 | Jon Gruden |
| 8 | 2003-10-26 | vs DAL | W 16–0 | Jon Gruden |
| 9 | 2003-11-02 | vs NO | L 14–17 | Jon Gruden |
| 10 | 2003-11-09 | @ CAR | L 24–27 | Jon Gruden |
| 11 | 2003-11-16 | vs GB | L 13–20 | Jon Gruden |
| 12 | 2003-11-24 | vs NYG | W 19–13 | Jon Gruden |
| 13 | 2003-11-30 | @ JAX | L 10–17 | Jon Gruden |
| 14 | 2003-12-07 | @ NO | W 14–7 | Jon Gruden |
| 15 | 2003-12-14 | vs HOU | W 16–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 16 | 2003-12-20 | vs ATL | L 28–30 | Jon Gruden |
| 17 | 2003-12-28 | @ TEN | L 13–33 | Jon Gruden |
2003: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan McCardell | 138 | +39.8 | +1.34 |
| Keyshawn Johnson | 74 | +36.6 | +0.66 |
| Todd Yoder | 11 | +7.5 | +0.25 |
| Warren Sapp | 4 | +7.8 | +0.20 |
| Mike Alstott | 39 | +1.1 | +0.10 |
| Charles Lee | 49 | +16.8 | +0.04 |
2002 season
2002: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ PHI 27–10 (lowest chance 22.0%)
- Worst collapse: vs NO 20–26 (highest chance 79.0%)
2002 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2002-09-08 | vs NO | L 20–26 OT | Jon Gruden |
| 2 | 2002-09-15 | @ BAL | W 25–0 | Jon Gruden |
| 3 | 2002-09-23 | vs LA | W 26–14 | Jon Gruden |
| 4 | 2002-09-29 | @ CIN | W 35–7 | Jon Gruden |
| 5 | 2002-10-06 | @ ATL | W 20–6 | Jon Gruden |
| 6 | 2002-10-13 | vs CLE | W 17–3 | Jon Gruden |
| 7 | 2002-10-20 | @ PHI | L 10–20 | Jon Gruden |
| 8 | 2002-10-27 | @ CAR | W 12–9 | Jon Gruden |
| 9 | 2002-11-03 | vs MIN | W 38–24 | Jon Gruden |
| 11 | 2002-11-17 | vs CAR | W 23–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 12 | 2002-11-24 | vs GB | W 21–7 | Jon Gruden |
| 13 | 2002-12-01 | @ NO | L 20–23 | Jon Gruden |
| 14 | 2002-12-08 | vs ATL | W 34–10 | Jon Gruden |
| 15 | 2002-12-15 | @ DET | W 23–20 | Jon Gruden |
| 16 | 2002-12-23 | vs PIT | L 7–17 | Jon Gruden |
| 17 | 2002-12-29 | @ CHI | W 15–0 | Jon Gruden |
| P19 | 2003-01-12 | vs SF | W 31–6 | Jon Gruden |
| P20 | 2003-01-19 | @ PHI | W 27–10 | Jon Gruden |
| P21 | 2003-01-26 | vs LV | W 48–21 | Jon Gruden |
2002: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Jurevicius | 52 | +30.9 | +0.74 |
| Keenan McCardell | 102 | +17.2 | +0.31 |
| Rickey Dudley | 26 | +9.5 | +0.25 |
| Ken Dilger | 48 | +18.0 | +0.09 |
| Jameel Cook | 6 | +2.5 | +0.07 |
| Karl Williams | 14 | +3.4 | +0.06 |
2001 season
2001: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: @ LA 24–17 (lowest chance 15.2%)
- Worst collapse: vs PHI 13–17 (highest chance 95.4%)
2001 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2001-09-09 | @ DAL | W 10–6 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2001-09-30 | @ MIN | L 16–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 2001-10-07 | vs GB | W 14–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2001-10-14 | @ TEN | L 28–31 OT | Tony Dungy |
| 6 | 2001-10-21 | vs PIT | L 10–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 2001-10-28 | vs MIN | W 41–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2001-11-04 | @ GB | L 20–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2001-11-11 | @ DET | W 20–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2001-11-18 | vs CHI | L 24–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2001-11-26 | @ LA | W 24–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2001-12-02 | @ CIN | W 16–13 OT | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2001-12-09 | vs DET | W 15–12 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2001-12-16 | @ CHI | L 3–27 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2001-12-23 | vs NO | W 48–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2001-12-29 | vs BAL | W 22–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2002-01-06 | vs PHI | L 13–17 | Tony Dungy |
| P18 | 2002-01-12 | @ PHI | L 9–31 | Tony Dungy |
2001: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Johnson | 180 | +32.3 | +1.03 |
| Jacquez Green | 59 | +10.4 | +0.35 |
| Dave Moore | 53 | +15.9 | +0.12 |
| Milton Wynn | 6 | +0.2 | +0.09 |
| Mike Alstott | 220 | +2.6 | +0.09 |
| Rabih Abdullah | 13 | +1.4 | +0.05 |
2000 season
2000: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs LA 38–35 (lowest chance 11.1%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYJ 17–21 (highest chance 98.3%)
2000 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2000-09-03 | @ NE | W 21–16 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 2000-09-10 | vs CHI | W 41–0 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 2000-09-17 | @ DET | W 31–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 2000-09-24 | vs NYJ | L 17–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 2000-10-01 | @ WAS | L 17–20 OT | Tony Dungy |
| 6 | 2000-10-09 | @ MIN | L 23–30 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 2000-10-19 | vs DET | L 14–28 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 2000-10-29 | vs MIN | W 41–13 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 2000-11-05 | @ ATL | W 27–14 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 2000-11-12 | vs GB | W 20–15 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 2000-11-19 | @ CHI | L 10–13 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 2000-11-26 | vs BUF | W 31–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 2000-12-03 | vs DAL | W 27–7 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 2000-12-10 | @ MIA | W 16–13 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 2000-12-18 | vs LA | W 38–35 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2000-12-24 | @ GB | L 14–17 OT | Tony Dungy |
| P18 | 2000-12-31 | @ PHI | L 3–21 | Tony Dungy |
2000: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reidel Anthony | 33 | +9.8 | +0.25 |
| Jacquez Green | 108 | +15.0 | +0.15 |
| Damien Robinson | 1 | +4.9 | +0.07 |
| Mark Royals | 1 | +4.9 | +0.07 |
| Rabih Abdullah | 18 | −2.5 | +0.02 |
| Joe Hamilton | 2 | −3.0 | +0.00 |
1999 season
1999: comebacks and collapses
- Biggest comeback: vs WAS 14–13 (lowest chance 10.8%)
- Worst collapse: vs NYG 13–17 (highest chance 77.6%)
1999 schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1999-09-12 | vs NYG | L 13–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 2 | 1999-09-19 | @ PHI | W 19–5 | Tony Dungy |
| 3 | 1999-09-26 | vs DEN | W 13–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 4 | 1999-10-03 | @ MIN | L 14–21 | Tony Dungy |
| 5 | 1999-10-10 | @ GB | L 23–26 | Tony Dungy |
| 7 | 1999-10-24 | vs CHI | W 6–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 8 | 1999-10-31 | @ DET | L 3–20 | Tony Dungy |
| 9 | 1999-11-07 | @ NO | W 31–16 | Tony Dungy |
| 10 | 1999-11-14 | vs KC | W 17–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 11 | 1999-11-21 | vs ATL | W 19–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 12 | 1999-11-28 | @ SEA | W 16–3 | Tony Dungy |
| 13 | 1999-12-06 | vs MIN | W 24–17 | Tony Dungy |
| 14 | 1999-12-12 | vs DET | W 23–16 | Tony Dungy |
| 15 | 1999-12-19 | @ LV | L 0–45 | Tony Dungy |
| 16 | 1999-12-26 | vs GB | W 29–10 | Tony Dungy |
| 17 | 2000-01-02 | @ CHI | W 20–6 | Tony Dungy |
| P19 | 2000-01-15 | vs WAS | W 14–13 | Tony Dungy |
| P20 | 2000-01-23 | @ LA | L 6–11 | Tony Dungy |
1999: top players by WPA
Dropbacks, designed runs and targets with this team, regular season; WPA from our model.
| Player | Plays | EPA | WPA (wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacquez Green | 103 | +19.1 | +0.37 |
| Patrick Hape | 6 | +2.6 | +0.10 |
| Shaun King | 181 | −17.0 | +0.10 |
| Karl Williams | 33 | −1.2 | +0.08 |
| Damien Robinson | 1 | +3.5 | +0.07 |
| Kevin McLeod | 3 | +0.0 | +0.04 |